🔨 Auction
601 S Franklin Ave · Monahans, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 9/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$27,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Three-bedroom, two-bath home with side entry carport and outbuilding on a nice corner lot. Home is featured on an online sales event with Hubzu beginning 4-1-26. Check Hubzu for sales event dates along with terms and conditions.
Key facts
- 9,801 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1960
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $28k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $459 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $28k).
- Recommended offer: $26k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#687 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Monahans-Wickett-Pyote ISD (town): math 33% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #532 of 826 in TX (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7 units permitted in Ward County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $662 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ward County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.55%
- DSCR
- 1.91
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $95,661
- List price
- $27,500
- Delta
- -71.25%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $13,702
- Equity at exit
- $14,263
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.85×
- Total profit
- $49,500
- Equity at exit
- $8,271
Cash invested: $26,785 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79756
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 1.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,350 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$502
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $795/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $459
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,915
- Closing costs
- $2,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1309 N Carol Ave Unit E3 Monahans, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $1,350 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $27,500 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $27,500 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $27,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $27,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $27,500 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $27,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $27,500 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $27,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $27,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $27,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $27,500 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $27,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $27,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $27,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $27,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $27,500 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (229 chars)
Three-bedroom, two-bath home with side entry carport and outbuilding on a nice corner lot. Home is featured on an online sales event with Hubzu beginning 4-1-26. Check Hubzu for sales event dates along with terms and conditions.
-
2026-05-12price $27,500 229-char remark
Show marketing remark (229 chars)
Three-bedroom, two-bath home with side entry carport and outbuilding on a nice corner lot. Home is featured on an online sales event with Hubzu beginning 4-1-26. Check Hubzu for sales event dates along with terms and conditions.
-
2026-04-01$31,200 Active 229-char remark
Show marketing remark (229 chars)
Three-bedroom, two-bath home with side entry carport and outbuilding on a nice corner lot. Home is featured on an online sales event with Hubzu beginning 4-1-26. Check Hubzu for sales event dates along with terms and conditions.
-
2026-03-31$31,200 Active 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Three-bedroom, two-bath home with side entry carport and outbuilding on a nice corner lot. Home is featured on an online sales event with Hubzu beginning 4-1-26. Check Hubzu for sales event dates along with terms and conditions.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $795 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $795 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
- Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,358
- − Property taxes
- −$795
- − Insurance
- −$478
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,296
- − Management
- −$1,296
- − Depreciation
- −$2,783
- Taxable income
- $4,193
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,006
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,498/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Monahans-Wickett-Pyote ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4831170
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,117
- Composite
- 29.12/100
- National rank
- #6592
- State rank
- #532 of 826 in TX
Livability — Monahans
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #687
- US rank
- #12856
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Monahans, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,558
Population outlook (Ward County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,048 people
- By 2030
- 15,329 · +9.1%
- By 2040
- 18,112 · +28.9%
- By 2050
- 21,301 · +51.6%
- By 2075
- 29,199 · +107.9%
- By 2100
- 33,968 · +141.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 54% White 39% Two or more races 11% Black 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 48%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 35% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Ward
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.1) · D 16.7% · R 82.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.0pp toward R · 2008: -49.1pp · 2024: -66.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.1 2020: R+61.0 2016: R+51.6 2012: R+47.2 2008: R+49.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -167.06%
- Current HPI
- 194.6219
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-11.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $27,500 NTREIS
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $27,500 ODMLS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $31,200 ODMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $31,200 NTREIS
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $795 · -11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…