1713 W Highway 50 Unit 145A · O'Fallon, IL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -6.4
$63,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as community events, a basketball court, and a playground. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
Key facts
- Basketball court
- Modern bathroom
- Premium entry doors
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $64k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $574 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $64k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 3.5% in O'Fallon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- O Fallon Twp Hsd 203 (suburban): math 32% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #145 of 620 in IL (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Central Elem School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,141 of 2,056 statewide, top 59%, 366 students, 0% FRL); Joseph Arthur Middle School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #550 of 665 statewide, top 84%, 234 students, 0% FRL); O Fallon High School (math 32% / reading 40%, grade F, #120 of 693 statewide, top 17%, 2,521 students, 0% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 36% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the O Fallon Twp Hsd 203 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 326 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 71% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($104k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $442 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.51%
- DSCR
- 2.71
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $85,000
- List price
- $63,900
- Delta
- -24.82%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 958 Holyoke Dr | 0.87mi | 3/2.0 | 1,185 (+3%) | 0mo | $246,000 | $208 | 60 |
| 108 Alice Dr | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,300 (+13%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $127 | 59 |
| 329 Veach Dr | 1.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,123 (-2%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $165 | 59 |
| 40 Joseph Dr | 1.00mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,134 (-2%) | 3mo | $184,900 | $163 | 51 |
| 806 Emerald Green Dr | 0.96mi | 3/2.0 | 1,244 (+8%) | 2mo | $249,900 | $201 | 50 |
| 1 Hyde Park Rd | 0.93mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,113 (-3%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $148 | 50 |
| 9 Debra Dr | 0.98mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,117 (-3%) | 2mo | $169,900 | $152 | 49 |
| 14 Stacy Dr | 0.82mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,053 (-9%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $185 | 43 |
| 4 Monticello Pl | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 950 (-18%) | 4mo | $99,000 | $104 | 37 |
| 54 Monticello Pl | 0.90mi | 3/1.0 | 1,329 (+15%) | 2mo | $179,900 | $135 | 34 |
| 504 Joseph Dr | 1.15mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,296 (+12%) | 4mo | $149,900 | $116 | 34 |
| 931 Saint Clair St | 1.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (-25%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $87 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.64% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $31,117
- Equity at exit
- $9,528
- IRR
- 47.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.36×
- Total profit
- $95,855
- Equity at exit
- $5,525
Cash invested: $17,892 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 10 active
- Median asking
- $34,650 ($26/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 31 d
- This list price
- 90% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +181.0% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 62269
- Home prices YoY
- -29.5%
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 326
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,286 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$335
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$80 /mo · $958/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$270
- Net cashflow
- $574
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $618 | -5% $596 | +0% $574 | +5% $552 | +10% $530 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $473 | -5% $523 | +0% $574 | +5% $625 | +10% $676 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $606 | -0.5pp $590 | base $574 | +0.5pp $558 | +1.0pp $541 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,975
- Closing costs
- $1,917
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120 Dean Ave O'Fallon, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,195 | $1.13 | 62d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 103 Brookside Dr O Fallon, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,800 | $1.78 | 0d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1311 West Highway 50 O'Fallon, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,300 | $1.38 | 97d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 106 Autumn Pine Dr Apt 3 Fairview Heights, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,095 | $1.00 | 110d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 753 Forest Green Dr O Fallon, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $2,500 | $1.99 | 97d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 812 Emerald Green Dr O Fallon, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,500 | $1.67 | 69d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 25 Belle Dr Fairview Heights, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,350 | $1.07 | 9d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-04$63,900 Active 478-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,430
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,579
- − Property taxes
- −$958
- − Insurance
- −$320
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,234
- − Management
- −$1,234
- − Depreciation
- −$1,859
- Taxable income
- $6,245
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,499
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,392/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This brand new 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal maintenance required. It offers a great opportunity for investors looking to increase its value through minor updates and improvements.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Resale Upgrading the appliances — Modern appliances can appeal to a broader range of buyers and increase the home's value. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's appeal and value, both for resale and rental purposes. ↑
- Both Upgrading the flooring — Upgrading the flooring can improve the home's appearance and increase its value for both resale and rental purposes. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- O Fallon Twp Hsd 203
- NCES district ID
- 1729790
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $82,945
- Composite
- 34.3/100
- National rank
- #5240
- State rank
- #145 of 620 in IL
Livability — O'Fallon
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- O'Fallon, IL
- County
- Saint Clair County · 250,366 people
- City population
- 35,536
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,923
- Household income
- $103,818
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 250,366 people
- By 2030
- 240,511 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 217,391 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 192,699 · -23.0%
- By 2075
- 140,637 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 100,499 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 13% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.35%
- Current HPI
- 177.759
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.64%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…