919 N Washington St · New Ulm, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.1/30.0
- ARV discount +5.2/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$204,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Character and Style! Well Loved Home with hardwood floors, open floor plan- newer kitchen, full bath, three-same floor bedrooms. Room to finish in basement, 3/4 bath already there. New stamped patio and full backyard. Call and See - Today!
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Full back yard
- 3 season porch
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage with garage door opener; Concrete driveway/area
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential; Residential property
- Construction: Stucco exterior; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Patio; Public maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Cooktop; Range; Refrigerator; Kitchen island
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Kitchen island; Unfinished full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater; Water softener
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $69 ($827/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (12.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $180k (12.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.2% in New Ulm — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#39 in MN, #1,102 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
- New Ulm Public School District (town): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #104 of 301 in MN (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Jefferson Elementary (math 47% / reading 39%, grade F, #574 of 857 statewide, top 67%, 619 students, 40% FRL); Washington Learning Center (188 students, 47% FRL); New Ulm High School (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B, #19 of 471 statewide, top 4%, 706 students, 29% FRL) — zoned schools average 39% FRL vs 21% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 41 units permitted in Brown County in 2024 (18 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brown County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($180k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $118k; list at $205k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.44%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $194,976
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 919 N Washington St | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,354 (0%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $144 | 97 |
| 1100 N Garden St | 0.33mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,328 (-2%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $136 | 74 |
| 806 N Payne St | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,382 (+2%) | 7mo | $181,000 | $131 | 74 |
| 1001 N Jefferson St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,324 (-2%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $117 | 73 |
| 727 N Minnesota St | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,320 (-2%) | 12mo | $198,000 | $150 | 70 |
| 622 N Garden St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,382 (+2%) | 11mo | $240,000 | $174 | 66 |
| 617 N Jefferson St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,170 (-14%) | 1mo | $229,900 | $196 | 62 |
| 917 N Valley St | 0.49mi | 3/3.0 | 1,260 (-7%) | 9mo | $182,000 | $144 | 54 |
| 304 N Washington St | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,505 (+11%) | 6mo | $227,000 | $151 | 50 |
| 1526 N State St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,500 (+11%) | 6mo | $105,000 | $70 | 43 |
| 119 N Jefferson St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,215 (-10%) | 3mo | $167,200 | $138 | 40 |
| 1442 N 7th St | 0.72mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,208 (-11%) | 4mo | $247,000 | $204 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-28,823
- Equity at exit
- $30,551
- IRR
- -5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-19,492
- Equity at exit
- $17,716
Cash invested: $57,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56073
- Active inventory
- 85
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,800 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax from tax record
- −$193 /mo · $2,318/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $69
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $185 | -5% $127 | +0% $69 | +5% $11 | +10% $-47 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-73 | -5% $-2 | +0% $69 | +5% $140 | +10% $211 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $172 | -0.5pp $121 | base $69 | +0.5pp $16 | +1.0pp $-38 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,225
- Closing costs
- $6,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 811 Center St New Ulm, MN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1606 | $1,800 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending
-
2026-05-01historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-04status Active
-
2026-03-22historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-03price $204,900
-
2026-02-04price $209,900
-
2025-12-03$214,900 Active
-
2016-02-09soldstatus $117,500 240-char remark
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
Character and Style! Well Loved Home with hardwood floors, open floor plan- newer kitchen, full bath, three-same floor bedrooms. Room to finish in basement, 3/4 bath already there. New stamped patio and full backyard. Call and See - Today!
-
2016-02-09soldstatus $117,500
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
Character and Style! Well Loved Home with hardwood floors, open floor plan- newer kitchen, full bath, three-same floor bedrooms. Room to finish in basement, 3/4 bath already there. New stamped patio and full backyard. Call and See - Today!
-
2015-09-30$118,500 240-char remark
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
Character and Style! Well Loved Home with hardwood floors, open floor plan- newer kitchen, full bath, three-same floor bedrooms. Room to finish in basement, 3/4 bath already there. New stamped patio and full backyard. Call and See - Today!
-
2012-07-02soldstatus $107,500
-
2008-07-01soldstatus $104,900
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Classic traditions with a fresh look!!! Renovated throughout!. Original maple wood floors, new maple cabinets with island and 8.5x5.7 walk-in pantry. Full lot in a great neighborhood, close to parks and schools.
-
2008-07-01soldstatus $104,900 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Classic traditions with a fresh look!!! Renovated throughout!. Original maple wood floors, new maple cabinets with island and 8.5x5.7 walk-in pantry. Full lot in a great neighborhood, close to parks and schools.
-
2008-05-13$99,900 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Classic traditions with a fresh look!!! Renovated throughout!. Original maple wood floors, new maple cabinets with island and 8.5x5.7 walk-in pantry. Full lot in a great neighborhood, close to parks and schools.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,318 · $193/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,318 · $193/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,478
- − Property taxes
- −$2,318
- − Insurance
- −$1,024
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,728
- − Management
- −$1,728
- − Depreciation
- −$5,961
- Taxable loss
- −$2,637
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$633
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,460/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Ulm Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2723490
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,171
- Composite
- 43.93/100
- National rank
- #2906
- State rank
- #104 of 301 in MN
Livability — New Ulm
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #39
- US rank
- #1102
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Ulm, MN
- City population
- 17,325
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,325
Population outlook (Brown County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,403 people
- By 2030
- 23,790 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 22,309 · -8.6%
- By 2050
- 20,948 · -14.2%
- By 2075
- 19,038 · -22.0%
- By 2100
- 16,658 · -31.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 9% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brown
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.2) · D 31.5% · R 66.7% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.1pp toward R · 2008: -12.1pp · 2024: -35.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.2 2020: R+32.8 2016: R+36.2 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -166.22%
- Current HPI
- 192.7295
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
||
Price history
+105.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — RASM
- 2026-05-01 Contingent — RASM
- 2026-04-04 Relisted — RASM
- 2026-03-22 Contingent — RASM
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $204,900 RASM
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $209,900 RASM
- 2025-12-03 Listed $214,900 RASM
- 2016-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $117,500 Public Records
- 2016-02-09 Sold (MLS) $117,500 RASM
- 2015-09-30 Listed $118,500 RASM
- 2012-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $107,500 Public Records
- 2008-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $104,900 Public Records
- 2008-07-01 Sold (MLS) $104,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-05-13 Listed $99,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,318 · -1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…