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411 S Myrtle Ave Duplex
B- Composite 69.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

411 S Myrtle Ave · Willard, OH 44890
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,760 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1995 9,513 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Investor opportunity in the heart of Willard! This side-by-side duplex at 411 S Myrtle Ave offers strong potential for the right buyer ready to bring it back to life. Both upstairs units have been gutted and are ready for renovation, giving investors a blank slate to add value and maximize rental income. One side features a newer furnace system installed in the basement. Property is conveniently located within walking distance to local schools, shopping, and downtown amenities. Ideal for seasoned investors, flippers, or landlords looking for their next project.

Key facts

  • Side-by-side duplex
  • Newer furnace system
  • 9,513 sq ft lot

Tags

SIDE-BY-SIDE DUPLEXUPSTAIRS UNITS GUTTEDNEWER FURNACE SYSTEMWALKING DISTANCE TO SHOPPING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces; Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2-story home; Property listed as fixer condition
  • Construction: Wood siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Built per public records
  • Exterior features: Driveway

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 9 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Steam heating
  • Interior features: Basement with bath rough-in/stubbed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $689/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 33.8% vs local median 3.6% in Willard — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#469 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Willard City (town): math 38% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #505 of 656 in OH (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 40 units permitted in Huron County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Huron County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,100 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.73%
Cap rate
33.85%
Cash-on-cash
98.41%
DSCR
5.38
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
99.4%
Equity multiple
5.65×
Total profit
$78,046
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
11.78×
Total profit
$181,027
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44890

Home prices YoY
-16.2%
Active inventory
57
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,236 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$49 /mo · $588/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$470
Net cashflow
$1,378

Break-even live

Break-even rent $492
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 33%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,236

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $60,000 Pending 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 13 DOM
  6. 2026-06-04
    days on market $60,000 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-05-22
    listed $70,000 Active
  11. 1994-05-02
    soldstatus $63,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$588 · $49/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$762 · $64/mo
Expected delta
+$174/yr (+$14/mo · 29.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 49% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,832
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$588
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,147
− Management
−$2,147
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$16,544
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,971
After-tax cash flow
$12,563/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Willard City
NCES district ID
3904509
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$46,675
Composite
37.04/100
National rank
#4512
State rank
#505 of 656 in OH

Livability — Willard

Score
70/100
State rank
#469
US rank
#7772

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Willard, OH
County
Huron · 56,496 people
Population (ZIP)
10,364
Household income
$64,971
Rent vs Own
26.6% rent · 73.4% own
Severe rent burden
5.8

Population outlook (Huron County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
55,572 people
By 2030
53,514 · -3.7%
By 2040
48,770 · -12.2%
By 2050
43,611 · -21.5%
By 2075
32,349 · -41.8%
By 2100
21,849 · -60.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Huron

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.6% · R 71.6%
2008→2024 swing
-40.9pp toward R · 2008: -3.1pp · 2024: -44.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+8.9 2008: R+3.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.45%
Current HPI
229.9428
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+11.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $70,000 MLSNOW
  • 1994-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $588 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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