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1012 Camelot Cv
B- Composite 69.05
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$133,000

1012 Camelot Cv · West Memphis, AR 72301
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,070 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1979 0.60 ac lot $64/sqft · 48% below area Est $254k · 48% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 0.6 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1979

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $133k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $423 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $133k).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 7.0% in West Memphis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#413 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • West Memphis School District (suburban): math 16% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 238 in AR (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 69 units permitted in Crittenden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $920 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crittenden County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $133k implies a 166% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $131,005 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
10.11%
Cash-on-cash
13.63%
DSCR
1.61
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$253,630
List price
$133,000
Delta
-47.56%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
209 Kingsway Dr 0.22mi 3/2.0 2,016 (-3%) 0mo $305,000 $151 85
909 Rosewood Dr 0.19mi 3/2.0 2,025 (-2%) 3mo $250,000 $123 85
205 Clement Rd 0.35mi 3/2.0 2,012 (-3%) 3mo $225,000 $112 77
408 Brentwood Dr 0.37mi 3/2.0 2,172 (+5%) 7mo $289,900 $133 69
1106 W Barton Ave 0.29mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,242 (+8%) 1mo $250,000 $112 67
823 S Roselawn Dr 0.28mi 4/3.5 (+1) 1,968 (-5%) 6mo $267,900 $136 63
503 W Oliver St 0.59mi 3/2.0 2,018 (-2%) 6mo $274,000 $136 63
302 Georgetown Dr 0.23mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,263 (+9%) 5mo $288,000 $127 60
0.33mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,836 (-11%) 0mo $280,000 $153 58
1102 Bridgeport Dr 0.51mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,206 (+7%) 6mo $240,000 $109 55
1400 Windover Ln 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,870 (-10%) 2mo $270,000 $144 55
1105 Cherry Ln 0.50mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,900 (-8%) 4mo $173,600 $91 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.7%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$5,357
Equity at exit
$19,831
10-year hold
IRR
13.2%
Equity multiple
2.05×
Total profit
$39,215
Equity at exit
$11,499

Cash invested: $37,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72301

Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,577 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$697
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $838/yr
Insurance
$55
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$423

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,041
Max offer price $133,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,250
Closing costs
$3,990
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-16
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-10
    status Active
  3. 2026-04-08
    status Pending
  4. 2026-03-26
    listed $133,000 Active
  5. 1978-05-01
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$838 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$851 · $71/mo
Expected delta
+$13/yr (+$1/mo · 1.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,923
− Mortgage interest
−$7,450
− Property taxes
−$838
− Insurance
−$665
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,514
− Management
−$1,514
− Depreciation
−$3,869
Taxable income
$3,073
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$738
After-tax cash flow
$4,339/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Memphis School District
NCES district ID
0508040
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$29,382
Composite
12.22/100
National rank
#9647
State rank
#224 of 238 in AR

Livability — West Memphis

Score
55/100
State rank
#413
US rank
#23638

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety C+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Memphis, AR
City population
24,182
Population (ZIP)
24,182

Population outlook (Crittenden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,254 people
By 2030
42,953 · -5.1%
By 2040
38,235 · -15.5%
By 2050
33,670 · -25.6%
By 2075
24,315 · -46.3%
By 2100
17,173 · -62.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crittenden

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 47.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-12.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.7pp · 2024: 2.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.3 2020: D+7.2 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+14.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.63%
Current HPI
182.7665
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+166.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Pending EARA
  • 2026-05-10 Relisted EARA
  • 2026-04-08 Pending EARA
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $133,000 EARA
  • 1978-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $838 · -10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…