1555 N Creekwater Pass · Greenfield, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.3/15.0
- Cash flow +11.8/30.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$280,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful 2021-built home in one of the area's fastest-growing neighborhoods, surrounded by newer construction and strong curb appeal throughout the community. This property offers the peace of mind of newer major systems, including a 5-year-old roof, HVAC, slab foundation, and fully functional plumbing and electrical with no known major issues. The layout is clean, open, and practical, featuring a spacious kitchen with laminate flooring, ample cabinet space, and a functional design ready for your personal touch.
Key facts
- Community pool
- Newer construction
- 0.23 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $280k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-505 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $191k (31.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (20.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $191k (31.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.4% in Greenfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#88 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Mt Vernon Community School Corporation (rural): math 43% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #70 of 301 in IN (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Mt Comfort Elementary School (math 43% / reading 40%, grade F, #478 of 994 statewide, top 49%, 650 students, 39% FRL); Mt Vernon Middle School (math 37% / reading 46%, grade F, #108 of 330 statewide, top 34%, 1,070 students, 31% FRL); Mt Vernon High School (math 41% / reading 71%, grade C, #73 of 369 statewide, top 20%, 1,431 students, 27% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 734 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,091 units permitted in Hancock County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hancock County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.20%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $321,544
- List price
- $280,000
- Delta
- -12.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1693 N Clearwater Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,960 (+6%) | 6mo | $320,500 | $164 | 74 |
| 6880 W 100 N | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,828 (-2%) | 1mo | $360,000 | $197 | 64 |
| 1795 N Rapids Ct | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 | 1,880 (+1%) | 17mo | $329,995 | $176 | 64 |
| 1717 N Creekwater Pass | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 2,010 (+8%) | 19mo | $315,000 | $157 | 62 |
| 7067 W 150 N | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 | 1,950 (+5%) | 8mo | $315,000 | $162 | 51 |
| 6863 W Jennifer Ct | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 | 2,117 (+14%) | 4mo | $285,000 | $135 | 40 |
| 7121 W 150 N | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 2,112 (+14%) | 4mo | $460,000 | $218 | 40 |
| 7041 W Glendale Ln | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 2,104 (+13%) | 7mo | $295,000 | $140 | 38 |
| 6932 W Jennifer Ln | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,656 (-11%) | 18mo | $315,000 | $190 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.88% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -29.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.01×
- Total profit
- $-77,586
- Equity at exit
- $41,749
- IRR
- -31.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.39×
- Total profit
- $-109,153
- Equity at exit
- $24,209
Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 20 active · 7 under contract
- Months of supply
- 17.1 mo (6%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $303,998 ($167/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 103 d
- This list price
- 15% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +3.4% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 46140
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 734
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,215 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax from tax record
- −$194 /mo · $2,327/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$50
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$465
- Net cashflow
- $-505
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-347 | -5% $-426 | +0% $-505 | +5% $-584 | +10% $-664 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-680 | -5% $-593 | +0% $-505 | +5% $-418 | +10% $-330 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-364 | -0.5pp $-434 | base $-505 | +0.5pp $-578 | +1.0pp $-652 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $70,000
- Closing costs
- $8,400
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1801 Walt Whitman DR Greenfield, IN | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–3.5 | 1396 | $2,750 | $1.97 | 0d | 13 | 0.54mi |
| 6857 Poetry Pl Greenfield, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 990 | $2,002 | $2.02 | 0d | 13 | 0.65mi |
| 2547 Cabin Hill Rd Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1983 | $2,049 | $1.03 | 0d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 12128 Fall Ct Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1801 | $1,941 | $1.08 | 4d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Homeowners association with annual fee of $600HOA fee covers grounds maintenance
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached garageGarage faces frontDriveway access2-car garage
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Two-story homeBuilt in 2021
- Construction
- Built in 2021
- Exterior features
- Neighborhood viewBack yard fencingGrounds maintenance included via HOA
Interior
- Kitchen
- Electric cooktopDishwasherRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- Primary bedroomBedroom 2Bedroom 3Bedroom 4
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Forced air heatingCentral air conditioningCeiling fans
- Interior features
- High ceilingsDouble vanityWalk-in closetsLoftGreat roomDining room
- Laundry & utility
- WasherDryerDedicated laundry room
HOA detail $50/mo · $600/yr
- Likely covers
- electric
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-06days on market $280,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $280,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $280,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $280,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $280,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $280,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $280,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $280,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $280,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $280,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $280,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $280,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $280,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $280,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $280,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $280,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $280,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $280,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $280,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $280,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $280,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $280,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $280,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $280,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $280,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $280,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $280,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $280,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $280,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $280,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $280,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $280,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $280,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $280,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $280,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $280,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $280,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $280,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $280,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $280,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $280,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $280,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $280,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $280,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-10price $280,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $285,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $285,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $285,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $285,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $285,000 Active 28 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,327 · $194/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,353 · $196/mo
- Expected delta
- +$27/yr (+$2/mo · 1.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,586
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,684
- − Property taxes
- −$2,327
- − Insurance
- −$6,518
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,127
- − Management
- −$2,127
- − HOA
- −$600
- − Depreciation
- −$8,145
- Taxable loss
- −$10,943
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,626
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,436/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2021-built home in a growing neighborhood offers a good condition with minor cosmetic updates needed for a fresh look and increased value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Cluttered and could use cleaning
- Minor Bathroom fixtures — Cluttered and could use cleaning
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Declutter kitchen and bathroom — A clean and organized space is more appealing to potential buyers and renters ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mt Vernon Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1807260
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,671
- Composite
- 41.3/100
- National rank
- #3514
- State rank
- #70 of 301 in IN
Livability — Greenfield
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #88
- US rank
- #5094
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Hancock County · 77,820 people
- City population
- 43,511
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,511
- Household income
- $83,056
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (Hancock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 77,820 people
- By 2030
- 79,914 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 82,734 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 83,348 · +7.1%
- By 2075
- 82,439 · +5.9%
- By 2100
- 74,181 · -4.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hancock
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.7) · D 32.2% · R 65.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.1pp toward R · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -33.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.7 2020: R+37.5 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+29.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -131.67%
- Current HPI
- 225.0367
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.88%
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-6.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Price Changed $280,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $285,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-06 Listed $300,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,327 · -11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…