2661 Bamboo St · St. James City, FL
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$335,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
DOUBLE LOT GULF-ACCESS OPPORTUNITY--SELL ONE, REMODEL HOUSE ON THE OTHER OR BUILD NEW Rare waterfront offering in St. James City with 2 separate lots with direct access and no bridges to open water. This is a true lot-value investment opportunity-keep both parcels for an expansive new home build, continue remodeling existing structure with plans and permits provided by the Seller or sell one lot and recoup a significant portion of your investment. This property features a concrete seawall, carport, and storage shed, with immediate boating access to open water. The existing elevated 2-bedroom, 1-bath structure (832 sq. ft. under air) was impacted by Hurricane Ian and has since been raised a
Key facts
- Direct gulf access
- Concrete seawall
- Carport
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: No association fee; Community boat facilities
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport (1 covered space)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-story; Entry level: 2; Faces east; Known damage noted
- Construction: Wood frame construction; Metal roof; Raised foundation; Built on a 0.261-acre lot with surveyed dimensions
- Exterior features: Storage; West exposure; Has view; Waterfront with canal access on navigable water
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Single-hung windows; Unfurnished; Other interior features (see remarks)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $335k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-22 ($-263/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $331k (1.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $326k (2.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $315k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.9% in St. James City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 287 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.18%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-55,461
- Equity at exit
- $49,950
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-49,198
- Equity at exit
- $28,965
Cash invested: $93,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33956
- Home prices YoY
- -16.3%
- Active inventory
- 287
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,256 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,757
- Tax from tax record
- −$271 /mo · $3,253/yr
- Insurance
- −$140
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$684
- Net cashflow
- $-22
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $83,750
- Closing costs
- $10,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3864 Royal Palm Dr Saint James City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,650 | $1.72 | 23d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2744 Sanderling Ct Saint James City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $5,300 | $6.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 3103 Harpoon Ln Saint James City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1094 | $3,000 | $2.74 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $335,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $335,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $335,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $335,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $335,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $335,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $335,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $335,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $335,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $335,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $335,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $335,000
-
2026-04-24status Active
-
2026-03-01status Pending
-
2026-01-16$385,000 Active
-
2021-08-31soldstatus $324,500
-
1977-03-01soldstatus $19,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,253 · $271/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,253 · $271/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,069
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,765
- − Property taxes
- −$3,253
- − Insurance
- −$6,794
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,125
- − Management
- −$3,125
- − Depreciation
- −$9,745
- Taxable loss
- −$5,739
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,377
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,114/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — St. James City
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. James City, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,846
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Pacific Islander 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 4% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% German/W. Germanic 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.47%
- Current HPI
- 300.1416
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1663.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $335,000 FORTMLS
- 2026-04-24 Relisted — FORTMLS
- 2026-03-01 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2026-01-16 Listed $385,000 FORTMLS
- 2021-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $324,500 Public Records
- 1977-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,253 · -24.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…