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865 Moonlight Dr 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 78.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$78,250

865 Moonlight Dr · North Fort Myers, FL 33917
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · Manufactured public records · 269 Days on market
Built 1976 4,268 sqft lot Est $102k · 23% under $185/mo HOA · 14% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

BEST PRICE IN LAZY DAYS MOBILE VILLAGE! Immaculate & FURNISHED TURNKEY~~Ready to move in! Why spend a lot of $ on your vacation home? LOW HOA fee $108/month! Insurance is affordable & available! Own this unit AND YOUR LAND while you Enjoy MAINTENANCE-FREE AFFORDABLE LIVING in the Sunshine State! Well-maintained single-wide with Florida room on a quiet street w/ no through traffic. Enjoy the open living room & bright & airy eat-in kitchen. Nearly 1000 sq. ft. under A/C PLUS storage. Fruit trees & flowering shrubs. Low-cost RV & boat storage on-site. Walk to the pool & enjoy a friendly 55+ community with 2 clubhouses, community swimming pool, shuffleboard, ponds, parks, nice landscaping, streetlights--life is good at Lazy Days! Buyers shop other parks, but they come back to Lazy Days~~A great place to live year-round or as a 2nd home for warm weather enjoyment! Park share certificate is available separately which will reduce the monthly fee to $13.

Key facts

  • New stove
  • Florida room
  • Bay window

Tags

FLORIDA ROOMOPEN AIR PATIOEAT-IN KITCHENNEW STOVENEW REFRIGERATORBAY WINDOW

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Pets allowed conditionally (call). Up to 2 pets, max 25 lbs; only dogs and cats; no vicious breeds
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee (includes legal/accounting, recreation facilities, reserve fund, street lights, trash); Association amenities include clubhouse, pool, laundry, storage, bocce court, pickleball, shuffleboard, picnic/barbecue areas, RV/boat storage, library, management; Senior community; Street lights in community; Association fee listed as $185 monthly

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking; Attached carport (1 space); Driveway (paved)
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; High speed internet available
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Vinyl siding; 1 story; Entry level 1; Faces west; Resale property; Roof over
  • Construction: Manufactured construction; Vinyl siding; Roof over
  • Exterior features: Storage; Community pool; Rectangular lot; Paved public road; East exposure

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Includes guest quarters; Florida room
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Tub with shower; Window treatments; High speed internet available; Furnished
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Common area laundry; Laundry tub

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $78,250 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$102,144) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $78k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-69 ($-829/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $66k (15.6% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (15.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 3.6% in North Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#269 in FL, #4,409 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Diplomat Elementary School (math 67% / reading 60%, grade B, #564 of 2,144 statewide, top 27%, 1,069 students, 56% FRL); Mariner Middle School (math 50% / reading 47%, grade C-, #274 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 1,001 students, 53% FRL); Ida S. Baker High School (math 44% / reading 47%, grade D-, #223 of 667 statewide, top 34%, 1,933 students, 39% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 846 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $542 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 269 days — a 12% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $24k; list at $78k implies a 226% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $66,041 (15.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 269 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.70%
Cap rate
11.77%
Cash-on-cash
19.58%
DSCR
1.87
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$102,144
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
807 Homefolks St 0.11mi 2/1.0 672 (0%) 7mo $107,000 $159 90
818 Homefolks St 0.05mi 2/1.0 672 (0%) 20mo $102,000 $152 81
853 Winterest Dr 0.06mi 2/1.5 672 (0%) 22mo $65,000 $97 77

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.9%
Equity multiple
0.22×
Total profit
$-17,199
Equity at exit
$11,667
10-year hold
IRR
-17.8%
Equity multiple
0.04×
Total profit
$-21,127
Equity at exit
$6,766

Cash invested: $21,910 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33917

Home prices YoY
-30.2%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
846
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,329 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$410
Tax from tax record
$64 /mo · $773/yr
Insurance
$33
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$185
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$-69

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,416
Max offer price $66,041
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-25 -5% $-47 +0% $-69 +5% $-91 +10% $-113
Rent -10% $-174 -5% $-122 +0% $-69 +5% $-17 +10% $36
Rate -1.0pp $-30 -0.5pp $-49 base $-69 +0.5pp $-89 +1.0pp $-110

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,562
Closing costs
$2,348
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8086 Heck Dr Unit 6 North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 600 $800 $1.33 25d 1 1.20mi
7535 McDaniel Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 644 $850 $1.32 15d 1 1.22mi
7535 McDaniel Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 644 $850 $1.32 25d 1 1.22mi
3260 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 1.0–2.0 976 $2,371 $2.43 3d 27 1.24mi
2211 Cantor Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 672 $850 $1.26 3d 1 1.40mi
7869 Suncoast Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 564 $850 $1.51 3d 1 1.41mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$185 · $2,220/yr
Likely covers
landscapingpool

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $78,250 Active 269 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $78,250 Active 265 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $78,250 Active 264 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $78,250 Active 263 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $78,250 Active 261 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $78,250 Active 257 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $78,250 Active 255 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $78,250 Active 250 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $78,250 Active 249 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $78,250 Active 248 DOM
  11. 2026-02-02
    price $78,250
  12. 2025-09-22
    listed $87,500 Active
  13. 2025-05-09
    historical
  14. 2025-02-26
    price $94,975
  15. 2025-02-04
    price $104,900
  16. 2024-11-11
    listed $119,975 Active
  17. 2011-12-22
    soldstatus $24,000 1003-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1003 chars)

    BEST PRICE IN LAZY DAYS MOBILE VILLAGE! Immaculate & FURNISHED TURNKEY~~Ready to move in! Why spend a lot of $ on your vacation home? LOW HOA fee $108/month! Insurance is affordable & available! Own this unit AND YOUR LAND while you Enjoy MAINTENANCE-FREE AFFORDABLE LIVING in the Sunshine State! Well-maintained single-wide with Florida room on a quiet street w/ no through traffic. Enjoy the open living room & bright & airy eat-in kitchen. Nearly 1000 sq. ft. under A/C PLUS storage. Fruit trees & flowering shrubs. Low-cost RV & boat storage on-site. Walk to the pool & enjoy a friendly 55+ community with 2 clubhouses, community swimming pool, shuffleboard, ponds, parks, nice landscaping, streetlights--life is good at Lazy Days! Buyers shop other parks, but they come back to Lazy Days~~A great place to live year-round or as a 2nd home for warm weather enjoyment! Park share certificate is available separately which will reduce the monthly fee to $13.

  18. 2011-12-22
    price $29,500 1003-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1003 chars)

    BEST PRICE IN LAZY DAYS MOBILE VILLAGE! Immaculate & FURNISHED TURNKEY~~Ready to move in! Why spend a lot of $ on your vacation home? LOW HOA fee $108/month! Insurance is affordable & available! Own this unit AND YOUR LAND while you Enjoy MAINTENANCE-FREE AFFORDABLE LIVING in the Sunshine State! Well-maintained single-wide with Florida room on a quiet street w/ no through traffic. Enjoy the open living room & bright & airy eat-in kitchen. Nearly 1000 sq. ft. under A/C PLUS storage. Fruit trees & flowering shrubs. Low-cost RV & boat storage on-site. Walk to the pool & enjoy a friendly 55+ community with 2 clubhouses, community swimming pool, shuffleboard, ponds, parks, nice landscaping, streetlights--life is good at Lazy Days! Buyers shop other parks, but they come back to Lazy Days~~A great place to live year-round or as a 2nd home for warm weather enjoyment! Park share certificate is available separately which will reduce the monthly fee to $13.

  19. 1990-03-20
    soldstatus $29,000
  20. 1988-02-04
    soldstatus $22,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$773 · $64/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$773 · $64/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,947
− Mortgage interest
−$4,383
− Property taxes
−$773
− Insurance
−$5,510
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,276
− Management
−$1,276
− HOA
−$2,220
− Depreciation
−$2,276
Taxable loss
−$1,767
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$424
After-tax cash flow
$-405/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Fort Myers

Score
74/100
State rank
#269
US rank
#4409

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Fort Myers, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
57,035
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
33,380
Household income
$55,000
Rent vs Own
16.3% rent · 83.7% own
Severe rent burden
775.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.28%
Current HPI
282.2895
Rent YoY
▲ 2.63%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+255.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-02 Price Changed $78,250 FORTMLS
  • 2025-09-22 Listed $87,500 FORTMLS
  • 2025-05-09 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2025-02-26 Price Changed $94,975 FORTMLS
  • 2025-02-04 Price Changed $104,900 FORTMLS
  • 2024-11-11 Listed $119,975 FORTMLS
  • 2011-12-22 Price Changed $29,500 FORTMLS
  • 2011-12-22 Sold (MLS) $24,000 FORTMLS
  • 1990-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
  • 1988-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $773 · -14.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…