1505 N Hyde Park Ave · Durham, NC
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
2 bed/1 bath duplex with long terms tenants available for your investment. Tenants are month to month and would like to stay. Right around the corner from Drew/ Granby Park with access to the new R Kelly Bryant Bridge Trail and East End Park & Long Meadow Park with splash pads and pool. Gutters installed 2021. Unit B had interior painted 2022, tenants enlarged back deck on their own (no railing). Entire lot is in flood plain and flood insurance is required. In 2021, inspection noted termite tunnels and inactive powder post beetles in crawl space and termites were treated 2026.
Key facts
- Interior painted
- Enlarged back deck
- Gutters installed
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 34 x 124 (0.1 acre)
- Financial info: Two-unit property (2 total units). Owner pays none of the unit expenses.
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Duplex; One level; One common wall
- Construction: Wood siding construction; Shingle roof; 1 building
- Exterior features: Porch
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Vinyl flooring; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $936 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $468/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $195k).
- Recommended offer: $172k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 3.0% in Durham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#15 in NC, #1,411 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Durham Public Schools (urban): math 29% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #132 of 178 in NC (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Riverside High (math 49% / reading 42%, grade D-, #347 of 535 statewide, top 65%, 1,812 students, 51% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,905 units permitted in Durham County in 2024 (955 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,358/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 1402% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Durham County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 281 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 281 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.72% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.95%
- DSCR
- 2.33
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $29,139
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- 22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $106,755
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27701
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 197
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,358 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax from tax record
- −$186 /mo · $2,237/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$705
- Net cashflow
- $936
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $3,358 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,679 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,679 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,358 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1136 Drew St Unit A Durham, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1390 | $1,550 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1516 London Cir Durham, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $1,650 | $1.48 | 23d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 603 N Elm St Unit A Durham, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,495 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 406 N Hyde Park Ave Durham, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $1,730 | $1.49 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1104 Raynor St Durham, NC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1388 | $1,720 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 615 N Hardee St Durham, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,690 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1237 Naples Pl Durham, NC | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 995 | $1,900 | $1.91 | 11d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 500 E Main St Durham, NC | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1002 | $3,556 | $3.55 | 14d | 40 | 0.98mi |
| 1911 Fidelity Dr Durham, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,815 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 318 W Corporation St Durham, NC | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $3,750 | $4.17 | 14d | 55 | 0.99mi |
| 1809 E Main St Durham, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 14d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2011 Aiken Ave Durham, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,595 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 510 E Pettigrew St Durham, NC | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 996 | $3,130 | $3.14 | 14d | 29 | 1.20mi |
| 504 E Pettigrew St Durham, NC | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1092 | $2,528 | $2.32 | 21d | 30 | 1.21mi |
| 441 S Dillard St Durham, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1153 | $3,389 | $2.94 | 14d | 21 | 1.21mi |
| 701 Washington St Durham, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 996 | $5,241 | $5.26 | 14d | 214 | 1.22mi |
| 2408 Hart St Durham, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,445 | $1.51 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 511 S Mangum St Durham, NC | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1159 | $4,115 | $3.55 | 14d | 29 | 1.31mi |
| 701 Grant St Durham, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1145 | $1,850 | $1.62 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 605 W Main St Durham, NC | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 977 | $3,628 | $3.71 | 14d | 48 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-05days on market $195,000 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $195,000 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $195,000 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $195,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $195,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $195,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2025-10-18price $195,000
-
2025-08-25$206,000 Active
-
2021-03-17soldstatus $179,500
-
2006-02-09historical
-
2005-08-08$70,000
-
2005-06-08historical
-
2005-04-24$69,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,237 · $186/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,237 · $186/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,296
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$2,237
- − Insurance
- −$6,094
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,224
- − Management
- −$3,224
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable income
- $8,922
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,141
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,090/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Durham Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701260
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,143
- Composite
- 29.69/100
- National rank
- #6457
- State rank
- #132 of 178 in NC
Livability — Durham
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #1411
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Durham, NC
- County
- Durham County · 288,747 people
- City population
- 288,747
- Metro
- Durham-Chapel Hill, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,793
- Household income
- $69,740
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1402.0
Population outlook (Durham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 368,962 people
- By 2030
- 402,686 · +9.1%
- By 2040
- 468,677 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 531,727 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 660,446 · +79.0%
- By 2100
- 739,971 · +100.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Durham
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+61.9) · D 80.2% · R 18.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.0pp toward D · 2008: 51.9pp · 2024: 61.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+61.9 2020: D+62.4 2016: D+60.4 2012: D+52.7 2008: D+51.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -272.19%
- Current HPI
- 347.5371
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.25%
- Metro
- Durham-Chapel Hill, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+182.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-18 Price Changed $195,000 TMLS
- 2025-08-25 Listed $206,000 TMLS
- 2021-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $179,500 Public Records
- 2006-02-09 Listing Removed — TMLS
- 2005-08-08 Listed $70,000 TMLS
- 2005-06-08 Listing Removed — TMLS
- 2005-04-24 Listed $69,000 TMLS
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,237 · +101.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…