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1711 Taylor Ford Rd
D Composite 40.42
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

1711 Taylor Ford Rd · Columbia, KY 42728
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · Other · 57 Days on market
Built 2018 0.53 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Don't miss out on your chance to own this great home! At only $139,900, it won't last long! Welcome to your perfect blend of comfort, space, and location! Nestled in a peaceful setting yet conveniently close to town, this beautiful property offers the best of both worlds—privacy and accessibility. This well-appointed home features 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, with a thoughtfully designed layout that provides both functionality and flexibility. The spacious living areas are ideal for gathering with family or entertaining guests, while the kitchen offers ample cabinetry, a walk in pantry/laundry room, and workspace for everyday living. Step outside and take in the surrounding scen

Key facts

  • Ample cabinetry
  • Peaceful setting
  • Walk in pantry

Tags

PEACEFUL SETTINGCONVENIENTLY CLOSE TO TOWNSURROUNDED BY FARMLANDAMPLE CABINETRYWALK IN PANTRY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking
  • Utilities: Well (private); Septic tank
  • Home design: Residential mobile home
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Level lot; Located near Green River / Lake Cumberland

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range / Oven; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; Eat-in kitchen
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $40 ($485/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (20.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $111k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.9% in Columbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#285 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Adair County (town): math 22% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #124 of 165 in KY (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Adair County Primary Center (647 students, 70% FRL); Adair County Middle School (math 24% / reading 39%, grade F, #125 of 217 statewide, top 63%, 598 students, 69% FRL); Adair County High School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #97 of 254 statewide, top 46%, 791 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 52% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Adair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Adair County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $140k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $111,336 (20.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.64%
Cash-on-cash
1.24%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.4%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-20,155
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
-5.7%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-14,484
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42728

Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,113 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $566/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$40

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,062
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $120 -5% $80 +0% $40 +5% $1 +10% $-39
Rent -10% $-48 -5% $-4 +0% $40 +5% $84 +10% $128
Rate -1.0pp $111 -0.5pp $76 base $40 +0.5pp $4 +1.0pp $-33

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $139,900 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $139,900 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $139,900 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 51 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 48 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $139,900 Active 47 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 44 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 43 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 42 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 41 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $139,900 Active 38 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 37 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 36 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 35 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 34 DOM
  19. 2026-04-26
    listed $139,900 Active
  20. 2026-04-01
    soldstatus $80,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$566 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,203 · $100/mo
Expected delta
+$637/yr (+$53/mo · 112.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,360
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$566
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,069
− Management
−$1,069
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$1,949
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$468
After-tax cash flow
$953/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Adair County
NCES district ID
2100030
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -19.00%
Median HH income
$33,174
Composite
23.3/100
National rank
#7921
State rank
#124 of 165 in KY

Livability — Columbia

Score
64/100
State rank
#285
US rank
#13803

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
16,108

Population outlook (Adair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,359 people
By 2030
20,856 · +2.4%
By 2040
21,678 · +6.5%
By 2050
22,107 · +8.6%
By 2075
22,740 · +11.7%
By 2100
21,840 · +7.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Adair

2024 margin
Solid R (+71.2) · D 14.0% · R 85.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.5pp toward R · 2008: -52.7pp · 2024: -71.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+71.2 2020: R+67.1 2016: R+64.6 2012: R+55.0 2008: R+52.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -128.69%
Current HPI
169.064
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+74.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-26 Listed $139,900 SCKMLSKY
  • 2026-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $566 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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