265 Buck Run Rd · South Coatesville, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$245,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Calling all investors! Your next project is ready - a perfect blank slate in a desirable area on a full acre lot! Just outside the Coatesville area, this traditional brick 2.5 story home is nested in tranquil surroundings with plenty of space. Property also includes a detached two-car garage. Demo has been completed on the house and much of the framing as well. Mini-splits have been installed as well as a number of materials on site. Original hardwoods on the main floor and an open concept layout create the perfect setup for a beautiful renovation. An inspected and passing septic system is one less thing to tackle. We hope you see the awesome potential in this project opportunity! Please note - this is an as-is, cash sale for investors. House is considered historic.
Key facts
- Original hardwoods
- Historic
- Full acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $116 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $217k (11.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $217k (11.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.0% in South Coatesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#995 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, amenities F.
- Coatesville Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #457 of 539 in PA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,513 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chester County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 31y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $61k; list at $245k implies a 302% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.03%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $377,961
- List price
- $245,000
- Delta
- -35.18%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-28,293
- Equity at exit
- $36,530
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $2,032
- Equity at exit
- $21,183
Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19320
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 250
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,174 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,285
- Tax from tax record
- −$215 /mo · $2,580/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$457
- Net cashflow
- $116
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,250
- Closing costs
- $7,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending 776-char remark
Show marketing remark (776 chars)
Calling all investors! Your next project is ready - a perfect blank slate in a desirable area on a full acre lot! Just outside the Coatesville area, this traditional brick 2.5 story home is nested in tranquil surroundings with plenty of space. Property also includes a detached two-car garage. Demo has been completed on the house and much of the framing as well. Mini-splits have been installed as well as a number of materials on site. Original hardwoods on the main floor and an open concept layout create the perfect setup for a beautiful renovation. An inspected and passing septic system is one less thing to tackle. We hope you see the awesome potential in this project opportunity! Please note - this is an as-is, cash sale for investors. House is considered historic.
-
2026-03-30price $245,000 776-char remark
Show marketing remark (776 chars)
Calling all investors! Your next project is ready - a perfect blank slate in a desirable area on a full acre lot! Just outside the Coatesville area, this traditional brick 2.5 story home is nested in tranquil surroundings with plenty of space. Property also includes a detached two-car garage. Demo has been completed on the house and much of the framing as well. Mini-splits have been installed as well as a number of materials on site. Original hardwoods on the main floor and an open concept layout create the perfect setup for a beautiful renovation. An inspected and passing septic system is one less thing to tackle. We hope you see the awesome potential in this project opportunity! Please note - this is an as-is, cash sale for investors. House is considered historic.
-
2026-02-16status Active 776-char remark
Show marketing remark (776 chars)
Calling all investors! Your next project is ready - a perfect blank slate in a desirable area on a full acre lot! Just outside the Coatesville area, this traditional brick 2.5 story home is nested in tranquil surroundings with plenty of space. Property also includes a detached two-car garage. Demo has been completed on the house and much of the framing as well. Mini-splits have been installed as well as a number of materials on site. Original hardwoods on the main floor and an open concept layout create the perfect setup for a beautiful renovation. An inspected and passing septic system is one less thing to tackle. We hope you see the awesome potential in this project opportunity! Please note - this is an as-is, cash sale for investors. House is considered historic.
-
2026-02-08status Pending 776-char remark
Show marketing remark (776 chars)
Calling all investors! Your next project is ready - a perfect blank slate in a desirable area on a full acre lot! Just outside the Coatesville area, this traditional brick 2.5 story home is nested in tranquil surroundings with plenty of space. Property also includes a detached two-car garage. Demo has been completed on the house and much of the framing as well. Mini-splits have been installed as well as a number of materials on site. Original hardwoods on the main floor and an open concept layout create the perfect setup for a beautiful renovation. An inspected and passing septic system is one less thing to tackle. We hope you see the awesome potential in this project opportunity! Please note - this is an as-is, cash sale for investors. House is considered historic.
-
2026-02-04$249,900 Active 776-char remark
Show marketing remark (776 chars)
Calling all investors! Your next project is ready - a perfect blank slate in a desirable area on a full acre lot! Just outside the Coatesville area, this traditional brick 2.5 story home is nested in tranquil surroundings with plenty of space. Property also includes a detached two-car garage. Demo has been completed on the house and much of the framing as well. Mini-splits have been installed as well as a number of materials on site. Original hardwoods on the main floor and an open concept layout create the perfect setup for a beautiful renovation. An inspected and passing septic system is one less thing to tackle. We hope you see the awesome potential in this project opportunity! Please note - this is an as-is, cash sale for investors. House is considered historic.
-
2016-05-07historical
-
2016-05-06historical
-
2015-05-07$112,900
-
2015-05-07$112,900
-
2015-01-16soldstatus $60,900
-
2015-01-16soldstatus $60,900 Sold
-
2014-11-07status Under Contract
-
2014-11-07historical
-
2014-08-13price $63,000
-
2014-07-31$63,000
-
2014-07-31$69,000 Active
-
2014-04-30historical
-
2014-01-02$117,900
-
2012-12-31historical
-
2011-08-17$134,900
-
2006-08-11soldstatus $215,000
-
1995-06-30soldstatus $141,900
-
1995-04-10historical
-
1995-03-20$141,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,580 · $215/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,225 · $269/mo
- Expected delta
- +$646/yr (+$54/mo · 25.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,091
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,724
- − Property taxes
- −$2,580
- − Insurance
- −$1,225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,087
- − Management
- −$2,087
- − Depreciation
- −$7,127
- Taxable loss
- −$2,739
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$657
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,047/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coatesville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4206240
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,753
- Composite
- 23.19/100
- National rank
- #7944
- State rank
- #457 of 539 in PA
Livability — South Coatesville
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #995
- US rank
- #10974
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Chester County · 432,350 people
- City population
- 55,941
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,941
- Household income
- $90,601
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1480.0
Population outlook (Chester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 546,756 people
- By 2030
- 559,441 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 576,377 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 580,602 · +6.2%
- By 2075
- 581,575 · +6.4%
- By 2100
- 540,922 · -1.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Chester
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.5) · D 56.7% · R 42.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: 14.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.5 2020: D+17.0 2016: D+9.2 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -195.38%
- Current HPI
- 274.045
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.82%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+72.7% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $245,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-16 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-08 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-04 Listed $249,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-05-07 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-05-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-05-07 Listed $112,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-05-07 Listed $112,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-01-16 Sold (MLS) $60,900 TREND
- 2015-01-16 Sold (MLS) $60,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-11-07 Pending — TREND
- 2014-11-07 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-08-13 Price Changed $63,000 TREND
- 2014-07-31 Listed $69,000 TREND
- 2014-07-31 Listed $63,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-04-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-01-02 Listed $117,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-12-31 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-08-17 Listed $134,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $215,000 Public Records
- 1995-06-30 Sold (MLS) $141,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1995-04-10 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 1995-03-20 Listed $141,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-2.6%/yrLatest (2026): $2,580 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…