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351 E Bradley Ave Spc 52
B Composite 73.15
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,900

351 E Bradley Ave Spc 52 · Bostonia, CA 92021
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · Manufactured public records · 160 Days on market
Built 1978 17 ac lot Est $147k · 8% under ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover this charming mobile home situated in a friendly community in El Cajon! This 2-bedroom, 2 bathroom home offers a comfortable layouts, providing a peaceful retreat at the end of the day. Spacious Living Area that welcomes natural light, perfect for relaxation and entertaining. Equipped with appliances and sufficient cabinet space . Community amenities include a pool, clubhouse, laundry facilities, and guest parking. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, freeway access, this home offers both comfort and convenience. Park is all-ages This mobile home is a wonderful opportunity for affordable living in El Cajon! Don’t miss your chance to make it your own—schedule a s

Key facts

  • Laundry facilities
  • Guest parking
  • Clubhouse

Tags

SPACIOUS LIVING AREACOMMUNITY AMENITIESPOOLCLUBHOUSELAUNDRY FACILITIESGUEST PARKING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: GPS
  • HOA & community: Part of an association; Land lease

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; 2 covered parking spaces
  • Utilities: Living area and lot details sourced from assessor
  • Home design: Manufactured/mobile home (52' x 52'); Single story; Entry on main level; Located in the Starlight park
  • Construction: Year built per assessor
  • Exterior features: Community pool; Sidewalks; Lot is level/flat

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Primary suite
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: One-level layout; Front door entry
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $980 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 6.0% in Bostonia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#383 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing B+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Grossmont Union High (suburban): math 31% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #173 of 517 in CA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 238 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 5→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.79%
Cap rate
15.01%
Cash-on-cash
31.14%
DSCR
2.39
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$146,640
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
351 E Bradley Ave Spc 109 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,056 (+2%) 12mo $140,000 $133 88
255 E Bradley Ave Spc 116 0.10mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,040 (0%) 7mo $180,000 $173 85
351 E Bradley Ave Spc 164 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,100 (+6%) 11mo $165,000 $150 76
351 E Bradley Ave #45 0.00mi 2/2.0 960 (-8%) 15mo $135,000 $141 75
255 E Bradley Ave #13 0.10mi 2/2.0 960 (-8%) 14mo $165,000 $172 71
255 E Bradley Ave #119 0.09mi 3/1.5 (+1) 950 (-9%) 4mo $121,000 $127 71
351 E Bradley Ave #78 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,136 (+9%) 17mo $130,000 $114 71
400 Greenfield Dr Spc 123 0.20mi 2/2.0 960 (-8%) 11mo $107,000 $111 69
351 E Bradley Ave Spc 125 0.16mi 3/2.0 (+1) 960 (-8%) 10mo $150,000 $156 66
450 E Bradley Ave #121 0.31mi 2/2.0 1,088 (+5%) 14mo $124,900 $115 66
400 Greenfield Dr #138 0.22mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (+11%) 15mo $145,000 $126 54
450 E Bradley Ave #25 0.29mi 2/2.0 1,176 (+13%) 19mo $175,000 $149 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.5%
Equity multiple
1.89×
Total profit
$33,519
Equity at exit
$20,114
10-year hold
IRR
28.5%
Equity multiple
3.18×
Total profit
$82,314
Equity at exit
$11,664

Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92021

Rents YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
238
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,421 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$707
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,024/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$508
Net cashflow
$980

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,180
Max offer price $134,900
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,725
Closing costs
$4,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
425 E Bradley Ave El Cajon, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 771 $2,350 $3.05 1d 13 0.16mi
1261 Victor Ave Unit 9 El Cajon, CA 2.0 2.0 810 $2,195 $2.71 1d 1 0.21mi
1237 Graves Ave El Cajon, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 775 $2,565 $3.31 1d 13 0.29mi
310 E Bradley Ave El Cajon, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 664 $2,050 $3.09 1d 1 0.29mi
745 E Bradley Ave Unit 46 El Cajon, CA 3.0 1.0 806 $2,298 $2.85 24d 1 0.31mi
360 E Bradley Ave El Cajon, CA 3.0 2.0 1116 $2,934 $2.63 1d 3 0.33mi
1294 N Mollison Ave El Cajon, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 750 $2,128 $2.84 1d 8 0.34mi
1521 Graves Ave El Cajon, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 730 $2,632 $3.61 1d 7 0.40mi
1696 Buckeye Dr El Cajon, CA 3.0 1.0 942 $2,900 $3.08 2d 1 0.47mi
1219 Denver Ln Unit 1465013P El Cajon, CA 3.0 2.5 1194 $8,558 $7.17 21d 1 0.48mi
1430 Diamond Ln El Cajon, CA 2.0 1.0 863 $2,695 $3.12 2d 1 0.52mi
1314 5 D Dr Unit 1318 El Cajon, CA 3.0 1.0 960 $2,600 $2.71 24d 1 0.57mi
1005 N Mollison Ave El Cajon, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $2,195 $2.93 1d 1 0.58mi
375 Broadway El Cajon, CA 2.0 1.0 1400 $2,800 $2.00 1d 1 0.61mi
848 N Mollison Ave El Cajon, CA 1.0 1.0 690 $2,101 $3.04 1d 5 0.69mi
989 Peach Ave El Cajon, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 845 $2,150 $2.54 1d 11 0.79mi
798 McClure St Unit 14 El Cajon, CA 3.0 1.0 916 $2,295 $2.51 1d 1 0.80mi
716 Ballantyne St Unit 12 El Cajon, CA 2.0 2.0 900 $2,100 $2.33 1d 1 0.81mi
700 Ballantyne St El Cajon, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 850 $2,150 $2.53 1d 5 0.82mi
1019 Peach Ave El Cajon, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 700 $2,161 $3.09 1d 8 0.83mi
359 Cascade Rd El Cajon, CA 2.0 1.0 765 $2,875 $3.76 7d 1 0.83mi
1038 Peach Ave El Cajon, CA 2.0 1.5 850 $1,978 $2.33 1d 4 0.84mi
1050 Peach Ave El Cajon, CA 2.0 2.0 850 $3,460 $4.07 5d 1 0.85mi
1221 Oro St El Cajon, CA 2.0 1.5 1020 $2,575 $2.52 1d 1 0.98mi
205 Beech St El Cajon, CA 2.0 1.5 850 $2,480 $2.92 1d 1 0.98mi
534 Jeffree St El Cajon, CA 3.0 2.0 1118 $3,895 $3.48 10d 1 1.03mi
534 Jeffree St El Cajon, CA 3.0 2.0 1118 $3,895 $3.48 3d 1 1.03mi
390 E Madison Ave Unit E El Cajon, CA 2.0 1.5 1034 $2,300 $2.22 4d 1 1.03mi
303 E Madison Ave El Cajon, CA 2.0 1.0 875 $1,995 $2.28 1d 1 1.07mi
545 N Mollison Ave El Cajon, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $2,000 $2.86 7d 9 1.07mi
545 N Mollison Ave El Cajon, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $2,028 $2.90 1d 11 1.07mi
505 E Madison Ave #89 El Cajon, CA 2.0 1.5 975 $2,350 $2.41 2d 1 1.08mi
455 Ballantyne St El Cajon, CA 2.0 1.5 925 $2,195 $2.37 1d 1 1.08mi
453 Graves Ave El Cajon, CA 2.0 2.0 840 $2,150 $2.56 2d 1 1.12mi
458 Ballantyne St Unit 15 El Cajon, CA 2.0 1.0 760 $2,100 $2.76 1d 1 1.12mi
1171 Marline Ave Unit 1171-A El Cajon, CA 3.0 1.5 1141 $3,100 $2.72 1d 1 1.15mi
917 E Madison Ave El Cajon, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $2,195 $2.93 1d 1 1.15mi
816 Oro St El Cajon, CA 3.0 1.0 1235 $3,400 $2.75 2d 1 1.15mi
432 Dominguez Way Unit 13 El Cajon, CA 2.0 1.5 952 $2,195 $2.31 20d 1 1.19mi
589 N Johnson Ave El Cajon, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 889 $2,150 $2.42 1d 1 1.20mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $134,900 Active 160 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $134,900 Active 159 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $134,900 Active 158 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $134,900 Active 157 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $134,900 Active 155 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $134,900 Active 154 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $134,900 Active 151 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $134,900 Active 150 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $134,900 Active 149 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $134,900 Active 146 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $134,900 Active 145 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $134,900 Active 144 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $134,900 Active 143 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $134,900 Active 142 DOM
  15. 2026-03-24
    price $134,900
  16. 2025-11-14
    listed $149,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 5 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,052
− Mortgage interest
−$7,556
− Property taxes
−$2,024
− Insurance
−$674
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,324
− Management
−$2,324
− Depreciation
−$3,924
Taxable income
$10,225
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,454
After-tax cash flow
$9,310/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Grossmont Union High
NCES district ID
0616230
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$61,801
Composite
40.07/100
National rank
#3810
State rank
#173 of 517 in CA

Livability — Bostonia

Score
65/100
State rank
#383
US rank
#13065

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment B- Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bostonia, CA
County
San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
Population (ZIP)
70,501
Household income
$74,013
Rent vs Own
46.2% rent · 53.8% own
Severe rent burden
4178.0

Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,678,185 people
By 2030
3,856,546 · +4.8%
By 2040
4,171,407 · +13.4%
By 2050
4,421,607 · +20.2%
By 2075
4,831,599 · +31.4%
By 2100
4,832,502 · +31.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 14% Black 6% Asian 5% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 24%
Common ancestry
Arab 6% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 18% Arabic 7% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · San Diego

2024 margin
D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -654.88%
Current HPI
335.0617
Rent YoY
▼ -0.83%
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $134,900 CRMLS
  • 2025-11-14 Listed $149,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2013): $220 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…