235 Evening Side Ln · Branson, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- Cash flow +5.4/30.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$328,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This SPACIOUS LAKE HOME is AFFORDABLE and has a BOAT SLIP CLOSE BY! Now priced well below 2022 appraised value! Upstairs is a large living room that opens to the deck with winter lake view. There's a primary bedroom with bath and walk-in closet, 2 additional bedrooms with large shared bathroom, a bonus room/4th bedroom/office, and a huge sunroom which could be an awesome Bunk Room! Enter the house on the lower level with a large family room with dining plus the kitchen with island and plenty of storage. The spacious sunroom would be a Great Game Room for a pool table, ping pong, foosball, etc. Another bonus room could be storage or office with its built-in cabinetry. The interior has been Freshly Painted. There is an Extra-Large back yard for firepits, BBQ and picnics. Located off Point 2 on the lake across from TRL dam and State Park Marina. Short ride or walk to 10x24 boat slip with lift and locker, available for add'l $50,000.
Key facts
- Large deck
- Extra parking
- Boat or rv
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $450 (approx. $37.50/month); fee includes water
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; Driveway; Garage faces front; RV access/parking; Additional parking
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Septic tank
- Home design: Single family residence; Two stories
- Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Basement
- Exterior features: Patio; Deck; Waterfront lot; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric cooktop; Free-standing electric oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Walk-in closet(s) in bedroom(s)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Tile
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Heat pump (heating and cooling); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Pantry; Laminate counters; Walk-in closets; Insulated, double-pane windows; Electric water heater; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: Basement (utility/laundry space available)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $328k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-720 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $201k (38.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (51.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $161k (51.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 3.7% vs local median 2.6% in Branson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#32 in MO, #2,940 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Blue Eye R-V (rural): math 41% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #107 of 324 in MO (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Blue Eye Elem. (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #481 of 1,115 statewide, top 46%, 198 students, 48% FRL); Blue Eye Middle (math 42% / reading 42%, grade D-, #149 of 391 statewide, top 41%, 170 students, 51% FRL); Blue Eye High (math 54% / reading 64%, grade C+, #35 of 521 statewide, top 8%, 178 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 47% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 191 units permitted in Stone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
- Stone County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($318k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 51% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.49% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.41%
- DSCR
- 0.58
- GRM
- 17.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $451,078
- List price
- $328,000
- Delta
- -27.29%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
2.63% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-12,799
- Equity at exit
- $140,786
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $26,516
- Equity at exit
- $211,898
Cash invested: $91,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65611
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 91
- Price-to-rent
- 17.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,607 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,720
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,141/yr
- Insurance
- −$137
- HOA
- −$38
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $-720
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-535 | -5% $-627 | +0% $-720 | +5% $-813 | +10% $-906 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-847 | -5% $-784 | +0% $-720 | +5% $-657 | +10% $-593 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-555 | -0.5pp $-637 | base $-720 | +0.5pp $-805 | +1.0pp $-892 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,000
- Closing costs
- $9,840
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $38 · $456/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $328,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $328,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $328,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $328,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $328,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $328,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $328,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $328,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $328,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $328,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $328,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $328,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $328,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $329,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $329,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $329,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-04-29$329,000 Active 1001-char remark
-
2022-10-25soldstatus
-
2022-10-24soldstatus Closed 943-char remark
Show marketing remark (943 chars)
This SPACIOUS LAKE HOME is AFFORDABLE and has a BOAT SLIP CLOSE BY! Now priced well below 2022 appraised value! Upstairs is a large living room that opens to the deck with winter lake view. There's a primary bedroom with bath and walk-in closet, 2 additional bedrooms with large shared bathroom, a bonus room/4th bedroom/office, and a huge sunroom which could be an awesome Bunk Room! Enter the house on the lower level with a large family room with dining plus the kitchen with island and plenty of storage. The spacious sunroom would be a Great Game Room for a pool table, ping pong, foosball, etc. Another bonus room could be storage or office with its built-in cabinetry. The interior has been Freshly Painted. There is an Extra-Large back yard for firepits, BBQ and picnics. Located off Point 2 on the lake across from TRL dam and State Park Marina. Short ride or walk to 10x24 boat slip with lift and locker, available for add'l $50,000.
-
2022-09-15status Pending 943-char remark
Show marketing remark (943 chars)
This SPACIOUS LAKE HOME is AFFORDABLE and has a BOAT SLIP CLOSE BY! Now priced well below 2022 appraised value! Upstairs is a large living room that opens to the deck with winter lake view. There's a primary bedroom with bath and walk-in closet, 2 additional bedrooms with large shared bathroom, a bonus room/4th bedroom/office, and a huge sunroom which could be an awesome Bunk Room! Enter the house on the lower level with a large family room with dining plus the kitchen with island and plenty of storage. The spacious sunroom would be a Great Game Room for a pool table, ping pong, foosball, etc. Another bonus room could be storage or office with its built-in cabinetry. The interior has been Freshly Painted. There is an Extra-Large back yard for firepits, BBQ and picnics. Located off Point 2 on the lake across from TRL dam and State Park Marina. Short ride or walk to 10x24 boat slip with lift and locker, available for add'l $50,000.
-
2022-08-23price $249,000 943-char remark
Show marketing remark (943 chars)
This SPACIOUS LAKE HOME is AFFORDABLE and has a BOAT SLIP CLOSE BY! Now priced well below 2022 appraised value! Upstairs is a large living room that opens to the deck with winter lake view. There's a primary bedroom with bath and walk-in closet, 2 additional bedrooms with large shared bathroom, a bonus room/4th bedroom/office, and a huge sunroom which could be an awesome Bunk Room! Enter the house on the lower level with a large family room with dining plus the kitchen with island and plenty of storage. The spacious sunroom would be a Great Game Room for a pool table, ping pong, foosball, etc. Another bonus room could be storage or office with its built-in cabinetry. The interior has been Freshly Painted. There is an Extra-Large back yard for firepits, BBQ and picnics. Located off Point 2 on the lake across from TRL dam and State Park Marina. Short ride or walk to 10x24 boat slip with lift and locker, available for add'l $50,000.
-
2022-07-27price $269,000 943-char remark
Show marketing remark (943 chars)
This SPACIOUS LAKE HOME is AFFORDABLE and has a BOAT SLIP CLOSE BY! Now priced well below 2022 appraised value! Upstairs is a large living room that opens to the deck with winter lake view. There's a primary bedroom with bath and walk-in closet, 2 additional bedrooms with large shared bathroom, a bonus room/4th bedroom/office, and a huge sunroom which could be an awesome Bunk Room! Enter the house on the lower level with a large family room with dining plus the kitchen with island and plenty of storage. The spacious sunroom would be a Great Game Room for a pool table, ping pong, foosball, etc. Another bonus room could be storage or office with its built-in cabinetry. The interior has been Freshly Painted. There is an Extra-Large back yard for firepits, BBQ and picnics. Located off Point 2 on the lake across from TRL dam and State Park Marina. Short ride or walk to 10x24 boat slip with lift and locker, available for add'l $50,000.
-
2022-06-23price $280,000 943-char remark
Show marketing remark (943 chars)
This SPACIOUS LAKE HOME is AFFORDABLE and has a BOAT SLIP CLOSE BY! Now priced well below 2022 appraised value! Upstairs is a large living room that opens to the deck with winter lake view. There's a primary bedroom with bath and walk-in closet, 2 additional bedrooms with large shared bathroom, a bonus room/4th bedroom/office, and a huge sunroom which could be an awesome Bunk Room! Enter the house on the lower level with a large family room with dining plus the kitchen with island and plenty of storage. The spacious sunroom would be a Great Game Room for a pool table, ping pong, foosball, etc. Another bonus room could be storage or office with its built-in cabinetry. The interior has been Freshly Painted. There is an Extra-Large back yard for firepits, BBQ and picnics. Located off Point 2 on the lake across from TRL dam and State Park Marina. Short ride or walk to 10x24 boat slip with lift and locker, available for add'l $50,000.
-
2022-04-30$310,000 Active 943-char remark
Show marketing remark (943 chars)
This SPACIOUS LAKE HOME is AFFORDABLE and has a BOAT SLIP CLOSE BY! Now priced well below 2022 appraised value! Upstairs is a large living room that opens to the deck with winter lake view. There's a primary bedroom with bath and walk-in closet, 2 additional bedrooms with large shared bathroom, a bonus room/4th bedroom/office, and a huge sunroom which could be an awesome Bunk Room! Enter the house on the lower level with a large family room with dining plus the kitchen with island and plenty of storage. The spacious sunroom would be a Great Game Room for a pool table, ping pong, foosball, etc. Another bonus room could be storage or office with its built-in cabinetry. The interior has been Freshly Painted. There is an Extra-Large back yard for firepits, BBQ and picnics. Located off Point 2 on the lake across from TRL dam and State Park Marina. Short ride or walk to 10x24 boat slip with lift and locker, available for add'l $50,000.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,141 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,182 · $265/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,040/yr (+$170/mo · 178.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,286
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,373
- − Property taxes
- −$1,141
- − Insurance
- −$1,640
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,543
- − Management
- −$1,543
- − HOA
- −$456
- − Depreciation
- −$9,542
- Taxable loss
- −$14,952
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,589
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,054/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Blue Eye R-V
- NCES district ID
- 2905280
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,591
- Composite
- 37.08/100
- National rank
- #4500
- State rank
- #107 of 324 in MO
Livability — Branson
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #32
- US rank
- #2940
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 28,460
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,784
Population outlook (Stone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,147 people
- By 2030
- 26,405 · -6.2%
- By 2040
- 22,762 · -19.1%
- By 2050
- 19,706 · -30.0%
- By 2075
- 14,742 · -47.6%
- By 2100
- 10,832 · -61.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Stone
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.4) · D 18.9% · R 80.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.1pp toward R · 2008: -37.3pp · 2024: -61.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.4 2020: R+61.1 2016: R+62.1 2012: R+49.2 2008: R+37.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.63%
- Current HPI
- 204.4936
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+5.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $328,000 SOMO
- 2026-04-29 Listed $329,000 SOMO
- 2022-10-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-10-24 Sold (MLS) — SOMO
- 2022-09-15 Pending — SOMO
- 2022-08-23 Price Changed $249,000 SOMO
- 2022-07-27 Price Changed $269,000 SOMO
- 2022-06-23 Price Changed $280,000 SOMO
- 2022-04-30 Listed $310,000 SOMO
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,141 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…