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D Composite 41.37
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.9/30.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

1450 N Dixie Downs Rd #51 · St. George, UT 84770
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,180 sqft · Manufactured · 163 Days on market
Built 1986 435 sqft lot $600/mo HOA · 35% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Remodeled and Move-In Ready on a RENTED LOT! This clean and well-cared-for home sits close to the front with extra parking just next door. Recent updates include flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, paint, showers/bathrooms. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood with combined HOA fees and lot rent totaling $600 per month including water and sewer. Close to many amenities. Great buy! Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information. Home can be added onto via approval from property management.

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Extra parking
  • Remodeled

Tags

REMODELEDMOVE-IN READYEXTRA PARKINGRECENT UPDATESCLOSE TO MANY AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $600 monthly fee; Association includes water and sewer; Community amenities include a playground; sewer is paid

Exterior

  • Utilities: Culinary water; Association covers water and sewer
  • Home design: Mobile home; Single-family use; Built/standing
  • Construction: Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Open porch; Exterior lighting; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on the 1st floor); Total of 8 rooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling
  • Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-74 ($-893/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $109k (9.0% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Washington District (urban): math 42% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #37 of 80 in UT (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Red Mountain School (math 32% / reading 33%, grade F, #416 of 585 statewide, top 71%, 434 students, 59% FRL); Lava Ridge Intermediate (math 43% / reading 40%, grade F, #61 of 138 statewide, top 47%, 815 students, 42% FRL); Snow Canyon High (math 32% / reading 48%, grade F, #62 of 171 statewide, top 36%, 1,266 students, 30% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 779 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,140 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washington County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
5.55%
Cash-on-cash
-2.66%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.4%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-24,783
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
-16.6%
Equity multiple
0.10×
Total profit
$-30,115
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Utah
86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 84770

Rents YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
779
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,715 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax est. 1.5%
$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$600
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$360
Net cashflow
$-74

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,809
Max offer price $109,236
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $9 -5% $-33 +0% $-74 +5% $-116 +10% $-157
Rent -10% $-210 -5% $-142 +0% $-74 +5% $-7 +10% $61
Rate -1.0pp $-14 -0.5pp $-44 base $-74 +0.5pp $-105 +1.0pp $-137

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1711 W 1300 N Saint George, UT 2.0 1.0 1120 $1,550 $1.38 23d 1 0.16mi
1664 N Dixie Downs Rd Unit 2 St. George, UT 3.0 2.5 1480 $1,700 $1.15 23d 1 0.29mi
1591 W 1170 N Unit 24 St. George, UT 3.0 2.5 1314 $1,588 $1.21 23d 1 0.39mi
1090 N 1800 West Cir Unit 4 St. George, UT 4.0 2.5 1450 $1,725 $1.19 23d 1 0.43mi
1503 N 2100 W Saint George, UT 1.0–2.0 1.0 693 $1,300 $1.88 15d 5 0.48mi
1741 W 950 N St. George, UT 2.0 1.5 1028 $1,500 $1.46 15d 1 0.58mi
1308 W 1130 N #2 St George, UT 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,695 $1.30 15d 1 0.61mi
1660 W Sunset Blvd Saint George, UT 2.0 2.0 909 $1,399 $1.54 23d 3 0.62mi
1040 N 1300 W #89 St. George, UT 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,795 $1.63 23d 1 0.74mi
1151 W 540 N Unit 4 St. George, UT 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,295 $1.29 23d 1 1.32mi
340 N Country Ln #65 Saint George, UT 2.0 3.0 1290 $1,800 $1.40 15d 1 1.37mi
1180 W 425 N Saint George, UT 2.0 1.0 850 $1,250 $1.47 23d 1 1.37mi
260 N Dixie Dr Saint George, UT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1123 $1,975 $1.76 23d 18 1.39mi
260 N Dixie Dr Saint George, UT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1187 $1,950 $1.64 15d 20 1.39mi
776 Diagonal St #52 St George, UT 2.0 2.0 1076 $1,325 $1.23 15d 1 1.40mi
438 N Stone Mountain Dr #1 Saint George, UT 4.0 2.5 1483 $1,950 $1.31 15d 1 1.41mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$600 · $7,200/yr
Likely covers
watersewer

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-30
    days on market $120,000 Active 163 DOM
  2. 2026-04-16
    price $120,000
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Remodeled and Move-In Ready on a RENTED LOT! This clean and well-cared-for home sits close to the front with extra parking just next door. Recent updates include flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, paint, showers/bathrooms. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood with combined HOA fees and lot rent totaling $600 per month including water and sewer. Close to many amenities. Great buy! Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information. Home can be added onto via approval from property management.

  3. 2026-04-16
    price $120,000 504-char remark
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Remodeled and Move-In Ready on a RENTED LOT! This clean and well-cared-for home sits close to the front with extra parking just next door. Recent updates include flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, paint, showers/bathrooms. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood with combined HOA fees and lot rent totaling $600 per month including water and sewer. Close to many amenities. Great buy! Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information. Home can be added onto via approval from property management.

  4. 2026-03-23
    price $130,000
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Remodeled and Move-In Ready on a RENTED LOT! This clean and well-cared-for home sits close to the front with extra parking just next door. Recent updates include flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, paint, showers/bathrooms. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood with combined HOA fees and lot rent totaling $600 per month including water and sewer. Close to many amenities. Great buy! Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information. Home can be added onto via approval from property management.

  5. 2026-03-23
    price $130,000 504-char remark
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Remodeled and Move-In Ready on a RENTED LOT! This clean and well-cared-for home sits close to the front with extra parking just next door. Recent updates include flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, paint, showers/bathrooms. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood with combined HOA fees and lot rent totaling $600 per month including water and sewer. Close to many amenities. Great buy! Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information. Home can be added onto via approval from property management.

  6. 2026-03-11
    status Active 504-char remark
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Remodeled and Move-In Ready on a RENTED LOT! This clean and well-cared-for home sits close to the front with extra parking just next door. Recent updates include flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, paint, showers/bathrooms. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood with combined HOA fees and lot rent totaling $600 per month including water and sewer. Close to many amenities. Great buy! Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information. Home can be added onto via approval from property management.

  7. 2026-03-11
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Remodeled and Move-In Ready on a RENTED LOT! This clean and well-cared-for home sits close to the front with extra parking just next door. Recent updates include flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, paint, showers/bathrooms. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood with combined HOA fees and lot rent totaling $600 per month including water and sewer. Close to many amenities. Great buy! Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information. Home can be added onto via approval from property management.

  8. 2026-03-05
    status Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Remodeled and Move-In Ready on a RENTED LOT! This clean and well-cared-for home sits close to the front with extra parking just next door. Recent updates include flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, paint, showers/bathrooms. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood with combined HOA fees and lot rent totaling $600 per month including water and sewer. Close to many amenities. Great buy! Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information. Home can be added onto via approval from property management.

  9. 2026-03-05
    status Pending 504-char remark
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Remodeled and Move-In Ready on a RENTED LOT! This clean and well-cared-for home sits close to the front with extra parking just next door. Recent updates include flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, paint, showers/bathrooms. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood with combined HOA fees and lot rent totaling $600 per month including water and sewer. Close to many amenities. Great buy! Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information. Home can be added onto via approval from property management.

  10. 2026-02-04
    price $145,000 504-char remark
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Remodeled and Move-In Ready on a RENTED LOT! This clean and well-cared-for home sits close to the front with extra parking just next door. Recent updates include flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, paint, showers/bathrooms. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood with combined HOA fees and lot rent totaling $600 per month including water and sewer. Close to many amenities. Great buy! Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information. Home can be added onto via approval from property management.

  11. 2026-02-04
    price $145,000
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Remodeled and Move-In Ready on a RENTED LOT! This clean and well-cared-for home sits close to the front with extra parking just next door. Recent updates include flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, paint, showers/bathrooms. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood with combined HOA fees and lot rent totaling $600 per month including water and sewer. Close to many amenities. Great buy! Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information. Home can be added onto via approval from property management.

  12. 2025-12-12
    listed $150,000 Active
  13. 2025-12-10
    listed $150,000 Active 504-char remark
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Remodeled and Move-In Ready on a RENTED LOT! This clean and well-cared-for home sits close to the front with extra parking just next door. Recent updates include flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, paint, showers/bathrooms. Located in a quiet, friendly neighborhood with combined HOA fees and lot rent totaling $600 per month including water and sewer. Close to many amenities. Great buy! Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information. Home can be added onto via approval from property management.

  14. 2023-11-15
    historical
  15. 2001-04-18
    listed $25,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,581
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,800
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,646
− Management
−$1,646
− HOA
−$7,200
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable loss
−$2,525
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$606
After-tax cash flow
$-287/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Washington District
NCES district ID
4901140
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$50,861
Composite
37.47/100
National rank
#4408
State rank
#37 of 80 in UT

Livability — St. George

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. George, UT
County
Washington County · 179,216 people
City population
101,579
Metro
St. George, UT
Population (ZIP)
48,397
Household income
$70,024
Rent vs Own
39.6% rent · 60.4% own
Severe rent burden
1605.0

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
193,324 people
By 2030
211,699 · +9.5%
By 2040
246,449 · +27.5%
By 2050
278,447 · +44.0%
By 2075
342,734 · +77.3%
By 2100
382,815 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 6% Native American 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Italian 8% Slovak 4% Scottish 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.3) · D 23.0% · R 75.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+1.2pp toward D · 2008: -53.5pp · 2024: -52.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.3 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+52.1 2012: R+67.0 2008: R+53.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -356.86%
Current HPI
234.9418
Rent YoY
▲ 2.42%
Metro
St. George, UT
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.54%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+363.3% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $120,000 WFRMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $120,000 WCBOR
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $130,000 WFRMLS
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $130,000 WCBOR
  • 2026-03-11 Relisted WCBOR
  • 2026-03-11 Relisted WFRMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Pending WFRMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Pending WCBOR
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $145,000 WCBOR
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $145,000 WFRMLS
  • 2025-12-12 Listed $150,000 WFRMLS
  • 2025-12-10 Listed $150,000 WCBOR
  • 2023-11-15 Listing Removed WFRMLS
  • 2001-04-18 Listed $25,900 WFRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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