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Duplex
B Composite 70.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$195,000

1505 N Hyde Park Ave · Durham, NC 27701
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,232 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 281 Days on market
Built 1940 4,356 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

2 bed/1 bath duplex with long terms tenants available for your investment. Tenants are month to month and would like to stay. Right around the corner from Drew/ Granby Park with access to the new R Kelly Bryant Bridge Trail and East End Park & Long Meadow Park with splash pads and pool. Gutters installed 2021. Unit B had interior painted 2022, tenants enlarged back deck on their own (no railing). Entire lot is in flood plain and flood insurance is required. In 2021, inspection noted termite tunnels and inactive powder post beetles in crawl space and termites were treated 2026.

Key facts

  • Interior painted
  • Enlarged back deck
  • Gutters installed

Tags

GUTTERS INSTALLEDINTERIOR PAINTEDENLARGED BACK DECKACCESS TO EAST END PARKACCESS TO LONG MEADOW PARK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions approximately 34 x 124 (0.1 acre)
  • Financial info: Two-unit property (2 total units). Owner pays none of the unit expenses.
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Duplex; One level; One common wall
  • Construction: Wood siding construction; Shingle roof; 1 building
  • Exterior features: Porch

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Vinyl flooring; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $936 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $468/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $195k).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 3.0% in Durham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#15 in NC, #1,411 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Durham Public Schools (urban): math 29% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #132 of 178 in NC (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Riverside High (math 49% / reading 42%, grade D-, #347 of 535 statewide, top 65%, 1,812 students, 51% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,905 units permitted in Durham County in 2024 (955 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,358/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 1402% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Durham County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 281 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $171,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 281 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.72%
Cap rate
14.68%
Cash-on-cash
29.95%
DSCR
2.33
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.3%
Equity multiple
1.53×
Total profit
$29,139
Equity at exit
$29,075
10-year hold
IRR
22.5%
Equity multiple
2.96×
Total profit
$106,755
Equity at exit
$16,860

Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27701

Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
197
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,358 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,023
Tax from tax record
$186 /mo · $2,237/yr
Insurance
$81
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$705
Net cashflow
$936

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,173
Max offer price $195,000
Occupancy floor 67%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,358

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,750
Closing costs
$5,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1136 Drew St Unit A Durham, NC 3.0 2.5 1390 $1,550 $1.12 14d 1 0.14mi
1516 London Cir Durham, NC 3.0 1.0 1118 $1,650 $1.48 23d 1 0.37mi
603 N Elm St Unit A Durham, NC 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,495 $1.25 23d 1 0.68mi
406 N Hyde Park Ave Durham, NC 3.0 1.0 1160 $1,730 $1.49 21d 1 0.81mi
1104 Raynor St Durham, NC 4.0 2.0 1388 $1,720 $1.24 14d 1 0.88mi
615 N Hardee St Durham, NC 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,690 $1.35 14d 1 0.88mi
1237 Naples Pl Durham, NC 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 995 $1,900 $1.91 11d 1 0.93mi
500 E Main St Durham, NC 3.0 1.0–2.0 1002 $3,556 $3.55 14d 40 0.98mi
1911 Fidelity Dr Durham, NC 3.0 2.0 1209 $1,815 $1.50 23d 1 0.99mi
318 W Corporation St Durham, NC 3.0 1.0–2.0 900 $3,750 $4.17 14d 55 0.99mi
1809 E Main St Durham, NC 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,700 $1.42 14d 1 1.07mi
2011 Aiken Ave Durham, NC 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,595 $1.42 23d 1 1.20mi
510 E Pettigrew St Durham, NC 3.0 1.0–2.0 996 $3,130 $3.14 14d 29 1.20mi
504 E Pettigrew St Durham, NC 3.0 1.0–2.0 1092 $2,528 $2.32 21d 30 1.21mi
441 S Dillard St Durham, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1153 $3,389 $2.94 14d 21 1.21mi
701 Washington St Durham, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 996 $5,241 $5.26 14d 214 1.22mi
2408 Hart St Durham, NC 3.0 1.0 960 $1,445 $1.51 23d 1 1.26mi
511 S Mangum St Durham, NC 3.0 1.0–2.0 1159 $4,115 $3.55 14d 29 1.31mi
701 Grant St Durham, NC 3.0 2.0 1145 $1,850 $1.62 23d 1 1.41mi
605 W Main St Durham, NC 3.0 1.0–2.0 977 $3,628 $3.71 14d 48 1.43mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    days on market $195,000 Active 281 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $195,000 Active 280 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $195,000 Active 279 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $195,000 Active 278 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $195,000 Active 277 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $195,000 Active 276 DOM
  7. 2025-10-18
    price $195,000
  8. 2025-08-25
    listed $206,000 Active
  9. 2021-03-17
    soldstatus $179,500
  10. 2006-02-09
    historical
  11. 2005-08-08
    listed $70,000
  12. 2005-06-08
    historical
  13. 2005-04-24
    listed $69,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,237 · $186/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,237 · $186/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 78% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,296
− Mortgage interest
−$10,923
− Property taxes
−$2,237
− Insurance
−$6,094
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,224
− Management
−$3,224
− Depreciation
−$5,673
Taxable income
$8,922
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,141
After-tax cash flow
$9,090/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Durham Public Schools
NCES district ID
3701260
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$52,143
Composite
29.69/100
National rank
#6457
State rank
#132 of 178 in NC

Livability — Durham

Score
81/100
State rank
#15
US rank
#1411

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime F Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Durham, NC
County
Durham County · 288,747 people
City population
288,747
Metro
Durham-Chapel Hill, NC
Population (ZIP)
24,793
Household income
$69,740
Rent vs Own
69.8% rent · 30.2% own
Severe rent burden
1402.0

Population outlook (Durham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
368,962 people
By 2030
402,686 · +9.1%
By 2040
468,677 · +27.0%
By 2050
531,727 · +44.1%
By 2075
660,446 · +79.0%
By 2100
739,971 · +100.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 40% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Durham

2024 margin
Solid D (+61.9) · D 80.2% · R 18.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+10.0pp toward D · 2008: 51.9pp · 2024: 61.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+61.9 2020: D+62.4 2016: D+60.4 2012: D+52.7 2008: D+51.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -272.19%
Current HPI
347.5371
Rent YoY
▲ 3.25%
Metro
Durham-Chapel Hill, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+182.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-18 Price Changed $195,000 TMLS
  • 2025-08-25 Listed $206,000 TMLS
  • 2021-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $179,500 Public Records
  • 2006-02-09 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2005-08-08 Listed $70,000 TMLS
  • 2005-06-08 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2005-04-24 Listed $69,000 TMLS

Property tax history

+8.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,237 · +101.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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