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2470 Hales Ford Rd
B Composite 70.69
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

2470 Hales Ford Rd · Westlake Corner, VA 24121
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,512 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 2001 1.55 ac lot ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits! This 4 bedroom, 2 bath home is perfect for an investor, flipper, or do-it-yourself buyer ready to bring this property back to life. Ideally located near all the amenities of Smith Mountain Lake with convenient access to shopping, dining, marinas, and recreation. Only 6 miles to Moneta Food Lion and approximately 15 minutes to Bridgewater Plaza. Convenient commute to Bedford, Lynchburg, and Roanoke. Sold AS IS. 4 Bedroom septic in attached documents. No walk arounds, MUST be shown by licensed VA Realtor. Sellers will review all offers on Friday morning May 29 2026 .

Key facts

  • 1.55 acre lot
  • Built 2001
  • Listed 3 days

Tags

CONVENIENT ACCESS TO SHOPPINGCONVENIENT ACCESS TO DININGCONVENIENT ACCESS TO MARINASCONVENIENT COMMUTE TO BEDFORDCONVENIENT COMMUTE TO ROANOKE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electric heat pump
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 2001
  • Construction: Built in 2001
  • Exterior features: Front porch; 1.55-acre lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling
  • Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Cap rate 26.2% vs local median 1.5% in Westlake Corner — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#525 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+; Watch: employment C-, cost of living D+, amenities F.
  • Bedford County Public School District (rural): math 55% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #41 of 131 in VA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Goodview Elementary (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #696 of 1,108 statewide, top 66%, 495 students, 70% FRL); Staunton River Middle (math 45% / reading 65%, grade B-, #189 of 342 statewide, top 56%, 627 students, 86% FRL); Staunton River High (math 39% / reading 66%, grade C-, #293 of 319 statewide, top 92%, 889 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 30% district-wide (45 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 364 active listings in the ZIP; 294 units permitted in Bedford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bedford County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.90%
Cap rate
26.22%
Cash-on-cash
71.18%
DSCR
4.17
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$293,328
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
100 Old Post Rd 0.54mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,416 (-6%) 12mo $275,000 $194 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
70.8%
Equity multiple
4.20×
Total profit
$67,192
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
74.8%
Equity multiple
8.65×
Total profit
$160,693
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24121

Home prices YoY
-8.0%
Active inventory
364
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,176 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$49 /mo · $584/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$457
Net cashflow
$1,246

Break-even live

Break-even rent $599
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 38%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-26
    listed $75,000 Active
  2. 2009-07-25
    historical
  3. 2009-04-17
    listed $76,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$584 · $49/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$615 · $51/mo
Expected delta
+$31/yr (+$3/mo · 5.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,111
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$584
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,089
− Management
−$2,089
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$14,591
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,502
After-tax cash flow
$11,447/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bedford County Public School District
NCES district ID
5100360
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$56,288
Composite
54.92/100
National rank
#1310
State rank
#41 of 131 in VA

Livability — Westlake Corner

Score
54/100
State rank
#525
US rank
#24129

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,782

Population outlook (Bedford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
83,194 people
By 2030
85,499 · +2.8%
By 2040
88,834 · +6.8%
By 2050
90,060 · +8.3%
By 2075
94,131 · +13.1%
By 2100
89,832 · +8.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bedford

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.4) · D 24.4% · R 74.8%
2008→2024 swing
-13.0pp toward R · 2008: -37.4pp · 2024: -50.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.4 2020: R+48.1 2016: R+49.4 2012: R+45.0 2008: R+37.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -26.82%
Current HPI
309.6406
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $75,000 MLSRV
  • 2009-07-25 Listing Removed MLSRV
  • 2009-04-17 Listed $76,400 MLSRV

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $584 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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