6454 Faulkner Dr · Meadowbrook, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- Cash flow +7.3/30.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
- DSCR +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$422,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out 6454 Faulkner Dr, recently updated with fresh interior paint throughout. The kitchen includes a functional island, an accent backsplash, and stainless steel appliances. The primary bathroom has double sinks for daily utility. A deck connects to a fenced in backyard, establishing a defined outdoor space. This residence provides a practical and updated living environment.
Key facts
- Double sinks
- Fenced in backyard
- Functional island
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $422k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-571 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $321k (23.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $276k (34.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $276k (34.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.9% in Meadowbrook — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#161 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Chesterfield County Public School District (suburban): math 52% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #57 of 131 in VA (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 234 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,307 units permitted in Chesterfield County in 2024 (462 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,761/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 2031% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chesterfield County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($397k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $43k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.80%
- DSCR
- 0.74
- GRM
- 12.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $497,842
- List price
- $422,000
- Delta
- -15.23%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6901 Crosswinds Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,464 (+3%) | 1mo | $500,001 | $203 | 83 |
| 7306 Dunharrow Trce | 0.31mi | 4/2.5 | 2,423 (+2%) | 5mo | $548,668 | $226 | 79 |
| 7237 Crosswinds Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,423 (+2%) | 5mo | $499,990 | $206 | 68 |
| 7292 Crosswinds Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,423 (+2%) | 1mo | $509,990 | $210 | 64 |
| 6637 Whisperwood Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,192 (-8%) | 2mo | $435,000 | $198 | 63 |
| 7300 Dunharrow Trce | 0.30mi | 4/3.5 | 2,114 (-11%) | 4mo | $508,228 | $240 | 60 |
| 7313 Parasol Ct | 0.33mi | 4/2.5 | 2,718 (+14%) | 4mo | $506,250 | $186 | 57 |
| 6949 Lake Caroline Dr | 0.66mi | 4/2.5 | 2,564 (+8%) | 2mo | $465,000 | $181 | 55 |
| 7291 Crosswinds Dr | 0.54mi | 4/2.5 | 2,718 (+14%) | 3mo | $544,960 | $201 | 49 |
| 6101 Whisperwood Dr | 0.73mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,511 (+5%) | 3mo | $528,490 | $210 | 48 |
| 6106 Whisperwood Dr | 0.73mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,511 (+5%) | 4mo | $521,490 | $208 | 46 |
| 6308 Jackline Run | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,080 (-13%) | 1mo | $448,990 | $216 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.93% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-107,754
- Equity at exit
- $62,922
- IRR
- -29.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.29×
- Total profit
- $-152,716
- Equity at exit
- $36,487
Cash invested: $118,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23234
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 234
- Price-to-rent
- 12.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,761 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,213
- Tax from tax record
- −$303 /mo · $3,637/yr
- Insurance
- −$176
- HOA
- −$60
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$580
- Net cashflow
- $-571
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-332 | -5% $-452 | +0% $-571 | +5% $-691 | +10% $-810 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-789 | -5% $-680 | +0% $-571 | +5% $-462 | +10% $-353 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-359 | -0.5pp $-464 | base $-571 | +0.5pp $-680 | +1.0pp $-792 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $105,500
- Closing costs
- $12,660
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7001 Batten Ct Richmond, VA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3040 | $3,300 | $1.09 | 18d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 6139 Buntline Ln North Chesterfield, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1727 | $2,400 | $1.39 | 4d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 6113 Jackline Run North Chesterfield, VA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2333 | $2,700 | $1.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 6512 Kings Grove Ct Chesterfield, VA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2850 | $3,300 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $60 · $720/yr
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $422,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $422,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $422,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $422,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $422,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $422,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $422,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $422,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $422,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $422,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $422,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $444,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $444,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $444,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $444,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-05-07price $450,000 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
Check out 6454 Faulkner Dr, recently updated with fresh interior paint throughout. The kitchen includes a functional island, an accent backsplash, and stainless steel appliances. The primary bathroom has double sinks for daily utility. A deck connects to a fenced in backyard, establishing a defined outdoor space. This residence provides a practical and updated living environment.
-
2026-04-16price $458,000 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
Check out 6454 Faulkner Dr, recently updated with fresh interior paint throughout. The kitchen includes a functional island, an accent backsplash, and stainless steel appliances. The primary bathroom has double sinks for daily utility. A deck connects to a fenced in backyard, establishing a defined outdoor space. This residence provides a practical and updated living environment.
-
2026-04-06$465,000 Active 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
Check out 6454 Faulkner Dr, recently updated with fresh interior paint throughout. The kitchen includes a functional island, an accent backsplash, and stainless steel appliances. The primary bathroom has double sinks for daily utility. A deck connects to a fenced in backyard, establishing a defined outdoor space. This residence provides a practical and updated living environment.
-
2026-04-02soldstatus $445,000
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2021-03-26soldstatus $366,350 Closed 1252-char remark
Show marketing remark (1252 chars)
The Galen built by America’s #1 builder, DR Horton, is an open floor plan with the kitchen facing the family room & a flex room in the front of the house. There are 4 bedrooms upstairs with the owner’s suite covering one whole side of the 2nd floor! This home includes granite kitchen counters, led disc lights in the kitchen, Mohawk laminate flooring, a tankless hot water heater, 2 car garage, & a patio out back. Watermark is one of Chesterfield County’s most conveniently located communities. The homes are nestled around Cosby’s lake and the community is just a few minutes from 150 and 288. Less than 5 min to dining & shopping & 20 min to downtown Richmond. Make an appt today to learn about current incentives and colors for this home. A one-year builder’s warranty. Your new home includes our smart home technology package! A D. R. Horton Smart Home is equipped with technology that includes: Z-Wave programmable thermostat manufactured by Honeywell; Z-Wave door lock manufactured by Kwikset; Z-Wave wireless switch manufactured by Eaton Corporation; a Qolsys, Inc. touchscreen Smart Home control device; an automation platform from Alarm(. )com; SkyBell video doorbell; an Amazon Echo Dot.
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2021-02-01status Pending 1252-char remark
Show marketing remark (1252 chars)
The Galen built by America’s #1 builder, DR Horton, is an open floor plan with the kitchen facing the family room & a flex room in the front of the house. There are 4 bedrooms upstairs with the owner’s suite covering one whole side of the 2nd floor! This home includes granite kitchen counters, led disc lights in the kitchen, Mohawk laminate flooring, a tankless hot water heater, 2 car garage, & a patio out back. Watermark is one of Chesterfield County’s most conveniently located communities. The homes are nestled around Cosby’s lake and the community is just a few minutes from 150 and 288. Less than 5 min to dining & shopping & 20 min to downtown Richmond. Make an appt today to learn about current incentives and colors for this home. A one-year builder’s warranty. Your new home includes our smart home technology package! A D. R. Horton Smart Home is equipped with technology that includes: Z-Wave programmable thermostat manufactured by Honeywell; Z-Wave door lock manufactured by Kwikset; Z-Wave wireless switch manufactured by Eaton Corporation; a Qolsys, Inc. touchscreen Smart Home control device; an automation platform from Alarm(. )com; SkyBell video doorbell; an Amazon Echo Dot.
-
2021-01-22price $366,350 1252-char remark
Show marketing remark (1252 chars)
The Galen built by America’s #1 builder, DR Horton, is an open floor plan with the kitchen facing the family room & a flex room in the front of the house. There are 4 bedrooms upstairs with the owner’s suite covering one whole side of the 2nd floor! This home includes granite kitchen counters, led disc lights in the kitchen, Mohawk laminate flooring, a tankless hot water heater, 2 car garage, & a patio out back. Watermark is one of Chesterfield County’s most conveniently located communities. The homes are nestled around Cosby’s lake and the community is just a few minutes from 150 and 288. Less than 5 min to dining & shopping & 20 min to downtown Richmond. Make an appt today to learn about current incentives and colors for this home. A one-year builder’s warranty. Your new home includes our smart home technology package! A D. R. Horton Smart Home is equipped with technology that includes: Z-Wave programmable thermostat manufactured by Honeywell; Z-Wave door lock manufactured by Kwikset; Z-Wave wireless switch manufactured by Eaton Corporation; a Qolsys, Inc. touchscreen Smart Home control device; an automation platform from Alarm(. )com; SkyBell video doorbell; an Amazon Echo Dot.
-
2020-12-18price $363,350 1252-char remark
Show marketing remark (1252 chars)
The Galen built by America’s #1 builder, DR Horton, is an open floor plan with the kitchen facing the family room & a flex room in the front of the house. There are 4 bedrooms upstairs with the owner’s suite covering one whole side of the 2nd floor! This home includes granite kitchen counters, led disc lights in the kitchen, Mohawk laminate flooring, a tankless hot water heater, 2 car garage, & a patio out back. Watermark is one of Chesterfield County’s most conveniently located communities. The homes are nestled around Cosby’s lake and the community is just a few minutes from 150 and 288. Less than 5 min to dining & shopping & 20 min to downtown Richmond. Make an appt today to learn about current incentives and colors for this home. A one-year builder’s warranty. Your new home includes our smart home technology package! A D. R. Horton Smart Home is equipped with technology that includes: Z-Wave programmable thermostat manufactured by Honeywell; Z-Wave door lock manufactured by Kwikset; Z-Wave wireless switch manufactured by Eaton Corporation; a Qolsys, Inc. touchscreen Smart Home control device; an automation platform from Alarm(. )com; SkyBell video doorbell; an Amazon Echo Dot.
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2020-11-24$358,990 Active 1252-char remark
Show marketing remark (1252 chars)
The Galen built by America’s #1 builder, DR Horton, is an open floor plan with the kitchen facing the family room & a flex room in the front of the house. There are 4 bedrooms upstairs with the owner’s suite covering one whole side of the 2nd floor! This home includes granite kitchen counters, led disc lights in the kitchen, Mohawk laminate flooring, a tankless hot water heater, 2 car garage, & a patio out back. Watermark is one of Chesterfield County’s most conveniently located communities. The homes are nestled around Cosby’s lake and the community is just a few minutes from 150 and 288. Less than 5 min to dining & shopping & 20 min to downtown Richmond. Make an appt today to learn about current incentives and colors for this home. A one-year builder’s warranty. Your new home includes our smart home technology package! A D. R. Horton Smart Home is equipped with technology that includes: Z-Wave programmable thermostat manufactured by Honeywell; Z-Wave door lock manufactured by Kwikset; Z-Wave wireless switch manufactured by Eaton Corporation; a Qolsys, Inc. touchscreen Smart Home control device; an automation platform from Alarm(. )com; SkyBell video doorbell; an Amazon Echo Dot.
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2020-01-24soldstatus $3,071,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,637 · $303/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,637 · $303/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,128
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,639
- − Property taxes
- −$3,637
- − Insurance
- −$2,110
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,650
- − Management
- −$2,650
- − HOA
- −$720
- − Depreciation
- −$12,276
- Taxable loss
- −$14,555
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,493
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,360/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chesterfield County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100840
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -30.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,821
- Composite
- 51.56/100
- National rank
- #1712
- State rank
- #57 of 131 in VA
Livability — Meadowbrook
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #161
- US rank
- #5004
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Chesterfield County · 406,988 people
- City population
- 46,284
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,465
- Household income
- $66,619
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2031.0
Population outlook (Chesterfield County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 377,190 people
- By 2030
- 395,710 · +4.9%
- By 2040
- 427,694 · +13.4%
- By 2050
- 452,706 · +20.0%
- By 2075
- 505,533 · +34.0%
- By 2100
- 521,282 · +38.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 46% Hispanic / Latino 30% White 18% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 26% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chesterfield
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.0) · D 53.8% · R 44.8% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +16.4pp toward D · 2008: -7.5pp · 2024: 9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: R+2.2 2012: R+7.1 2008: R+7.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -205.50%
- Current HPI
- 317.6006
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.93%
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-85.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $450,000 CVRMLS
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $458,000 CVRMLS
- 2026-04-06 Listed $465,000 CVRMLS
- 2026-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $445,000 Public Records
- 2021-03-26 Sold (MLS) $366,350 CVRMLS
- 2021-02-01 Pending — CVRMLS
- 2021-01-22 Price Changed $366,350 CVRMLS
- 2020-12-18 Price Changed $363,350 CVRMLS
- 2020-11-24 Listed $358,990 CVRMLS
- 2020-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $3,071,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+42.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,637 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…