724 Old Hwy 31 S · Falkville, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity for investors or owner-occupants seeking value. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath residence features a practical floor plan with comfortable living spaces and natural light throughout. The home is move-in ready with potential for cosmetic improvements to enhance value. Conveniently located with quick access to Highway 31, making daily commuting easy. Offered at a price that reflects its condition and potential. Property sold AS-IS.
Key facts
- Convenient location
- Functional layout
- Good natural light
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway (dirt)
- Utilities: Septic tank
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Built in 1968; Living area approximately 1,174 square feet
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; No fireplaces
- Exterior features: 0.71-acre lot; Lot described as Metes And Bounds; Directions: Take Hwy 31 from Decatur to Falkville, turn right on Old Hwy 31, turn left on Hand Rd; property is on the left
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $237 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($850 rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#201 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Morgan County (rural): math 19% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 129 in AL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Falkville Elementary School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #331 of 627 statewide, top 57%, 332 students, 68% FRL); Falkville High School (math 11% / reading 29%, grade F, #163 of 305 statewide, top 54%, 411 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 44% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 231 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Morgan County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.53%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $14,544,400
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289 Powell Chapel Rd | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 928 (-11%) | 3mo | $12,978,000 | $13,985 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $3,753
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.16×
- Total profit
- $22,639
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35622
- Home prices YoY
- -4.5%
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $850 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $465/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$178
- Net cashflow
- $237
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $277 | -5% $257 | +0% $237 | +5% $217 | +10% $197 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $170 | -5% $203 | +0% $237 | +5% $271 | +10% $304 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $272 | -0.5pp $255 | base $237 | +0.5pp $219 | +1.0pp $201 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Bell Springs Rd Falkville, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 27 Bell Springs Rd Falkville, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 442-char remark
-
2026-06-13$69,900 Active 140 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $465 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $465 · $39/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$465
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$816
- − Management
- −$816
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $1,804
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$433
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,411/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morgan County
- NCES district ID
- 0102480
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,362
- Composite
- 26.68/100
- National rank
- #7157
- State rank
- #61 of 129 in AL
Livability — Falkville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #201
- US rank
- #15918
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,532
Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 118,775 people
- By 2030
- 116,979 · -1.5%
- By 2040
- 111,800 · -5.9%
- By 2050
- 105,181 · -11.4%
- By 2075
- 87,736 · -26.1%
- By 2100
- 67,624 · -43.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Korean 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Morgan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.6) · D 23.2% · R 75.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -52.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.6 2020: R+49.2 2016: R+52.4 2012: R+44.5 2008: R+43.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -10.13%
- Current HPI
- 216.7304
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-22.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Price Changed $69,900 VMLS
- 2026-03-14 Relisted — VMLS
- 2026-03-07 Pending — VMLS
- 2026-01-16 Listed $90,000 VMLS
Property tax history
-26.9%/yrLatest (2025): $465 · +13.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…