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40 Creston Pl Duplex
F Composite 29.67
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.3/30.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$818,000

40 Creston Pl · New York, NY 10304
6 bd · 6.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 78 Days on market
Built 1989 3,061 sqft lot Est $643k · 27% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautiful and versatile two-family dwelling located at 40 Creston Place (aka 55 Cebra Ave), street to street property, offering the perfect blend of privacy, convenience, and modern updates. Nestled on a quiet dead-end street with dedicated parking, and additional garage access from 55 Cebra Ave, this property provides exceptional accessibility to transportation while maintaining a peaceful residential setting. The main home features 2 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, along with a private den and additional living room, complemented by a garage, private driveway, additional off-street parking, and ample storage. The multi-level apartment includes a separate private entrance, offering excellent flexibility for extended family living or potential rental income. The property has been extensively updated, including connection to city sewer, updated HVAC systems (with a ductless system installed for the apartment), new water tanks, and gutter guards. Exterior enhancements include a beautifully renovated patio with Cambridge pavers, stone veneer siding, and professionally landscaped grounds featuring a rose garden and mature privacy plantings. Interior improvements in the main home include a fully updated kitchen with granite countertops, floor-to-ceiling cabinetry, and newer appliances, along with renovated bathrooms, refinished hardwood floors, and updated windows and doors throughout. The apartment has also been updated with a renovated kitchen, newer appliances, and an upgraded bathroom. This well-maintained and thoughtfully updated property offers both comfort and opportunity in a prime location with great accessibility to Manhattan. Minutes to the SI Ferry, and Restaurants.

Key facts

  • New water tanks
  • Private den
  • Updated hvac systems

Tags

DEDICATED PARKINGGARAGE ACCESSPRIVATE DENSEPARATE PRIVATE ENTRANCEUPDATED HVAC SYSTEMSNEW WATER TANKS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Two parking spaces; One-car garage; Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available
  • Home design: Duplex; Building area approximately 1680 total; Actual property condition
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior
  • Exterior features: No waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: First-floor full bath; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Primary bathroom
  • Laundry & utility: Unfinished basement (utility space)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $818k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-452 ($-5k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-226/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $738k (9.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $589k (28.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $589k (28.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; 480 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,889/mo this rent would consume 99% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 2401% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($769k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $301k; list at $818k implies a 172% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $588,900 (28.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.63%
Cash-on-cash
-2.37%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$642,600
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
251 Castleton Ave 0.37mi 5/3.0 (-1) 1,470 (+5%) 5mo $675,000 $459 53
245 Westervelt Ave 0.57mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,314 (-6%) 3mo $520,000 $396 40
80 Corson Ave 0.31mi 7/2.0 (+1) 1,584 (+13%) 5mo $755,000 $477 40
435 Castleton Ave 0.65mi 6/2.0 1,600 (+14%) 4mo $711,000 $444 26
92 Canal St 0.65mi 6/3.0 1,250 (-11%) 20mo $815,000 $652 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.3%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-167,503
Equity at exit
$121,966
10-year hold
IRR
-17.2%
Equity multiple
0.09×
Total profit
$-207,749
Equity at exit
$70,726

Cash invested: $229,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10304

Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
203
Price-to-rent
23.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,889 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,290
Tax from tax record
$474 /mo · $5,684/yr
Insurance
$341
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,237
Net cashflow
$-452

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,461
Max offer price $738,180
Occupancy floor

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $5,889

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$204,500
Closing costs
$24,540
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $818,000 Active 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $818,000 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $818,000 Active 75 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $818,000 Active 73 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $818,000 Active 69 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $818,000 Active 68 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $818,000 Active 67 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $818,000 Active 64 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $818,000 Active 63 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $818,000 Active 61 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $818,000 Active 60 DOM
  12. 2026-05-07
    status Pending 1715-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1715 chars)

    Welcome to this beautiful and versatile two-family dwelling located at 40 Creston Place (aka 55 Cebra Ave), street to street property, offering the perfect blend of privacy, convenience, and modern updates. Nestled on a quiet dead-end street with dedicated parking, and additional garage access from 55 Cebra Ave, this property provides exceptional accessibility to transportation while maintaining a peaceful residential setting. The main home features 2 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, along with a private den and additional living room, complemented by a garage, private driveway, additional off-street parking, and ample storage. The multi-level apartment includes a separate private entrance, offering excellent flexibility for extended family living or potential rental income. The property has been extensively updated, including connection to city sewer, updated HVAC systems (with a ductless system installed for the apartment), new water tanks, and gutter guards. Exterior enhancements include a beautifully renovated patio with Cambridge pavers, stone veneer siding, and professionally landscaped grounds featuring a rose garden and mature privacy plantings. Interior improvements in the main home include a fully updated kitchen with granite countertops, floor-to-ceiling cabinetry, and newer appliances, along with renovated bathrooms, refinished hardwood floors, and updated windows and doors throughout. The apartment has also been updated with a renovated kitchen, newer appliances, and an upgraded bathroom. This well-maintained and thoughtfully updated property offers both comfort and opportunity in a prime location with great accessibility to Manhattan. Minutes to the SI Ferry, and Restaurants.

  13. 2026-03-31
    listed $818,000 Active 1715-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1715 chars)

    Welcome to this beautiful and versatile two-family dwelling located at 40 Creston Place (aka 55 Cebra Ave), street to street property, offering the perfect blend of privacy, convenience, and modern updates. Nestled on a quiet dead-end street with dedicated parking, and additional garage access from 55 Cebra Ave, this property provides exceptional accessibility to transportation while maintaining a peaceful residential setting. The main home features 2 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, along with a private den and additional living room, complemented by a garage, private driveway, additional off-street parking, and ample storage. The multi-level apartment includes a separate private entrance, offering excellent flexibility for extended family living or potential rental income. The property has been extensively updated, including connection to city sewer, updated HVAC systems (with a ductless system installed for the apartment), new water tanks, and gutter guards. Exterior enhancements include a beautifully renovated patio with Cambridge pavers, stone veneer siding, and professionally landscaped grounds featuring a rose garden and mature privacy plantings. Interior improvements in the main home include a fully updated kitchen with granite countertops, floor-to-ceiling cabinetry, and newer appliances, along with renovated bathrooms, refinished hardwood floors, and updated windows and doors throughout. The apartment has also been updated with a renovated kitchen, newer appliances, and an upgraded bathroom. This well-maintained and thoughtfully updated property offers both comfort and opportunity in a prime location with great accessibility to Manhattan. Minutes to the SI Ferry, and Restaurants.

  14. 2026-03-31
    listed $818,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (1715 chars)

    Welcome to this beautiful and versatile two-family dwelling located at 40 Creston Place (aka 55 Cebra Ave), street to street property, offering the perfect blend of privacy, convenience, and modern updates. Nestled on a quiet dead-end street with dedicated parking, and additional garage access from 55 Cebra Ave, this property provides exceptional accessibility to transportation while maintaining a peaceful residential setting. The main home features 2 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, along with a private den and additional living room, complemented by a garage, private driveway, additional off-street parking, and ample storage. The multi-level apartment includes a separate private entrance, offering excellent flexibility for extended family living or potential rental income. The property has been extensively updated, including connection to city sewer, updated HVAC systems (with a ductless system installed for the apartment), new water tanks, and gutter guards. Exterior enhancements include a beautifully renovated patio with Cambridge pavers, stone veneer siding, and professionally landscaped grounds featuring a rose garden and mature privacy plantings. Interior improvements in the main home include a fully updated kitchen with granite countertops, floor-to-ceiling cabinetry, and newer appliances, along with renovated bathrooms, refinished hardwood floors, and updated windows and doors throughout. The apartment has also been updated with a renovated kitchen, newer appliances, and an upgraded bathroom. This well-maintained and thoughtfully updated property offers both comfort and opportunity in a prime location with great accessibility to Manhattan. Minutes to the SI Ferry, and Restaurants.

  15. 2025-10-27
    historical
  16. 2025-09-11
    listed $895,000 Active
  17. 2019-09-16
    historical
  18. 2019-05-28
    listed $720,000 Active
  19. 2016-02-25
    historical
  20. 2015-08-31
    listed $525,000 Active
  21. 2013-07-01
    soldstatus $301,000
  22. 2013-06-18
    soldstatus $301,000
  23. 2012-05-22
    listed $319,000
  24. 1994-12-01
    soldstatus $110,000
  25. 1992-06-10
    soldstatus $195,500
  26. 1992-05-15
    soldstatus $199,000
  27. 1985-12-11
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,684 · $474/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$9,754 · $813/mo
Expected delta
+$4,070/yr (+$339/mo · 71.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$70,668
− Mortgage interest
−$45,821
− Property taxes
−$5,684
− Insurance
−$4,090
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,653
− Management
−$5,653
− Depreciation
−$23,796
Taxable loss
−$20,030
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,807
After-tax cash flow
$-615/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Richmond County · 404,174 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
45,658
Household income
$71,561
Rent vs Own
50.8% rent · 49.2% own
Severe rent burden
2401.0

Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
482,784 people
By 2030
481,831 · -0.2%
By 2040
473,159 · -2.0%
By 2050
457,242 · -5.3%
By 2075
408,029 · -15.5%
By 2100
341,459 · -29.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
White 36% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 24% Asian 13% Two or more races 8% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 3% Romanian 2% Swiss 2%
Foreign-born
32% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
54% English-only · Spanish 16% Chinese 8% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Richmond

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.8) · D 35.1% · R 64.9%
2008→2024 swing
-25.7pp toward R · 2008: -4.0pp · 2024: -29.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.8 2020: R+14.9 2016: R+16.8 2012: D+0.8 2008: R+4.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -254.93%
Current HPI
346.7976
Rent YoY
▲ 1.99%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2237.1% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Pending SIBORMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $818,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $818,000 SIBORMLS
  • 2025-10-27 Listing Removed SIBORMLS
  • 2025-09-11 Listed $895,000 SIBORMLS
  • 2019-09-16 Listing Removed SIBORMLS
  • 2019-05-28 Listed $720,000 SIBORMLS
  • 2016-02-25 Listing Removed SIBORMLS
  • 2015-08-31 Listed $525,000 SIBORMLS
  • 2013-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $301,000 Public Records
  • 2013-06-18 Sold (MLS) $301,000 SIBORMLS
  • 2012-05-22 Listed $319,000 SIBORMLS
  • 1994-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 1992-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $195,500 Public Records
  • 1992-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $199,000 Public Records
  • 1985-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,684 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…