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1610 Decatur St SW 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 43.49
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.9/30.0
  • Schools +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • DSCR +1.1/10.0

$819,000

1610 Decatur St SW · Olympia, WA 98502
6 bd · 6.0 ba · 2,964 sqft · MultiFamily · 6 Days on market
Built 2026 5,702 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Exceptional opportunity to acquire brand-new duplexes in highly desirable West Olympia. Built for long-term, low-maintenance ownership, these turnkey investment properties offer modern construction with minimal capital expenditure concerns for years to come. Located in a strong rental market characterized by high demand, low vacancy rates, and attractive rental income potential, these duplexes are well-positioned for consistent cash flow and long-term appreciation. Situated at the end of a private dead-end street, the properties offer a quiet setting that appeals to quality tenants while remaining conveniently close to major employers, shopping, schools, and commuter routes. Whether you're

Key facts

  • Modern construction
  • Low vacancy rates
  • Strong rental market

Tags

BRAND-NEW DUPLEXESTURNKEY INVESTMENT PROPERTIESMODERN CONSTRUCTIONSTRONG RENTAL MARKETLOW VACANCY RATESPRIVATE DEAD-END STREET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Conventional; Total monthly income reported: $5,490; Each unit currently reporting actual rent of $2,745

Exterior

  • Parking: One covered parking space; One garage space; One uncovered parking space
  • Utilities: Electric energy source; Public water (City of Olympia); Sewer connected (City of Olympia); Power provided by PSE; Cable and internet connected (Comcast/Infinity)
  • Home design: Duplex residential income property; Under construction / new construction (estimated completion: 2026-09-30); Two stories; Total building area approximately 2,964 square feet
  • Construction: Cement plank construction; Composition roof; Poured concrete foundation; Under construction (new construction)
  • Exterior features: Cement-planked exterior; Paved lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Each unit includes a range/oven; Each unit includes a refrigerator; Each unit includes a dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units (each unit has 3 bedrooms)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two units each with 3 bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump for heating and cooling
  • Interior features: Vinyl and carpet flooring; Forced air heating with heat pump; Heat pump cooling
  • Laundry & utility: Each unit includes a washer and dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $819,000 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $628,368.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $819k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-953 ($-11k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-477/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $490k (40.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $429k (47.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $429k (47.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 2.4% in Olympia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#58 in WA, #1,036 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living D-.
  • Olympia School District (urban): math 66% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #17 of 291 in WA (top 6%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Zoned schools: Julia Butler Hansen Elementary (484 students, 48% FRL); Capital High School (1,326 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 43% FRL vs 25% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 304 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,222 units permitted in Thurston County in 2024 (508 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,290/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($92k/yr) (locally 1811% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $67k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $63k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Thurston County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$108k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $429,000 (47.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
4.47%
Cash-on-cash
-6.50%
DSCR
0.71
GRM
12.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$628,368
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14021404 5th Ave SW 0.74mi 6/5.0 2,824 (-5%) 8mo $600,000 $212 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.16% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
2.60×
Total profit
$282,259
Equity at exit
$566,084
10-year hold
IRR
18.1%
Equity multiple
6.00×
Total profit
$880,501
Equity at exit
$1,220,781

Cash invested: $175,943 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98502

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
304
Price-to-rent
31.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,290 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,295
Tax est. 1.5%
$785 /mo · $9,426/yr
Insurance
$262
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$901
Net cashflow
$-953

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,497
Max offer price $490,408
Occupancy floor

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $4,290

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$157,092
Closing costs
$18,851
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $819,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $819,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $819,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $819,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $819,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$51,480
− Mortgage interest
−$35,198
− Property taxes
−$9,426
− Insurance
−$3,142
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,118
− Management
−$4,118
− Depreciation
−$18,280
Taxable loss
−$22,802
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,473
After-tax cash flow
$-5,968/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Olympia School District
NCES district ID
5306180
Math proficiency
66% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
75% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$63,852
Composite
62.27/100
National rank
#1438
State rank
#17 of 291 in WA

Livability — Olympia

Score
83/100
State rank
#58
US rank
#1036

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living D- Crime F Employment B- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Olympia, WA
County
Thurston County · 269,345 people
City population
98,428
Metro
Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA
Population (ZIP)
35,398
Household income
$92,207
Rent vs Own
42.6% rent · 57.4% own
Severe rent burden
1811.0

Population outlook (Thurston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
308,239 people
By 2030
326,483 · +5.9%
By 2040
359,890 · +16.8%
By 2050
391,800 · +27.1%
By 2075
468,024 · +51.8%
By 2100
519,890 · +68.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 6% Black 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Portuguese 4% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Vietnam, Canada, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Thurston

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.4) · D 58.5% · R 38.1% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
-1.3pp toward R · 2008: 21.7pp · 2024: 20.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.4 2020: D+18.6 2016: D+15.4 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+21.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 18.49%
Current HPI
1056.49
Rent YoY
▲ 3.16%
Metro
Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $819,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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