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Bradford Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D+ Composite 45.15
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.9/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.5/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.6/10.0
  • DSCR +0.8/10.0

$351,990

Bradford Plan · Maineville, OH 45039
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,613 sqft · SingleFamily · 312 Days on market
Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The Bradford is the perfect ranch-style floorplan for those looking to downsize or enjoy single-level living with plenty of space. Starting at 1,611 square feet, this three-bedroom, two-bath home can be personalized to fit your lifestyle - with an optional second-floor bonus room for even more living space. Step inside from the charming front porch and you're greeted by a versatile flex room. Use it as a dining area, home office, or creative space - the choice is yours. The L-shaped kitchen offers ample cabinet storage and counter space, with the option to add an island for extra prep area. The open layout connects seamlessly to the great room, perfect for entertaining or spending time with loved ones. The private primary suite is tucked away for relaxation and features an ensuite bath that can be upgraded to include a tiled shower, a 60" shower, or a luxurious garden tub/shower combo. Two additional bedrooms provide space for guests or hobbies. Add a sunroom to enjoy the outdoors year-round, or unwind on the covered patio during warm evenings. With flexible options and thoughtful design, The Bradford by Arbor Homes delivers comfort, convenience, and style - all on one level.

Key facts

  • L-shaped kitchen
  • Open floorplan
  • Ranch floorplan

Tags

RANCH FLOORPLANFLEX ROOML-SHAPED KITCHENOPTIONAL KITCHEN ISLANDOPEN FLOORPLANPRIMARY BEDROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $351,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $361,675.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $352k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-606 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $274k (22.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (31.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $240k (31.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#529 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Little Miami Local (rural): math 67% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #140 of 656 in OH (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Little Miami Primary School (math 76% / reading 65%, grade A-, #376 of 1,584 statewide, top 24%, 855 students, 18% FRL); Little Miami Middle School (math 67% / reading 72%, grade A, #143 of 654 statewide, top 23%, 1,279 students, 16% FRL); Little Miami High School (math 52% / reading 81%, grade B, #150 of 781 statewide, top 20%, 1,445 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools at 16% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 145 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,224 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (474 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $39k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $36k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Warren County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$62k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 312 days — a 12% lower offer ($310k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $239,671 (31.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 312 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.66%
Cap rate
4.28%
Cash-on-cash
-7.18%
DSCR
0.68
GRM
12.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$361,675
List price
$351,990
Delta
-2.68%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1156 Meadow Vista Dr 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,660 (+3%) 9mo $410,000 $247 75
1304 Shadowood Trl 0.14mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,536 (-5%) 14mo $280,000 $182 69
1172 Wild Flower Ln 0.19mi 3/2.5 1,416 (-12%) 2mo $335,000 $237 67
988 Weeping Willow Ln 0.15mi 3/2.5 1,418 (-12%) 5mo $320,000 $226 67
588 Weeping Willow Ln 0.50mi 3/2.5 1,624 (+1%) 11mo $340,000 $209 64
476 Indian Pointe Dr 0.58mi 3/2.5 1,630 (+1%) 9mo $320,000 $196 62
1152 Meadow Vista Dr 0.26mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,718 (+6%) 13mo $390,000 $227 61
946 Weeping Willow Ln 0.19mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,757 (+9%) 10mo $376,100 $214 61
609 Jewelweed Ct 0.42mi 3/2.5 1,500 (-7%) 13mo $340,000 $227 56
6711 Bayberry Ct 0.35mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,826 (+13%) 12mo $412,000 $226 45
6804 Sandharbor Ct 0.53mi 2/3.0 (-1) 1,490 (-8%) 13mo $329,500 $221 42
6846 Pelicans Run Ct 0.57mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,416 (-12%) 11mo $337,500 $238 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 7.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
2.67×
Total profit
$169,548
Equity at exit
$325,826
10-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
6.50×
Total profit
$556,681
Equity at exit
$702,655

Cash invested: $101,269 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
5 active · 9 under contract
Months of supply
3.0 mo (33%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$362,990 ($211/sqft)
Median days on market
312 d
This list price
40% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+6.1% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 45039

Home prices YoY
7.3%
Rents YoY
7.4%
Active inventory
145
Price-to-rent
12.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,397 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,897
Tax est. 1.5%
$452 /mo · $5,425/yr
Insurance
$151
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$503
Net cashflow
$-606

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,164
Max offer price $273,979
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-356 -5% $-481 +0% $-606 +5% $-731 +10% $-856
Rent -10% $-795 -5% $-701 +0% $-606 +5% $-511 +10% $-417
Rate -1.0pp $-424 -0.5pp $-514 base $-606 +0.5pp $-700 +1.0pp $-795

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$90,419
Closing costs
$10,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6727 Cloudscape Way Maineville, OH 2.0 2.0 1184 $1,800 $1.52 12d 1 0.16mi
6823 Cloudscape Way Maineville, OH 2.0 2.0 1064 $1,995 $1.88 12d 1 0.25mi
1409 Grandin Rd Maineville, OH 2.0 2.0 1460 $4,200 $2.88 12d 1 0.62mi
535 Willow Pond Blvd Maineville, OH 2.0 2.0 1021 $1,844 $1.81 12d 8 0.69mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $351,990 Active 312 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $351,990 Active 311 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $351,990 Active 310 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $351,990 Active 309 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $351,990 Active 308 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $351,990 Active 307 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $351,990 Active 304 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $351,990 Active 302 DOM
  9. 2026-07-28
    days on market $351,990 Active 301 DOM
  10. 2026-07-26
    days on market $351,990 Active 299 DOM
  11. 2026-07-24
    days on market $351,990 Active 297 DOM
  12. 2026-07-23
    days on market $351,990 Active 296 DOM
  13. 2026-07-22
    days on market $351,990 Active 295 DOM
  14. 2026-07-21
    days on market $351,990 Active 294 DOM
  15. 2026-07-20
    days on market $351,990 Active 293 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $351,990 Active 291 DOM
  17. 2026-07-18
    days on market $351,990 Active 290 DOM
  18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $351,990 Active 289 DOM
  19. 2026-07-15
    days on market $351,990 Active 288 DOM
  20. 2026-07-14
    days on market $351,990 Active 287 DOM
  21. 2026-07-13
    days on market $351,990 Active 286 DOM
  22. 2026-07-13
    days on market $351,990 Active 285 DOM
  23. 2026-07-11
    days on market $351,990 Active 284 DOM
  24. 2026-07-10
    days on market $351,990 Active 283 DOM
  25. 2026-07-09
    days on market $351,990 Active 282 DOM
  26. 2026-07-07
    days on market $351,990 Active 280 DOM
  27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $351,990 Active 279 DOM
  28. 2026-07-05
    days on market $351,990 Active 278 DOM
  29. 2026-07-03
    days on market $351,990 Active 276 DOM
  30. 2026-07-02
    days on market $351,990 Active 275 DOM
  31. 2026-07-01
    days on market $351,990 Active 274 DOM
  32. 2026-06-30
    days on market $351,990 Active 273 DOM
  33. 2026-06-29
    days on market $351,990 Active 272 DOM
  34. 2026-06-28
    days on market $351,990 Active 271 DOM
  35. 2026-06-27
    days on market $351,990 Active 270 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $351,990 Active 269 DOM
  37. 2026-06-25
    days on market $351,990 Active 267 DOM
  38. 2026-06-22
    days on market $351,990 Active 265 DOM
  39. 2026-06-21
    days on market $351,990 Active 264 DOM
  40. 2026-06-18
    days on market $351,990 Active 261 DOM
  41. 2026-06-17
    days on market $351,990 Active 260 DOM
  42. 2026-06-16
    days on market $351,990 Active 259 DOM
  43. 2026-06-15
    days on market $351,990 Active 258 DOM
  44. 2026-06-13
    days on market $351,990 Active 256 DOM
  45. 2026-06-09
    days on market $351,990 Active 252 DOM
  46. 2026-06-08
    days on market $351,990 Active 251 DOM
  47. 2026-06-07
    days on market $351,990 Active 250 DOM
  48. 2026-06-03
    days on market $351,990 Active 246 DOM
  49. 2026-06-02
    days on market $351,990 Active 245 DOM
  50. 2026-06-01
    days on market $351,990 Active 244 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,761
− Mortgage interest
−$20,259
− Property taxes
−$5,425
− Insurance
−$1,808
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,301
− Management
−$2,301
− Depreciation
−$10,521
Taxable loss
−$13,855
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,325
After-tax cash flow
$-3,947/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This well-maintained single-family home with a good condition score is ready for immediate occupancy. Minor exterior touch-ups and routine maintenance would further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal
  • Rental Clean gutters — Keeps property in good condition
C Composite school gradezoned avg 69/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Little Miami Primary School A- OH #376/1,584 Nat'l #3,318/41,679 Middle Little Miami Middle School A OH #143/654 Nat'l #858/14,009 High Little Miami High School B OH #150/781 Nat'l #2,657/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Little Miami Local
NCES district ID
3905044
Math proficiency
67% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$74,949
Composite
60.5/100
National rank
#844
State rank
#140 of 656 in OH
C Composite livability gradescore 69/100

Livability — Maineville

Score
69/100
State rank
#529
US rank
#9001

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Warren County · 248,603 people
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
28,335
Household income
$108,794
Rent vs Own
16.2% rent · 83.8% own
Severe rent burden
8% of renters

Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,603 people
By 2030
259,345 · +4.3%
By 2040
277,666 · +11.7%
By 2050
289,599 · +16.5%
By 2075
311,681 · +25.4%
By 2100
302,738 · +21.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Warren

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.5) · D 33.8% · R 65.3%
2008→2024 swing
+4.5pp toward D · 2008: -36.1pp · 2024: -31.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.5 2020: R+30.8 2016: R+37.6 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+36.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-10-01 Listed $351,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…