11845 Oak Ridge Dr · Kingston, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 18.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +6.5/30.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.8/10.0
$375,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2021 BUILT IN OAK RIDGE GATED COMMUNITY. HOME HAS 4 BEDROOMS, 2 FULL BATHS, SECURITY SYSTEM, NATURAL GAS HEAT & AIR, GAS HEATER TANKLESS, GAS FIREPLACE. HOME SITS ON . 23 ACRE LOT AND JUST 1/4 MILE FROM CHICKASAW POINTE GOLF COURSE AND CATFISH BAY MARINA.
Key facts
- Deck and hot tub
- Community pond
- Private gated access
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee; Annual association fee; Community amenities include clubhouse, gated entry, park, pool, guard, tennis courts, and sidewalks
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces
- Security: Owned security system; Smoke detectors; No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Phone available; Water available (rural); Sewer: lagoon
- Home design: Single-story; Faces east; Slab foundation; Property type with stone, HardiPlank and wood frame construction
- Construction: Built by builder; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Satellite dish; Mature trees; Sloped topography; Less than 1 mile to water (Texoma Lake)
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in range; Range; Oven; Gas oven connection; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Icemaker / plumbed for icemaker; Tankless and gas water heater
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (Gas, Heat Pump); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Attic; Granite counters; High ceilings; Vaulted ceilings; High-speed internet; Wired for data; Ceiling fans; Gas range/oven connections; Storm windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $375k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-627 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $264k (29.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (40.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $224k (40.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#251 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Kingston (rural): math 27% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #70 of 270 in OK (top 26%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Kingston Es (math 33% / reading 32%, grade F, #210 of 845 statewide, top 25%, 620 students, 0% FRL); Kingston Ms (math 23% / reading 34%, grade F, #57 of 345 statewide, top 18%, 286 students, 0% FRL); Kingston Hs (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #150 of 447 statewide, top 48%, 362 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 76% district-wide (76 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 436 active listings in the ZIP; 42 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $40k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $38k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Marshall County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$64k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($341k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.60% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.16%
- DSCR
- 0.68
- GRM
- 13.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $406,232
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6946 Red Oak Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,970 (-0%) | 0mo | $405,000 | $206 | 74 |
| 7039 Live Oak Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,838 (-7%) | 12mo | $390,000 | $212 | 58 |
| 11348 Chinkapin Oak Ct | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,813 (-8%) | 13mo | $360,000 | $199 | 44 |
| 11144 Spanish Oak Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,855 (-6%) | 21mo | $320,000 | $173 | 31 |
| 10997 Mystic Oak Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,769 (-10%) | 11mo | $300,000 | $170 | 28 |
| 11266 Blackjack Oak Cir | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,682 (-15%) | 11mo | $375,000 | $223 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $164,234
- Equity at exit
- $337,830
- IRR
- 17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.90×
- Total profit
- $514,863
- Equity at exit
- $728,543
Cash invested: $105,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73439
- Home prices YoY
- 12.3%
- Active inventory
- 436
- Price-to-rent
- 13.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,242 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,967
- Tax from tax record
- −$243 /mo · $2,914/yr
- Insurance
- −$156
- HOA
- −$32
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$471
- Net cashflow
- $-627
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-414 | -5% $-521 | +0% $-627 | +5% $-733 | +10% $-839 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-804 | -5% $-715 | +0% $-627 | +5% $-538 | +10% $-450 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-438 | -0.5pp $-531 | base $-627 | +0.5pp $-724 | +1.0pp $-823 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $93,750
- Closing costs
- $11,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $32 · $384/yr
- Likely covers
- gassecurity
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $375,000 Active 120 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $375,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $375,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $375,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $375,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $375,000 Active 114 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $375,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $375,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $375,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $375,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $375,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $375,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $375,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $375,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $375,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-05-31pricedays on market $375,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $385,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-05-16price $385,000
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2026-04-14price $399,000
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2026-02-21$405,000 Active
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2023-06-08soldstatus $330,000 Closed 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
2021 BUILT IN OAK RIDGE GATED COMMUNITY. HOME HAS 4 BEDROOMS, 2 FULL BATHS, SECURITY SYSTEM, NATURAL GAS HEAT & AIR, GAS HEATER TANKLESS, GAS FIREPLACE. HOME SITS ON . 23 ACRE LOT AND JUST 1/4 MILE FROM CHICKASAW POINTE GOLF COURSE AND CATFISH BAY MARINA.
-
2023-04-15status Pending 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
2021 BUILT IN OAK RIDGE GATED COMMUNITY. HOME HAS 4 BEDROOMS, 2 FULL BATHS, SECURITY SYSTEM, NATURAL GAS HEAT & AIR, GAS HEATER TANKLESS, GAS FIREPLACE. HOME SITS ON . 23 ACRE LOT AND JUST 1/4 MILE FROM CHICKASAW POINTE GOLF COURSE AND CATFISH BAY MARINA.
-
2023-03-07status Active 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
2021 BUILT IN OAK RIDGE GATED COMMUNITY. HOME HAS 4 BEDROOMS, 2 FULL BATHS, SECURITY SYSTEM, NATURAL GAS HEAT & AIR, GAS HEATER TANKLESS, GAS FIREPLACE. HOME SITS ON . 23 ACRE LOT AND JUST 1/4 MILE FROM CHICKASAW POINTE GOLF COURSE AND CATFISH BAY MARINA.
-
2023-01-18soldstatus $332,000
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2023-01-15status Pending 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
2021 BUILT IN OAK RIDGE GATED COMMUNITY. HOME HAS 4 BEDROOMS, 2 FULL BATHS, SECURITY SYSTEM, NATURAL GAS HEAT & AIR, GAS HEATER TANKLESS, GAS FIREPLACE. HOME SITS ON . 23 ACRE LOT AND JUST 1/4 MILE FROM CHICKASAW POINTE GOLF COURSE AND CATFISH BAY MARINA.
-
2022-12-11price $334,000 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
2021 BUILT IN OAK RIDGE GATED COMMUNITY. HOME HAS 4 BEDROOMS, 2 FULL BATHS, SECURITY SYSTEM, NATURAL GAS HEAT & AIR, GAS HEATER TANKLESS, GAS FIREPLACE. HOME SITS ON . 23 ACRE LOT AND JUST 1/4 MILE FROM CHICKASAW POINTE GOLF COURSE AND CATFISH BAY MARINA.
-
2022-11-29price $339,000 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
2021 BUILT IN OAK RIDGE GATED COMMUNITY. HOME HAS 4 BEDROOMS, 2 FULL BATHS, SECURITY SYSTEM, NATURAL GAS HEAT & AIR, GAS HEATER TANKLESS, GAS FIREPLACE. HOME SITS ON . 23 ACRE LOT AND JUST 1/4 MILE FROM CHICKASAW POINTE GOLF COURSE AND CATFISH BAY MARINA.
-
2022-11-14$349,000 Active 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
2021 BUILT IN OAK RIDGE GATED COMMUNITY. HOME HAS 4 BEDROOMS, 2 FULL BATHS, SECURITY SYSTEM, NATURAL GAS HEAT & AIR, GAS HEATER TANKLESS, GAS FIREPLACE. HOME SITS ON . 23 ACRE LOT AND JUST 1/4 MILE FROM CHICKASAW POINTE GOLF COURSE AND CATFISH BAY MARINA.
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2007-04-09soldstatus $5,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,914 · $243/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,375 · $281/mo
- Expected delta
- +$461/yr (+$38/mo · 15.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,900
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,006
- − Property taxes
- −$2,914
- − Insurance
- −$1,875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,152
- − Management
- −$2,152
- − HOA
- −$384
- − Depreciation
- −$10,909
- Taxable loss
- −$14,492
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,478
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,042/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kingston
- NCES district ID
- 4016590
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,655
- Composite
- 24.88/100
- National rank
- #7585
- State rank
- #70 of 270 in OK
Livability — Kingston
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #251
- US rank
- #16664
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,011
Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,405 people
- By 2030
- 18,038 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 19,513 · +12.1%
- By 2050
- 21,283 · +22.3%
- By 2075
- 27,884 · +60.2%
- By 2100
- 35,435 · +103.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Two or more races 16% Native American 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Marshall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.4) · D 17.7% · R 81.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.6pp toward R · 2008: -38.8pp · 2024: -63.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.4 2020: R+62.5 2016: R+56.6 2012: R+45.7 2008: R+38.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 26.96%
- Current HPI
- 246.2253
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+7600.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Price Changed $385,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $399,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-02-21 Listed $405,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2023-06-08 Sold (MLS) $330,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2023-04-15 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2023-03-07 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2023-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $332,000 Public Records
- 2023-01-15 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-12-11 Price Changed $334,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-11-29 Price Changed $339,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-11-14 Listed $349,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2007-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+44.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,914 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…