3275 26th Ave E #125 · Bradenton, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.98%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.3/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A very nice and well maintained home. It has a recently purchased air conditioner, refrigerator, stackable washer-dryer, hot water heater and carpeting. This is a 1980 model home in a GATED COMMUNITY and the COMMUNITY PROVIDES GRASS CUTTING, TRASH REMOVAL, WATER, SEWER AND CABLE ALL FOR $105 PER MONTH FEE. Also, included as well for that fee is a heated pool, a shuffleboard court, a very nice clubhouse and maintenance of the public areas. You will never be bored in this community! There are many activities and you'll make precious friendships that will last a lifetime! And WHY PAY LOT RENT WHEN YOU CAN LIVE HERE FOR $105 PER MONTH! The big question is: What are you waiting for?! Come and enjoy the delightful Florida climate and lifestyle that you've always dreamed about at SUGAR CREEK ESTATES!
Key facts
- Screened in porch
- Walk in closets
- Walk in shower
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lease/restrictions apply
- Financial info:
- HOA & community: HOA named Marie Morgan with required approval for new members; Monthly HOA fee (approx.) $183.33; quarterly association fee $550; Association covers cable TV, internet, sewer, trash and water; Community amenities: clubhouse, pool; golf carts allowed; shuffleboard court; Senior community; pets not allowed
Exterior
- Parking:
- Security:
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One story; Faces north
- Construction: Frame construction; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a manufactured home
- Exterior features: Other exterior features; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $430 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 3.6% in Bradenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#101 in FL, #1,528 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.4%/yr); 345 active listings in the ZIP; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 186 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $50k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 186 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.60%
- DSCR
- 2.90
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $58,752
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3333 26th Ave E #1023 | 0.32mi | 1/1.0 | 393 (+2%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $153 | 78 |
| 3300 26th Ave E #171 | 0.12mi | 1/1.0 | 420 (+9%) | 3mo | $29,900 | $71 | 77 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.12×
- Total profit
- $15,640
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 33.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.49×
- Total profit
- $34,853
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34208
- Rents YoY
- -5.4%
- Active inventory
- 345
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,298 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $764/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$183
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$272
- Net cashflow
- $430
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $183 · $2,196/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrashcablepoolsecurity
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-12status Active
-
2026-05-12price $49,900
-
2026-05-10historical
-
2026-03-08price $55,000
-
2025-11-19$69,000 Active
-
2025-10-14historical
-
2025-04-18price $79,000
-
2025-03-14$84,900 Active
-
2014-02-21soldstatus $25,000 804-char remark
Show marketing remark (804 chars)
A very nice and well maintained home. It has a recently purchased air conditioner, refrigerator, stackable washer-dryer, hot water heater and carpeting. This is a 1980 model home in a GATED COMMUNITY and the COMMUNITY PROVIDES GRASS CUTTING, TRASH REMOVAL, WATER, SEWER AND CABLE ALL FOR $105 PER MONTH FEE. Also, included as well for that fee is a heated pool, a shuffleboard court, a very nice clubhouse and maintenance of the public areas. You will never be bored in this community! There are many activities and you'll make precious friendships that will last a lifetime! And WHY PAY LOT RENT WHEN YOU CAN LIVE HERE FOR $105 PER MONTH! The big question is: What are you waiting for?! Come and enjoy the delightful Florida climate and lifestyle that you've always dreamed about at SUGAR CREEK ESTATES!
-
2014-02-06$30,000 804-char remark
Show marketing remark (804 chars)
A very nice and well maintained home. It has a recently purchased air conditioner, refrigerator, stackable washer-dryer, hot water heater and carpeting. This is a 1980 model home in a GATED COMMUNITY and the COMMUNITY PROVIDES GRASS CUTTING, TRASH REMOVAL, WATER, SEWER AND CABLE ALL FOR $105 PER MONTH FEE. Also, included as well for that fee is a heated pool, a shuffleboard court, a very nice clubhouse and maintenance of the public areas. You will never be bored in this community! There are many activities and you'll make precious friendships that will last a lifetime! And WHY PAY LOT RENT WHEN YOU CAN LIVE HERE FOR $105 PER MONTH! The big question is: What are you waiting for?! Come and enjoy the delightful Florida climate and lifestyle that you've always dreamed about at SUGAR CREEK ESTATES!
-
2013-07-31$35,000
-
1979-04-12soldstatus $9,300
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $764 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $764 · $64/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 98% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,571
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$764
- − Insurance
- −$1,047
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,246
- − Management
- −$1,246
- − HOA
- −$2,196
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $4,826
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,158
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,996/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bradenton
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #101
- US rank
- #1528
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Manatee County · 416,364 people
- City population
- 227,091
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,004
- Household income
- $60,504
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1777.0
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Hispanic / Latino 33% Black 18% Two or more races 16% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 27% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -353.49%
- Current HPI
- 287.0443
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -5.44%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+436.6% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $49,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-10 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-08 Price Changed $55,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-19 Listed $69,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-14 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-18 Price Changed $79,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-14 Listed $84,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-02-21 Sold (MLS) $25,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-02-06 Listed $30,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-07-31 Listed $35,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1979-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $9,300 Public Records
Property tax history
+14.7%/yrLatest (2025): $764 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…