Fourplex
1656 Pine St · Oroville, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 9/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 34 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 39 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$475,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
This 4-Plex is in the heart of downtown Oroville and has always been easy to rent. Unit A: 3 bed, 1 bath, not remodeled. Unit B: 2 bed, 1 bath, remodeled in 2025. Unit C: 2 bed, 1 bath, remodeled in 2022. Unit D: 2 bed, 1 bath, remodeled in 2024. Exterior south facing siding replaced in 2023. This has been a great rental property and has so much potential for future growth. All units are currently rented.
Key facts
- South facing siding
- Remodeled in 2024
- Remodeled in 2025
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Four-unit income property
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking for 6 vehicles
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; No irrigation
- Home design: Quadruplex residential income property; Built in 1910
- Construction: Original construction from 1910
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.21 acres; No notable lot features
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three units with 2 bedrooms each
- Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Three units with 1 full bathroom each
- Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; Wall-mounted cooling units
- Interior features: Laminate and vinyl flooring; Two-story building
- Laundry & utility: On-site laundry (other)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×3.0bd/1.0ba + 3×2.0bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $475k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $274/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $475k).
- Recommended offer: $418k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.6% in Oroville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 50/100 on livability (#1,136 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Watch: schools D, cost of living D, crime F.
- Oroville Union High (town): math 19% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #300 of 517 in CA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 946 units permitted in Butte County in 2024 (254 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,448/mo this rent would consume 123% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 892% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Butte County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 273 days — a 12% lower offer ($418k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask is 6% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 273 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.89%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.88% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-13,217
- Equity at exit
- $70,824
- IRR
- 5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $54,144
- Equity at exit
- $41,069
Cash invested: $133,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95965
- Home prices YoY
- -31.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 167
- Price-to-rent
- 27.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,448 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,491
- Tax from tax record
- −$519 /mo · $6,232/yr
- Insurance
- −$198
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,144
- Net cashflow
- $1,096
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,365 | -5% $1,230 | +0% $1,096 | +5% $961 | +10% $827 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $665 | -5% $881 | +0% $1,096 | +5% $1,311 | +10% $1,526 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,335 | -0.5pp $1,217 | base $1,096 | +0.5pp $973 | +1.0pp $847 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 3.0 | 1 | $1,433 |
| 3× units | 2.0 | 1 | $4,014 |
| #2 | 2.0 | 1 | $1,338 |
| #3 | 2.0 | 1 | $1,338 |
| #4 | 2.0 | 1 | $1,338 |
| Total (4 units) | $5,448 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $118,750
- Closing costs
- $14,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2022-07-29soldstatus $450,000
-
2022-05-31historical
-
2022-05-22status Active
-
2022-05-09status Pending Sale
-
2022-04-21$450,000 Active
-
2021-04-06historical
-
2021-02-02$425,000 Active
-
2021-02-02historical
-
2019-04-16soldstatus $240,000
-
2019-04-16soldstatus $240,000 Closed Sale
-
2019-04-16soldstatus $240,000
-
2019-03-20historical Active Under Contract
-
2019-03-11price $249,000
-
2019-03-05status Active
-
2019-02-16historical Active Under Contract
-
2019-02-01$249,000
-
2019-02-01$259,000 Active
-
2007-05-11soldstatus $310,000
-
2007-05-10soldstatus $310,000
-
2007-04-04$339,000
-
2006-12-21historical
-
2006-11-17historical
-
2006-09-21$344,000
-
2006-08-17$369,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,232 · $519/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,232 · $519/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 34 unhealthy d/yr today · 39 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $65,376
- − Mortgage interest
- −$26,607
- − Property taxes
- −$6,232
- − Insurance
- −$2,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,230
- − Management
- −$5,230
- − Depreciation
- −$13,818
- Taxable income
- $5,884
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,412
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,737/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oroville Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0629130
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,085
- Composite
- 28.26/100
- National rank
- #6794
- State rank
- #300 of 517 in CA
Livability — Oroville
- Score
- 50/100
- State rank
- #1136
- US rank
- #25715
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oroville, CA
- County
- Butte County · 175,030 people
- City population
- 49,684
- Metro
- Chico, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,181
- Household income
- $53,198
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 892.0
Population outlook (Butte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 237,527 people
- By 2030
- 243,804 · +2.6%
- By 2040
- 253,899 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 262,561 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 283,709 · +19.4%
- By 2100
- 282,689 · +19.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Hispanic / Latino 20% Asian 16% Two or more races 13% Black 3% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Butte
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.8% · R 49.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.4pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+1.7 2016: R+4.0 2012: R+3.9 2008: D+2.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -146.76%
- Current HPI
- 317.0277
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.88%
- Metro
- Chico, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+22.0% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2022-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $450,000 Public Records
- 2022-05-31 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2022-05-22 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2022-05-09 Pending — CRMLS
- 2022-04-21 Listed $450,000 CRMLS
- 2021-04-06 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2021-02-02 Listed $425,000 CRMLS
- 2021-02-02 Coming Soon — CRMLS
- 2019-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
- 2019-04-16 Sold (MLS) $240,000 CRMLS
- 2019-04-16 Sold (MLS) $240,000 SDMLS
- 2019-03-20 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2019-03-11 Price Changed $249,000 CRMLS
- 2019-03-05 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2019-02-16 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2019-02-01 Listed $259,000 CRMLS
- 2019-02-01 Listed $249,000 SDMLS
- 2007-05-11 Sold (MLS) $310,000 CRMLS
- 2007-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $310,000 Public Records
- 2007-04-04 Listed $339,000 CRMLS
- 2006-12-21 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2006-11-17 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2006-09-21 Listed $344,000 CRMLS
- 2006-08-17 Listed $369,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $6,232 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…