🏷️ Likely Rental
865 Moonlight Dr · North Fort Myers, FL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$78,250
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BEST PRICE IN LAZY DAYS MOBILE VILLAGE! Immaculate & FURNISHED TURNKEY~~Ready to move in! Why spend a lot of $ on your vacation home? LOW HOA fee $108/month! Insurance is affordable & available! Own this unit AND YOUR LAND while you Enjoy MAINTENANCE-FREE AFFORDABLE LIVING in the Sunshine State! Well-maintained single-wide with Florida room on a quiet street w/ no through traffic. Enjoy the open living room & bright & airy eat-in kitchen. Nearly 1000 sq. ft. under A/C PLUS storage. Fruit trees & flowering shrubs. Low-cost RV & boat storage on-site. Walk to the pool & enjoy a friendly 55+ community with 2 clubhouses, community swimming pool, shuffleboard, ponds, parks, nice landscaping, streetlights--life is good at Lazy Days! Buyers shop other parks, but they come back to Lazy Days~~A great place to live year-round or as a 2nd home for warm weather enjoyment! Park share certificate is available separately which will reduce the monthly fee to $13.
Key facts
- New stove
- Florida room
- Bay window
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed conditionally (call). Up to 2 pets, max 25 lbs; only dogs and cats; no vicious breeds
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee (includes legal/accounting, recreation facilities, reserve fund, street lights, trash); Association amenities include clubhouse, pool, laundry, storage, bocce court, pickleball, shuffleboard, picnic/barbecue areas, RV/boat storage, library, management; Senior community; Street lights in community; Association fee listed as $185 monthly
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking; Attached carport (1 space); Driveway (paved)
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; High speed internet available
- Home design: Manufactured home; Vinyl siding; 1 story; Entry level 1; Faces west; Resale property; Roof over
- Construction: Manufactured construction; Vinyl siding; Roof over
- Exterior features: Storage; Community pool; Rectangular lot; Paved public road; East exposure
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Includes guest quarters; Florida room
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Tub with shower; Window treatments; High speed internet available; Furnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Common area laundry; Laundry tub
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $78k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-69 ($-829/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $66k (15.6% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (15.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 3.6% in North Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#269 in FL, #4,409 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Diplomat Elementary School (math 67% / reading 60%, grade B, #564 of 2,144 statewide, top 27%, 1,069 students, 56% FRL); Mariner Middle School (math 50% / reading 47%, grade C-, #274 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 1,001 students, 53% FRL); Ida S. Baker High School (math 44% / reading 47%, grade D-, #223 of 667 statewide, top 34%, 1,933 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 846 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $542 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 269 days — a 12% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $78k implies a 226% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 269 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.58%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $102,144
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 807 Homefolks St | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (0%) | 7mo | $107,000 | $159 | 90 |
| 818 Homefolks St | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (0%) | 20mo | $102,000 | $152 | 81 |
| 853 Winterest Dr | 0.06mi | 2/1.5 | 672 (0%) | 22mo | $65,000 | $97 | 77 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.22×
- Total profit
- $-17,199
- Equity at exit
- $11,667
- IRR
- -17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.04×
- Total profit
- $-21,127
- Equity at exit
- $6,766
Cash invested: $21,910 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33917
- Home prices YoY
- -30.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 846
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,329 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$410
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $773/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$185
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $-69
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-25 | -5% $-47 | +0% $-69 | +5% $-91 | +10% $-113 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-174 | -5% $-122 | +0% $-69 | +5% $-17 | +10% $36 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-30 | -0.5pp $-49 | base $-69 | +0.5pp $-89 | +1.0pp $-110 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,562
- Closing costs
- $2,348
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8086 Heck Dr Unit 6 North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $800 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 7535 McDaniel Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 644 | $850 | $1.32 | 15d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 7535 McDaniel Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 644 | $850 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3260 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 976 | $2,371 | $2.43 | 3d | 27 | 1.24mi |
| 2211 Cantor Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 672 | $850 | $1.26 | 3d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 7869 Suncoast Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 564 | $850 | $1.51 | 3d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $185 · $2,220/yr
- Likely covers
- landscapingpool
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $78,250 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $78,250 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $78,250 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $78,250 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $78,250 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $78,250 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $78,250 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $78,250 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $78,250 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $78,250 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-02-02price $78,250
-
2025-09-22$87,500 Active
-
2025-05-09historical
-
2025-02-26price $94,975
-
2025-02-04price $104,900
-
2024-11-11$119,975 Active
-
2011-12-22soldstatus $24,000 1003-char remark
Show marketing remark (1003 chars)
BEST PRICE IN LAZY DAYS MOBILE VILLAGE! Immaculate & FURNISHED TURNKEY~~Ready to move in! Why spend a lot of $ on your vacation home? LOW HOA fee $108/month! Insurance is affordable & available! Own this unit AND YOUR LAND while you Enjoy MAINTENANCE-FREE AFFORDABLE LIVING in the Sunshine State! Well-maintained single-wide with Florida room on a quiet street w/ no through traffic. Enjoy the open living room & bright & airy eat-in kitchen. Nearly 1000 sq. ft. under A/C PLUS storage. Fruit trees & flowering shrubs. Low-cost RV & boat storage on-site. Walk to the pool & enjoy a friendly 55+ community with 2 clubhouses, community swimming pool, shuffleboard, ponds, parks, nice landscaping, streetlights--life is good at Lazy Days! Buyers shop other parks, but they come back to Lazy Days~~A great place to live year-round or as a 2nd home for warm weather enjoyment! Park share certificate is available separately which will reduce the monthly fee to $13.
-
2011-12-22price $29,500 1003-char remark
Show marketing remark (1003 chars)
BEST PRICE IN LAZY DAYS MOBILE VILLAGE! Immaculate & FURNISHED TURNKEY~~Ready to move in! Why spend a lot of $ on your vacation home? LOW HOA fee $108/month! Insurance is affordable & available! Own this unit AND YOUR LAND while you Enjoy MAINTENANCE-FREE AFFORDABLE LIVING in the Sunshine State! Well-maintained single-wide with Florida room on a quiet street w/ no through traffic. Enjoy the open living room & bright & airy eat-in kitchen. Nearly 1000 sq. ft. under A/C PLUS storage. Fruit trees & flowering shrubs. Low-cost RV & boat storage on-site. Walk to the pool & enjoy a friendly 55+ community with 2 clubhouses, community swimming pool, shuffleboard, ponds, parks, nice landscaping, streetlights--life is good at Lazy Days! Buyers shop other parks, but they come back to Lazy Days~~A great place to live year-round or as a 2nd home for warm weather enjoyment! Park share certificate is available separately which will reduce the monthly fee to $13.
-
1990-03-20soldstatus $29,000
-
1988-02-04soldstatus $22,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $773 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $773 · $64/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,947
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,383
- − Property taxes
- −$773
- − Insurance
- −$5,510
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,276
- − Management
- −$1,276
- − HOA
- −$2,220
- − Depreciation
- −$2,276
- Taxable loss
- −$1,767
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$424
- After-tax cash flow
- $-405/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Fort Myers
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #269
- US rank
- #4409
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Fort Myers, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 57,035
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,380
- Household income
- $55,000
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 775.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.28%
- Current HPI
- 282.2895
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.63%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+255.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $78,250 FORTMLS
- 2025-09-22 Listed $87,500 FORTMLS
- 2025-05-09 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2025-02-26 Price Changed $94,975 FORTMLS
- 2025-02-04 Price Changed $104,900 FORTMLS
- 2024-11-11 Listed $119,975 FORTMLS
- 2011-12-22 Price Changed $29,500 FORTMLS
- 2011-12-22 Sold (MLS) $24,000 FORTMLS
- 1990-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
- 1988-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $773 · -14.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…