2517 State Highway 17 Hwy · Viola, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This property is eligible under Freddie Mac First Look initiative through 9/19/14. Investors eligible 9/20/14. $1000 earnest money in form of a CASHIER'S CHECK along with pre-approval saying appraisal will be completed AS-IS must accompany all offers. LBP will be provided with acceptable offer.
Key facts
- 5 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1913
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-64 ($-769/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $139k (7.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (24.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $113k (24.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#593 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Sherrard CUSD 200 (rural): math 29% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #240 of 620 in IL (top 39%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Matherville Intermediate School (math 27% / reading 22%, grade F, #332 of 665 statewide, top 55%, 190 students, 0% FRL); Sherrard High School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #218 of 693 statewide, top 35%, 451 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 25% district-wide (25 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
- Mercer County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.83%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.95% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $21,602
- Equity at exit
- $75,546
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.75×
- Total profit
- $73,513
- Equity at exit
- $123,200
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61486
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,131 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,306/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $-64
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $21 | -5% $-22 | +0% $-64 | +5% $-106 | +10% $-149 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-153 | -5% $-109 | +0% $-64 | +5% $-19 | +10% $25 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $11 | -0.5pp $-26 | base $-64 | +0.5pp $-103 | +1.0pp $-142 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-05-24status Pending
-
2026-05-24status Pending
-
2026-05-23status Pending
-
2026-04-14soldstatus $135,000 Closed
-
2026-04-14soldstatus $135,000 Closed
-
2026-04-14soldstatus $135,000 Closed
-
2026-04-14soldstatus $135,000 Closed
-
2025-10-28status Pending
-
2025-10-28historical
-
2025-10-28historical
-
2025-10-23$149,900
-
2025-10-23Active
-
2014-11-13soldstatus $32,000 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
This property is eligible under Freddie Mac First Look initiative through 9/19/14. Investors eligible 9/20/14. $1000 earnest money in form of a CASHIER'S CHECK along with pre-approval saying appraisal will be completed AS-IS must accompany all offers. LBP will be provided with acceptable offer.
-
2014-11-13soldstatus $32,000
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
This property is eligible under Freddie Mac First Look initiative through 9/19/14. Investors eligible 9/20/14. $1000 earnest money in form of a CASHIER'S CHECK along with pre-approval saying appraisal will be completed AS-IS must accompany all offers. LBP will be provided with acceptable offer.
-
2014-09-09$32,900 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
This property is eligible under Freddie Mac First Look initiative through 9/19/14. Investors eligible 9/20/14. $1000 earnest money in form of a CASHIER'S CHECK along with pre-approval saying appraisal will be completed AS-IS must accompany all offers. LBP will be provided with acceptable offer.
-
2005-05-03soldstatus $70,200
-
2005-04-22soldstatus $66,000
-
2004-08-31$70,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,306 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,354 · $196/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,048/yr (+$87/mo · 80.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,569
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$1,306
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,086
- − Management
- −$1,086
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$3,415
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$820
- After-tax cash flow
- $51/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sherrard CUSD 200
- NCES district ID
- 1736180
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,194
- Composite
- 26.77/100
- National rank
- #7129
- State rank
- #240 of 620 in IL
Livability — Viola
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #593
- US rank
- #12280
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,429
Population outlook (Mercer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,595 people
- By 2030
- 13,846 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 12,335 · -15.5%
- By 2050
- 10,893 · -25.4%
- By 2075
- 8,238 · -43.6%
- By 2100
- 6,111 · -58.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- English 3% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Mercer
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.1) · D 35.4% · R 62.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.0pp toward R · 2008: 11.9pp · 2024: -27.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.1 2020: R+24.0 2016: R+20.7 2012: D+7.4 2008: D+11.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- Current HPI
- 161.0336
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+92.9% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-24 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-24 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-23 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Sold (MLS) $135,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Sold (MLS) $135,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Sold (MLS) $135,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Sold (MLS) $135,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-28 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-28 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-28 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-23 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-23 Listed $149,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
- 2014-11-13 Sold (MLS) $32,000 Muscatine BOR
- 2014-09-09 Listed $32,900 Muscatine BOR
- 2005-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $70,200 Public Records
- 2005-04-22 Sold (MLS) $66,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-08-31 Listed $70,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+156.0%/yrLatest (2018): $1,306 · +156.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…