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5352 16th Pl SW Unit G2
D Composite 40.43
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,000

5352 16th Pl SW Unit G2 · Golden Gate, FL 34116
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 970 sqft · Condo public records · 87 Days on market
Built 1985 $532/mo HOA · 25% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

C. 15897 - Open floor plan, 1st floor end unit with wide open views. All tile flooring, 2 bed, 2 full baths, just painted interior, with large kitchen and spacious covered lanai patio. Rarely found today $125,000 Naples condo. This should impress buyers looking for one of the only properties of this kind on the market today. The view and location of this condo home are especially nice with the community pool in the distance across a large lawn garden area. This is about 2 miles south of intersection of Pine Ridge Rd/Logan. Take Logan south and road turns into Santa Barbara. and you find 16th Place Southwest just after Green Blvd. Condo complex is farther down this street giving it a quiet location. A g e n t s see remarks.

Key facts

  • Screened patio
  • Open floor plan
  • Community pool

Tags

LANDSCAPED VIEWSOPEN FLOOR PLANSCREENED PATIOCOMMUNITY POOL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: 34 units in the complex; 4 units in the building; 1 unit per floor; 1 floor in this unit; Subdivision/Development: GOLDEN GATE CITY / SUN CATCHER
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; Master HOA fees billed quarterly; Master HOA fee: $1,595 (quarterly); Total annual recurring fees: $6,380; Total one-time fees: $100; Community amenities include a community pool and underground utilities; Community type: Non-gated; Managed as condo

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 assigned parking space
  • Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Residential property; Low rise (1-3) building; 2-story building; Rear exposure facing west; Entry level: 1
  • Construction: Concrete block construction; Stucco exterior finish; Shingle roof; Built in 1985; Deeded restrictions
  • Exterior features: Patio; Landscaped area view; Central irrigation

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator/Freezer; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms; Primary bedroom on the first floor
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with combo tub and shower
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Pantry; Breakfast bar; Screened lanai/porch; Unfurnished
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in residence

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $189k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-87 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $174k (8.1% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $189k).
  • Recommended offer: $174k (8.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#455 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Mike Davis Elementary School (math 50% / reading 47%, grade D, #1,152 of 2,144 statewide, top 55%, 574 students, 71% FRL); Golden Gate Middle School (math 50% / reading 43%, grade D+, #297 of 571 statewide, top 52%, 1,054 students, 60% FRL); Golden Gate High School (math 38% / reading 39%, grade F, #321 of 667 statewide, top 49%, 1,764 students, 53% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 44% at this address vs 58% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Collier average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.2%/yr); 123 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($178k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $119k; list at $189k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $173,633 (8.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
5.74%
Cash-on-cash
-1.97%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.1%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-42,014
Equity at exit
$28,181
10-year hold
IRR
-37.9%
Equity multiple
-0.25×
Total profit
$-66,261
Equity at exit
$16,341

Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34116

Rents YoY
-2.2%
Active inventory
123
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,098 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$991
Tax from tax record
$143 /mo · $1,713/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$532
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$441
Net cashflow
$-87

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,208
Max offer price $173,633
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $20 -5% $-33 +0% $-87 +5% $-140 +10% $-194
Rent -10% $-253 -5% $-170 +0% $-87 +5% $-4 +10% $79
Rate -1.0pp $8 -0.5pp $-39 base $-87 +0.5pp $-136 +1.0pp $-186

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,250
Closing costs
$5,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5300 Hemingway Ln Naples, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 882 $2,031 $2.30 16d 33 0.05mi
5424 16th Pl SW Unit C3 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 970 $2,000 $2.06 25d 1 0.06mi
5410 16th Pl SW Unit B1 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 970 $2,200 $2.27 25d 1 0.06mi
5364 16th Pl SW Unit H3 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 970 $2,100 $2.16 25d 1 0.06mi
5248 16th Pl SW Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 975 $1,795 $1.84 25d 1 0.13mi
5480 16th Pl SW #210 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1075 $2,200 $2.05 25d 1 0.17mi
5460 Laurel Ridge Ln Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1105 $2,400 $2.17 25d 4 0.28mi
1880 Sunshine Blvd Naples, FL 2.0 1.0 754 $1,795 $2.38 25d 1 0.82mi
1944 Sunshine Blvd Unit C Naples, FL 2.0 1.5 1098 $1,895 $1.73 25d 1 0.84mi
4250 Jefferson Ln Naples, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 993 $1,898 $1.91 23d 21 0.88mi
2400 55th Ter SW Naples, FL 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,950 $1.77 25d 1 1.01mi
2400 55th Ter SW Unit B Naples, FL 2.0 1.0 600 $1,950 $3.25 16d 1 1.01mi
4539 Coral Palms Ln Naples, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 755 $1,895 $2.51 16d 1 1.23mi
4300 Atoll Ct Naples, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 910 $2,020 $2.22 16d 15 1.27mi
4375 Golden Gate Pkwy Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,400 $2.18 16d 1 1.46mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$532 · $6,384/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $189,000 Active 87 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,000 Active 84 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,000 Active 83 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,000 Active 82 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,000 Active 81 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $189,000 Active 79 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $189,000 Active 76 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,000 Active 75 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,000 Active 74 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,000 Active 73 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $189,000 Active 69 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,000 Active 68 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,000 Active 67 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,000 Active 66 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $189,000 Active 65 DOM
  16. 2026-03-26
    listed $189,000 Active
  17. 2019-07-30
    soldstatus $119,300
  18. 2019-07-29
    soldstatus $119,300 Sold 734-char remark
    Show marketing remark (734 chars)

    C. 15897 - Open floor plan, 1st floor end unit with wide open views. All tile flooring, 2 bed, 2 full baths, just painted interior, with large kitchen and spacious covered lanai patio. Rarely found today $125,000 Naples condo. This should impress buyers looking for one of the only properties of this kind on the market today. The view and location of this condo home are especially nice with the community pool in the distance across a large lawn garden area. This is about 2 miles south of intersection of Pine Ridge Rd/Logan. Take Logan south and road turns into Santa Barbara. and you find 16th Place Southwest just after Green Blvd. Condo complex is farther down this street giving it a quiet location. A g e n t s see remarks.

  19. 2019-06-17
    status Pending With Contingencies 734-char remark
    Show marketing remark (734 chars)

    C. 15897 - Open floor plan, 1st floor end unit with wide open views. All tile flooring, 2 bed, 2 full baths, just painted interior, with large kitchen and spacious covered lanai patio. Rarely found today $125,000 Naples condo. This should impress buyers looking for one of the only properties of this kind on the market today. The view and location of this condo home are especially nice with the community pool in the distance across a large lawn garden area. This is about 2 miles south of intersection of Pine Ridge Rd/Logan. Take Logan south and road turns into Santa Barbara. and you find 16th Place Southwest just after Green Blvd. Condo complex is farther down this street giving it a quiet location. A g e n t s see remarks.

  20. 2019-04-15
    price $124,000 734-char remark
    Show marketing remark (734 chars)

    C. 15897 - Open floor plan, 1st floor end unit with wide open views. All tile flooring, 2 bed, 2 full baths, just painted interior, with large kitchen and spacious covered lanai patio. Rarely found today $125,000 Naples condo. This should impress buyers looking for one of the only properties of this kind on the market today. The view and location of this condo home are especially nice with the community pool in the distance across a large lawn garden area. This is about 2 miles south of intersection of Pine Ridge Rd/Logan. Take Logan south and road turns into Santa Barbara. and you find 16th Place Southwest just after Green Blvd. Condo complex is farther down this street giving it a quiet location. A g e n t s see remarks.

  21. 2019-02-21
    listed $125,000 Active 734-char remark
    Show marketing remark (734 chars)

    C. 15897 - Open floor plan, 1st floor end unit with wide open views. All tile flooring, 2 bed, 2 full baths, just painted interior, with large kitchen and spacious covered lanai patio. Rarely found today $125,000 Naples condo. This should impress buyers looking for one of the only properties of this kind on the market today. The view and location of this condo home are especially nice with the community pool in the distance across a large lawn garden area. This is about 2 miles south of intersection of Pine Ridge Rd/Logan. Take Logan south and road turns into Santa Barbara. and you find 16th Place Southwest just after Green Blvd. Condo complex is farther down this street giving it a quiet location. A g e n t s see remarks.

  22. 2005-05-04
    soldstatus $340,000
  23. 2002-09-05
    soldstatus $1,795,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,713 · $143/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,713 · $143/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,179
− Mortgage interest
−$10,587
− Property taxes
−$1,713
− Insurance
−$945
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,014
− Management
−$2,014
− HOA
−$6,384
− Depreciation
−$5,498
Taxable loss
−$3,976
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$954
After-tax cash flow
$-90/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Collier
NCES district ID
1200330
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$58,275
Composite
50.23/100
National rank
#1892
State rank
#16 of 73 in FL

Livability — Golden Gate

Score
69/100
State rank
#455
US rank
#8290

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime B- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Golden Gate, FL
County
Collier County · 396,295 people
City population
34,872
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
Population (ZIP)
35,591
Household income
$73,958
Rent vs Own
42.5% rent · 57.5% own
Severe rent burden
1540.0

Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,858 people
By 2030
450,054 · +6.9%
By 2040
502,232 · +19.3%
By 2050
544,932 · +29.5%
By 2075
627,203 · +49.0%
By 2100
659,015 · +56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 60% Two or more races 40% White 24% Black 13% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 20%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 8% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
47% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
33% English-only · Spanish 55% French/Haitian/Cajun 9% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Collier

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -313.48%
Current HPI
397.7049
Rent YoY
▼ -2.19%
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-89.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $189,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2019-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $119,300 Public Records
  • 2019-07-29 Sold (MLS) $119,300 NAPLESMLS
  • 2019-06-17 Pending NAPLESMLS
  • 2019-04-15 Price Changed $124,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2019-02-21 Listed $125,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2005-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $340,000 Public Records
  • 2002-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $1,795,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,713 · +11.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…