1575 Gobblers Knob Rd · Seelyville, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home near Seelyville, just minutes from Terre Haute or Brazil. This home features two living rooms, a family room, kitchen, dining area, & a sun room off the back of the house. The front living room has a gas log fireplace and the family room has a wood stove. Enjoy the pleasant views on two rolling parcels totaling three quarters of an acre. A two car detached garage with lean-to and cellar storage underneath completes this property! Cash or possibly a conventional loan. Take a look with your Realtor today!
Key facts
- Wood stove
- Cellar storage
- Sun room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $168 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (2.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $150k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#427 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Vigo County School Corporation (urban): math 32% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #202 of 301 in IN (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 177 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 60 units permitted in Vigo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Vigo County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.66%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $208,532
- List price
- $155,000
- Delta
- -25.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.09% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-12,717
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $9,760
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47803
- Home prices YoY
- -28.6%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 177
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,513 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,796/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $168
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2551 N Baker St Terre Haute, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1892 | $2,400 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $155,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $155,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $155,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $165,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $165,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $165,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-05status Active 556-char remark
Show marketing remark (556 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home near Seelyville, just minutes from Terre Haute or Brazil. This home features two living rooms, a family room, kitchen, dining area, & a sun room off the back of the house. The front living room has a gas log fireplace and the family room has a wood stove. Enjoy the pleasant views on two rolling parcels totaling three quarters of an acre. A two car detached garage with lean-to and cellar storage underneath completes this property! Cash or possibly a conventional loan. Take a look with your Realtor today!
-
2026-04-26status Pending 556-char remark
Show marketing remark (556 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home near Seelyville, just minutes from Terre Haute or Brazil. This home features two living rooms, a family room, kitchen, dining area, & a sun room off the back of the house. The front living room has a gas log fireplace and the family room has a wood stove. Enjoy the pleasant views on two rolling parcels totaling three quarters of an acre. A two car detached garage with lean-to and cellar storage underneath completes this property! Cash or possibly a conventional loan. Take a look with your Realtor today!
-
2026-04-20$165,000 Active 556-char remark
Show marketing remark (556 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home near Seelyville, just minutes from Terre Haute or Brazil. This home features two living rooms, a family room, kitchen, dining area, & a sun room off the back of the house. The front living room has a gas log fireplace and the family room has a wood stove. Enjoy the pleasant views on two rolling parcels totaling three quarters of an acre. A two car detached garage with lean-to and cellar storage underneath completes this property! Cash or possibly a conventional loan. Take a look with your Realtor today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,796 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,796 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,160
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$1,796
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,453
- − Management
- −$1,453
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$508
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$122
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,143/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vigo County School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1812090
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,100
- Composite
- 28.97/100
- National rank
- #6625
- State rank
- #202 of 301 in IN
Livability — Seelyville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #427
- US rank
- #15395
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Seelyville, IN
- County
- Vigo County · 91,193 people
- Metro
- Terre Haute, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,746
- Household income
- $60,565
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 571.0
Population outlook (Vigo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,366 people
- By 2030
- 105,674 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 103,731 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 101,200 · -4.9%
- By 2075
- 95,674 · -10.1%
- By 2100
- 85,910 · -19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Asian 5% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Chinese 2% Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vigo
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.1) · D 40.0% · R 58.1% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.8pp · 2024: -18.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.1 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+15.2 2012: D+0.8 2008: D+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -69.70%
- Current HPI
- 173.6547
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.09%
- Metro
- Terre Haute, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — THAAR
- 2026-04-26 Pending — THAAR
- 2026-04-20 Listed $165,000 THAAR
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2024): $1,796 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…