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67623 E Bay Rd
D Composite 40.99
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +4.8/30.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$310,000

67623 E Bay Rd · Glasgow, OR 97459
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,029 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 73 Days on market
Built 1976 0.25 ac lot $301/sqft · 22% below area Est $395k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Desirable Glasgow - this ranch-style home offers a comfortable setting with room to make it your own. With two bedrooms on the main level, plus a spacious bonus area above the former garage (now shop space) that could serve as a third bedroom, office, or hobby room, there’s flexibility to fit a variety of needs.The home has a more original feel throughout, presenting an opportunity for updates and personalization over time. A bath and a half layout adds convenience, while the overall footprint provides a solid foundation to build upon.Situated on a generous 100’ x 115’ lot, the outdoor space is a standout feature. The large back patio creates a natural place to unwind, entertain, or simply enjoy a quiet afternoon. There’s plenty of room for gardening, projects, or additional improvements.Located just minutes from town for everyday convenience, yet only a short drive to the Oregon Dunes for recreation and adventure, this property offers a balance of accessibility and lifestyle that’s hard to beat.

Key facts

  • Generous lot
  • Large back patio
  • Ranch-style home

Tags

RANCH-STYLE HOMESPACIOUS BONUS AREALARGE BACK PATIOGENEROUS LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $310k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-760 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $176k (43.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (53.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (53.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#301 in OR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living D, amenities F.
  • North Bend SD 13 (town): math 30% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #21 of 58 in OR (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: North Bend Middle School (math 24% / reading 45%, grade F, #61 of 128 statewide, top 54%, 494 students, 68% FRL); North Bend Senior High School (math 75% / reading 75%, grade A-, #2 of 143 statewide, top 6%, 731 students, 30% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 55% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the North Bend SD 13 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 170 active listings in the ZIP; 122 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $33k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Coos County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$53k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $265k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $144,556 (53.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 53% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.47%
Cap rate
3.35%
Cash-on-cash
-10.51%
DSCR
0.53
GRM
17.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$395,150
List price
$310,000
Delta
-21.55%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
67679 E Bay Rd 0.11mi 2/1.0 1,042 (+1%) 16mo $425,000 $408 80

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.9%
Equity multiple
2.39×
Total profit
$120,305
Equity at exit
$279,273
10-year hold
IRR
16.0%
Equity multiple
5.52×
Total profit
$392,092
Equity at exit
$602,262

Cash invested: $86,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97459

Home prices YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
170
Price-to-rent
17.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,446 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,626
Tax from tax record
$147 /mo · $1,766/yr
Insurance
$129
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$304
Net cashflow
$-760

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,408
Max offer price $175,747
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-584 -5% $-672 +0% $-760 +5% $-848 +10% $-935
Rent -10% $-874 -5% $-817 +0% $-760 +5% $-703 +10% $-646
Rate -1.0pp $-604 -0.5pp $-681 base $-760 +0.5pp $-840 +1.0pp $-922

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$77,500
Closing costs
$9,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $310,000 Active 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-14
    days on market $310,000 Active 71 DOM
  3. 2026-06-12
    days on market $310,000 Active 70 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $310,000 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $310,000 Active 66 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $310,000 Active 65 DOM
  7. 2026-06-05
    days on market $310,000 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $310,000 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $310,000 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $310,000 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $310,000 Active 58 DOM
  12. 2026-05-30
    days on market $310,000 Active 57 DOM
  13. 2026-04-16
    price $310,000 1041-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1041 chars)

    Desirable Glasgow - this ranch-style home offers a comfortable setting with room to make it your own. With two bedrooms on the main level, plus a spacious bonus area above the former garage (now shop space) that could serve as a third bedroom, office, or hobby room, there’s flexibility to fit a variety of needs.The home has a more original feel throughout, presenting an opportunity for updates and personalization over time. A bath and a half layout adds convenience, while the overall footprint provides a solid foundation to build upon.Situated on a generous 100’ x 115’ lot, the outdoor space is a standout feature. The large back patio creates a natural place to unwind, entertain, or simply enjoy a quiet afternoon. There’s plenty of room for gardening, projects, or additional improvements.Located just minutes from town for everyday convenience, yet only a short drive to the Oregon Dunes for recreation and adventure, this property offers a balance of accessibility and lifestyle that’s hard to beat.

  14. 2026-04-03
    listed $319,000 Active 1041-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1041 chars)

    Desirable Glasgow - this ranch-style home offers a comfortable setting with room to make it your own. With two bedrooms on the main level, plus a spacious bonus area above the former garage (now shop space) that could serve as a third bedroom, office, or hobby room, there’s flexibility to fit a variety of needs.The home has a more original feel throughout, presenting an opportunity for updates and personalization over time. A bath and a half layout adds convenience, while the overall footprint provides a solid foundation to build upon.Situated on a generous 100’ x 115’ lot, the outdoor space is a standout feature. The large back patio creates a natural place to unwind, entertain, or simply enjoy a quiet afternoon. There’s plenty of room for gardening, projects, or additional improvements.Located just minutes from town for everyday convenience, yet only a short drive to the Oregon Dunes for recreation and adventure, this property offers a balance of accessibility and lifestyle that’s hard to beat.

  15. 2023-11-29
    soldstatus $265,000
  16. 2012-10-05
    soldstatus $175,000 Sold 269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    Bay View Glasgow Area home. Dated ,but in very nice condition.Two bedrooms, Plus a Studio or third bedroom,Familyroom that was a garage,1 1/2 baths,Large Patio,Lots of lawn all on a 100 X 115 Bay View Lot in the "Summer wind free" GLASGOWThis is a great buy !

  17. 2012-08-10
    soldstatus $175,000
  18. 2012-07-31
    status Pending 269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    Bay View Glasgow Area home. Dated ,but in very nice condition.Two bedrooms, Plus a Studio or third bedroom,Familyroom that was a garage,1 1/2 baths,Large Patio,Lots of lawn all on a 100 X 115 Bay View Lot in the "Summer wind free" GLASGOWThis is a great buy !

  19. 2012-06-27
    listed $183,000 Active 269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    Bay View Glasgow Area home. Dated ,but in very nice condition.Two bedrooms, Plus a Studio or third bedroom,Familyroom that was a garage,1 1/2 baths,Large Patio,Lots of lawn all on a 100 X 115 Bay View Lot in the "Summer wind free" GLASGOWThis is a great buy !

  20. 2007-05-22
    soldstatus $257,278
  21. 2007-05-22
    soldstatus $257,278
  22. 2007-04-28
    historical
  23. 2007-04-09
    listed $260,000
  24. 2004-12-30
    soldstatus $140,000
  25. 2004-12-30
    soldstatus $143,372

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,766 · $147/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,007 · $251/mo
Expected delta
+$1,241/yr (+$103/mo · 70.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥78°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,347
− Mortgage interest
−$17,365
− Property taxes
−$1,766
− Insurance
−$1,550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,388
− Management
−$1,388
− Depreciation
−$9,018
Taxable loss
−$15,127
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,631
After-tax cash flow
$-5,489/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Bend SD 13
NCES district ID
4108820
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$43,614
Composite
32.57/100
National rank
#5681
State rank
#21 of 58 in OR

Livability — Glasgow

Score
59/100
State rank
#301
US rank
#20342

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Glasgow, OR
Population (ZIP)
15,328

Population outlook (Coos County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,222 people
By 2030
61,120 · -1.8%
By 2040
58,478 · -6.0%
By 2050
56,819 · -8.7%
By 2075
54,915 · -11.7%
By 2100
51,403 · -17.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 7% Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, Philippines
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Coos

2024 margin
R (+19.9) · D 38.7% · R 58.5% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-16.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.1pp · 2024: -19.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.9 2020: R+20.5 2016: R+24.3 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+3.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.02%
Current HPI
887.7
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+121.4% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $310,000 RMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $319,000 RMLS
  • 2023-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $265,000 Public Records
  • 2012-10-05 Sold (MLS) $175,000 RMLS
  • 2012-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
  • 2012-07-31 Pending RMLS
  • 2012-06-27 Listed $183,000 RMLS
  • 2007-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $257,278 Public Records
  • 2007-05-22 Sold (MLS) $257,278 RMLS
  • 2007-04-28 Delisted RMLS
  • 2007-04-09 Listed $260,000 RMLS
  • 2004-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $143,372 Public Records
  • 2004-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,766 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…