Duplex
40 Creston Pl · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 56.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.3/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$818,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautiful and versatile two-family dwelling located at 40 Creston Place (aka 55 Cebra Ave), street to street property, offering the perfect blend of privacy, convenience, and modern updates. Nestled on a quiet dead-end street with dedicated parking, and additional garage access from 55 Cebra Ave, this property provides exceptional accessibility to transportation while maintaining a peaceful residential setting. The main home features 2 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, along with a private den and additional living room, complemented by a garage, private driveway, additional off-street parking, and ample storage. The multi-level apartment includes a separate private entrance, offering excellent flexibility for extended family living or potential rental income. The property has been extensively updated, including connection to city sewer, updated HVAC systems (with a ductless system installed for the apartment), new water tanks, and gutter guards. Exterior enhancements include a beautifully renovated patio with Cambridge pavers, stone veneer siding, and professionally landscaped grounds featuring a rose garden and mature privacy plantings. Interior improvements in the main home include a fully updated kitchen with granite countertops, floor-to-ceiling cabinetry, and newer appliances, along with renovated bathrooms, refinished hardwood floors, and updated windows and doors throughout. The apartment has also been updated with a renovated kitchen, newer appliances, and an upgraded bathroom. This well-maintained and thoughtfully updated property offers both comfort and opportunity in a prime location with great accessibility to Manhattan. Minutes to the SI Ferry, and Restaurants.
Key facts
- New water tanks
- Private den
- Updated hvac systems
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Two parking spaces; One-car garage; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available
- Home design: Duplex; Building area approximately 1680 total; Actual property condition
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior
- Exterior features: No waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Pantry
- Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: First-floor full bath; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Primary bathroom
- Laundry & utility: Unfinished basement (utility space)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $818k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-452 ($-5k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-226/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $738k (9.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $589k (28.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $589k (28.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; 480 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,889/mo this rent would consume 99% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 2401% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($769k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $301k; list at $818k implies a 172% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.37%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $642,600
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 251 Castleton Ave | 0.37mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 1,470 (+5%) | 5mo | $675,000 | $459 | 53 |
| 245 Westervelt Ave | 0.57mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,314 (-6%) | 3mo | $520,000 | $396 | 40 |
| 80 Corson Ave | 0.31mi | 7/2.0 (+1) | 1,584 (+13%) | 5mo | $755,000 | $477 | 40 |
| 435 Castleton Ave | 0.65mi | 6/2.0 | 1,600 (+14%) | 4mo | $711,000 | $444 | 26 |
| 92 Canal St | 0.65mi | 6/3.0 | 1,250 (-11%) | 20mo | $815,000 | $652 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-167,503
- Equity at exit
- $121,966
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-207,749
- Equity at exit
- $70,726
Cash invested: $229,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10304
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 203
- Price-to-rent
- 23.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,889 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,290
- Tax from tax record
- −$474 /mo · $5,684/yr
- Insurance
- −$341
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,237
- Net cashflow
- $-452
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 3 | $5,890 |
| #1 | 3 | 3 | $2,945 |
| #2 | 3 | 3 | $2,945 |
| Total (2 units) | $5,889 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $204,500
- Closing costs
- $24,540
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $818,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $818,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $818,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $818,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $818,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $818,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $818,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $818,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $818,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $818,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $818,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-07status Pending 1715-char remark
Show marketing remark (1715 chars)
Welcome to this beautiful and versatile two-family dwelling located at 40 Creston Place (aka 55 Cebra Ave), street to street property, offering the perfect blend of privacy, convenience, and modern updates. Nestled on a quiet dead-end street with dedicated parking, and additional garage access from 55 Cebra Ave, this property provides exceptional accessibility to transportation while maintaining a peaceful residential setting. The main home features 2 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, along with a private den and additional living room, complemented by a garage, private driveway, additional off-street parking, and ample storage. The multi-level apartment includes a separate private entrance, offering excellent flexibility for extended family living or potential rental income. The property has been extensively updated, including connection to city sewer, updated HVAC systems (with a ductless system installed for the apartment), new water tanks, and gutter guards. Exterior enhancements include a beautifully renovated patio with Cambridge pavers, stone veneer siding, and professionally landscaped grounds featuring a rose garden and mature privacy plantings. Interior improvements in the main home include a fully updated kitchen with granite countertops, floor-to-ceiling cabinetry, and newer appliances, along with renovated bathrooms, refinished hardwood floors, and updated windows and doors throughout. The apartment has also been updated with a renovated kitchen, newer appliances, and an upgraded bathroom. This well-maintained and thoughtfully updated property offers both comfort and opportunity in a prime location with great accessibility to Manhattan. Minutes to the SI Ferry, and Restaurants.
-
2026-03-31$818,000 Active 1715-char remark
Show marketing remark (1715 chars)
Welcome to this beautiful and versatile two-family dwelling located at 40 Creston Place (aka 55 Cebra Ave), street to street property, offering the perfect blend of privacy, convenience, and modern updates. Nestled on a quiet dead-end street with dedicated parking, and additional garage access from 55 Cebra Ave, this property provides exceptional accessibility to transportation while maintaining a peaceful residential setting. The main home features 2 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, along with a private den and additional living room, complemented by a garage, private driveway, additional off-street parking, and ample storage. The multi-level apartment includes a separate private entrance, offering excellent flexibility for extended family living or potential rental income. The property has been extensively updated, including connection to city sewer, updated HVAC systems (with a ductless system installed for the apartment), new water tanks, and gutter guards. Exterior enhancements include a beautifully renovated patio with Cambridge pavers, stone veneer siding, and professionally landscaped grounds featuring a rose garden and mature privacy plantings. Interior improvements in the main home include a fully updated kitchen with granite countertops, floor-to-ceiling cabinetry, and newer appliances, along with renovated bathrooms, refinished hardwood floors, and updated windows and doors throughout. The apartment has also been updated with a renovated kitchen, newer appliances, and an upgraded bathroom. This well-maintained and thoughtfully updated property offers both comfort and opportunity in a prime location with great accessibility to Manhattan. Minutes to the SI Ferry, and Restaurants.
-
2026-03-31$818,000 Active
Show marketing remark (1715 chars)
Welcome to this beautiful and versatile two-family dwelling located at 40 Creston Place (aka 55 Cebra Ave), street to street property, offering the perfect blend of privacy, convenience, and modern updates. Nestled on a quiet dead-end street with dedicated parking, and additional garage access from 55 Cebra Ave, this property provides exceptional accessibility to transportation while maintaining a peaceful residential setting. The main home features 2 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, along with a private den and additional living room, complemented by a garage, private driveway, additional off-street parking, and ample storage. The multi-level apartment includes a separate private entrance, offering excellent flexibility for extended family living or potential rental income. The property has been extensively updated, including connection to city sewer, updated HVAC systems (with a ductless system installed for the apartment), new water tanks, and gutter guards. Exterior enhancements include a beautifully renovated patio with Cambridge pavers, stone veneer siding, and professionally landscaped grounds featuring a rose garden and mature privacy plantings. Interior improvements in the main home include a fully updated kitchen with granite countertops, floor-to-ceiling cabinetry, and newer appliances, along with renovated bathrooms, refinished hardwood floors, and updated windows and doors throughout. The apartment has also been updated with a renovated kitchen, newer appliances, and an upgraded bathroom. This well-maintained and thoughtfully updated property offers both comfort and opportunity in a prime location with great accessibility to Manhattan. Minutes to the SI Ferry, and Restaurants.
-
2025-10-27historical
-
2025-09-11$895,000 Active
-
2019-09-16historical
-
2019-05-28$720,000 Active
-
2016-02-25historical
-
2015-08-31$525,000 Active
-
2013-07-01soldstatus $301,000
-
2013-06-18soldstatus $301,000
-
2012-05-22$319,000
-
1994-12-01soldstatus $110,000
-
1992-06-10soldstatus $195,500
-
1992-05-15soldstatus $199,000
-
1985-12-11soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,684 · $474/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,754 · $813/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,070/yr (+$339/mo · 71.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $70,668
- − Mortgage interest
- −$45,821
- − Property taxes
- −$5,684
- − Insurance
- −$4,090
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,653
- − Management
- −$5,653
- − Depreciation
- −$23,796
- Taxable loss
- −$20,030
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,807
- After-tax cash flow
- $-615/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Richmond County · 404,174 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,658
- Household income
- $71,561
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2401.0
Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 482,784 people
- By 2030
- 481,831 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 473,159 · -2.0%
- By 2050
- 457,242 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 408,029 · -15.5%
- By 2100
- 341,459 · -29.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 36% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 24% Asian 13% Two or more races 8% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 3% Romanian 2% Swiss 2%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 54% English-only · Spanish 16% Chinese 8% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Richmond
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.8) · D 35.1% · R 64.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.7pp toward R · 2008: -4.0pp · 2024: -29.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.8 2020: R+14.9 2016: R+16.8 2012: D+0.8 2008: R+4.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -254.93%
- Current HPI
- 346.7976
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.99%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+2237.1% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — SIBORMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $818,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-31 Listed $818,000 SIBORMLS
- 2025-10-27 Listing Removed — SIBORMLS
- 2025-09-11 Listed $895,000 SIBORMLS
- 2019-09-16 Listing Removed — SIBORMLS
- 2019-05-28 Listed $720,000 SIBORMLS
- 2016-02-25 Listing Removed — SIBORMLS
- 2015-08-31 Listed $525,000 SIBORMLS
- 2013-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $301,000 Public Records
- 2013-06-18 Sold (MLS) $301,000 SIBORMLS
- 2012-05-22 Listed $319,000 SIBORMLS
- 1994-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 1992-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $195,500 Public Records
- 1992-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $199,000 Public Records
- 1985-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $5,684 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…