15333 Grant St · Dolton, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.5/30.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifully renovated in 2020, this home has everything a family needs to feel comfortable and at home. The open-concept layout creates a bright and welcoming space, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy cooking in the modern kitchen with granite countertops, relax in the spacious living room with vaulted ceilings and a cozy fireplace, and appreciate the convenience of 2.5 bathrooms. Even better, all major mechanicals, electrical, and plumbing were replaced just 6 years ago - giving you peace of mind for years to come. (room sizes approx)
Key facts
- Modern kitchen
- Granite countertops
- Vaulted ceilings
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ownership is fee simple; Property not currently leased; Possession at closing or immediate
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener (1 garage space); Side driveway; Garage owned; total parking for 1 vehicle
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Bi-level / split-level with sub-level; Rehab completed in 2020; Built approximately 61–70 years ago; Estimated living area
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Brick/mortar foundation; Home built before 1978
- Exterior features: Less than 0.25-acre lot; School bus service; Nearby interstate access; Lot dimensions listed
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with island and eating area/table space; Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; Master bedroom on the second level; Additional bedrooms: two on second level (each about 12 x 11), one on lower level (about 22 x 13)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors in living room and dining room
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; Basement bathroom present; European-style shower
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished partial basement; 7 total rooms; Electric fireplace in the living room
- Laundry & utility: Lower-level laundry room (about 10 x 10)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $143 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
- Recommended offer: $233k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 9.3% in Dolton — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#263 in IL, #4,883 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,627/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 919% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $170k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.55%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $188,810
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 619 E 152nd St | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 | 1,146 (-4%) | 1mo | $153,000 | $134 | 80 |
| 717 E 154th St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (-6%) | 2mo | $177,000 | $158 | 67 |
| 15505 Drexel Ave | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+0%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $171 | 63 |
| 15310 Oak St | 0.11mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,037 (-13%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $183 | 63 |
| 15518 Maple St | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,345 (+13%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $89 | 62 |
| 15542 S Park Ave | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,066 (-11%) | 1mo | $193,900 | $182 | 61 |
| 615 E 156th Pl | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+9%) | 2mo | $198,650 | $153 | 60 |
| 15509 Rose Dr | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-8%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $123 | 56 |
| 15061 Wabash Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,116 (-7%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $134 | 55 |
| 14927 Cottage Grove Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,095 (-8%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $228 | 52 |
| 14819 Evers St | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,304 (+9%) | 0mo | $227,000 | $174 | 47 |
| 15265 Drexel Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+12%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $115 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-15,720
- Equity at exit
- $35,785
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $62,028
- Equity at exit
- $20,751
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60419
- Home prices YoY
- -25.7%
- Rents YoY
- 9.7%
- Active inventory
- 130
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,627 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$574 /mo · $6,886/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$552
- Net cashflow
- $143
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15238 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 2W Dolton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 10d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,400 | $2.83 | 7d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,400 | $2.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 14916 Langley Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1418 | $2,500 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 14817 Champlain Ave Dolton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $2,430 | $2.48 | 22d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 14844 Wabash Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1277 | $2,320 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 15231 Hastings Dr Dolton, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1487 | $2,146 | $1.44 | 7d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 14500 Cottage Grove Ave Unit 3 Dolton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,475 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 16001 Avalon Ave South Holland, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $3,330 | $2.93 | 6d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 14305 Irving Ave Unit 2 Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 16246 Dobson Ave South Holland, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $3,170 | $2.54 | 2d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 14716 Dorchester Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,800 | $2.24 | 19d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 14433 Woodlawn Ave Dolton, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 18d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 14738 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $2,400 | $2.36 | 10d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 41 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $240,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $240,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $240,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $240,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $240,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $240,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $240,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $240,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $240,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $240,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $240,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $240,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $240,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $240,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-06$240,000 Active
-
2025-08-31historical
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2025-06-15price
-
2025-05-31Active
-
2024-11-29historical
-
2024-10-25price
-
2024-10-07Active
-
2023-06-01historical
-
2022-12-13Active
-
2022-12-01historical
-
2022-11-03price
-
2022-08-21Active
-
2022-08-21historical
-
2022-07-16Active
-
2022-05-10historical Contingent - No Showings
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2022-05-08historical
-
2022-05-05price
-
2022-03-26Active
-
2022-03-26historical
-
2022-03-15price
-
2022-02-21Active
-
2020-07-27soldstatus $170,000
-
2020-06-19soldstatus $170,000 Closed Sale
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2020-05-16status Contingent (Do Not Show)
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2020-05-12$159,900 New
-
2002-06-13soldstatus $100,000
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1987-01-01soldstatus $63,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,886 · $574/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,886 · $574/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,520
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$6,886
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,522
- − Management
- −$2,522
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable loss
- −$2,036
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$489
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,200/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Dolton
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #263
- US rank
- #4883
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dolton, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 20,825
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,825
- Household income
- $57,887
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 919.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% White 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.88%
- Current HPI
- 193.2346
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.65%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+281.0% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Listed $240,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-31 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-15 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-31 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-29 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-25 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-07 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-01 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-13 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-01 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-03 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-21 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-21 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-16 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-05-10 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-05-08 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-05-05 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-26 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-26 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-15 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-21 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
- 2020-06-19 Sold (MLS) $170,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-05-16 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-05-12 Listed $159,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 1987-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2023): $6,886 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…