1450 N Dixie Downs Rd #51 · St. George, UT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $453 – $841
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.9/30.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Remodeled and Move-In Ready on a RENTED LOT! This clean and well-cared-for home sits close to the front with extra parking just next door. Recent updates include flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, paint, showers/bathrooms. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood with combined HOA fees and lot rent totaling $600 per month including water and sewer. Close to many amenities. Great buy! Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information. Home can be added onto via approval from property management.
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- Extra parking
- Remodeled
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $600 monthly fee; Association includes water and sewer; Community amenities include a playground; sewer is paid
Exterior
- Utilities: Culinary water; Association covers water and sewer
- Home design: Mobile home; Single-family use; Built/standing
- Construction: Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Open porch; Exterior lighting; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on the 1st floor); Total of 8 rooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling
- Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-74 ($-893/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $109k (9.0% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Washington District (urban): math 42% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #37 of 80 in UT (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Red Mountain School (math 32% / reading 33%, grade F, #416 of 585 statewide, top 71%, 434 students, 59% FRL); Lava Ridge Intermediate (math 43% / reading 40%, grade F, #61 of 138 statewide, top 47%, 815 students, 42% FRL); Snow Canyon High (math 32% / reading 48%, grade F, #62 of 171 statewide, top 36%, 1,266 students, 30% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 779 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,140 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.66%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-24,783
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- -16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.10×
- Total profit
- $-30,115
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Utah
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 84770
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 779
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,715 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$600
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$360
- Net cashflow
- $-74
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $9 | -5% $-33 | +0% $-74 | +5% $-116 | +10% $-157 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-210 | -5% $-142 | +0% $-74 | +5% $-7 | +10% $61 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-14 | -0.5pp $-44 | base $-74 | +0.5pp $-105 | +1.0pp $-137 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1711 W 1300 N Saint George, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,550 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1664 N Dixie Downs Rd Unit 2 St. George, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,700 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1591 W 1170 N Unit 24 St. George, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1314 | $1,588 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1090 N 1800 West Cir Unit 4 St. George, UT | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1450 | $1,725 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1503 N 2100 W Saint George, UT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 693 | $1,300 | $1.88 | 15d | 5 | 0.48mi |
| 1741 W 950 N St. George, UT | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1028 | $1,500 | $1.46 | 15d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1308 W 1130 N #2 St George, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,695 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1660 W Sunset Blvd Saint George, UT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 909 | $1,399 | $1.54 | 23d | 3 | 0.62mi |
| 1040 N 1300 W #89 St. George, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,795 | $1.63 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1151 W 540 N Unit 4 St. George, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 340 N Country Ln #65 Saint George, UT | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1290 | $1,800 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1180 W 425 N Saint George, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,250 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 260 N Dixie Dr Saint George, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1123 | $1,975 | $1.76 | 23d | 18 | 1.39mi |
| 260 N Dixie Dr Saint George, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1187 | $1,950 | $1.64 | 15d | 20 | 1.39mi |
| 776 Diagonal St #52 St George, UT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $1,325 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 438 N Stone Mountain Dr #1 Saint George, UT | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1483 | $1,950 | $1.31 | 15d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $600 · $7,200/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewer
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-30days on market $120,000 Active 163 DOM
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2026-04-16price $120,000
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Remodeled and Move-In Ready on a RENTED LOT! This clean and well-cared-for home sits close to the front with extra parking just next door. Recent updates include flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, paint, showers/bathrooms. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood with combined HOA fees and lot rent totaling $600 per month including water and sewer. Close to many amenities. Great buy! Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information. Home can be added onto via approval from property management.
-
2026-04-16price $120,000 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Remodeled and Move-In Ready on a RENTED LOT! This clean and well-cared-for home sits close to the front with extra parking just next door. Recent updates include flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, paint, showers/bathrooms. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood with combined HOA fees and lot rent totaling $600 per month including water and sewer. Close to many amenities. Great buy! Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information. Home can be added onto via approval from property management.
-
2026-03-23price $130,000
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Remodeled and Move-In Ready on a RENTED LOT! This clean and well-cared-for home sits close to the front with extra parking just next door. Recent updates include flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, paint, showers/bathrooms. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood with combined HOA fees and lot rent totaling $600 per month including water and sewer. Close to many amenities. Great buy! Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information. Home can be added onto via approval from property management.
-
2026-03-23price $130,000 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Remodeled and Move-In Ready on a RENTED LOT! This clean and well-cared-for home sits close to the front with extra parking just next door. Recent updates include flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, paint, showers/bathrooms. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood with combined HOA fees and lot rent totaling $600 per month including water and sewer. Close to many amenities. Great buy! Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information. Home can be added onto via approval from property management.
-
2026-03-11status Active 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Remodeled and Move-In Ready on a RENTED LOT! This clean and well-cared-for home sits close to the front with extra parking just next door. Recent updates include flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, paint, showers/bathrooms. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood with combined HOA fees and lot rent totaling $600 per month including water and sewer. Close to many amenities. Great buy! Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information. Home can be added onto via approval from property management.
-
2026-03-11status Active
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Remodeled and Move-In Ready on a RENTED LOT! This clean and well-cared-for home sits close to the front with extra parking just next door. Recent updates include flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, paint, showers/bathrooms. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood with combined HOA fees and lot rent totaling $600 per month including water and sewer. Close to many amenities. Great buy! Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information. Home can be added onto via approval from property management.
-
2026-03-05status Under Contract
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Remodeled and Move-In Ready on a RENTED LOT! This clean and well-cared-for home sits close to the front with extra parking just next door. Recent updates include flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, paint, showers/bathrooms. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood with combined HOA fees and lot rent totaling $600 per month including water and sewer. Close to many amenities. Great buy! Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information. Home can be added onto via approval from property management.
-
2026-03-05status Pending 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Remodeled and Move-In Ready on a RENTED LOT! This clean and well-cared-for home sits close to the front with extra parking just next door. Recent updates include flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, paint, showers/bathrooms. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood with combined HOA fees and lot rent totaling $600 per month including water and sewer. Close to many amenities. Great buy! Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information. Home can be added onto via approval from property management.
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2026-02-04price $145,000 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Remodeled and Move-In Ready on a RENTED LOT! This clean and well-cared-for home sits close to the front with extra parking just next door. Recent updates include flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, paint, showers/bathrooms. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood with combined HOA fees and lot rent totaling $600 per month including water and sewer. Close to many amenities. Great buy! Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information. Home can be added onto via approval from property management.
-
2026-02-04price $145,000
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Remodeled and Move-In Ready on a RENTED LOT! This clean and well-cared-for home sits close to the front with extra parking just next door. Recent updates include flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, paint, showers/bathrooms. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood with combined HOA fees and lot rent totaling $600 per month including water and sewer. Close to many amenities. Great buy! Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information. Home can be added onto via approval from property management.
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2025-12-12$150,000 Active
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2025-12-10$150,000 Active 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Remodeled and Move-In Ready on a RENTED LOT! This clean and well-cared-for home sits close to the front with extra parking just next door. Recent updates include flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, paint, showers/bathrooms. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood with combined HOA fees and lot rent totaling $600 per month including water and sewer. Close to many amenities. Great buy! Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information. Home can be added onto via approval from property management.
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2023-11-15historical
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2001-04-18$25,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,581
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,800
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,646
- − Management
- −$1,646
- − HOA
- −$7,200
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$2,525
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$606
- After-tax cash flow
- $-287/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washington District
- NCES district ID
- 4901140
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,861
- Composite
- 37.47/100
- National rank
- #4408
- State rank
- #37 of 80 in UT
Livability — St. George
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. George, UT
- County
- Washington County · 179,216 people
- City population
- 101,579
- Metro
- St. George, UT
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,397
- Household income
- $70,024
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1605.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 193,324 people
- By 2030
- 211,699 · +9.5%
- By 2040
- 246,449 · +27.5%
- By 2050
- 278,447 · +44.0%
- By 2075
- 342,734 · +77.3%
- By 2100
- 382,815 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 6% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 8% Slovak 4% Scottish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.3) · D 23.0% · R 75.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.2pp toward D · 2008: -53.5pp · 2024: -52.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.3 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+52.1 2012: R+67.0 2008: R+53.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -356.86%
- Current HPI
- 234.9418
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.42%
- Metro
- St. George, UT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
+363.3% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $120,000 WFRMLS
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $120,000 WCBOR
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $130,000 WFRMLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $130,000 WCBOR
- 2026-03-11 Relisted — WCBOR
- 2026-03-11 Relisted — WFRMLS
- 2026-03-05 Pending — WFRMLS
- 2026-03-05 Pending — WCBOR
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $145,000 WCBOR
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $145,000 WFRMLS
- 2025-12-12 Listed $150,000 WFRMLS
- 2025-12-10 Listed $150,000 WCBOR
- 2023-11-15 Listing Removed — WFRMLS
- 2001-04-18 Listed $25,900 WFRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…