570 N 10th Ave #72 · Cornelius, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
CURRENT-REMODELED HOME IS READY TO MOVE IT!! Kitchen has been updated. All appliances stay: Refrigerator, Range, Washer/Dryer, NEW Heating and Cooling unit (energy efficient). Windows are energy efficient, new counter tops, built in "desk-computer" station on counter top w/ stool. Barn Door slider is Pantry, with built in wire racks. Closet with double racks next to it. Kitchen cabinets, barn door, counter tops, flooring, dishwasher and disposal-new 2 months ago. Newer light fixtures through-out home. New refrigerator this year. Windows are energy efficient, and plumbing under home has been redone. Freezer in shed works, and can stay also. * * * IRRIGATION TO WATER GRASS, FLOWE
Key facts
- Updated kitchen
- Massive deck
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Park offers on-site amenities including a furnished kitchen and gas fireplace in the community center
- Financial info: Monthly lot rent of $1,305; Land lease not required
- HOA & community: Community center with commons, meeting and party rooms; Gym and weight room; Laundry facilities; Recreation facilities; Road maintenance provided; Cable TV available; Pet policy allows 2 pets under 25 lbs; Located in Forest Hills Mobile Estates 55+ Community (park name)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport (1 space); On-street parking available; Total parking for 1 vehicle
- Utilities: Electric hot water; Electric fuel; Public water; Public sewer; Cable and other internet service available
- Home design: Manufactured home in a park; Residential property, not attached; Updated/remodeled condition; Main living all on one level; Built in 1971; Hillcrest manufacturer
- Construction: Composition roof; Skirting foundation
- Exterior features: Covered deck; Raised garden beds; Yard; Lap siding and metal siding; Level lot; Paved road access; Seasonal view
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Free-standing range; Free-standing refrigerator; Pantry; Updated/remodeled kitchen; Barn door(s); ENERGY STAR qualified appliances; Kitchen/dining room combo
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level; Second bedroom on the main level; Main-floor bedroom with bath (accessible)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms, both on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating with ENERGY STAR qualified equipment; Central air conditioning with EnergyStar-rated system
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Laminate flooring; Washer and dryer included; Double-pane and storm windows with vinyl frames; Crawl space foundation access; Accessible features including minimal steps and main-floor utility room
- Laundry & utility: Utility room on the main level; Washer and dryer (listed under interior and kitchen features)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $978 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 35.7% vs local median 2.9% in Cornelius — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#47 in OR, #1,193 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living C-.
- Forest Grove SD 15 (suburban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #111 of 183 in OR (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Echo Shaw Elementary School (377 students, 72% FRL); Neil Armstrong Middle School (math 24% / reading 75%, grade C, #26 of 128 statewide, top 21%, 826 students, 48% FRL); Forest Grove High School (1,977 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,224 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $40k implies a 299% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.98% ✓
- Cap rate
- 35.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 105.09%
- DSCR
- 5.68
- GRM
- 2.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $57,120
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 570 N 10th Ave #75 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 840 (0%) | 4mo | $16,000 | $19 | 89 |
| 507 N 19th Ave #2 | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (0%) | 8mo | $30,000 | $36 | 77 |
| 507 N 19th Ave #39 | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (-7%) | 16mo | $69,000 | $88 | 59 |
| 507 N 19th Ave #18 | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+14%) | 23mo | $65,000 | $68 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.00×
- Total profit
- $55,872
- Equity at exit
- $5,949
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.55×
- Total profit
- $128,989
- Equity at exit
- $3,450
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97113
- Active inventory
- 113
- Price-to-rent
- 2.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,588 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$50 /mo · $598/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$333
- Net cashflow
- $978
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1100 N Davis St Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,645 | $2.19 | 1d | 2 | 0.09mi |
| 267 N 10th Ave Unit 125-11 Cornelius, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $1,375 | $2.00 | 7d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 281 N 10th Ave Cornelius, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 585 | $1,350 | $2.31 | 1d | 3 | 0.26mi |
| 1250 E Baseline St Unit 4 Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,280 | $1.83 | 4d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 120 N 7th Ave Unit D Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1015 | $1,699 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 110 N 7th Ave Apt C Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1015 | $1,749 | $1.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 110 N 7th Ave Apt A Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1015 | $1,609 | $1.59 | 7d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 100 N 7th Ave Apt B Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1015 | $1,599 | $1.58 | 14d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 100 N 7th Ave Unit A Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1015 | $1,595 | $1.57 | 20d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 101 N 7th Ave Apt D Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 936 | $1,545 | $1.65 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 101 N 7th Ave Unit C Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 936 | $1,499 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 299 N 5th Pl Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 956 | $1,900 | $1.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 522 N Adair St #16 Cornelius, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,250 | $2.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 466 N Adair St #9 Cornelius, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,295 | $2.16 | 10d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 130 N 4th Ave Apt 18 Cornelius, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,295 | $2.16 | 21d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 130 N 4th Ave Apt 18 Cornelius, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,350 | $2.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 184 S 5th Ave Unit 164 Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1114 | $1,795 | $1.61 | 14d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1318 S Ivy St Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,795 | $2.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1330 S Ivy St Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,745 | $2.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 4300 Pacific Ave Forest Grove, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,645 | $1.73 | 1d | 5 | 0.83mi |
| 1367 S Ivy St Apt B Cornelius, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,550 | $1.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 4204 Pacific Ave Forest Grove, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 1d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2795 N Clark Ct Cornelius, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,295 | $2.09 | 17d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 313 S Nectarine St Cornelius, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $2,295 | $2.06 | 20d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3802 Pacific Ave Forest Grove, OR | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 945 | $2,035 | $2.15 | 1d | 12 | 1.18mi |
| 1917 Poplar Pl Forest Grove, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 929 | $1,960 | $2.11 | 1d | 18 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $39,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $39,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $39,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $39,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $39,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $39,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $39,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $39,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $39,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $39,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $39,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $39,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $39,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-22price $39,900
-
2026-05-21$55,500 Active
-
1990-06-03soldstatus $10,000
-
1974-10-01soldstatus $9,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,050
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$598
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,524
- − Management
- −$1,524
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $11,808
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,834
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,907/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Forest Grove SD 15
- NCES district ID
- 4105160
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,159
- Composite
- 36.31/100
- National rank
- #9395
- State rank
- #111 of 183 in OR
Livability — Cornelius
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #47
- US rank
- #1193
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cornelius, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,621
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 674,042 people
- By 2030
- 721,804 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 812,732 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 895,143 · +32.8%
- By 2075
- 1,058,806 · +57.1%
- By 2100
- 1,131,692 · +67.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 47% White 46% Two or more races 13% Native American 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 42%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 42% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+34.0) · D 65.3% · R 31.3% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.8pp toward D · 2008: 22.1pp · 2024: 34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+34.0 2020: D+34.6 2016: D+26.7 2012: D+17.5 2008: D+22.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -171.16%
- Current HPI
- 285.7514
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+320.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $39,900 RMLS
- 2026-05-21 Listed $55,500 RMLS
- 1990-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 1974-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $9,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-36.2%/yrLatest (2015): $6 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…