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23652 Us Highway 224
D Composite 42.24
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +8.4/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.3/10.0

$200,000

23652 Us Highway 224 · Fostoria, OH 44802
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,856 sqft · Manufactured · 547 Days on market
Built 1983 4.99 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

5 acres with Approximately 870 feet of frontage on US 224. Multi-family property featuring a 64 x 14 mobile home and a 48 x 20 cabin. great potential for commercial development and / or additional mobile units. Selling As-IS.

Key facts

  • Mobile home
  • Cabin
  • 5 acres

Tags

5 ACRES870 FEET OF FRONTAGEMULTI-FAMILY PROPERTYMOBILE HOMECABINCOMMERCIAL DEVELOPMENT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-193 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $166k (17.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (37.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $125k (37.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#216 in OH, #3,330 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, employment D-.
  • Arcadia Local (rural): math 65% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #144 of 656 in OH (top 22%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Zoned schools: Arcadia Elementary School (math 77% / reading 82%, grade A, #173 of 1,584 statewide, top 12%, 296 students, 0% FRL); Arcadia Middle School (math 52% / reading 67%, grade B, #271 of 654 statewide, top 43%, 99 students, 0% FRL); Arcadia High School (math 54% / reading 74%, grade B-, #164 of 781 statewide, top 24%, 199 students, 97% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 257 units permitted in Hancock County in 2024 (150 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (6.8% local appreciation)).
  • Hancock County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 547 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $96k; list at $200k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $125,279 (37.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 547 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.63%
Cap rate
5.13%
Cash-on-cash
-4.15%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
13.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.78% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.9%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$54,727
Equity at exit
$135,734
10-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
4.01×
Total profit
$168,390
Equity at exit
$255,284

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44802

Home prices YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
2
Price-to-rent
13.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,253 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $612/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$-193

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,498
Max offer price $165,829
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-80 -5% $-137 +0% $-193 +5% $-250 +10% $-307
Rent -10% $-292 -5% $-243 +0% $-193 +5% $-144 +10% $-94
Rate -1.0pp $-93 -0.5pp $-143 base $-193 +0.5pp $-245 +1.0pp $-298

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $200,000 Active 547 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $200,000 Active 546 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $200,000 Active 545 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $200,000 Active 544 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $200,000 Active 542 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $200,000 Active 541 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $200,000 Active 538 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $200,000 Active 537 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $200,000 Active 536 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $200,000 Active 533 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $200,000 Active 532 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $200,000 Active 531 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $200,000 Active 530 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $200,000 Active 529 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $200,000 Active 528 DOM
  16. 2025-10-06
    price $200,000 231-char remark
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    5 acres with Approximately 870 feet of frontage on US 224. Multi-family property featuring a 64 x 14 mobile home and a 48 x 20 cabin. great potential for commercial development and / or additional mobile units. Selling As-IS.

  17. 2025-01-21
    price $190,000 231-char remark
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    5 acres with Approximately 870 feet of frontage on US 224. Multi-family property featuring a 64 x 14 mobile home and a 48 x 20 cabin. great potential for commercial development and / or additional mobile units. Selling As-IS.

  18. 2024-12-18
    listed $215,000 Active 231-char remark
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    5 acres with Approximately 870 feet of frontage on US 224. Multi-family property featuring a 64 x 14 mobile home and a 48 x 20 cabin. great potential for commercial development and / or additional mobile units. Selling As-IS.

  19. 2015-01-07
    soldstatus $96,500
  20. 2012-05-18
    soldstatus $26,000 92-char remark
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    Home is on 4.99 acres with two outbuildings. Three bedrooms with master down. Selling As-Is.

  21. 2012-05-18
    soldstatus $26,000
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    Home is on 4.99 acres with two outbuildings. Three bedrooms with master down. Selling As-Is.

  22. 2012-04-06
    listed $25,900 92-char remark
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    Home is on 4.99 acres with two outbuildings. Three bedrooms with master down. Selling As-Is.

  23. 2012-04-06
    listed $26,000
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    Home is on 4.99 acres with two outbuildings. Three bedrooms with master down. Selling As-Is.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$612 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,866 · $155/mo
Expected delta
+$1,254/yr (+$105/mo · 205.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,033
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$612
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,203
− Management
−$1,203
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable loss
−$6,005
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,441
After-tax cash flow
$-880/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Arcadia Local
NCES district ID
3910002
Math proficiency
65% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
77% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$48,634
Composite
60.02/100
National rank
#874
State rank
#144 of 656 in OH

Livability — Fostoria

Score
76/100
State rank
#216
US rank
#3330

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Seneca · 70,739 people
City population
18,409
Population (ZIP)
919
Household income
$61,667
Rent vs Own
9.8% rent · 90.2% own
Severe rent burden
28.6

Population outlook (Hancock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
77,526 people
By 2030
77,777 · +0.3%
By 2040
76,976 · -0.7%
By 2050
74,479 · -3.9%
By 2075
65,741 · -15.2%
By 2100
52,942 · -31.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Romanian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hancock

2024 margin
Solid R (+38.4) · D 30.2% · R 68.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-15.3pp toward R · 2008: -23.1pp · 2024: -38.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+38.4 2020: R+37.5 2016: R+40.8 2012: R+28.3 2008: R+23.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.78%
Current HPI
265.1461
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+672.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-06 Price Changed $200,000 NORIS
  • 2025-01-21 Price Changed $190,000 NORIS
  • 2024-12-18 Listed $215,000 NORIS
  • 2015-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $96,500 Public Records
  • 2012-05-18 Sold (MLS) $26,000 NORIS
  • 2012-05-18 Sold (MLS) $26,000 NORIS
  • 2012-04-06 Listed $26,000 NORIS
  • 2012-04-06 Listed $25,900 NORIS

Property tax history

-6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $612 · +27.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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