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1606 Winter Creek Ct
D Composite 41.74
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,900

1606 Winter Creek Ct · Greenville, MI 48838
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,500 sqft · Condo · 22 Days on market
Built 1997 $275/mo HOA · 12% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This beautifully refreshed 3-bedroom, 2.5 bath condo is move-in ready and packed with comfort, convenience, and charm. Featuring fresh paint, brand-new carpet, and updated windows, this home offers a bright and welcoming feel from the moment you walk in. Enjoy cozy evenings by the gas fireplace in the spacious living room, plus the convenience of a 1-stall attached garage and low-maintenance condo living. Located within walking distance to Greenville Middle School & High School. Just minutes from downtown Greenville shopping, dining and entertainment. Whether you're looking for your first home, more space, or easy living close to town, this one checks all the boxes! Property is owned by a licensed real estate agent in the state of Michigan.

Key facts

  • Fresh paint
  • Attached garage
  • Updated windows

Tags

FRESH PAINTBRAND NEW CARPETUPDATED WINDOWSGAS FIREPLACEATTACHED GARAGELOW MAINTENANCE CONDO LIVING

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $275 covering water, trash, sewer, snow removal, and lawn/yard care

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas
  • Home design: Residential condominium; Built in 1997
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Slab basement
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.02 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: 9 total rooms; Fireplace; Screens, replacement, and insulated windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Natural gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-9 ($-114/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $219k (0.6% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
  • Recommended offer: $217k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.2% in Greenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#426 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Greenville Public Schools (town): math 35% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #167 of 540 in MI (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Baldwin Heights School (math 47% / reading 60%, grade C, #318 of 1,397 statewide, top 23%, 485 students, 57% FRL); Greenville Middle School (math 28% / reading 49%, grade F, #228 of 493 statewide, top 47%, 799 students, 63% FRL); Greenville Senior High School (math 35% / reading 60%, grade D, #185 of 713 statewide, top 26%, 1,106 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 44% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 193 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 273 units permitted in Montcalm County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montcalm County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $95k; list at $220k implies a 131% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $216,601 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
6.24%
Cash-on-cash
-0.18%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.5%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-36,034
Equity at exit
$32,788
10-year hold
IRR
-8.1%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-31,331
Equity at exit
$19,013

Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48838

Home prices YoY
-30.2%
Active inventory
193
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,260 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,153
Tax est. 1.5%
$275 /mo · $3,298/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$275
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$475
Net cashflow
$-9

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,272
Max offer price $218,528
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $142 -5% $66 +0% $-9 +5% $-85 +10% $-161
Rent -10% $-188 -5% $-99 +0% $-9 +5% $80 +10% $169
Rate -1.0pp $101 -0.5pp $46 base $-9 +0.5pp $-66 +1.0pp $-124

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,975
Closing costs
$6,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1305 Trail View Dr Greenville, MI 3.0 2.5 1450 $2,295 $1.58 4d 1 0.66mi
1310 Trail View Dr Greenville, MI 3.0 2.5 1450 $2,195 $1.51 12d 1 0.68mi
1301 Timber Hollow Ct Greenville, MI 3.0 2.5 1450 $2,295 $1.58 45d 1 0.71mi
1301 Timber Hollow Ct Greenville, MI 3.0 2.5 1450 $1,895 $1.31 4d 1 0.71mi
1310 Timber Hollow Ct Greenville, MI 3.0 2.5 1450 $1,895 $1.31 16d 1 0.74mi
1310 Timber Hollow Ct Greenville, MI 3.0 2.5 1450 $2,295 $1.58 45d 1 0.74mi
1316 Forest View Dr Greenville, MI 4.0 2.5 1910 $2,595 $1.36 45d 1 0.79mi
1316 Forest View Dr Greenville, MI 4.0 2.5 1910 $2,395 $1.25 25d 1 0.79mi
1405 Ridgeview Dr Greenville, MI 4.0 3.0 1640 $2,495 $1.52 4d 1 0.84mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$275 · $3,300/yr
Likely covers
gas
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $219,900 Pending 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $219,900 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $219,900 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $219,900 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $225,000 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $225,000 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $225,000 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $225,000 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-05-20
    status Active 756-char remark
    Show marketing remark (757 chars)

    This beautifully refreshed 3-bedroom, 2.5 bath condo is move-in ready and packed with comfort, convenience, and charm. Featuring fresh paint, brand-new carpet, and updated windows, this home offers a bright and welcoming feel from the moment you walk in. Enjoy cozy evenings by the gas fireplace in the spacious living room, plus the convenience of a 1-stall attached garage and low-maintenance condo living. Located within walking distance to Greenville Middle School & High School. Just minutes from downtown Greenville shopping, dining and entertainment. Whether you're looking for your first home, more space, or easy living close to town, this one checks all the boxes! Property is owned by a licensed real estate agent in the state of Michigan.

  10. 2026-05-20
    status Active 757-char remark
    Show marketing remark (757 chars)

    This beautifully refreshed 3-bedroom, 2.5 bath condo is move-in ready and packed with comfort, convenience, and charm. Featuring fresh paint, brand-new carpet, and updated windows, this home offers a bright and welcoming feel from the moment you walk in. Enjoy cozy evenings by the gas fireplace in the spacious living room, plus the convenience of a 1-stall attached garage and low-maintenance condo living. Located within walking distance to Greenville Middle School & High School. Just minutes from downtown Greenville shopping, dining and entertainment. Whether you're looking for your first home, more space, or easy living close to town, this one checks all the boxes! Property is owned by a licensed real estate agent in the state of Michigan.

  11. 2026-05-20
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (757 chars)

    This beautifully refreshed 3-bedroom, 2.5 bath condo is move-in ready and packed with comfort, convenience, and charm. Featuring fresh paint, brand-new carpet, and updated windows, this home offers a bright and welcoming feel from the moment you walk in. Enjoy cozy evenings by the gas fireplace in the spacious living room, plus the convenience of a 1-stall attached garage and low-maintenance condo living. Located within walking distance to Greenville Middle School & High School. Just minutes from downtown Greenville shopping, dining and entertainment. Whether you're looking for your first home, more space, or easy living close to town, this one checks all the boxes! Property is owned by a licensed real estate agent in the state of Michigan.

  12. 2026-05-19
    historical
    Show marketing remark (757 chars)

    This beautifully refreshed 3-bedroom, 2.5 bath condo is move-in ready and packed with comfort, convenience, and charm. Featuring fresh paint, brand-new carpet, and updated windows, this home offers a bright and welcoming feel from the moment you walk in. Enjoy cozy evenings by the gas fireplace in the spacious living room, plus the convenience of a 1-stall attached garage and low-maintenance condo living. Located within walking distance to Greenville Middle School & High School. Just minutes from downtown Greenville shopping, dining and entertainment. Whether you're looking for your first home, more space, or easy living close to town, this one checks all the boxes! Property is owned by a licensed real estate agent in the state of Michigan.

  13. 2026-05-19
    historical 756-char remark
    Show marketing remark (757 chars)

    This beautifully refreshed 3-bedroom, 2.5 bath condo is move-in ready and packed with comfort, convenience, and charm. Featuring fresh paint, brand-new carpet, and updated windows, this home offers a bright and welcoming feel from the moment you walk in. Enjoy cozy evenings by the gas fireplace in the spacious living room, plus the convenience of a 1-stall attached garage and low-maintenance condo living. Located within walking distance to Greenville Middle School & High School. Just minutes from downtown Greenville shopping, dining and entertainment. Whether you're looking for your first home, more space, or easy living close to town, this one checks all the boxes! Property is owned by a licensed real estate agent in the state of Michigan.

  14. 2026-05-19
    historical 757-char remark
    Show marketing remark (757 chars)

    This beautifully refreshed 3-bedroom, 2.5 bath condo is move-in ready and packed with comfort, convenience, and charm. Featuring fresh paint, brand-new carpet, and updated windows, this home offers a bright and welcoming feel from the moment you walk in. Enjoy cozy evenings by the gas fireplace in the spacious living room, plus the convenience of a 1-stall attached garage and low-maintenance condo living. Located within walking distance to Greenville Middle School & High School. Just minutes from downtown Greenville shopping, dining and entertainment. Whether you're looking for your first home, more space, or easy living close to town, this one checks all the boxes! Property is owned by a licensed real estate agent in the state of Michigan.

  15. 2026-05-18
    listed $225,000 Active 757-char remark
    Show marketing remark (757 chars)

    This beautifully refreshed 3-bedroom, 2.5 bath condo is move-in ready and packed with comfort, convenience, and charm. Featuring fresh paint, brand-new carpet, and updated windows, this home offers a bright and welcoming feel from the moment you walk in. Enjoy cozy evenings by the gas fireplace in the spacious living room, plus the convenience of a 1-stall attached garage and low-maintenance condo living. Located within walking distance to Greenville Middle School & High School. Just minutes from downtown Greenville shopping, dining and entertainment. Whether you're looking for your first home, more space, or easy living close to town, this one checks all the boxes! Property is owned by a licensed real estate agent in the state of Michigan.

  16. 2026-05-17
    listed $225,000 Active 756-char remark
    Show marketing remark (756 chars)

    This beautifully refreshed 3-bedroom, 2.5 bath condo is move-in ready and packed with comfort, convenience, and charm. Featuring fresh paint, brand-new carpet, and updated windows, this home offers a bright and welcoming feel from the moment you walk in. Enjoy cozy evenings by the gas fireplace in the spacious living room, plus the convenience of a 1-stall attached garage and low-maintenance condo living. Located within walking distance to Greenville Middle School & High School. Just minutes from downtown Greenville shopping, dining and entertainment. Whether you're looking for your first home, more space, or easy living close to town, this one checks all the boxes! Property is owned by a licensed real estate agent in the state of Michigan.

  17. 2026-05-17
    listed $225,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (756 chars)

    This beautifully refreshed 3-bedroom, 2.5 bath condo is move-in ready and packed with comfort, convenience, and charm. Featuring fresh paint, brand-new carpet, and updated windows, this home offers a bright and welcoming feel from the moment you walk in. Enjoy cozy evenings by the gas fireplace in the spacious living room, plus the convenience of a 1-stall attached garage and low-maintenance condo living. Located within walking distance to Greenville Middle School & High School. Just minutes from downtown Greenville shopping, dining and entertainment. Whether you're looking for your first home, more space, or easy living close to town, this one checks all the boxes! Property is owned by a licensed real estate agent in the state of Michigan.

  18. 2019-03-08
    soldstatus $95,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,117
− Mortgage interest
−$12,318
− Property taxes
−$3,298
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,169
− Management
−$2,169
− HOA
−$3,300
− Depreciation
−$6,397
Taxable loss
−$3,635
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$872
After-tax cash flow
$759/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greenville Public Schools
NCES district ID
2617160
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$44,624
Composite
36.81/100
National rank
#4566
State rank
#167 of 540 in MI

Livability — Greenville

Score
66/100
State rank
#426
US rank
#11581

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Greenville, MI
County
Montcalm County · 18,212 people
City population
18,212
Metro
Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
Population (ZIP)
18,212
Household income
$70,176
Rent vs Own
26.4% rent · 73.6% own
Severe rent burden
365.0

Population outlook (Montcalm County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
61,011 people
By 2030
59,467 · -2.5%
By 2040
55,427 · -9.2%
By 2050
50,517 · -17.2%
By 2075
38,731 · -36.5%
By 2100
26,770 · -56.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 5% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montcalm

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.0) · D 29.8% · R 68.7% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-38.7pp toward R · 2008: -0.3pp · 2024: -39.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.0 2020: R+37.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+8.6 2008: R+0.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.31%
Current HPI
249.996
Rent YoY
Metro
Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+136.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-20 Relisted SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-19 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-19 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-19 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $225,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-17 Listed $225,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-17 Listed $225,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…