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11845 Oak Ridge Dr
D- Composite 39.88
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.5/30.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.8/10.0

$375,000

11845 Oak Ridge Dr · Kingston, OK 73439
2 bd · 4.0 ba · 1,972 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 120 Days on market
Built 2022 10,438 sqft lot Est $406k · 8% under $32/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2021 BUILT IN OAK RIDGE GATED COMMUNITY. HOME HAS 4 BEDROOMS, 2 FULL BATHS, SECURITY SYSTEM, NATURAL GAS HEAT & AIR, GAS HEATER TANKLESS, GAS FIREPLACE. HOME SITS ON . 23 ACRE LOT AND JUST 1/4 MILE FROM CHICKASAW POINTE GOLF COURSE AND CATFISH BAY MARINA.

Key facts

  • Deck and hot tub
  • Community pond
  • Private gated access

Tags

PRIVATE GATED ACCESSRESORT STYLE AMENITIESCOMMUNITY PONDENTERTAINMENT READY BACKYARDDECK AND HOT TUB

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee; Annual association fee; Community amenities include clubhouse, gated entry, park, pool, guard, tennis courts, and sidewalks

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces
  • Security: Owned security system; Smoke detectors; No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Phone available; Water available (rural); Sewer: lagoon
  • Home design: Single-story; Faces east; Slab foundation; Property type with stone, HardiPlank and wood frame construction
  • Construction: Built by builder; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Satellite dish; Mature trees; Sloped topography; Less than 1 mile to water (Texoma Lake)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in range; Range; Oven; Gas oven connection; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Icemaker / plumbed for icemaker; Tankless and gas water heater
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (Gas, Heat Pump); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Attic; Granite counters; High ceilings; Vaulted ceilings; High-speed internet; Wired for data; Ceiling fans; Gas range/oven connections; Storm windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $375k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-627 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $264k (29.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (40.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $224k (40.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#251 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Kingston (rural): math 27% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #70 of 270 in OK (top 26%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Kingston Es (math 33% / reading 32%, grade F, #210 of 845 statewide, top 25%, 620 students, 0% FRL); Kingston Ms (math 23% / reading 34%, grade F, #57 of 345 statewide, top 18%, 286 students, 0% FRL); Kingston Hs (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #150 of 447 statewide, top 48%, 362 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 76% district-wide (76 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 436 active listings in the ZIP; 42 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $40k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $38k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Marshall County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$64k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($341k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $224,167 (40.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.60%
Cap rate
4.29%
Cash-on-cash
-7.16%
DSCR
0.68
GRM
13.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$406,232
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6946 Red Oak Dr 0.28mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,970 (-0%) 0mo $405,000 $206 74
7039 Live Oak Dr 0.18mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,838 (-7%) 12mo $390,000 $212 58
11348 Chinkapin Oak Ct 0.39mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,813 (-8%) 13mo $360,000 $199 44
11144 Spanish Oak Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,855 (-6%) 21mo $320,000 $173 31
10997 Mystic Oak Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,769 (-10%) 11mo $300,000 $170 28
11266 Blackjack Oak Cir 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,682 (-15%) 11mo $375,000 $223 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.2%
Equity multiple
2.56×
Total profit
$164,234
Equity at exit
$337,830
10-year hold
IRR
17.7%
Equity multiple
5.90×
Total profit
$514,863
Equity at exit
$728,543

Cash invested: $105,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73439

Home prices YoY
12.3%
Active inventory
436
Price-to-rent
13.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,242 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,967
Tax from tax record
$243 /mo · $2,914/yr
Insurance
$156
HOA
$32
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$471
Net cashflow
$-627

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,035
Max offer price $264,290
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-414 -5% $-521 +0% $-627 +5% $-733 +10% $-839
Rent -10% $-804 -5% $-715 +0% $-627 +5% $-538 +10% $-450
Rate -1.0pp $-438 -0.5pp $-531 base $-627 +0.5pp $-724 +1.0pp $-823

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$93,750
Closing costs
$11,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$32 · $384/yr
Likely covers
gassecurity

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $375,000 Active 120 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $375,000 Active 118 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $375,000 Active 117 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $375,000 Active 116 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $375,000 Active 115 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $375,000 Active 114 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $375,000 Active 112 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $375,000 Active 111 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $375,000 Active 109 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $375,000 Active 108 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $375,000 Active 107 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $375,000 Active 106 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $375,000 Active 103 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $375,000 Active 101 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $375,000 Active 100 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    pricedays on market $375,000 Active 99 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $385,000 Active 98 DOM
  18. 2026-05-16
    price $385,000
  19. 2026-04-14
    price $399,000
  20. 2026-02-21
    listed $405,000 Active
  21. 2023-06-08
    soldstatus $330,000 Closed 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    2021 BUILT IN OAK RIDGE GATED COMMUNITY. HOME HAS 4 BEDROOMS, 2 FULL BATHS, SECURITY SYSTEM, NATURAL GAS HEAT & AIR, GAS HEATER TANKLESS, GAS FIREPLACE. HOME SITS ON . 23 ACRE LOT AND JUST 1/4 MILE FROM CHICKASAW POINTE GOLF COURSE AND CATFISH BAY MARINA.

  22. 2023-04-15
    status Pending 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    2021 BUILT IN OAK RIDGE GATED COMMUNITY. HOME HAS 4 BEDROOMS, 2 FULL BATHS, SECURITY SYSTEM, NATURAL GAS HEAT & AIR, GAS HEATER TANKLESS, GAS FIREPLACE. HOME SITS ON . 23 ACRE LOT AND JUST 1/4 MILE FROM CHICKASAW POINTE GOLF COURSE AND CATFISH BAY MARINA.

  23. 2023-03-07
    status Active 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    2021 BUILT IN OAK RIDGE GATED COMMUNITY. HOME HAS 4 BEDROOMS, 2 FULL BATHS, SECURITY SYSTEM, NATURAL GAS HEAT & AIR, GAS HEATER TANKLESS, GAS FIREPLACE. HOME SITS ON . 23 ACRE LOT AND JUST 1/4 MILE FROM CHICKASAW POINTE GOLF COURSE AND CATFISH BAY MARINA.

  24. 2023-01-18
    soldstatus $332,000
  25. 2023-01-15
    status Pending 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    2021 BUILT IN OAK RIDGE GATED COMMUNITY. HOME HAS 4 BEDROOMS, 2 FULL BATHS, SECURITY SYSTEM, NATURAL GAS HEAT & AIR, GAS HEATER TANKLESS, GAS FIREPLACE. HOME SITS ON . 23 ACRE LOT AND JUST 1/4 MILE FROM CHICKASAW POINTE GOLF COURSE AND CATFISH BAY MARINA.

  26. 2022-12-11
    price $334,000 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    2021 BUILT IN OAK RIDGE GATED COMMUNITY. HOME HAS 4 BEDROOMS, 2 FULL BATHS, SECURITY SYSTEM, NATURAL GAS HEAT & AIR, GAS HEATER TANKLESS, GAS FIREPLACE. HOME SITS ON . 23 ACRE LOT AND JUST 1/4 MILE FROM CHICKASAW POINTE GOLF COURSE AND CATFISH BAY MARINA.

  27. 2022-11-29
    price $339,000 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    2021 BUILT IN OAK RIDGE GATED COMMUNITY. HOME HAS 4 BEDROOMS, 2 FULL BATHS, SECURITY SYSTEM, NATURAL GAS HEAT & AIR, GAS HEATER TANKLESS, GAS FIREPLACE. HOME SITS ON . 23 ACRE LOT AND JUST 1/4 MILE FROM CHICKASAW POINTE GOLF COURSE AND CATFISH BAY MARINA.

  28. 2022-11-14
    listed $349,000 Active 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    2021 BUILT IN OAK RIDGE GATED COMMUNITY. HOME HAS 4 BEDROOMS, 2 FULL BATHS, SECURITY SYSTEM, NATURAL GAS HEAT & AIR, GAS HEATER TANKLESS, GAS FIREPLACE. HOME SITS ON . 23 ACRE LOT AND JUST 1/4 MILE FROM CHICKASAW POINTE GOLF COURSE AND CATFISH BAY MARINA.

  29. 2007-04-09
    soldstatus $5,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,914 · $243/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,375 · $281/mo
Expected delta
+$461/yr (+$38/mo · 15.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,900
− Mortgage interest
−$21,006
− Property taxes
−$2,914
− Insurance
−$1,875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,152
− Management
−$2,152
− HOA
−$384
− Depreciation
−$10,909
Taxable loss
−$14,492
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,478
After-tax cash flow
$-4,042/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kingston
NCES district ID
4016590
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$40,655
Composite
24.88/100
National rank
#7585
State rank
#70 of 270 in OK

Livability — Kingston

Score
62/100
State rank
#251
US rank
#16664

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
7,011

Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,405 people
By 2030
18,038 · +3.6%
By 2040
19,513 · +12.1%
By 2050
21,283 · +22.3%
By 2075
27,884 · +60.2%
By 2100
35,435 · +103.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Two or more races 16% Native American 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Marshall

2024 margin
Solid R (+63.4) · D 17.7% · R 81.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-24.6pp toward R · 2008: -38.8pp · 2024: -63.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+63.4 2020: R+62.5 2016: R+56.6 2012: R+45.7 2008: R+38.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 26.96%
Current HPI
246.2253
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+7600.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Price Changed $385,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $399,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-02-21 Listed $405,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2023-06-08 Sold (MLS) $330,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2023-04-15 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2023-03-07 Relisted MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2023-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $332,000 Public Records
  • 2023-01-15 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-12-11 Price Changed $334,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-11-29 Price Changed $339,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-11-14 Listed $349,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2007-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+44.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,914 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…