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1656 Pine St Fourplex
C Composite 58.58
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.4/30.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$475,000

1656 Pine St · Oroville, CA 95965
9 bd · 4.0 ba · 3,611 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 273 Days on market
Built 1910 9,148 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

This 4-Plex is in the heart of downtown Oroville and has always been easy to rent. Unit A: 3 bed, 1 bath, not remodeled. Unit B: 2 bed, 1 bath, remodeled in 2025. Unit C: 2 bed, 1 bath, remodeled in 2022. Unit D: 2 bed, 1 bath, remodeled in 2024. Exterior south facing siding replaced in 2023. This has been a great rental property and has so much potential for future growth. All units are currently rented.

Key facts

  • South facing siding
  • Remodeled in 2024
  • Remodeled in 2025

Tags

SOUTH FACING SIDINGREMODELED IN 2025REMODELED IN 2022REMODELED IN 2024

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Four-unit income property
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking for 6 vehicles
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; No irrigation
  • Home design: Quadruplex residential income property; Built in 1910
  • Construction: Original construction from 1910
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.21 acres; No notable lot features

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three units with 2 bedrooms each
  • Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Three units with 1 full bathroom each
  • Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; Wall-mounted cooling units
  • Interior features: Laminate and vinyl flooring; Two-story building
  • Laundry & utility: On-site laundry (other)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1×3.0bd/1.0ba + 3×2.0bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $475k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $274/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $475k).
  • Recommended offer: $418k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.6% in Oroville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 50/100 on livability (#1,136 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Watch: schools D, cost of living D, crime F.
  • Oroville Union High (town): math 19% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #300 of 517 in CA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 946 units permitted in Butte County in 2024 (254 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,448/mo this rent would consume 123% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 892% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Butte County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 273 days — a 12% lower offer ($418k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask is 6% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $418,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 273 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
9.06%
Cash-on-cash
9.89%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.88% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-13,217
Equity at exit
$70,824
10-year hold
IRR
5.8%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$54,144
Equity at exit
$41,069

Cash invested: $133,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95965

Home prices YoY
-31.6%
Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
167
Price-to-rent
27.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,448 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,491
Tax from tax record
$519 /mo · $6,232/yr
Insurance
$198
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,144
Net cashflow
$1,096

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,061
Max offer price $475,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,365 -5% $1,230 +0% $1,096 +5% $961 +10% $827
Rent -10% $665 -5% $881 +0% $1,096 +5% $1,311 +10% $1,526
Rate -1.0pp $1,335 -0.5pp $1,217 base $1,096 +0.5pp $973 +1.0pp $847

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 3.0 1 $1,433
Total (4 units) $5,448

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$118,750
Closing costs
$14,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2022-07-29
    soldstatus $450,000
  2. 2022-05-31
    historical
  3. 2022-05-22
    status Active
  4. 2022-05-09
    status Pending Sale
  5. 2022-04-21
    listed $450,000 Active
  6. 2021-04-06
    historical
  7. 2021-02-02
    listed $425,000 Active
  8. 2021-02-02
    historical
  9. 2019-04-16
    soldstatus $240,000
  10. 2019-04-16
    soldstatus $240,000 Closed Sale
  11. 2019-04-16
    soldstatus $240,000
  12. 2019-03-20
    historical Active Under Contract
  13. 2019-03-11
    price $249,000
  14. 2019-03-05
    status Active
  15. 2019-02-16
    historical Active Under Contract
  16. 2019-02-01
    listed $249,000
  17. 2019-02-01
    listed $259,000 Active
  18. 2007-05-11
    soldstatus $310,000
  19. 2007-05-10
    soldstatus $310,000
  20. 2007-04-04
    listed $339,000
  21. 2006-12-21
    historical
  22. 2006-11-17
    historical
  23. 2006-09-21
    listed $344,000
  24. 2006-08-17
    listed $369,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,232 · $519/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,232 · $519/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 34 unhealthy d/yr today · 39 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$65,376
− Mortgage interest
−$26,607
− Property taxes
−$6,232
− Insurance
−$2,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,230
− Management
−$5,230
− Depreciation
−$13,818
Taxable income
$5,884
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,412
After-tax cash flow
$11,737/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oroville Union High
NCES district ID
0629130
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$38,085
Composite
28.26/100
National rank
#6794
State rank
#300 of 517 in CA

Livability — Oroville

Score
50/100
State rank
#1136
US rank
#25715

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D Crime F Employment F Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oroville, CA
County
Butte County · 175,030 people
City population
49,684
Metro
Chico, CA
Population (ZIP)
21,181
Household income
$53,198
Rent vs Own
37.1% rent · 62.9% own
Severe rent burden
892.0

Population outlook (Butte County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
237,527 people
By 2030
243,804 · +2.6%
By 2040
253,899 · +6.9%
By 2050
262,561 · +10.5%
By 2075
283,709 · +19.4%
By 2100
282,689 · +19.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Hispanic / Latino 20% Asian 16% Two or more races 13% Black 3% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Butte

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.8% · R 49.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.4pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: D+1.7 2016: R+4.0 2012: R+3.9 2008: D+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -146.76%
Current HPI
317.0277
Rent YoY
▲ 1.88%
Metro
Chico, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+22.0% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2022-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $450,000 Public Records
  • 2022-05-31 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2022-05-22 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2022-05-09 Pending CRMLS
  • 2022-04-21 Listed $450,000 CRMLS
  • 2021-04-06 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2021-02-02 Listed $425,000 CRMLS
  • 2021-02-02 Coming Soon CRMLS
  • 2019-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
  • 2019-04-16 Sold (MLS) $240,000 CRMLS
  • 2019-04-16 Sold (MLS) $240,000 SDMLS
  • 2019-03-20 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2019-03-11 Price Changed $249,000 CRMLS
  • 2019-03-05 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2019-02-16 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2019-02-01 Listed $259,000 CRMLS
  • 2019-02-01 Listed $249,000 SDMLS
  • 2007-05-11 Sold (MLS) $310,000 CRMLS
  • 2007-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $310,000 Public Records
  • 2007-04-04 Listed $339,000 CRMLS
  • 2006-12-21 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2006-11-17 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2006-09-21 Listed $344,000 CRMLS
  • 2006-08-17 Listed $369,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,232 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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