CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
31 Smith St
C Composite 56.1
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$310,000

31 Smith St · Ansonia, CT 06483
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,645 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1900 10,018 sqft lot Est $395k · 21% under ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Attention 1st time buyers,sellers are ready to move on to the next chapter of their lives and pass this great house on to the next lucky family. They have loved living in this oh so charming home with 5 bedrooms and 2 full baths. One full bath on 1st floor and one on 2nd floor. 3rd floor has 2 additional bdrms, they are using one for an office and the other as a music room. Brand new flooring in living room, dining room, foyer and 1st floor bath. Enclosed porch makes an awesome place to hang out and read or just play a board game. Large deck is perfect spot for the barbecue. 2 car detached garage for additional storage or can be rented for additional income. Awesome location close to New Haven- rt 8 and plenty of shopping. Above ground pool stays for hours of family fun!

Key facts

  • Finished attic
  • Front porch
  • Finished basement

Tags

FRONT PORCHBACKYARD DECKPRIVATE LEVEL YARDFINISHED ATTICFINISHED BASEMENTDETACHED TWO CAR GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Two garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Electric water heater (30-gallon tank)
  • Home design: Single-family home
  • Construction: Frame construction; Concrete foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Vinyl siding; Radon mitigation (air)
  • Exterior features: Porch; Deck; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Five bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Hot air heating fueled by natural gas; Window cooling unit
  • Interior features: Eight total rooms; Full, fully finished basement; Finished, heated, floored walk-up attic
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level (located in a first-floor bathroom)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $310k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $143 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $287k (7.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $287k (7.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.8% in Ansonia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#87 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Seymour School District (suburban): math 34% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #93 of 153 in CT (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Chatfield-Lopresti School (math 38% / reading 46%, grade F, #285 of 553 statewide, top 53%, 581 students, 47% FRL); Seymour High School (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #87 of 194 statewide, top 46%, 608 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 45% FRL vs 19% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($108k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.4%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 9 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $221k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $286,648 (7.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
6.85%
Cash-on-cash
1.97%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$394,800
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17 Grand St 0.68mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,711 (+4%) 0mo $474,500 $277 54
8 Chestnut St 0.37mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,828 (+11%) 19mo $438,500 $240 44
34 Grand St 0.64mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,714 (+4%) 18mo $315,000 $184 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.41% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.0%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-33,428
Equity at exit
$54,395
10-year hold
IRR
-1.6%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-10,569
Equity at exit
$41,055

Cash invested: $86,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06483

Home prices YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
55
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,866 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,626
Tax from tax record
$367 /mo · $4,403/yr
Insurance
$129
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$602
Net cashflow
$143

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,686
Max offer price $310,000
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$77,500
Closing costs
$9,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
90-92 Pearl St Seymour, CT 4.0 1.5 1500 $2,895 $1.93 2d 1 0.88mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-05-21
    listed $310,000 Active
  2. 2020-11-20
    historical
  3. 2020-09-17
    price $234,900
  4. 2020-09-10
    price $244,900
  5. 2020-08-24
    price $249,900
  6. 2020-08-10
    price $254,900
  7. 2020-07-22
    listed $259,900 Active
  8. 2018-09-18
    soldstatus $221,000
  9. 2018-09-17
    soldstatus $221,000 Closed 781-char remark
    Show marketing remark (781 chars)

    Attention 1st time buyers,sellers are ready to move on to the next chapter of their lives and pass this great house on to the next lucky family. They have loved living in this oh so charming home with 5 bedrooms and 2 full baths. One full bath on 1st floor and one on 2nd floor. 3rd floor has 2 additional bdrms, they are using one for an office and the other as a music room. Brand new flooring in living room, dining room, foyer and 1st floor bath. Enclosed porch makes an awesome place to hang out and read or just play a board game. Large deck is perfect spot for the barbecue. 2 car detached garage for additional storage or can be rented for additional income. Awesome location close to New Haven- rt 8 and plenty of shopping. Above ground pool stays for hours of family fun!

  10. 2018-09-10
    historical 781-char remark
    Show marketing remark (781 chars)

    Attention 1st time buyers,sellers are ready to move on to the next chapter of their lives and pass this great house on to the next lucky family. They have loved living in this oh so charming home with 5 bedrooms and 2 full baths. One full bath on 1st floor and one on 2nd floor. 3rd floor has 2 additional bdrms, they are using one for an office and the other as a music room. Brand new flooring in living room, dining room, foyer and 1st floor bath. Enclosed porch makes an awesome place to hang out and read or just play a board game. Large deck is perfect spot for the barbecue. 2 car detached garage for additional storage or can be rented for additional income. Awesome location close to New Haven- rt 8 and plenty of shopping. Above ground pool stays for hours of family fun!

  11. 2018-08-05
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 781-char remark
    Show marketing remark (781 chars)

    Attention 1st time buyers,sellers are ready to move on to the next chapter of their lives and pass this great house on to the next lucky family. They have loved living in this oh so charming home with 5 bedrooms and 2 full baths. One full bath on 1st floor and one on 2nd floor. 3rd floor has 2 additional bdrms, they are using one for an office and the other as a music room. Brand new flooring in living room, dining room, foyer and 1st floor bath. Enclosed porch makes an awesome place to hang out and read or just play a board game. Large deck is perfect spot for the barbecue. 2 car detached garage for additional storage or can be rented for additional income. Awesome location close to New Haven- rt 8 and plenty of shopping. Above ground pool stays for hours of family fun!

  12. 2018-06-04
    historical
    Show marketing remark (781 chars)

    Attention 1st time buyers,sellers are ready to move on to the next chapter of their lives and pass this great house on to the next lucky family. They have loved living in this oh so charming home with 5 bedrooms and 2 full baths. One full bath on 1st floor and one on 2nd floor. 3rd floor has 2 additional bdrms, they are using one for an office and the other as a music room. Brand new flooring in living room, dining room, foyer and 1st floor bath. Enclosed porch makes an awesome place to hang out and read or just play a board game. Large deck is perfect spot for the barbecue. 2 car detached garage for additional storage or can be rented for additional income. Awesome location close to New Haven- rt 8 and plenty of shopping. Above ground pool stays for hours of family fun!

  13. 2018-06-04
    listed $229,000 Active 781-char remark
    Show marketing remark (781 chars)

    Attention 1st time buyers,sellers are ready to move on to the next chapter of their lives and pass this great house on to the next lucky family. They have loved living in this oh so charming home with 5 bedrooms and 2 full baths. One full bath on 1st floor and one on 2nd floor. 3rd floor has 2 additional bdrms, they are using one for an office and the other as a music room. Brand new flooring in living room, dining room, foyer and 1st floor bath. Enclosed porch makes an awesome place to hang out and read or just play a board game. Large deck is perfect spot for the barbecue. 2 car detached garage for additional storage or can be rented for additional income. Awesome location close to New Haven- rt 8 and plenty of shopping. Above ground pool stays for hours of family fun!

  14. 2018-04-19
    price $229,000
  15. 2018-03-29
    price $249,000
  16. 2018-03-16
    price $285,000
  17. 2018-03-03
    listed $299,000 Active
  18. 2008-08-25
    soldstatus $237,000
  19. 2008-08-25
    soldstatus $237,000
  20. 2008-07-03
    listed $239,900
  21. 2008-06-30
    historical
  22. 2008-01-03
    listed $259,900
  23. 2007-10-24
    historical
  24. 2007-10-24
    historical
  25. 2007-03-17
    listed $309,900
  26. 2006-10-24
    listed $309,900
  27. 2006-10-22
    historical
  28. 2006-05-22
    listed $319,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,403 · $367/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,518 · $460/mo
Expected delta
+$1,116/yr (+$93/mo · 25.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,398
− Mortgage interest
−$17,365
− Property taxes
−$4,403
− Insurance
−$1,550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,752
− Management
−$2,752
− Depreciation
−$9,018
Taxable loss
−$3,442
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$826
After-tax cash flow
$2,539/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Seymour School District
NCES district ID
0903990
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$71,700
Composite
38.17/100
National rank
#4263
State rank
#93 of 153 in CT

Livability — Ansonia

Score
71/100
State rank
#87
US rank
#6938

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
New Haven County · 688,236 people
City population
19,315
Metro
New Haven-Milford, CT
Population (ZIP)
16,889
Household income
$107,708
Rent vs Own
25.8% rent · 74.2% own
Severe rent burden
221.0

Population outlook (Naugatuck Valley County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
496,846

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 16% Black 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 12%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Naugatuck Valley

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.4) · D 45.6% · R 53.0% · Other 1.4%
All cycles
2024: R+7.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.41%
Current HPI
294.2705
Rent YoY
Metro
New Haven-Milford, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.1% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $310,000 Smart MLS
  • 2020-11-20 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2020-09-17 Price Changed $234,900 Smart MLS
  • 2020-09-10 Price Changed $244,900 Smart MLS
  • 2020-08-24 Price Changed $249,900 Smart MLS
  • 2020-08-10 Price Changed $254,900 Smart MLS
  • 2020-07-22 Listed $259,900 Smart MLS
  • 2018-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $221,000 Public Records
  • 2018-09-17 Sold (MLS) $221,000 Smart MLS
  • 2018-09-10 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2018-08-05 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2018-06-04 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2018-06-04 Listed $229,000 Smart MLS
  • 2018-04-19 Price Changed $229,000 Smart MLS
  • 2018-03-29 Price Changed $249,000 Smart MLS
  • 2018-03-16 Price Changed $285,000 Smart MLS
  • 2018-03-03 Listed $299,000 Smart MLS
  • 2008-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $237,000 Public Records
  • 2008-08-25 Sold (MLS) $237,000 Smart MLS
  • 2008-07-03 Listed $239,900 Smart MLS
  • 2008-06-30 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2008-01-03 Listed $259,900 Smart MLS
  • 2007-10-24 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2007-10-24 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2007-03-17 Listed $309,900 Smart MLS
  • 2006-10-24 Listed $309,900 Smart MLS
  • 2006-10-22 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2006-05-22 Listed $319,900 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2023): $4,403 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…