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1370 Dunns Ct
F Composite 18.17
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.2/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Cash flow +0.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$679,900

1370 Dunns Ct · Fox Lake, IL 60020
3 bd · 4.0 ba · 4,383 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1998 1.25 ac lot Est $675k · at est. $27/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Tucked away on a quiet cul-de-sac in Dunn's Lake Estates, this custom-built home sits on 1.25 private acres offering the perfect blend of privacy, luxury, and lake lifestyle living. Soaring ceilings and a dramatic wall of windows fill the home with natural light while overlooking the expansive deck, firepit, and peaceful backyard retreat. The spacious kitchen offers oak cabinetry, a center island, and generous dining space ideal for entertaining. Upstairs features 3 bedrooms including a spacious primary suite with a walk-in closet, private bath, and balcony retreat. Main floor office or 4th bedroom offers added flexibility. Fully finished basement with family room, bar area, full bathroom a

Key facts

  • Private acres
  • Oak cabinetry
  • Firepit

Tags

QUIET CUL-DE-SACPRIVATE ACRESEXPANSIVE DECKFIREPITBACKYARD RETREATOAK CABINETRY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: School bus service; Parcel number on file
  • HOA & community: Annual association fee ($325) covering insurance and lake rights; Community amenities include lake access, dock, curbs, street lights and paved streets

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; Asphalt driveway; 3 garage/total parking spaces
  • Security: Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 200+ amp electrical service with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Two stories; Custom model; Fee-simple ownership with homeowner association
  • Construction: Built approximately 26–30 years ago; Brick and cedar exterior; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation
  • Exterior features: Large deck; Boat slip; Wooded lot; Cul-de-sac location; Water rights

Interior

  • Kitchen: Island, breakfast bar and eating area; Range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (master suite on the second floor; other bedrooms on main and second levels)
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring in main living areas; Carpet in bedrooms and closets
  • Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms; Soaking tub, separate shower, double sinks
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning; Humidifier; CO detectors; Radon mitigation system
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom and first-floor full bath; Walk-in closets; Beamed ceilings; Skylights and window screens; Finished full basement with recreation/family area; Separate dining room
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Washer and dryer included; Water-softener (owned), sump pump

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $680k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-41k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $225k (67.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (70.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $200k (70.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 0.3% vs local median 6.0% in Fox Lake — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#247 in IL, #4,462 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A; Watch: amenities D+, health & safety F.
  • Grant Chsd 124 (suburban): math 23% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #296 of 620 in IL (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Grant Community High School (math 23% / reading 27%, grade F, #247 of 693 statewide, top 36%, 1,837 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($670k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $282k; list at $680k implies a 141% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $199,823 (70.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.29%
Cap rate
0.26%
Cash-on-cash
-21.55%
DSCR
0.04
GRM
28.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$674,982
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1176 Deerpath Ct 0.58mi 3/3.0 4,220 (-4%) 18mo $485,300 $115 48
1181 Deerpath Ct 0.55mi 4/3.0 (+1) 4,135 (-6%) 10mo $638,750 $154 48
7208 Viscaya Dr 0.47mi 4/3.0 (+1) 3,973 (-9%) 23mo $640,000 $161 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-62.0%
Equity multiple
-0.72×
Total profit
$-327,730
Equity at exit
$101,375
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
-1.97×
Total profit
$-564,927
Equity at exit
$58,785

Cash invested: $190,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60020

Home prices YoY
-30.7%
Active inventory
78
Price-to-rent
28.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,998 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,565
Tax from tax record
$1,122 /mo · $13,465/yr
Insurance
$283
HOA
$27
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$420
Net cashflow
$-3,419

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,326
Max offer price $224,519
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$169,975
Closing costs
$20,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$27 · $324/yr

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $679,900 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $679,900 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $679,900 Active 24 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $679,900 Active 23 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $679,900 Active 21 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $679,900 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $679,900 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $679,900 Active 15 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on market $679,900 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $689,900 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $689,900 Active 10 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $689,900 Active 9 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $689,900 Active 8 DOM
  14. 2026-05-23
    listed $689,900 Active
  15. 2022-04-08
    historical
  16. 2022-03-17
    listed Active
  17. 2022-01-06
    historical
  18. 2021-11-13
    listed Active
  19. 2019-05-15
    soldstatus $282,500
  20. 2019-04-30
    soldstatus $282,500 Closed Sale
  21. 2019-03-21
    historical Contingent
  22. 2019-03-05
    listed $295,000 New
  23. 2019-03-05
    historical
  24. 2019-02-20
    listed New
  25. 2019-02-20
    historical
  26. 2018-09-21
    listed New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$13,465 · $1,122/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$14,449 · $1,204/mo
Expected delta
+$985/yr (+$82/mo · 7.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,979
− Mortgage interest
−$38,085
− Property taxes
−$13,465
− Insurance
−$3,400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,918
− Management
−$1,918
− HOA
−$324
− Depreciation
−$19,779
Taxable loss
−$54,910
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$13,178
After-tax cash flow
$-27,852/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Grant Chsd 124
NCES district ID
1717340
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$59,450
Composite
22.95/100
National rank
#7989
State rank
#296 of 620 in IL

Livability — Fox Lake

Score
74/100
State rank
#247
US rank
#4462

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fox Lake, IL
City population
10,846
Population (ZIP)
10,846

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
700,217 people
By 2030
693,290 · -1.0%
By 2040
673,588 · -3.8%
By 2050
643,556 · -8.1%
By 2075
562,792 · -19.6%
By 2100
457,715 · -34.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 15% Portuguese 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.8) · D 59.7% · R 38.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+1.1pp toward D · 2008: 19.6pp · 2024: 20.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.8 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+20.3 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+19.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.19%
Current HPI
219.6301
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+133.9% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Listed $689,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-04-08 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-17 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-01-06 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-13 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $282,500 Public Records
  • 2019-04-30 Sold (MLS) $282,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-03-21 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-03-05 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-03-05 Listed $295,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-02-20 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-02-20 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-09-21 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $13,465 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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