600 Allenview Dr · Upper Allen, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.6/30.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very nicely maintained 3 bedroom, 2.5 bath over 1650 square foot townhouse with formal DR, large bright living room with wood-burning FP, enclosed large sunroom, all appliances STAY, central vac, cental air, new roof will be installed within the next month or two, lots of storage in lower level, close to route 15, turnpike, restaurants, off street parking. HOA fee includes; lawn care, snow removal, pool, tennis, rec facilities.
Key facts
- $140 HOA
- 2 parking spots
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee ($140) covering snow removal and lawn maintenance; HOA amenities include outdoor pool, tennis courts, playground, and basketball courts
Exterior
- Parking: Two assigned off-street parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Private sewer; 200+ amp electrical service with circuit breakers
- Home design: End-of-row townhouse; Fee simple ownership; Very good condition
- Construction: Aluminum siding, brick, and frame construction; Block foundation; Fiberglass and asphalt roof; Above-grade living area (estimated)
- Exterior features: Community outdoor pool; Tot lot/playground; Tennis courts; Basketball courts; Not in a federal flood zone
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator; Electric oven/range
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level (including primary/master bedroom)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on upper level); One half bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Formal separate dining room; Sun/Florida room; Family room; Full unfinished basement with interior access; One fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Main floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-80 ($-958/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $236k (5.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (10.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $224k (10.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Mechanicsburg Area SD (suburban): math 38% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #175 of 539 in PA (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mechanicsburg Area Shs (math 72% / reading 24%, grade D, #153 of 437 statewide, top 37%, 1,377 students, 33% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 287 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,052 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (310 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cumberland County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask is 67% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $143k; list at $250k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.37%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $309,672
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 627 Allenview Dr | 0.05mi | 3/1.5 | 1,588 (-4%) | 4mo | $268,000 | $169 | 84 |
| 604 Allenview Dr | 0.01mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,536 (-7%) | 2mo | $242,500 | $158 | 81 |
| 463 Nursery Dr N | 0.53mi | 3/2.5 | 1,642 (-1%) | 1mo | $285,500 | $174 | 73 |
| 2139 S Autumn Chase Dr Unit 020-04 | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 | 1,846 (+12%) | 2mo | $427,000 | $231 | 70 |
| 447 Nursery Dr N | 0.49mi | 3/2.5 | 1,642 (-1%) | 8mo | $333,000 | $203 | 69 |
| 2137 S Autumn Chase Dr Unit 019-04 | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 | 1,846 (+12%) | 10mo | $420,990 | $228 | 63 |
| 732 Allenview Dr | 0.07mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,452 (-12%) | 6mo | $230,000 | $158 | 62 |
| 2013 Golden Ct | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 | 1,846 (+12%) | 7mo | $315,000 | $171 | 58 |
| 1730 Fairbank Ln | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 | 1,761 (+6%) | 8mo | $330,000 | $187 | 53 |
| 1771 Shady Ln | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 | 1,839 (+11%) | 6mo | $366,000 | $199 | 50 |
| 1810 Shady Ln | 0.63mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,765 (+7%) | 8mo | $394,900 | $224 | 48 |
| 1770 Fairbank Ln | 0.60mi | 3/2.5 | 1,845 (+11%) | 10mo | $338,600 | $184 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-47,945
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-57,782
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17055
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 287
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,239 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$294 /mo · $3,528/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$140
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$470
- Net cashflow
- $-80
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Dartmouth Ct Mechanicsburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1160 | $1,500 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1515 English Dr Mechanicsburg, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1007 | $1,999 | $1.98 | 13d | 12 | 1.27mi |
| 3122 Bullfinch Ln Mechanicsburg, PA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2008 | $2,800 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2051 Terrace View Ln Mechanicsburg, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1730 | $2,299 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2027 Terrace View Ln Mechanicsburg, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1730 | $2,299 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2027 Terrace View Ln Mechanicsburg, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1730 | $2,299 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2026 Terrace View Ln Mechanicsburg, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1730 | $2,299 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $140 · $1,680/yr
- Likely covers
- landscapingsnow removalpool
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-19statusdays on market $249,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,900 Coming Soon 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,900 Coming Soon 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,900 Coming Soon 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,900 Coming Soon 14 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $249,900 Coming Soon 12 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $249,900 Coming Soon 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $249,900 Coming Soon 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $249,900 Coming Soon 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $249,900 Coming Soon 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $249,900 Coming Soon 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-01$249,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,528 · $294/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,738 · $312/mo
- Expected delta
- +$210/yr (+$18/mo · 6.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,868
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$3,528
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,149
- − Management
- −$2,149
- − HOA
- −$1,680
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$5,157
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,238
- After-tax cash flow
- $279/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mechanicsburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4215030
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,986
- Composite
- 42.92/100
- National rank
- #3118
- State rank
- #175 of 539 in PA
Livability — Upper Allen
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Cumberland County · 257,673 people
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,006
- Household income
- $99,077
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 888.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 267,950 people
- By 2030
- 278,105 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 296,552 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 312,937 · +16.8%
- By 2075
- 349,233 · +30.3%
- By 2100
- 361,875 · +35.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.6% · R 54.1% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+18.6 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -202.92%
- Current HPI
- 254.7596
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.89%
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+220.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Coming Soon $249,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $143,000 Public Records
- 2011-08-11 Sold (MLS) $143,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-06-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-03-24 Listed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-04-30 Sold (MLS) $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-03-18 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-04-15 Listed $144,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1985-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $77,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2026): $3,528 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…