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169 Grande Ave #200 🏷️ Likely Rental
D+ Composite 46.39
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$2,500

169 Grande Ave #200 · Johnson City, TN 37601
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · Townhouse public records · 280 Days on market
Built 2007 $2/sqft · 99% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this fully furnished townhome, available on a convenient month-to-month basis. Featuring two spacious bedrooms, two full baths, and a one-car garage, this home offers both comfort and flexibility. The open floor plan includes a modern, fully stocked kitchen and a living area designed for relaxing or entertaining. Smart TVs are provided in the living space and bedrooms for your enjoyment. All utilities--including electricity, water, internet, and trash service--are included in the monthly rent, along with lawn care, making this a truly turnkey option. The property is located just minutes from vibrant downtown Johnson City, offering easy access to dining, shopping, and entertainment. The monthly rent is $2,500 with a security deposit equal to one month's rent. Maximum occupancy is four people. Smoking and pets are not permitted. Each applicant must complete a $48 nonrefundable application and provide a photo ID and proof of income. Leases must begin within 30 days of approval. All adults over 18 must apply, and approval is based on credit history, background and eviction reports, rental history, references, and debt-to-income ratio. Incomplete or unverifiable applications will be placed on hold until all required information is received. Rent does not include taxes if staying less than 90 days. Listing provided exclusively by Nathan Mitchell, Broker and Property Manager at TN Livin Property Solutions. Any other listings or claims from individuals posing as my assistant are scams. Please call the agent directly for applications and showings.

Key facts

  • Turnkey option
  • Smart tvs provided
  • Garage

Tags

FULLY FURNISHED TOWNHOMEMODERN FULLY STOCKED KITCHENSMART TVS PROVIDEDTURNKEY OPTIONMINUTES FROM VIBRANT DOWNTOWN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $2,500 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$184,027) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $2k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $2k).
  • Recommended offer: $2k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 571.1% vs local median 3.1% in Johnson City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#8 in TN, #3,349 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D, commute F, employment F.
  • Johnson City (urban): math 46% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #9 of 139 in TN (top 6%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,155 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (437 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $17 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $75 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washington County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $700 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 280 days — a 12% lower offer ($2k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $2,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 280 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
60.46%
Cap rate
571.12%
Cash-on-cash
2017.25%
DSCR
90.76
GRM
0.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$184,027
List price
$2,500
Delta
-98.64%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
216 University Parkway Pkwy Unit 21w 0.59mi 2/2.0 1,081 (+0%) 18mo $165,000 $153 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.88% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
111.68×
Total profit
$77,477
Equity at exit
$373
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
253.12×
Total profit
$176,483
Equity at exit
$216

Cash invested: $700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37601

Home prices YoY
-21.4%
Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
206
Price-to-rent
0.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,511 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$13
Tax est. 1.5%
$3 /mo · $38/yr
Insurance
$1
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$317
Net cashflow
$1,177

Break-even live

Break-even rent $22
Max offer price $2,500
Occupancy floor 17%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$625
Closing costs
$75
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
169 Grande Ave #100 heuristic Johnson City, TN 2.0 2.0 1080 $2,500 $2.31 25d 1 0.01mi
169 Grand Ave #101 heuristic Johnson City, TN 2.0 2.0 1080 $2,500 $2.31 25d 1 0.01mi
169 Grand Ave #300 heuristic Johnson City, TN 2.0 2.0 792 $2,500 $3.16 25d 1 0.01mi
169 Grande Ave #200 heuristic Johnson City, TN 2.0 2.0 1080 $2,500 $2.31 25d 1 0.01mi
169 Grand Ave #401 heuristic Johnson City, TN 2.0 2.0 792 $2,500 $3.16 25d 1 0.01mi
168 E Grande Ave Unit 04 Johnson City, TN 2.0 2.0 800 $1,350 $1.69 21d 1 0.08mi
1507 Linden St Unit 25 Johnson City, TN 2.0 1.5 1150 $1,125 $0.98 13d 1 0.21mi
716 King Springs Rd #5 Johnson City, TN 2.0 1.5 1500 $1,250 $0.83 44d 1 0.23mi
81 Charleston Sq Johnson City, TN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 734 $1,182 $1.61 13d 4 0.72mi
1010 Buffalo St Unit 3 Johnson City, TN 2.0 1.0 861 $1,300 $1.51 43d 1 0.72mi
1319 Bell Ridge Rd Johnson City, TN 2.0–4.0 2.0 1204 $1,237 $1.03 21d 6 0.80mi
407 S Roan St Johnson City, TN 1.0 1.0 716 $1,250 $1.74 13d 2 0.82mi
704 Swadley Rd Johnson City, TN 2.0–3.0 1.5–3.5 1800 $1,400 $0.78 13d 2 0.82mi
606 Swadley Rd Johnson City, TN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1300 $1,700 $1.31 13d 1 0.85mi
2560 Plymouth Rd Johnson City, TN 2.0–3.0 2.0 1163 $980 $0.84 13d 1 0.88mi
404 W Maple St Unit 1 Johnson City, TN 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 43d 1 0.89mi
512 Swadley Rd Johnson City, TN 2.0–4.0 2.0 1068 $1,165 $1.09 13d 6 0.91mi
116 E Market St Johnson City, TN 2.0 2.5 1249 $1,700 $1.36 13d 1 0.93mi
2610 Plymouth Rd Johnson City, TN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 855 $1,288 $1.50 13d 6 0.95mi
1411 Saint Louis St Johnson City, TN 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,125 $1.02 43d 1 0.99mi
1700 Dave Buck Rd Johnson City, TN 2.0–3.0 2.0 1041 $1,370 $1.32 13d 4 1.05mi
616 W Maple St Unit 2 Johnson City, TN 2.0 1.0 925 $1,000 $1.08 43d 1 1.16mi
1400 Virginia St Unit 2 Johnson City, TN 2.0 1.0 1000 $925 $0.93 43d 1 1.16mi
701 W Locust St #22 Johnson City, TN 2.0 1.5 1141 $1,375 $1.21 43d 1 1.17mi
220 Highland Ave Unit 1397973P Johnson City, TN 2.0 1.0 925 $3,993 $4.32 13d 1 1.23mi
250 W Main St Apt 7 Johnson City, TN 1.0 1.0 700 $750 $1.07 13d 1 1.24mi
268 W Main St Unit WM-06 Johnson City, TN 2.0 1.0 960 $1,350 $1.41 13d 1 1.31mi
608 W Watauga Ave Unit 3 Johnson City, TN 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,200 $1.20 43d 1 1.32mi
405 W Watauga Ave Unit WAT-34 Johnson City, TN 1.0 1.0 872 $1,150 $1.32 43d 1 1.33mi
111 W Unaka Ave Apt 2 Johnson City, TN 2.0 1.5 1150 $1,450 $1.26 43d 1 1.37mi
703 E Unaka Ave Unit 1 Johnson City, TN 2.0 1.0 1421 $1,300 $0.91 43d 1 1.45mi
2723 S Roan St Unit 9 Johnson City, TN 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,015 $1.01 21d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $2,500 Active 280 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $2,500 Active 279 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $2,500 Active 278 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $2,500 Active 277 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $2,500 Active 276 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $2,500 Active 274 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $2,500 Active 273 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $2,500 Active 271 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $2,500 Active 270 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $2,500 Active 269 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $2,500 Active 268 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $2,500 Active 263 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $2,500 Active 262 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $2,500 Active 261 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $2,500 Active 260 DOM
  16. 2025-09-12
    listed $2,500 Active 1575-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1575 chars)

    Welcome to this fully furnished townhome, available on a convenient month-to-month basis. Featuring two spacious bedrooms, two full baths, and a one-car garage, this home offers both comfort and flexibility. The open floor plan includes a modern, fully stocked kitchen and a living area designed for relaxing or entertaining. Smart TVs are provided in the living space and bedrooms for your enjoyment. All utilities--including electricity, water, internet, and trash service--are included in the monthly rent, along with lawn care, making this a truly turnkey option. The property is located just minutes from vibrant downtown Johnson City, offering easy access to dining, shopping, and entertainment. The monthly rent is $2,500 with a security deposit equal to one month's rent. Maximum occupancy is four people. Smoking and pets are not permitted. Each applicant must complete a $48 nonrefundable application and provide a photo ID and proof of income. Leases must begin within 30 days of approval. All adults over 18 must apply, and approval is based on credit history, background and eviction reports, rental history, references, and debt-to-income ratio. Incomplete or unverifiable applications will be placed on hold until all required information is received. Rent does not include taxes if staying less than 90 days. Listing provided exclusively by Nathan Mitchell, Broker and Property Manager at TN Livin Property Solutions. Any other listings or claims from individuals posing as my assistant are scams. Please call the agent directly for applications and showings.

  17. 2020-04-22
    soldstatus $707,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,137
− Mortgage interest
−$140
− Property taxes
−$38
− Insurance
−$12
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,451
− Management
−$1,451
− Depreciation
−$73
Taxable income
$14,972
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,593
After-tax cash flow
$10,527/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Johnson City
NCES district ID
4702130
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$37,514
Composite
38.69/100
National rank
#4143
State rank
#9 of 139 in TN

Livability — Johnson City

Score
76/100
State rank
#8
US rank
#3349

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Johnson City, TN
County
Washington County · 129,006 people
City population
99,926
Metro
Johnson City, TN
Population (ZIP)
38,008
Household income
$50,686
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
1464.0

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
132,816 people
By 2030
135,823 · +2.3%
By 2040
140,897 · +6.1%
By 2050
145,073 · +9.2%
By 2075
156,386 · +17.7%
By 2100
159,893 · +20.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.6% · R 69.1% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-6.0pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.5 2020: R+36.2 2016: R+42.9 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.16%
Current HPI
290.506
Rent YoY
▲ 4.88%
Metro
Johnson City, TN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-99.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-12 Listed $2,500 TVRMLS
  • 2020-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $707,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $841 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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