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1206 Middle Line Hwy
B Composite 74.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.6/10.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$2,549,000

1206 Middle Line Hwy · Noyack, NY 11963
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,424 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 248 Days on market
Built 2014 0.47 ac lot $1052/sqft · 11% above area Est $2569k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Your forever home in the Hamptons awaits in Sag Harbor Village Fringe, gorgeously renovated with endless charm and a heated pool. Sited on over half an acre and ready for immediate move-in with 2,723 +/- sq. ft., perfect for contemporary luxury living, plus 4 well-sized bedrooms and 3.5 baths. Skylights and sliding glass doors to the rear grounds highlight bright and open interiors, while renovations shine with exposed beams in the great room's arched ceiling and gorgeous hardwood floors throughout. Multiple sets of glass sliders prioritize easy indoor-outdoor living with access to an inviting 20'x40' heated pool area and mahogany decks, all overlooking a large private backyard area for entertainment. Enjoy elegant entertaining in the dedicated dining room with chic fireplace adjacent to the gourmet kitchen boasting premium appliances and quartz center island. Two main-level guest suites have large closets and share a full bath with dual-well vanity. Upstairs, the primary suite gets great light and includes a walk-in closet plus luxe bath with a freestanding soaking tub, glass-walled shower, and dual-well vanity. An additional ensuite bedroom completes the second level. Close to Round Pond, the peaceful setting has park-like surroundings and is enviably located in Sag Harbor Village Fringe, moments from boutique shops, dining, marinas, and elevated coastal living in the Village.

Key facts

  • Private backyard
  • Gourmet kitchen
  • Exposed beams

Tags

HEATED POOLGORGEOUS HARDWOOD FLOORSEXPOSED BEAMSINDOOR-OUTDOOR LIVINGPRIVATE BACKYARDGOURMET KITCHEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $2.55M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($78k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($27k rent vs $2.55M).
  • Recommended offer: $2.24M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 7.1% in Noyack — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,084 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: schools C-, housing D+, amenities F.
  • Sag Harbor Union Free School District (suburban): math 54% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #175 of 590 in NY (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.8%/yr); 66 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $27,061/mo this rent would consume 254% of the median local household income ($128k/yr) (locally 95% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $252k of equity ($18k loan paydown + $234k appreciation (9.2% local appreciation)).
  • Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (9.2% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $714k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$404k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 248 days — a 12% lower offer ($2.24M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask is 4535% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $2,243,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 248 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
9.35%
Cash-on-cash
10.93%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$2,568,977
List price
$2,549,000
Delta
-0.78%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15 Round Pond Ln 0.35mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,536 (+5%) 14mo $1,525,000 $601 57
85 Suffolk St 0.58mi 4/4.5 2,400 (-1%) 14mo $3,650,000 $1,521 52
3 Deerfield Dr 0.73mi 4/2.0 2,200 (-9%) 2mo $1,050,000 $477 47
66 Franklin Ave 0.75mi 4/4.0 2,700 (+11%) 8mo $4,100,000 $1,519 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.19% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.8%
Equity multiple
3.53×
Total profit
$1,803,283
Equity at exit
$2,146,717
10-year hold
IRR
30.3%
Equity multiple
8.43×
Total profit
$5,306,018
Equity at exit
$4,478,986

Cash invested: $713,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 11963

Home prices YoY
1.9%
Rents YoY
10.8%
Active inventory
66
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$27,061 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$13,367
Tax from tax record
$449 /mo · $5,394/yr
Insurance
$1,062
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$5,683
Net cashflow
$6,499

Break-even live

Break-even rent $18,834
Max offer price $2,549,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $7,942 -5% $7,221 +0% $6,499 +5% $5,778 +10% $2,001
Rent -10% $4,361 -5% $5,430 +0% $6,499 +5% $7,568 +10% $8,637
Rate -1.0pp $7,783 -0.5pp $7,148 base $6,499 +0.5pp $5,839 +1.0pp $5,167

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$637,250
Closing costs
$76,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
30 Denison Rd Sag Harbor, NY 3.0 2.0 2400 $45,000 $18.75 44d 1 0.11mi
15 Mount Misery Dr Sag Harbor, NY 3.0 3.0 1848 $75,000 $40.58 23d 1 0.34mi
15 Mount Misery Dr Sag Harbor, NY 3.0 3.0 1848 $25,000 $13.53 0d 1 0.34mi
24 Brandywine Dr Sag Harbor, NY 4.0 3.0 2290 $75,000 $32.75 23d 1 0.70mi
1008 Middle Line Hwy Sag Harbor, NY 3.0 3.0 1904 $30,000 $15.76 0d 1 0.93mi
68 W Water St Sag Harbor, NY 3.0 2.0 1740 $40,000 $22.99 44d 1 1.33mi
546 Wainscott Nw Rd Wainscott, NY 4.0 2.5 1840 $29,500 $16.03 0d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 38 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $2,549,000 Active 248 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $2,549,000 Active 245 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $2,549,000 Active 244 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $2,549,000 Active 243 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $2,549,000 Active 242 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $2,549,000 Active 240 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $2,549,000 Active 236 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $2,549,000 Active 235 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $2,549,000 Active 234 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $2,549,000 Active 231 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $2,549,000 Active 230 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $2,549,000 Active 229 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $2,549,000 Active 228 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $2,549,000 Active 227 DOM
  15. 2026-04-03
    price $2,549,000 1401-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1401 chars)

    Your forever home in the Hamptons awaits in Sag Harbor Village Fringe, gorgeously renovated with endless charm and a heated pool. Sited on over half an acre and ready for immediate move-in with 2,723 +/- sq. ft., perfect for contemporary luxury living, plus 4 well-sized bedrooms and 3.5 baths. Skylights and sliding glass doors to the rear grounds highlight bright and open interiors, while renovations shine with exposed beams in the great room's arched ceiling and gorgeous hardwood floors throughout. Multiple sets of glass sliders prioritize easy indoor-outdoor living with access to an inviting 20'x40' heated pool area and mahogany decks, all overlooking a large private backyard area for entertainment. Enjoy elegant entertaining in the dedicated dining room with chic fireplace adjacent to the gourmet kitchen boasting premium appliances and quartz center island. Two main-level guest suites have large closets and share a full bath with dual-well vanity. Upstairs, the primary suite gets great light and includes a walk-in closet plus luxe bath with a freestanding soaking tub, glass-walled shower, and dual-well vanity. An additional ensuite bedroom completes the second level. Close to Round Pond, the peaceful setting has park-like surroundings and is enviably located in Sag Harbor Village Fringe, moments from boutique shops, dining, marinas, and elevated coastal living in the Village.

  16. 2026-03-11
    historical $55,000
  17. 2026-02-06
    listed $55,000
  18. 2026-02-04
    status Active 1401-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1401 chars)

    Your forever home in the Hamptons awaits in Sag Harbor Village Fringe, gorgeously renovated with endless charm and a heated pool. Sited on over half an acre and ready for immediate move-in with 2,723 +/- sq. ft., perfect for contemporary luxury living, plus 4 well-sized bedrooms and 3.5 baths. Skylights and sliding glass doors to the rear grounds highlight bright and open interiors, while renovations shine with exposed beams in the great room's arched ceiling and gorgeous hardwood floors throughout. Multiple sets of glass sliders prioritize easy indoor-outdoor living with access to an inviting 20'x40' heated pool area and mahogany decks, all overlooking a large private backyard area for entertainment. Enjoy elegant entertaining in the dedicated dining room with chic fireplace adjacent to the gourmet kitchen boasting premium appliances and quartz center island. Two main-level guest suites have large closets and share a full bath with dual-well vanity. Upstairs, the primary suite gets great light and includes a walk-in closet plus luxe bath with a freestanding soaking tub, glass-walled shower, and dual-well vanity. An additional ensuite bedroom completes the second level. Close to Round Pond, the peaceful setting has park-like surroundings and is enviably located in Sag Harbor Village Fringe, moments from boutique shops, dining, marinas, and elevated coastal living in the Village.

  19. 2026-02-04
    price $2,699,000 1401-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1401 chars)

    Your forever home in the Hamptons awaits in Sag Harbor Village Fringe, gorgeously renovated with endless charm and a heated pool. Sited on over half an acre and ready for immediate move-in with 2,723 +/- sq. ft., perfect for contemporary luxury living, plus 4 well-sized bedrooms and 3.5 baths. Skylights and sliding glass doors to the rear grounds highlight bright and open interiors, while renovations shine with exposed beams in the great room's arched ceiling and gorgeous hardwood floors throughout. Multiple sets of glass sliders prioritize easy indoor-outdoor living with access to an inviting 20'x40' heated pool area and mahogany decks, all overlooking a large private backyard area for entertainment. Enjoy elegant entertaining in the dedicated dining room with chic fireplace adjacent to the gourmet kitchen boasting premium appliances and quartz center island. Two main-level guest suites have large closets and share a full bath with dual-well vanity. Upstairs, the primary suite gets great light and includes a walk-in closet plus luxe bath with a freestanding soaking tub, glass-walled shower, and dual-well vanity. An additional ensuite bedroom completes the second level. Close to Round Pond, the peaceful setting has park-like surroundings and is enviably located in Sag Harbor Village Fringe, moments from boutique shops, dining, marinas, and elevated coastal living in the Village.

  20. 2025-09-11
    price $2,895,000 1401-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1401 chars)

    Your forever home in the Hamptons awaits in Sag Harbor Village Fringe, gorgeously renovated with endless charm and a heated pool. Sited on over half an acre and ready for immediate move-in with 2,723 +/- sq. ft., perfect for contemporary luxury living, plus 4 well-sized bedrooms and 3.5 baths. Skylights and sliding glass doors to the rear grounds highlight bright and open interiors, while renovations shine with exposed beams in the great room's arched ceiling and gorgeous hardwood floors throughout. Multiple sets of glass sliders prioritize easy indoor-outdoor living with access to an inviting 20'x40' heated pool area and mahogany decks, all overlooking a large private backyard area for entertainment. Enjoy elegant entertaining in the dedicated dining room with chic fireplace adjacent to the gourmet kitchen boasting premium appliances and quartz center island. Two main-level guest suites have large closets and share a full bath with dual-well vanity. Upstairs, the primary suite gets great light and includes a walk-in closet plus luxe bath with a freestanding soaking tub, glass-walled shower, and dual-well vanity. An additional ensuite bedroom completes the second level. Close to Round Pond, the peaceful setting has park-like surroundings and is enviably located in Sag Harbor Village Fringe, moments from boutique shops, dining, marinas, and elevated coastal living in the Village.

  21. 2025-09-02
    historical $55,000
  22. 2025-08-27
    price $3,225,000 1401-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1401 chars)

    Your forever home in the Hamptons awaits in Sag Harbor Village Fringe, gorgeously renovated with endless charm and a heated pool. Sited on over half an acre and ready for immediate move-in with 2,723 +/- sq. ft., perfect for contemporary luxury living, plus 4 well-sized bedrooms and 3.5 baths. Skylights and sliding glass doors to the rear grounds highlight bright and open interiors, while renovations shine with exposed beams in the great room's arched ceiling and gorgeous hardwood floors throughout. Multiple sets of glass sliders prioritize easy indoor-outdoor living with access to an inviting 20'x40' heated pool area and mahogany decks, all overlooking a large private backyard area for entertainment. Enjoy elegant entertaining in the dedicated dining room with chic fireplace adjacent to the gourmet kitchen boasting premium appliances and quartz center island. Two main-level guest suites have large closets and share a full bath with dual-well vanity. Upstairs, the primary suite gets great light and includes a walk-in closet plus luxe bath with a freestanding soaking tub, glass-walled shower, and dual-well vanity. An additional ensuite bedroom completes the second level. Close to Round Pond, the peaceful setting has park-like surroundings and is enviably located in Sag Harbor Village Fringe, moments from boutique shops, dining, marinas, and elevated coastal living in the Village.

  23. 2025-08-13
    listed $3,425,000 Active 1401-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1401 chars)

    Your forever home in the Hamptons awaits in Sag Harbor Village Fringe, gorgeously renovated with endless charm and a heated pool. Sited on over half an acre and ready for immediate move-in with 2,723 +/- sq. ft., perfect for contemporary luxury living, plus 4 well-sized bedrooms and 3.5 baths. Skylights and sliding glass doors to the rear grounds highlight bright and open interiors, while renovations shine with exposed beams in the great room's arched ceiling and gorgeous hardwood floors throughout. Multiple sets of glass sliders prioritize easy indoor-outdoor living with access to an inviting 20'x40' heated pool area and mahogany decks, all overlooking a large private backyard area for entertainment. Enjoy elegant entertaining in the dedicated dining room with chic fireplace adjacent to the gourmet kitchen boasting premium appliances and quartz center island. Two main-level guest suites have large closets and share a full bath with dual-well vanity. Upstairs, the primary suite gets great light and includes a walk-in closet plus luxe bath with a freestanding soaking tub, glass-walled shower, and dual-well vanity. An additional ensuite bedroom completes the second level. Close to Round Pond, the peaceful setting has park-like surroundings and is enviably located in Sag Harbor Village Fringe, moments from boutique shops, dining, marinas, and elevated coastal living in the Village.

  24. 2024-11-26
    listed $55,000
  25. 2024-11-26
    historical $55,000
  26. 2024-10-09
    listed $55,000
  27. 2022-06-16
    soldstatus $2,300,000
  28. 2022-04-30
    soldstatus $2,300,000 Closed 949-char remark
    Show marketing remark (949 chars)

    Experience peaceful privacy on one of the most desirable quiet streets in Sag Harbor with this completely renovated 2,700ft luxury home. Sitting on park-like half-acre property, are close to Sag Harbor Village with Round Pond a block away. Enjoy this sun-filled home with quality finishes throughout the 4 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms.The double-height ceiling and skylights welcome you into sun-drenched spacious rooms. Multi-sliding doors give you easy access to the inviting pool area and mahogany decks, all over-looking a large private backyard area for entertainment. The sitting room is complete with a wood-burning fireplace and powder room. The kitchen boasts brand-new top-of-the-line appliances and a natural-stone countertop, where any cook would be happy. The main level boasts two large guest rooms with large closets sharing a full bathroom with double sink vanity., Additional information: Appearance:new,Green Features:Insulated Doors

  29. 2022-01-28
    listed $2,190,000 Active 949-char remark
    Show marketing remark (949 chars)

    Experience peaceful privacy on one of the most desirable quiet streets in Sag Harbor with this completely renovated 2,700ft luxury home. Sitting on park-like half-acre property, are close to Sag Harbor Village with Round Pond a block away. Enjoy this sun-filled home with quality finishes throughout the 4 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms.The double-height ceiling and skylights welcome you into sun-drenched spacious rooms. Multi-sliding doors give you easy access to the inviting pool area and mahogany decks, all over-looking a large private backyard area for entertainment. The sitting room is complete with a wood-burning fireplace and powder room. The kitchen boasts brand-new top-of-the-line appliances and a natural-stone countertop, where any cook would be happy. The main level boasts two large guest rooms with large closets sharing a full bathroom with double sink vanity., Additional information: Appearance:new,Green Features:Insulated Doors

  30. 2021-04-05
    soldstatus $850,000
  31. 2020-05-11
    historical
  32. 2020-02-13
    price $799,999
  33. 2020-01-30
    price $849,900
  34. 2020-01-19
    price $899,000
  35. 2020-01-19
    price $898,000
  36. 2020-01-13
    listed $899,000 New
  37. 2007-03-23
    soldstatus $750,000
  38. 2001-01-04
    soldstatus $360,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,394 · $449/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$24,236 · $2,020/mo
Expected delta
+$18,842/yr (+$1,570/mo · 349.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$324,730
− Mortgage interest
−$142,784
− Property taxes
−$5,394
− Insurance
−$12,745
− Repairs & maintenance
−$25,978
− Management
−$25,978
− Depreciation
−$74,153
Taxable income
$37,698
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$9,048
After-tax cash flow
$68,944/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sag Harbor Union Free School District
NCES district ID
3625380
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$81,547
Composite
55.69/100
National rank
#1222
State rank
#175 of 590 in NY

Livability — Noyack

Score
57/100
State rank
#1084
US rank
#21915

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing D+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Noyack, NY
County
Suffolk County · 679,920 people
City population
8,114
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
8,390
Household income
$127,746
Rent vs Own
16.3% rent · 83.7% own
Severe rent burden
95.0

Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,505,262 people
By 2030
1,498,318 · -0.5%
By 2040
1,471,101 · -2.3%
By 2050
1,424,848 · -5.3%
By 2075
1,337,157 · -11.2%
By 2100
1,217,720 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Asian 4% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 4% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk

2024 margin
Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
2008→2024 swing
-16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.19%
Current HPI
499.3304
Rent YoY
▲ 10.76%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+608.1% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $2,549,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-11 Rental Removed $55,000 ONEKEY
  • 2026-02-06 Listed for Rent $55,000 ONEKEY
  • 2026-02-04 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $2,699,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-11 Price Changed $2,895,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-02 Rental Removed $55,000 ONEKEY
  • 2025-08-27 Price Changed $3,225,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-13 Listed $3,425,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-26 Listed for Rent $55,000 ONEKEY
  • 2024-11-26 Rental Removed $55,000 ONEKEY
  • 2024-10-09 Listed for Rent $55,000 ONEKEY
  • 2022-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $2,300,000 Public Records
  • 2022-04-30 Sold (MLS) $2,300,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-01-28 Listed $2,190,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $850,000 Public Records
  • 2020-05-11 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-02-13 Price Changed $799,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-01-30 Price Changed $849,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-01-19 Price Changed $899,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-01-19 Price Changed $898,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-01-13 Listed $899,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $750,000 Public Records
  • 2001-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $360,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2022): $5,394 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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