7625 Dakota Dr · Watauga, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.8/15.0
- Cash flow +6.9/30.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- DSCR +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$298,200
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MLS# 21177111 - Built by Ashton Woods Homes - Ready Now! ~ Welcome to the Tulane, a thoughtfully designed two-story townhome in Watauga, TX. Designed with the Serene Collection, this home showcases muted earth tones and natural textures. Nine-foot ceilings enhance the openness, while a welcoming foyer, additional storage, and a two-car garage add practical convenience. The first floor is the heart of everyday living, featuring a bright, open-concept layout with a modern kitchen centered around a spacious island, shaker-style cabinetry, tile backsplash, and ample countertop space. The kitchen flows seamlessly into the dining and family areas, creating an inviting environment perfect for hosting or daily routines. Upstairs, two secondary bedrooms share a full bathroom, offering an ideal setup for guests, or a dedicated workspace. A versatile loft provides even more flexibility, whether as a media nook, play area, or home office. The private primary suite completes the second floor with a generous walk-in closet, double sink vanity, and a glass-enclosed walk-in shower. With its thoughtful use of space, elevated finishes, and flexible living areas, the Tulane delivers the modern comfort and refined style that define Ashton Woods living.
Key facts
- Spacious island
- Modern kitchen
- Open concept layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $298k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-450 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $233k (21.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $239k (19.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $233k (21.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#105 in TX, #3,500 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Keller ISD (urban): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #91 of 826 in TX (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($280k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.46%
- DSCR
- 0.71
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $338,102
- List price
- $298,200
- Delta
- -11.80%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7625 Dakota Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,869 (0%) | 1mo | $298,200 | $160 | 100 |
| 7621 Dakota Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,869 (0%) | 1mo | $298,800 | $160 | 99 |
| 7617 Dakota Dr | 0.01mi | 3/2.5 | 2,050 (+10%) | 1mo | $310,200 | $151 | 83 |
| 5712 Lakeview Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 | 2,050 (+10%) | 1mo | $319,600 | $156 | 74 |
| 5700 Lakeview Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 | 2,050 (+10%) | 1mo | $313,500 | $153 | 74 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.34% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.12×
- Total profit
- $-73,495
- Equity at exit
- $44,463
- IRR
- -17.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.03×
- Total profit
- $-86,288
- Equity at exit
- $25,783
Cash invested: $83,496 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76148
- Home prices YoY
- -17.1%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 130
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,387 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,564
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$373 /mo · $4,473/yr
- Insurance
- −$124
- HOA
- −$275
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$501
- Net cashflow
- $-450
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,550
- Closing costs
- $8,946
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7625 Dakota Dr Watauga, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1869 | $2,500 | $1.34 | 12d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 7621 Dakota Dr Watauga, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1869 | $2,500 | $1.34 | 8d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 7733 Liz Ln Watauga, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $1,975 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 7529 Walnuthill Ct Watauga, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $2,150 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 7504 Bear Lake Dr Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1723 | $2,595 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 7400 Echo Hill Dr Watauga, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $1,950 | $1.43 | 5d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 6355 Starnes Rd Watauga, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1956 | $2,600 | $1.33 | 22d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 7320 Echo Hill Dr Watauga, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1287 | $1,890 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 6329 North Park Dr Watauga, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1621 | $2,195 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 7529 Meadowlark Ln N Watauga, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $2,150 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5621 Starwood Ct Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2459 | $2,700 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 7608 Meadowlark Ln N Watauga, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1377 | $1,925 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 6437 Starnes Rd Watauga, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1297 | $1,980 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 6421 Alta Vista Dr Watauga, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $2,165 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 6024 Herschel Dr Watauga, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1418 | $1,950 | $1.38 | 15d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 6024 Herschel Dr Watauga, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1418 | $1,950 | $1.38 | 22d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 6017 Hillcrest Dr Watauga, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $1,950 | $1.48 | 8d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5813 Blackmon Ct Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1725 | $2,200 | $1.28 | 17d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5528 Milford Dr Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1967 | $2,550 | $1.30 | 6d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 6400 High Lawn Ter Watauga, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $2,155 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 7221 Lindentree Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $2,100 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 7221 Lindentree Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $2,100 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 5721 Blackmon Ct Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1503 | $2,095 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5832 Swords Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,895 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5744 Swords Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1335 | $1,995 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5809 Swords Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $2,095 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5801 Swords Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $2,095 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5968 Bursey Rd Watauga, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2261 | $2,950 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 6444 Whitehurst Dr Watauga, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1610 | $2,450 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 6000 Bursey Rd Unit 1521925P Watauga, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1614 | $4,891 | $3.03 | 2d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 6529 Blue Grass Dr Watauga, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1354 | $2,150 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 7501 Point Reyes Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1891 | $2,400 | $1.27 | 2d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 6116 Bursey Rd Watauga, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1613 | $2,750 | $1.70 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 7721 Arcadia Trl Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2427 | $2,975 | $1.23 | 7d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 6132 Bursey Rd Watauga, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1609 | $2,650 | $1.65 | 19d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5220 Fort Concho Dr Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2428 | $2,550 | $1.05 | 4d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 8221 Mark Ln Watauga, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $2,900 | $2.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 6569 Westridge Dr Watauga, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1487 | $2,050 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 7154 Tularosa Ct Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2371 | $2,450 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 7154 Tularosa Ct Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2371 | $2,450 | $1.03 | 3d | 1 | 0.98mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $275 · $3,300/yr
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending 1252-char remark
Show marketing remark (1252 chars)
MLS# 21177111 - Built by Ashton Woods Homes - Ready Now! ~ Welcome to the Tulane, a thoughtfully designed two-story townhome in Watauga, TX. Designed with the Serene Collection, this home showcases muted earth tones and natural textures. Nine-foot ceilings enhance the openness, while a welcoming foyer, additional storage, and a two-car garage add practical convenience. The first floor is the heart of everyday living, featuring a bright, open-concept layout with a modern kitchen centered around a spacious island, shaker-style cabinetry, tile backsplash, and ample countertop space. The kitchen flows seamlessly into the dining and family areas, creating an inviting environment perfect for hosting or daily routines. Upstairs, two secondary bedrooms share a full bathroom, offering an ideal setup for guests, or a dedicated workspace. A versatile loft provides even more flexibility, whether as a media nook, play area, or home office. The private primary suite completes the second floor with a generous walk-in closet, double sink vanity, and a glass-enclosed walk-in shower. With its thoughtful use of space, elevated finishes, and flexible living areas, the Tulane delivers the modern comfort and refined style that define Ashton Woods living.
-
2026-04-21price $298,200 1252-char remark
Show marketing remark (1252 chars)
MLS# 21177111 - Built by Ashton Woods Homes - Ready Now! ~ Welcome to the Tulane, a thoughtfully designed two-story townhome in Watauga, TX. Designed with the Serene Collection, this home showcases muted earth tones and natural textures. Nine-foot ceilings enhance the openness, while a welcoming foyer, additional storage, and a two-car garage add practical convenience. The first floor is the heart of everyday living, featuring a bright, open-concept layout with a modern kitchen centered around a spacious island, shaker-style cabinetry, tile backsplash, and ample countertop space. The kitchen flows seamlessly into the dining and family areas, creating an inviting environment perfect for hosting or daily routines. Upstairs, two secondary bedrooms share a full bathroom, offering an ideal setup for guests, or a dedicated workspace. A versatile loft provides even more flexibility, whether as a media nook, play area, or home office. The private primary suite completes the second floor with a generous walk-in closet, double sink vanity, and a glass-enclosed walk-in shower. With its thoughtful use of space, elevated finishes, and flexible living areas, the Tulane delivers the modern comfort and refined style that define Ashton Woods living.
-
2026-03-03price $368,000 1252-char remark
Show marketing remark (1252 chars)
MLS# 21177111 - Built by Ashton Woods Homes - Ready Now! ~ Welcome to the Tulane, a thoughtfully designed two-story townhome in Watauga, TX. Designed with the Serene Collection, this home showcases muted earth tones and natural textures. Nine-foot ceilings enhance the openness, while a welcoming foyer, additional storage, and a two-car garage add practical convenience. The first floor is the heart of everyday living, featuring a bright, open-concept layout with a modern kitchen centered around a spacious island, shaker-style cabinetry, tile backsplash, and ample countertop space. The kitchen flows seamlessly into the dining and family areas, creating an inviting environment perfect for hosting or daily routines. Upstairs, two secondary bedrooms share a full bathroom, offering an ideal setup for guests, or a dedicated workspace. A versatile loft provides even more flexibility, whether as a media nook, play area, or home office. The private primary suite completes the second floor with a generous walk-in closet, double sink vanity, and a glass-enclosed walk-in shower. With its thoughtful use of space, elevated finishes, and flexible living areas, the Tulane delivers the modern comfort and refined style that define Ashton Woods living.
-
2026-02-24price $370,000 1252-char remark
Show marketing remark (1252 chars)
MLS# 21177111 - Built by Ashton Woods Homes - Ready Now! ~ Welcome to the Tulane, a thoughtfully designed two-story townhome in Watauga, TX. Designed with the Serene Collection, this home showcases muted earth tones and natural textures. Nine-foot ceilings enhance the openness, while a welcoming foyer, additional storage, and a two-car garage add practical convenience. The first floor is the heart of everyday living, featuring a bright, open-concept layout with a modern kitchen centered around a spacious island, shaker-style cabinetry, tile backsplash, and ample countertop space. The kitchen flows seamlessly into the dining and family areas, creating an inviting environment perfect for hosting or daily routines. Upstairs, two secondary bedrooms share a full bathroom, offering an ideal setup for guests, or a dedicated workspace. A versatile loft provides even more flexibility, whether as a media nook, play area, or home office. The private primary suite completes the second floor with a generous walk-in closet, double sink vanity, and a glass-enclosed walk-in shower. With its thoughtful use of space, elevated finishes, and flexible living areas, the Tulane delivers the modern comfort and refined style that define Ashton Woods living.
-
2026-02-11$388,235 Active 1252-char remark
Show marketing remark (1252 chars)
MLS# 21177111 - Built by Ashton Woods Homes - Ready Now! ~ Welcome to the Tulane, a thoughtfully designed two-story townhome in Watauga, TX. Designed with the Serene Collection, this home showcases muted earth tones and natural textures. Nine-foot ceilings enhance the openness, while a welcoming foyer, additional storage, and a two-car garage add practical convenience. The first floor is the heart of everyday living, featuring a bright, open-concept layout with a modern kitchen centered around a spacious island, shaker-style cabinetry, tile backsplash, and ample countertop space. The kitchen flows seamlessly into the dining and family areas, creating an inviting environment perfect for hosting or daily routines. Upstairs, two secondary bedrooms share a full bathroom, offering an ideal setup for guests, or a dedicated workspace. A versatile loft provides even more flexibility, whether as a media nook, play area, or home office. The private primary suite completes the second floor with a generous walk-in closet, double sink vanity, and a glass-enclosed walk-in shower. With its thoughtful use of space, elevated finishes, and flexible living areas, the Tulane delivers the modern comfort and refined style that define Ashton Woods living.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,650
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,704
- − Property taxes
- −$4,473
- − Insurance
- −$1,491
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,292
- − Management
- −$2,292
- − HOA
- −$3,300
- − Depreciation
- −$8,675
- Taxable loss
- −$10,577
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,538
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,858/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This townhouse is in excellent condition with a modern kitchen and well-maintained exterior. It is ready to move in and can be enhanced with minor updates to increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more inviting.
- Rental Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can attract more renters and increase rental value.
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more convenient and attractive to potential buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Painting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more inviting. ↑
- Rental Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can attract more renters and increase rental value. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more convenient and attractive to potential buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Keller ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4825260
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $92,106
- Composite
- 48.46/100
- National rank
- #2131
- State rank
- #91 of 826 in TX
Livability — Watauga
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #3500
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Watauga, TX
- County
- Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
- City population
- 23,367
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,367
- Household income
- $89,840
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 373.0
Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,380,417 people
- By 2030
- 2,578,900 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 2,974,995 · +25.0%
- By 2050
- 3,350,489 · +40.8%
- By 2075
- 4,216,909 · +77.2%
- By 2100
- 4,741,527 · +99.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 16% Black 6% Asian 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 16% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.11%
- Current HPI
- 310.2504
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.34%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-23.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $298,200 NTREIS
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $368,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $370,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-11 Listed $388,235 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…