🏗️ New Construction
1610 Decatur St SW · Olympia, WA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.9/30.0
- Schools +6.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- DSCR +1.1/10.0
$819,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Exceptional opportunity to acquire brand-new duplexes in highly desirable West Olympia. Built for long-term, low-maintenance ownership, these turnkey investment properties offer modern construction with minimal capital expenditure concerns for years to come. Located in a strong rental market characterized by high demand, low vacancy rates, and attractive rental income potential, these duplexes are well-positioned for consistent cash flow and long-term appreciation. Situated at the end of a private dead-end street, the properties offer a quiet setting that appeals to quality tenants while remaining conveniently close to major employers, shopping, schools, and commuter routes. Whether you're
Key facts
- Modern construction
- Low vacancy rates
- Strong rental market
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Conventional; Total monthly income reported: $5,490; Each unit currently reporting actual rent of $2,745
Exterior
- Parking: One covered parking space; One garage space; One uncovered parking space
- Utilities: Electric energy source; Public water (City of Olympia); Sewer connected (City of Olympia); Power provided by PSE; Cable and internet connected (Comcast/Infinity)
- Home design: Duplex residential income property; Under construction / new construction (estimated completion: 2026-09-30); Two stories; Total building area approximately 2,964 square feet
- Construction: Cement plank construction; Composition roof; Poured concrete foundation; Under construction (new construction)
- Exterior features: Cement-planked exterior; Paved lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Each unit includes a range/oven; Each unit includes a refrigerator; Each unit includes a dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units (each unit has 3 bedrooms)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet flooring
- Bathrooms: Two units each with 3 bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump for heating and cooling
- Interior features: Vinyl and carpet flooring; Forced air heating with heat pump; Heat pump cooling
- Laundry & utility: Each unit includes a washer and dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $819k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-953 ($-11k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-477/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $490k (40.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $429k (47.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $429k (47.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 2.4% in Olympia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#58 in WA, #1,036 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living D-.
- Olympia School District (urban): math 66% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #17 of 291 in WA (top 6%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Julia Butler Hansen Elementary (484 students, 48% FRL); Capital High School (1,326 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 43% FRL vs 25% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 304 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,222 units permitted in Thurston County in 2024 (508 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,290/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($92k/yr) (locally 1811% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $67k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $63k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Thurston County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$108k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.50%
- DSCR
- 0.71
- GRM
- 12.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $628,368
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14021404 5th Ave SW | 0.74mi | 6/5.0 | 2,824 (-5%) | 8mo | $600,000 | $212 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.16% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.60×
- Total profit
- $282,259
- Equity at exit
- $566,084
- IRR
- 18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.00×
- Total profit
- $880,501
- Equity at exit
- $1,220,781
Cash invested: $175,943 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98502
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 304
- Price-to-rent
- 31.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,290 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,295
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$785 /mo · $9,426/yr
- Insurance
- −$262
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$901
- Net cashflow
- $-953
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 3 | $4,290 |
| #1 | 3 | 3 | $2,145 |
| #2 | 3 | 3 | $2,145 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,290 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $157,092
- Closing costs
- $18,851
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $819,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $819,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $819,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $819,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-13$819,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $51,480
- − Mortgage interest
- −$35,198
- − Property taxes
- −$9,426
- − Insurance
- −$3,142
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,118
- − Management
- −$4,118
- − Depreciation
- −$18,280
- Taxable loss
- −$22,802
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,473
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,968/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Olympia School District
- NCES district ID
- 5306180
- Math proficiency
- 66% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 75% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,852
- Composite
- 62.27/100
- National rank
- #1438
- State rank
- #17 of 291 in WA
Livability — Olympia
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #58
- US rank
- #1036
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Olympia, WA
- County
- Thurston County · 269,345 people
- City population
- 98,428
- Metro
- Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,398
- Household income
- $92,207
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1811.0
Population outlook (Thurston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 308,239 people
- By 2030
- 326,483 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 359,890 · +16.8%
- By 2050
- 391,800 · +27.1%
- By 2075
- 468,024 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 519,890 · +68.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 6% Black 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Portuguese 4% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Vietnam, Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Thurston
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.4) · D 58.5% · R 38.1% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 21.7pp · 2024: 20.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.4 2020: D+18.6 2016: D+15.4 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+21.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 18.49%
- Current HPI
- 1056.49
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.16%
- Metro
- Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $819,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…