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12111 W Coral Rd
C- Composite 52.25
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$140,000

12111 W Coral Rd · Maple Valley, MI 49322
1 bd · None ba · 1,300 sqft · SingleFamily · 74 Days on market
4.29 ac lot $108/sqft · 44% below area Est $251k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity to set up your own little homestead, Features remodeled Manufactures home with addition sitting on 5 acres (pending split approval) on blacktop rd. Home features large open living concept, 1 large bedroom, Kitchen & dining areaHome only has wood heat, wood stove is reserved, No electric, but the wiring is in the walls, there is some indoor plumbing with an operating drainfield, a room ready to set up as a bathroom, there is a running water, but comes from a neighboring well. couple of outbuildings and garden area. possible land contract

Key facts

  • Running water
  • Operating drainfield
  • Outbuildings

Tags

5 ACRESLARGE OPEN LIVING CONCEPTINDOOR PLUMBINGOPERATING DRAINFIELDRUNNING WATEROUTBUILDINGS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-70 ($-841/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $130k (7.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (18.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (18.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Lakeview Community Schools (Montcalm) (rural): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #281 of 540 in MI (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lakeview Elementary School (math 54% / reading 64%, grade B-, #200 of 1,397 statewide, top 16%, 326 students, 70% FRL); Lakeview Middle School (math 24% / reading 39%, grade F, #323 of 493 statewide, top 66%, 338 students, 66% FRL); Lakeview High School (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #334 of 713 statewide, top 51%, 366 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 45% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 273 units permitted in Montcalm County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $15k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Montcalm County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $113,601 (18.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
5.69%
Cash-on-cash
-2.14%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$251,281
List price
$140,000
Delta
-44.29%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.8%
Equity multiple
2.83×
Total profit
$71,803
Equity at exit
$126,123
10-year hold
IRR
20.3%
Equity multiple
6.48×
Total profit
$214,990
Equity at exit
$271,989

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49322

Home prices YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
8
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,136 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax est. 1.5%
$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$239
Net cashflow
$-70

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,225
Max offer price $129,862
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $27 -5% $-22 +0% $-70 +5% $-118 +10% $-167
Rent -10% $-160 -5% $-115 +0% $-70 +5% $-25 +10% $20
Rate -1.0pp $0 -0.5pp $-34 base $-70 +0.5pp $-106 +1.0pp $-143

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $140,000 Active 74 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $140,000 Active 71 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,000 Active 70 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $140,000 Active 69 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,000 Active 68 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $140,000 Active 66 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $140,000 Active 63 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $140,000 Active 62 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $140,000 Active 61 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $140,000 Active 60 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $140,000 Active 57 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $140,000 Active 56 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $140,000 Active 55 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $140,000 Active 54 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $140,000 Active 53 DOM
  16. 2026-04-08
    listed $140,000 Active 566-char remark
    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    Great opportunity to set up your own little homestead, Features remodeled Manufactures home with addition sitting on 5 acres (pending split approval) on blacktop rd. Home features large open living concept, 1 large bedroom, Kitchen & dining area Home only has wood heat, wood stove is reserved, No electric, but the wiring is in the walls, there is some indoor plumbing with an operating drainfield, a room ready to set up as a bathroom, there is a running water, but comes from a neighboring well. couple of outbuildings and garden area. possible land contract

  17. 2026-04-08
    listed $140,000 Active 569-char remark
    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    Great opportunity to set up your own little homestead, Features remodeled Manufactures home with addition sitting on 5 acres (pending split approval) on blacktop rd. Home features large open living concept, 1 large bedroom, Kitchen & dining area Home only has wood heat, wood stove is reserved, No electric, but the wiring is in the walls, there is some indoor plumbing with an operating drainfield, a room ready to set up as a bathroom, there is a running water, but comes from a neighboring well. couple of outbuildings and garden area. possible land contract

  18. 2026-04-08
    listed $140,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    Great opportunity to set up your own little homestead, Features remodeled Manufactures home with addition sitting on 5 acres (pending split approval) on blacktop rd. Home features large open living concept, 1 large bedroom, Kitchen & dining area Home only has wood heat, wood stove is reserved, No electric, but the wiring is in the walls, there is some indoor plumbing with an operating drainfield, a room ready to set up as a bathroom, there is a running water, but comes from a neighboring well. couple of outbuildings and garden area. possible land contract

  19. 2020-08-05
    soldstatus $220,000
  20. 2011-10-30
    soldstatus $20,000
  21. 2003-12-01
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,632
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$2,100
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,091
− Management
−$1,091
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable loss
−$3,264
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$783
After-tax cash flow
$-57/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lakeview Community Schools (Montcalm)
NCES district ID
2620910
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$40,513
Composite
30.21/100
National rank
#6303
State rank
#281 of 540 in MI

Livability — Maple Valley

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,222

Population outlook (Montcalm County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
61,011 people
By 2030
59,467 · -2.5%
By 2040
55,427 · -9.2%
By 2050
50,517 · -17.2%
By 2075
38,731 · -36.5%
By 2100
26,770 · -56.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 5% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montcalm

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.0) · D 29.8% · R 68.7% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-38.7pp toward R · 2008: -0.3pp · 2024: -39.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.0 2020: R+37.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+8.6 2008: R+0.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.73%
Current HPI
358.984
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+300.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $140,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $140,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $140,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2020-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
  • 2011-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
  • 2003-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…