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235 Evening Side Ln
D- Composite 39.23
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.4/30.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$328,000

235 Evening Side Ln · Branson, MO 65611
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,975 sqft · Other · 51 Days on market
Built 1999 0.40 ac lot $110/sqft · 27% below area Est $451k · 27% under $38/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This SPACIOUS LAKE HOME is AFFORDABLE and has a BOAT SLIP CLOSE BY! Now priced well below 2022 appraised value! Upstairs is a large living room that opens to the deck with winter lake view. There's a primary bedroom with bath and walk-in closet, 2 additional bedrooms with large shared bathroom, a bonus room/4th bedroom/office, and a huge sunroom which could be an awesome Bunk Room! Enter the house on the lower level with a large family room with dining plus the kitchen with island and plenty of storage. The spacious sunroom would be a Great Game Room for a pool table, ping pong, foosball, etc. Another bonus room could be storage or office with its built-in cabinetry. The interior has been Freshly Painted. There is an Extra-Large back yard for firepits, BBQ and picnics. Located off Point 2 on the lake across from TRL dam and State Park Marina. Short ride or walk to 10x24 boat slip with lift and locker, available for add'l $50,000.

Key facts

  • Large deck
  • Extra parking
  • Boat or rv

Tags

THREE LIVING AREASLARGE DECKMATURE TREESCOMMUNITY BOAT LAUNCHEXTRA PARKINGBOAT OR RV

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $450 (approx. $37.50/month); fee includes water

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; Driveway; Garage faces front; RV access/parking; Additional parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two stories
  • Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Basement
  • Exterior features: Patio; Deck; Waterfront lot; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric cooktop; Free-standing electric oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: Walk-in closet(s) in bedroom(s)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Heat pump (heating and cooling); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Pantry; Laminate counters; Walk-in closets; Insulated, double-pane windows; Electric water heater; Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Basement (utility/laundry space available)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $328k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-720 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $201k (38.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (51.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $161k (51.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 3.7% vs local median 2.6% in Branson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#32 in MO, #2,940 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Blue Eye R-V (rural): math 41% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #107 of 324 in MO (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Blue Eye Elem. (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #481 of 1,115 statewide, top 46%, 198 students, 48% FRL); Blue Eye Middle (math 42% / reading 42%, grade D-, #149 of 391 statewide, top 41%, 170 students, 51% FRL); Blue Eye High (math 54% / reading 64%, grade C+, #35 of 521 statewide, top 8%, 178 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 47% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 191 units permitted in Stone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
  • Stone County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($318k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $160,715 (51.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 51% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.49%
Cap rate
3.66%
Cash-on-cash
-9.41%
DSCR
0.58
GRM
17.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$451,078
List price
$328,000
Delta
-27.29%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

2.63% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.5%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-12,799
Equity at exit
$140,786
10-year hold
IRR
1.9%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$26,516
Equity at exit
$211,898

Cash invested: $91,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65611

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
91
Price-to-rent
17.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,607 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,720
Tax from tax record
$95 /mo · $1,141/yr
Insurance
$137
HOA
$38
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$338
Net cashflow
$-720

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,519
Max offer price $200,772
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-535 -5% $-627 +0% $-720 +5% $-813 +10% $-906
Rent -10% $-847 -5% $-784 +0% $-720 +5% $-657 +10% $-593
Rate -1.0pp $-555 -0.5pp $-637 base $-720 +0.5pp $-805 +1.0pp $-892

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$82,000
Closing costs
$9,840
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$38 · $456/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $328,000 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $328,000 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $328,000 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $328,000 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $328,000 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $328,000 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $328,000 Active 44 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $328,000 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $328,000 Active 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $328,000 Active 39 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $328,000 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $328,000 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $328,000 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $329,000 Active 33 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $329,000 Active 32 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $329,000 Active 31 DOM
  17. 2026-04-29
    listed $329,000 Active 1001-char remark
  18. 2022-10-25
    soldstatus
  19. 2022-10-24
    soldstatus Closed 943-char remark
    Show marketing remark (943 chars)

    This SPACIOUS LAKE HOME is AFFORDABLE and has a BOAT SLIP CLOSE BY! Now priced well below 2022 appraised value! Upstairs is a large living room that opens to the deck with winter lake view. There's a primary bedroom with bath and walk-in closet, 2 additional bedrooms with large shared bathroom, a bonus room/4th bedroom/office, and a huge sunroom which could be an awesome Bunk Room! Enter the house on the lower level with a large family room with dining plus the kitchen with island and plenty of storage. The spacious sunroom would be a Great Game Room for a pool table, ping pong, foosball, etc. Another bonus room could be storage or office with its built-in cabinetry. The interior has been Freshly Painted. There is an Extra-Large back yard for firepits, BBQ and picnics. Located off Point 2 on the lake across from TRL dam and State Park Marina. Short ride or walk to 10x24 boat slip with lift and locker, available for add'l $50,000.

  20. 2022-09-15
    status Pending 943-char remark
    Show marketing remark (943 chars)

    This SPACIOUS LAKE HOME is AFFORDABLE and has a BOAT SLIP CLOSE BY! Now priced well below 2022 appraised value! Upstairs is a large living room that opens to the deck with winter lake view. There's a primary bedroom with bath and walk-in closet, 2 additional bedrooms with large shared bathroom, a bonus room/4th bedroom/office, and a huge sunroom which could be an awesome Bunk Room! Enter the house on the lower level with a large family room with dining plus the kitchen with island and plenty of storage. The spacious sunroom would be a Great Game Room for a pool table, ping pong, foosball, etc. Another bonus room could be storage or office with its built-in cabinetry. The interior has been Freshly Painted. There is an Extra-Large back yard for firepits, BBQ and picnics. Located off Point 2 on the lake across from TRL dam and State Park Marina. Short ride or walk to 10x24 boat slip with lift and locker, available for add'l $50,000.

  21. 2022-08-23
    price $249,000 943-char remark
    Show marketing remark (943 chars)

    This SPACIOUS LAKE HOME is AFFORDABLE and has a BOAT SLIP CLOSE BY! Now priced well below 2022 appraised value! Upstairs is a large living room that opens to the deck with winter lake view. There's a primary bedroom with bath and walk-in closet, 2 additional bedrooms with large shared bathroom, a bonus room/4th bedroom/office, and a huge sunroom which could be an awesome Bunk Room! Enter the house on the lower level with a large family room with dining plus the kitchen with island and plenty of storage. The spacious sunroom would be a Great Game Room for a pool table, ping pong, foosball, etc. Another bonus room could be storage or office with its built-in cabinetry. The interior has been Freshly Painted. There is an Extra-Large back yard for firepits, BBQ and picnics. Located off Point 2 on the lake across from TRL dam and State Park Marina. Short ride or walk to 10x24 boat slip with lift and locker, available for add'l $50,000.

  22. 2022-07-27
    price $269,000 943-char remark
    Show marketing remark (943 chars)

    This SPACIOUS LAKE HOME is AFFORDABLE and has a BOAT SLIP CLOSE BY! Now priced well below 2022 appraised value! Upstairs is a large living room that opens to the deck with winter lake view. There's a primary bedroom with bath and walk-in closet, 2 additional bedrooms with large shared bathroom, a bonus room/4th bedroom/office, and a huge sunroom which could be an awesome Bunk Room! Enter the house on the lower level with a large family room with dining plus the kitchen with island and plenty of storage. The spacious sunroom would be a Great Game Room for a pool table, ping pong, foosball, etc. Another bonus room could be storage or office with its built-in cabinetry. The interior has been Freshly Painted. There is an Extra-Large back yard for firepits, BBQ and picnics. Located off Point 2 on the lake across from TRL dam and State Park Marina. Short ride or walk to 10x24 boat slip with lift and locker, available for add'l $50,000.

  23. 2022-06-23
    price $280,000 943-char remark
    Show marketing remark (943 chars)

    This SPACIOUS LAKE HOME is AFFORDABLE and has a BOAT SLIP CLOSE BY! Now priced well below 2022 appraised value! Upstairs is a large living room that opens to the deck with winter lake view. There's a primary bedroom with bath and walk-in closet, 2 additional bedrooms with large shared bathroom, a bonus room/4th bedroom/office, and a huge sunroom which could be an awesome Bunk Room! Enter the house on the lower level with a large family room with dining plus the kitchen with island and plenty of storage. The spacious sunroom would be a Great Game Room for a pool table, ping pong, foosball, etc. Another bonus room could be storage or office with its built-in cabinetry. The interior has been Freshly Painted. There is an Extra-Large back yard for firepits, BBQ and picnics. Located off Point 2 on the lake across from TRL dam and State Park Marina. Short ride or walk to 10x24 boat slip with lift and locker, available for add'l $50,000.

  24. 2022-04-30
    listed $310,000 Active 943-char remark
    Show marketing remark (943 chars)

    This SPACIOUS LAKE HOME is AFFORDABLE and has a BOAT SLIP CLOSE BY! Now priced well below 2022 appraised value! Upstairs is a large living room that opens to the deck with winter lake view. There's a primary bedroom with bath and walk-in closet, 2 additional bedrooms with large shared bathroom, a bonus room/4th bedroom/office, and a huge sunroom which could be an awesome Bunk Room! Enter the house on the lower level with a large family room with dining plus the kitchen with island and plenty of storage. The spacious sunroom would be a Great Game Room for a pool table, ping pong, foosball, etc. Another bonus room could be storage or office with its built-in cabinetry. The interior has been Freshly Painted. There is an Extra-Large back yard for firepits, BBQ and picnics. Located off Point 2 on the lake across from TRL dam and State Park Marina. Short ride or walk to 10x24 boat slip with lift and locker, available for add'l $50,000.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,141 · $95/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,182 · $265/mo
Expected delta
+$2,040/yr (+$170/mo · 178.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,286
− Mortgage interest
−$18,373
− Property taxes
−$1,141
− Insurance
−$1,640
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,543
− Management
−$1,543
− HOA
−$456
− Depreciation
−$9,542
Taxable loss
−$14,952
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,589
After-tax cash flow
$-5,054/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Blue Eye R-V
NCES district ID
2905280
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,591
Composite
37.08/100
National rank
#4500
State rank
#107 of 324 in MO

Livability — Branson

Score
77/100
State rank
#32
US rank
#2940

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
28,460
Population (ZIP)
1,784

Population outlook (Stone County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,147 people
By 2030
26,405 · -6.2%
By 2040
22,762 · -19.1%
By 2050
19,706 · -30.0%
By 2075
14,742 · -47.6%
By 2100
10,832 · -61.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Stone

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.4) · D 18.9% · R 80.3%
2008→2024 swing
-24.1pp toward R · 2008: -37.3pp · 2024: -61.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.4 2020: R+61.1 2016: R+62.1 2012: R+49.2 2008: R+37.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.63%
Current HPI
204.4936
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+5.8% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Price Changed $328,000 SOMO
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $329,000 SOMO
  • 2022-10-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-10-24 Sold (MLS) SOMO
  • 2022-09-15 Pending SOMO
  • 2022-08-23 Price Changed $249,000 SOMO
  • 2022-07-27 Price Changed $269,000 SOMO
  • 2022-06-23 Price Changed $280,000 SOMO
  • 2022-04-30 Listed $310,000 SOMO

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,141 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…