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4056 Lodge Dr 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 39.43
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.5/10.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • DSCR +2.0/10.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -3.4

$179,999

4056 Lodge Dr · Wade, NC 28395
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,460 sqft · Manufactured · 22 Days on market
Manufactured home Built 2025 Excellent condition 0.32 ac lot ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 4056 Lodge Road in Wade! This beautiful new-construction home combines modern design with comfortable, everyday living. The spacious open floor plan creates a bright and inviting space that is perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen features a large center island with additional workspace, seating, and storage while overlooking the main living area. Conveniently located near the park, this move-in-ready home offers easy access to outdoor recreation in a peaceful small-town setting. The sellers are willing to provide up to $5,000 in concessions with an acceptable offer.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Large center island
  • New construction

Tags

NEW CONSTRUCTIONOPEN FLOOR PLANLARGE CENTER ISLANDMOVE IN READY1 YEAR HOME WARRANTY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $179,999 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $185,000.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-194 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $157k (12.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (23.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $137k (23.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.7% in Wade — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#650 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: housing D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: District No 7 Elementary (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #354 of 1,410 statewide, top 28%, 195 students, 98% FRL); Mac Williams Middle (math 40% / reading 50%, grade D, #160 of 475 statewide, top 35%, 1,151 students, 58% FRL); Cape Fear High (math 75% / reading 47%, grade C+, #202 of 535 statewide, top 39%, 1,529 students, 50% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 53% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Cumberland County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (9.9% local appreciation)).
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $137,270 (23.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
5.03%
Cash-on-cash
-4.50%
DSCR
0.80
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$185,000
List price
$179,999
Delta
-0.05%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4057 Lodge Dr 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,577 (+8%) 6mo $185,000 $117 81
4055 Lodge Dr 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,577 (+8%) 6mo $185,000 $117 80
4051 Lodge Dr 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,577 (+8%) 6mo $185,000 $117 80
3911 Mckethan St 0.31mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,498 (+3%) 7mo $192,999 $129 70
3912 Mckethan (lot 19) St 0.31mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,456 (-0%) 17mo $185,000 $127 66
3916 Mckethan (lot 20) St 0.33mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,456 (-0%) 16mo $185,000 $127 66
3934 Mckethan (lot 5) St 0.42mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,456 (-0%) 16mo $185,000 $127 62
3942 Mckethan (lot 3) St 0.45mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,456 (-0%) 15mo $185,000 $127 61
7572 Dunn Rd 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,450 (-1%) 10mo $250,000 $172 57
5036 Loadstone St 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-4%) 23mo $175,000 $125 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.91% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
2.68×
Total profit
$87,264
Equity at exit
$165,436
10-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
6.14×
Total profit
$266,428
Equity at exit
$355,472

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
7 active · 1 under contract
Months of supply
21.0 mo (5%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$179,999 ($123/sqft)
Median days on market
23 d
This list price
14% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+2.8% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 28395

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,373 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax est. 1.5%
$231 /mo · $2,775/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$288
Net cashflow
$-194

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,618
Max offer price $156,919
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-66 -5% $-130 +0% $-194 +5% $-258 +10% $-322
Rent -10% $-303 -5% $-248 +0% $-194 +5% $-140 +10% $-86
Rate -1.0pp $-101 -0.5pp $-147 base $-194 +0.5pp $-242 +1.0pp $-291

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Lot is cleared and levelZoned R6A - Residential DistrictLot approximately 0.32 acres

Exterior

Security
Smoke detectors
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewer
Home design
One-story manufactured homeNew constructionResidential property
Construction
Brick veneer and vinyl siding exterior
Exterior features
Covered porch

Interior

Kitchen
Eat-in kitchen with kitchen islandRefrigerator, Dishwasher, Range
Bedrooms
5 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
Flooring
HardwoodVinyl
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Heat pump heatingElectric cooling
Interior features
Eat-in kitchenKitchen islandSkylightsInsulated windowsRefrigeratorDishwasherRange
Laundry & utility
Crawl space basement (utility access)

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-23
    pricedays on market $179,999 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-09-22
    days on market $184,900 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-09-21
    days on market $184,900 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-09-20
    days on market $184,900 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-09-19
    days on market $184,900 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-09-18
    days on market $184,900 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-09-17
    days on market $184,900 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-09-16
    days on market $184,900 Active 15 DOM
  9. 2026-09-15
    days on market $184,900 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-09-14
    days on market $184,900 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-09-13
    days on market $184,900 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-09-12
    days on market $184,900 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-09-11
    days on market $184,900 Active 10 DOM
  14. 2026-09-05
    days on market $184,900 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-09-04
    days on market $184,900 Active 3 DOM
  16. 2026-09-03
    remarks 693-char remark
  17. 2026-09-03
    pricedays on marketlisting id $184,900 Active 2 DOM
  18. 2026-08-30
    days on market $189,999 Active 149 DOM
  19. 2026-08-29
    days on market $189,999 Active 148 DOM
  20. 2026-08-28
    days on market $189,999 Active 147 DOM
  21. 2026-08-27
    days on market $189,999 Active 146 DOM
  22. 2026-08-26
    days on market $189,999 Active 145 DOM
  23. 2026-08-25
    days on market $189,999 Active 144 DOM
  24. 2026-08-24
    days on market $189,999 Active 143 DOM
  25. 2026-08-23
    days on market $189,999 Active 142 DOM
  26. 2026-08-22
    days on market $189,999 Active 141 DOM
  27. 2026-08-21
    days on market $189,999 Active 140 DOM
  28. 2026-08-20
    days on market $189,999 Active 139 DOM
  29. 2026-08-19
    days on market $189,999 Active 138 DOM
  30. 2026-08-18
    days on market $189,999 Active 137 DOM
  31. 2026-08-17
    days on market $189,999 Active 136 DOM
  32. 2026-08-16
    days on market $189,999 Active 135 DOM
  33. 2026-08-15
    days on market $189,999 Active 134 DOM
  34. 2026-08-15
    days on market $189,999 Active 133 DOM
  35. 2026-08-13
    days on market $189,999 Active 132 DOM
  36. 2026-08-12
    days on market $189,999 Active 131 DOM
  37. 2026-08-11
    days on market $189,999 Active 130 DOM
  38. 2026-08-10
    days on market $189,999 Active 129 DOM
  39. 2026-08-09
    days on market $189,999 Active 128 DOM
  40. 2026-08-08
    days on market $189,999 Active 127 DOM
  41. 2026-08-07
    days on market $189,999 Active 126 DOM
  42. 2026-08-06
    days on market $189,999 Active 125 DOM
  43. 2026-08-05
    days on market $189,999 Active 124 DOM
  44. 2026-08-04
    days on market $189,999 Active 123 DOM
  45. 2026-08-03
    days on market $189,999 Active 122 DOM
  46. 2026-07-31
    days on market $189,999 Active 119 DOM
  47. 2026-07-30
    days on market $189,999 Active 118 DOM
  48. 2026-07-29
    days on market $189,999 Active 117 DOM
  49. 2026-07-27
    days on market $189,999 Active 115 DOM
  50. 2026-07-25
    days on market $189,999 Active 113 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,472
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$2,775
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,318
− Management
−$1,318
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable loss
−$5,608
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,346
After-tax cash flow
$-983/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This brand-new manufactured home on a permanent brick foundation is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. The property is move-in ready and offers a large front porch, vinyl flooring throughout, and ample storage space. The location is fantastic with easy access to I-295, Fort Bragg, and Methodist University.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Install outdoor lighting — Improves safety and enhances curb appeal
  • Both Add a small garden bed near the front door — Enhances curb appeal and adds greenery
D Composite school gradezoned avg 53/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary District No 7 Elementary C- NC #354/1,410 Nat'l #11,263/41,679 Middle Mac Williams Middle D NC #160/475 Nat'l #4,622/14,009 High Cape Fear High C+ NC #202/535 Nat'l #3,443/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700011
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,168
Composite
31.0/100
National rank
#6096
State rank
#126 of 178 in NC
D Composite livability gradescore 55/100

Livability — Wade

Score
55/100
State rank
#650
US rank
#23543

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing D Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wade, NC
County
Cumberland · 330,855 people
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
Population (ZIP)
2,524
Household income
$80,833
Rent vs Own
21.3% rent · 78.7% own
Severe rent burden
1% of renters

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
330,855 people
By 2030
333,523 · +0.8%
By 2040
335,583 · +1.4%
By 2050
335,325 · +1.4%
By 2075
342,853 · +3.6%
By 2100
340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 9% Iranian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-4.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $199,900 LPRMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Relisted LPRMLS
  • 2026-01-29 Coming Soon $210,000 LPRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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