1460 Tremont Dr · Florissant, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- ARV discount +14.6/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$189,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity to own this ranch home with brand new roof/soffit and gutters in a beautiful, established neighborhood. The home features 4 bedrooms, 2 1/2 bathrooms and a partially finished basement. Spacious front and back yards (back yard is fenced). The home is ready for your finishing touches! More photos coming soon.
Key facts
- Fenced back yard
- New roof
- 9,086 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Seller may consider concessions
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 220 volt electric; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Back yard and front yard; Some trees; Back yard fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level; One half bathroom in the lower level
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Partially finished basement; Living room; Family room with fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $230 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
- Recommended offer: $184k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 6.3% in Florissant — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#82 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
- Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Halls Ferry Elementary (math 7% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,003 of 1,115 statewide, top 90%, 346 students, 99% FRL); Mccluer High (math 0% / reading 17%, grade F, #511 of 521 statewide, top 98%, 1,181 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 218 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.21%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $225,293
- List price
- $189,500
- Delta
- -15.89%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Whitney Cir | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 | 1,722 (+2%) | 5mo | $254,900 | $148 | 80 |
| 1480 Stallion Dr | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 | 1,737 (+3%) | 4mo | $239,900 | $138 | 74 |
| 3150 Parker Rd | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,707 (+1%) | 6mo | $149,900 | $88 | 70 |
| 1475 Hollywood Ln | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,920 (+14%) | 2mo | $187,000 | $97 | 66 |
| 3175 Harness Dr | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 1,608 (-5%) | 0mo | $240,000 | $149 | 62 |
| 660 Brookstone Dr | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 | 1,647 (-2%) | 0mo | $205,500 | $125 | 61 |
| 3940 Parker Rd | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,705 (+1%) | 4mo | $182,000 | $107 | 59 |
| 33 Club Grounds South Dr | 0.57mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,771 (+5%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $133 | 58 |
| 2590 Hackney Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,699 (+1%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $103 | 56 |
| 890 Meadowgrass Dr | 0.61mi | 4/2.5 | 1,883 (+12%) | 2mo | $224,500 | $119 | 51 |
| 2010 Cordoba Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,436 (-15%) | 2mo | $229,900 | $160 | 47 |
| Lot 6 Wildridge Ests | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,826 (+8%) | 6mo | $369,900 | $203 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.40×
- Total profit
- $127,163
- Equity at exit
- $170,717
- IRR
- 27.3%
- Equity multiple
- 8.26×
- Total profit
- $385,467
- Equity at exit
- $368,157
Cash invested: $53,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63033
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Rents YoY
- 7.5%
- Active inventory
- 218
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,949 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$994
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$237 /mo · $2,842/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$409
- Net cashflow
- $230
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,375
- Closing costs
- $5,685
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Cantabrian Ct Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $1,881 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2075 Cordoba Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1523 | $1,850 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1600 Horseshoe Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $1,550 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1785 Trotter Way Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1297 | $1,806 | $1.39 | 7d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3930 Belcroft Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1408 | $1,935 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4440 Parker Rd Black Jack, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $1,711 | $0.90 | 1d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 945 Paddock Dr Florissant, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1875 | $1,850 | $0.99 | 4d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4583 Whisper Lake Dr Black Jack, MO | 1.0–5.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1225 | $1,354 | $1.10 | 1d | 17 | 1.12mi |
| 560 Jamaica Pl Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,653 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 12 Country Ln Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1881 | $2,250 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 410 Ridge Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1226 | $1,650 | $1.35 | 17d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4112 Monsols Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,945 | $1.74 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,500 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $189,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $220,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $220,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $220,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $220,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $220,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $220,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $220,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $220,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-14$220,000 Active 330-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,393
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,615
- − Property taxes
- −$2,842
- − Insurance
- −$948
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,871
- − Management
- −$1,871
- − Depreciation
- −$5,513
- Taxable loss
- −$267
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$64
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,830/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ferguson-Florissant R-II
- NCES district ID
- 2912010
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,610
- Composite
- 11.96/100
- National rank
- #9666
- State rank
- #311 of 324 in MO
Livability — Florissant
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #5406
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Florissant, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 19,557
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,056
- Household income
- $66,776
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1429.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 23% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.78%
- Current HPI
- 570.6
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.51%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-13.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Price Changed $189,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-14 Listed $220,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…