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147 Circle Dr
D+ Composite 45.84
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.4/30.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

147 Circle Dr · Farmerville, LA 71241
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,350 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 259 Days on market
Built 1981 0.38 ac lot $167/sqft · 42% above area Est $216k · at est. ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

LODGE-LIKE LIVING ON LAKE D’ARBONNE! This one-of-a-kind home offers 2 bedrooms, 2 full baths located just 240' from beautiful Lake D’Arbonne and is the perfect place to enjoy the lake life. Situated on two lots with a scenic view of the lake, this open-floor plan home features a spacious living room with a soaring, vaulted wood ceiling; a massive, flagstone wood-burning fireplace; built-in hutch cabinets; two walk-in closets; and easy access to the screened porch or open balcony deck. Just off of the living room is the comfy kitchen with lots of cabinets and a breakfast bar. The huge Master Bedroom Suite is located upstairs and offers two closets, as well as double sinks, tub/shower combo, and a laundry chute. There’s also a second bedroom located downstairs just across from the large utility room that features plenty of storage. There’s a single-car garage in the basement that also has a spacious bonus room. Outside offers so many amenities! The screened porch and expansive open balcony deck is perfect for gathering with family and friends or simply enjoying your morning coffee. There’s also a covered patio with ceiling fans around one side and the rear of the home. You’ll find several storage buildings on the property, as well as a 26' x 18' workshop. Want more? There’s also a boathouse with electric and water sitting on the lake. Talk about being a stone’s throw from some of the greatest fishing and recreational activities around this area! This home is more than just a house - it’s a lifestyle. Schedule your personal tour today!

Key facts

  • Lake view
  • Covered patio
  • Storage buildings

Tags

LAKE VIEWSCREENED PORCHOPEN BALCONY DECKCOVERED PATIOSTORAGE BUILDINGSWORKSHOP

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $291 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $205k (9.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $198k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 5.4% in Farmerville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#321 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Union Parish (rural): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #74 of 98 in LA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Union Parish Elementary School (math 4% / reading 8%, grade F, #630 of 646 statewide, top 98%, 659 students, 58% FRL); Union Parish High School (math 8% / reading 16%, grade F, #235 of 265 statewide, top 90%, 745 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 76% district-wide (21 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 111 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Union Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Union County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 259 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $198,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 259 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.84%
Cash-on-cash
5.54%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$216,466
List price
$225,000
Delta
3.94%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.8%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-18,050
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
1.7%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$7,685
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71241

Home prices YoY
-21.0%
Active inventory
111
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,048 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$54 /mo · $642/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$430
Net cashflow
$291

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,680
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $418 -5% $354 +0% $291 +5% $227 +10% $163
Rent -10% $129 -5% $210 +0% $291 +5% $372 +10% $453
Rate -1.0pp $404 -0.5pp $348 base $291 +0.5pp $232 +1.0pp $173

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    status $225,000 Pending 259 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $225,000 Active 259 DOM
  3. 2026-06-14
    days on market $225,000 Active 257 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $225,000 Active 256 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $225,000 Active 254 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $225,000 Active 253 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $225,000 Active 252 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $225,000 Active 251 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $225,000 Active 248 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    price $225,000 Active 246 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $254,000 Active 246 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $254,000 Active 245 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $254,000 Active 244 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $254,000 Active 243 DOM
  15. 2026-01-13
    price $254,000 1612-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1612 chars)

    LODGE-LIKE LIVING ON LAKE D’ARBONNE! This one-of-a-kind home offers 2 bedrooms, 2 full baths located just 240' from beautiful Lake D’Arbonne and is the perfect place to enjoy the lake life. Situated on two lots with a scenic view of the lake, this open-floor plan home features a spacious living room with a soaring, vaulted wood ceiling; a massive, flagstone wood-burning fireplace; built-in hutch cabinets; two walk-in closets; and easy access to the screened porch or open balcony deck. Just off of the living room is the comfy kitchen with lots of cabinets and a breakfast bar. The huge Master Bedroom Suite is located upstairs and offers two closets, as well as double sinks, tub/shower combo, and a laundry chute. There’s also a second bedroom located downstairs just across from the large utility room that features plenty of storage. There’s a single-car garage in the basement that also has a spacious bonus room. Outside offers so many amenities! The screened porch and expansive open balcony deck is perfect for gathering with family and friends or simply enjoying your morning coffee. There’s also a covered patio with ceiling fans around one side and the rear of the home. You’ll find several storage buildings on the property, as well as a 26' x 18' workshop. Want more? There’s also a boathouse with electric and water sitting on the lake. Talk about being a stone’s throw from some of the greatest fishing and recreational activities around this area! This home is more than just a house - it’s a lifestyle. Schedule your personal tour today!

  16. 2025-09-29
    listed $280,000 Active 1612-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1612 chars)

    LODGE-LIKE LIVING ON LAKE D’ARBONNE! This one-of-a-kind home offers 2 bedrooms, 2 full baths located just 240' from beautiful Lake D’Arbonne and is the perfect place to enjoy the lake life. Situated on two lots with a scenic view of the lake, this open-floor plan home features a spacious living room with a soaring, vaulted wood ceiling; a massive, flagstone wood-burning fireplace; built-in hutch cabinets; two walk-in closets; and easy access to the screened porch or open balcony deck. Just off of the living room is the comfy kitchen with lots of cabinets and a breakfast bar. The huge Master Bedroom Suite is located upstairs and offers two closets, as well as double sinks, tub/shower combo, and a laundry chute. There’s also a second bedroom located downstairs just across from the large utility room that features plenty of storage. There’s a single-car garage in the basement that also has a spacious bonus room. Outside offers so many amenities! The screened porch and expansive open balcony deck is perfect for gathering with family and friends or simply enjoying your morning coffee. There’s also a covered patio with ceiling fans around one side and the rear of the home. You’ll find several storage buildings on the property, as well as a 26' x 18' workshop. Want more? There’s also a boathouse with electric and water sitting on the lake. Talk about being a stone’s throw from some of the greatest fishing and recreational activities around this area! This home is more than just a house - it’s a lifestyle. Schedule your personal tour today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$642 · $54/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,238 · $103/mo
Expected delta
+$595/yr (+$50/mo · 92.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,577
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$642
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,966
− Management
−$1,966
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$272
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$65
After-tax cash flow
$3,554/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Union Parish
NCES district ID
2201770
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -37.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -34.00%
Median HH income
$37,279
Composite
13.35/100
National rank
#9537
State rank
#74 of 98 in LA

Livability — Farmerville

Score
57/100
State rank
#321
US rank
#21826

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
7,773

Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,722 people
By 2030
21,226 · -2.3%
By 2040
20,026 · -7.8%
By 2050
18,682 · -14.0%
By 2075
15,725 · -27.6%
By 2100
12,509 · -42.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Union

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.0) · D 21.1% · R 78.0%
2008→2024 swing
-15.4pp toward R · 2008: -41.5pp · 2024: -57.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.0 2020: R+51.4 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+41.7 2008: R+41.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.85%
Current HPI
169.0449
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-13 Price Changed $254,000 NELABOR
  • 2025-09-29 Listed $280,000 NELABOR

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $642 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…