67623 E Bay Rd · Glasgow, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 78°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +4.8/30.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$310,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Desirable Glasgow - this ranch-style home offers a comfortable setting with room to make it your own. With two bedrooms on the main level, plus a spacious bonus area above the former garage (now shop space) that could serve as a third bedroom, office, or hobby room, there’s flexibility to fit a variety of needs.The home has a more original feel throughout, presenting an opportunity for updates and personalization over time. A bath and a half layout adds convenience, while the overall footprint provides a solid foundation to build upon.Situated on a generous 100’ x 115’ lot, the outdoor space is a standout feature. The large back patio creates a natural place to unwind, entertain, or simply enjoy a quiet afternoon. There’s plenty of room for gardening, projects, or additional improvements.Located just minutes from town for everyday convenience, yet only a short drive to the Oregon Dunes for recreation and adventure, this property offers a balance of accessibility and lifestyle that’s hard to beat.
Key facts
- Generous lot
- Large back patio
- Ranch-style home
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $310k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-760 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $176k (43.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (53.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $145k (53.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#301 in OR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living D, amenities F.
- North Bend SD 13 (town): math 30% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #21 of 58 in OR (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: North Bend Middle School (math 24% / reading 45%, grade F, #61 of 128 statewide, top 54%, 494 students, 68% FRL); North Bend Senior High School (math 75% / reading 75%, grade A-, #2 of 143 statewide, top 6%, 731 students, 30% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 55% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the North Bend SD 13 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 170 active listings in the ZIP; 122 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $33k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Coos County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$53k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $265k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 53% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.47% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.51%
- DSCR
- 0.53
- GRM
- 17.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $395,150
- List price
- $310,000
- Delta
- -21.55%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67679 E Bay Rd | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 1,042 (+1%) | 16mo | $425,000 | $408 | 80 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $120,305
- Equity at exit
- $279,273
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.52×
- Total profit
- $392,092
- Equity at exit
- $602,262
Cash invested: $86,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97459
- Home prices YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 170
- Price-to-rent
- 17.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,446 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,626
- Tax from tax record
- −$147 /mo · $1,766/yr
- Insurance
- −$129
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $-760
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-584 | -5% $-672 | +0% $-760 | +5% $-848 | +10% $-935 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-874 | -5% $-817 | +0% $-760 | +5% $-703 | +10% $-646 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-604 | -0.5pp $-681 | base $-760 | +0.5pp $-840 | +1.0pp $-922 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,500
- Closing costs
- $9,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $310,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $310,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $310,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $310,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $310,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $310,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $310,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $310,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $310,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $310,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $310,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $310,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-04-16price $310,000 1041-char remark
Show marketing remark (1041 chars)
Desirable Glasgow - this ranch-style home offers a comfortable setting with room to make it your own. With two bedrooms on the main level, plus a spacious bonus area above the former garage (now shop space) that could serve as a third bedroom, office, or hobby room, there’s flexibility to fit a variety of needs.The home has a more original feel throughout, presenting an opportunity for updates and personalization over time. A bath and a half layout adds convenience, while the overall footprint provides a solid foundation to build upon.Situated on a generous 100’ x 115’ lot, the outdoor space is a standout feature. The large back patio creates a natural place to unwind, entertain, or simply enjoy a quiet afternoon. There’s plenty of room for gardening, projects, or additional improvements.Located just minutes from town for everyday convenience, yet only a short drive to the Oregon Dunes for recreation and adventure, this property offers a balance of accessibility and lifestyle that’s hard to beat.
-
2026-04-03$319,000 Active 1041-char remark
Show marketing remark (1041 chars)
Desirable Glasgow - this ranch-style home offers a comfortable setting with room to make it your own. With two bedrooms on the main level, plus a spacious bonus area above the former garage (now shop space) that could serve as a third bedroom, office, or hobby room, there’s flexibility to fit a variety of needs.The home has a more original feel throughout, presenting an opportunity for updates and personalization over time. A bath and a half layout adds convenience, while the overall footprint provides a solid foundation to build upon.Situated on a generous 100’ x 115’ lot, the outdoor space is a standout feature. The large back patio creates a natural place to unwind, entertain, or simply enjoy a quiet afternoon. There’s plenty of room for gardening, projects, or additional improvements.Located just minutes from town for everyday convenience, yet only a short drive to the Oregon Dunes for recreation and adventure, this property offers a balance of accessibility and lifestyle that’s hard to beat.
-
2023-11-29soldstatus $265,000
-
2012-10-05soldstatus $175,000 Sold 269-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
Bay View Glasgow Area home. Dated ,but in very nice condition.Two bedrooms, Plus a Studio or third bedroom,Familyroom that was a garage,1 1/2 baths,Large Patio,Lots of lawn all on a 100 X 115 Bay View Lot in the "Summer wind free" GLASGOWThis is a great buy !
-
2012-08-10soldstatus $175,000
-
2012-07-31status Pending 269-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
Bay View Glasgow Area home. Dated ,but in very nice condition.Two bedrooms, Plus a Studio or third bedroom,Familyroom that was a garage,1 1/2 baths,Large Patio,Lots of lawn all on a 100 X 115 Bay View Lot in the "Summer wind free" GLASGOWThis is a great buy !
-
2012-06-27$183,000 Active 269-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
Bay View Glasgow Area home. Dated ,but in very nice condition.Two bedrooms, Plus a Studio or third bedroom,Familyroom that was a garage,1 1/2 baths,Large Patio,Lots of lawn all on a 100 X 115 Bay View Lot in the "Summer wind free" GLASGOWThis is a great buy !
-
2007-05-22soldstatus $257,278
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2007-05-22soldstatus $257,278
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2007-04-28historical
-
2007-04-09$260,000
-
2004-12-30soldstatus $140,000
-
2004-12-30soldstatus $143,372
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,766 · $147/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,007 · $251/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,241/yr (+$103/mo · 70.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥78°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,347
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,365
- − Property taxes
- −$1,766
- − Insurance
- −$1,550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,388
- − Management
- −$1,388
- − Depreciation
- −$9,018
- Taxable loss
- −$15,127
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,631
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,489/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Bend SD 13
- NCES district ID
- 4108820
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,614
- Composite
- 32.57/100
- National rank
- #5681
- State rank
- #21 of 58 in OR
Livability — Glasgow
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #301
- US rank
- #20342
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Glasgow, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,328
Population outlook (Coos County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,222 people
- By 2030
- 61,120 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 58,478 · -6.0%
- By 2050
- 56,819 · -8.7%
- By 2075
- 54,915 · -11.7%
- By 2100
- 51,403 · -17.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 7% Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Coos
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.9) · D 38.7% · R 58.5% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.1pp · 2024: -19.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.9 2020: R+20.5 2016: R+24.3 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+3.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.02%
- Current HPI
- 887.7
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+121.4% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $310,000 RMLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $319,000 RMLS
- 2023-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $265,000 Public Records
- 2012-10-05 Sold (MLS) $175,000 RMLS
- 2012-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
- 2012-07-31 Pending — RMLS
- 2012-06-27 Listed $183,000 RMLS
- 2007-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $257,278 Public Records
- 2007-05-22 Sold (MLS) $257,278 RMLS
- 2007-04-28 Delisted — RMLS
- 2007-04-09 Listed $260,000 RMLS
- 2004-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $143,372 Public Records
- 2004-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,766 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…