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15333 Grant St
D- Composite 39.43
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.5/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$240,000

15333 Grant St · Dolton, IL 60419
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,195 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1961 5,000 sqft lot Est $189k · 27% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautifully renovated in 2020, this home has everything a family needs to feel comfortable and at home. The open-concept layout creates a bright and welcoming space, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy cooking in the modern kitchen with granite countertops, relax in the spacious living room with vaulted ceilings and a cozy fireplace, and appreciate the convenience of 2.5 bathrooms. Even better, all major mechanicals, electrical, and plumbing were replaced just 6 years ago - giving you peace of mind for years to come. (room sizes approx)

Key facts

  • Modern kitchen
  • Granite countertops
  • Vaulted ceilings

Tags

RENOVATED IN 2020OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTMODERN KITCHENGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMVAULTED CEILINGS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership is fee simple; Property not currently leased; Possession at closing or immediate
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener (1 garage space); Side driveway; Garage owned; total parking for 1 vehicle
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Bi-level / split-level with sub-level; Rehab completed in 2020; Built approximately 61–70 years ago; Estimated living area
  • Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Brick/mortar foundation; Home built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Less than 0.25-acre lot; School bus service; Nearby interstate access; Lot dimensions listed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with island and eating area/table space; Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; Master bedroom on the second level; Additional bedrooms: two on second level (each about 12 x 11), one on lower level (about 22 x 13)
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors in living room and dining room
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; Basement bathroom present; European-style shower
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Finished partial basement; 7 total rooms; Electric fireplace in the living room
  • Laundry & utility: Lower-level laundry room (about 10 x 10)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $143 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
  • Recommended offer: $233k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 9.3% in Dolton — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#263 in IL, #4,883 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
  • Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,627/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 919% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $170k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
Recommended offer $232,800 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
7.01%
Cash-on-cash
2.55%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$188,810
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
619 E 152nd St 0.19mi 3/1.5 1,146 (-4%) 1mo $153,000 $134 80
717 E 154th St 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,120 (-6%) 2mo $177,000 $158 67
15505 Drexel Ave 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (+0%) 2mo $205,000 $171 63
15310 Oak St 0.11mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,037 (-13%) 1mo $190,000 $183 63
15518 Maple St 0.20mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,345 (+13%) 1mo $120,000 $89 62
15542 S Park Ave 0.27mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,066 (-11%) 1mo $193,900 $182 61
615 E 156th Pl 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,300 (+9%) 2mo $198,650 $153 60
15509 Rose Dr 0.41mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,100 (-8%) 0mo $135,000 $123 56
15061 Wabash Ave 0.61mi 3/1.5 1,116 (-7%) 2mo $150,000 $134 55
14927 Cottage Grove Ave 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,095 (-8%) 1mo $250,000 $228 52
14819 Evers St 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,304 (+9%) 0mo $227,000 $174 47
15265 Drexel Ave 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+12%) 2mo $155,000 $115 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.0%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-15,720
Equity at exit
$35,785
10-year hold
IRR
9.5%
Equity multiple
1.92×
Total profit
$62,028
Equity at exit
$20,751

Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60419

Home prices YoY
-25.7%
Rents YoY
9.7%
Active inventory
130
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,627 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,259
Tax from tax record
$574 /mo · $6,886/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$552
Net cashflow
$143

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,446
Max offer price $240,000
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,000
Closing costs
$7,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15238 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 2W Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,500 $1.88 10d 1 0.14mi
15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL 4.0 1.5 1200 $3,400 $2.83 7d 1 0.23mi
15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL 4.0 1.5 1200 $3,400 $2.83 24d 1 0.23mi
14916 Langley Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.5 1418 $2,500 $1.76 24d 1 0.60mi
14817 Champlain Ave Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 980 $2,430 $2.48 22d 1 0.70mi
14844 Wabash Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.5 1277 $2,320 $1.82 24d 1 0.98mi
15231 Hastings Dr Dolton, IL 4.0 1.5 1487 $2,146 $1.44 7d 1 1.00mi
14500 Cottage Grove Ave Unit 3 Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,475 $1.48 24d 1 1.18mi
16001 Avalon Ave South Holland, IL 3.0 2.0 1136 $3,330 $2.93 6d 1 1.27mi
14305 Irving Ave Unit 2 Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 24d 1 1.32mi
16246 Dobson Ave South Holland, IL 3.0 2.0 1250 $3,170 $2.54 2d 1 1.33mi
14716 Dorchester Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 2.0 1250 $2,800 $2.24 19d 1 1.40mi
14433 Woodlawn Ave Dolton, IL 4.0 2.0 1300 $2,000 $1.54 18d 1 1.46mi
14738 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1017 $2,400 $2.36 10d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 41 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $240,000 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $240,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $240,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $240,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $240,000 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $240,000 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $240,000 Active 34 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $240,000 Active 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $240,000 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $240,000 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $240,000 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $240,000 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $240,000 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $240,000 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-05-06
    listed $240,000 Active
  16. 2025-08-31
    historical
  17. 2025-06-15
    price
  18. 2025-05-31
    listed Active
  19. 2024-11-29
    historical
  20. 2024-10-25
    price
  21. 2024-10-07
    listed Active
  22. 2023-06-01
    historical
  23. 2022-12-13
    listed Active
  24. 2022-12-01
    historical
  25. 2022-11-03
    price
  26. 2022-08-21
    listed Active
  27. 2022-08-21
    historical
  28. 2022-07-16
    listed Active
  29. 2022-05-10
    historical Contingent - No Showings
  30. 2022-05-08
    historical
  31. 2022-05-05
    price
  32. 2022-03-26
    listed Active
  33. 2022-03-26
    historical
  34. 2022-03-15
    price
  35. 2022-02-21
    listed Active
  36. 2020-07-27
    soldstatus $170,000
  37. 2020-06-19
    soldstatus $170,000 Closed Sale
  38. 2020-05-16
    status Contingent (Do Not Show)
  39. 2020-05-12
    listed $159,900 New
  40. 2002-06-13
    soldstatus $100,000
  41. 1987-01-01
    soldstatus $63,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,886 · $574/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,886 · $574/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,520
− Mortgage interest
−$13,444
− Property taxes
−$6,886
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,522
− Management
−$2,522
− Depreciation
−$6,982
Taxable loss
−$2,036
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$489
After-tax cash flow
$2,200/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1738970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,392
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9976
State rank
#594 of 620 in IL

Livability — Dolton

Score
74/100
State rank
#263
US rank
#4883

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dolton, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
20,825
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
20,825
Household income
$57,887
Rent vs Own
27.4% rent · 72.6% own
Severe rent burden
919.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% White 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.88%
Current HPI
193.2346
Rent YoY
▲ 9.65%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+281.0% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $240,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-31 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-15 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-31 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-29 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-25 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-07 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-01 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-13 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-01 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-11-03 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-08-21 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-08-21 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-07-16 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-10 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-08 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-05 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-26 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-26 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-15 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-21 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
  • 2020-06-19 Sold (MLS) $170,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-05-16 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-05-12 Listed $159,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 1987-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2023): $6,886 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…