275 Ogden Center Rd · Spencerport, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.3/30.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Location, Easy Access to 490 & Only Minutes to Rochester! Roof Only 2 Years Old! AC Only 4 Years Old! Furnace 8 years Old! Lower Level- Family Room / Man Cave / With Woodburning Fireplace! Huge Enclosed Patio of the Back of the House! Large Backyard! 2 Separate Workshops, 1 in Basement and 1 at Back of Garage. Hardwood Flooring Throughout! Fresh Paint! 2 Full Bathrooms! * * * Most of the Home is Handicap Accessible, Ramp at Front Door (can easily be removed).
Key facts
- Three-season room
- Built-in fire pit
- First-floor laundry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Trails/paths nearby
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Garage door opener; Driveway; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Septic tank; Cable available; High speed internet available; Generator
- Home design: 3 stories; Existing construction
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Copper and PEX plumbing; Block and poured foundation
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Concrete driveway; Patio; Private yard; Shed(s)/storage; See remarks
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Gas oven; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen; Breakfast bar; Pantry; Walk-in pantry
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 1 (Second level); Bedroom 2 (Second level); Bedroom 3 (Second level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Has heating
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Ceiling fan(s); Den; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Pantry; Walk-in pantry; Storage; Bar; Bathroom rough-in; Accessible full bath; Accessible kitchen; Low threshold shower; Accessible doors
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry on main level; Accessible utilities or laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-37 ($-449/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $193k (3.3% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $193k (3.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.3% in Spencerport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#237 in NY, #3,718 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Spencerport Central School District (suburban): math 52% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #248 of 590 in NY (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Leo Bernabi School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #1,195 of 2,108 statewide, top 60%, 375 students, 28% FRL); A M Cosgrove Middle School (math 32% / reading 53%, grade D-, #373 of 729 statewide, top 52%, 844 students, 39% FRL); Spencerport High School (math 95% / reading 96%, grade A+, #76 of 1,100 statewide, top 7%, 1,142 students, 40% FRL).
- Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $123k; list at $200k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.80%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $330,816
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 275 Ogden Center Rd | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,723 (0%) | 1mo | $330,000 | $192 | 100 |
| 8 Timber Ridge Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 | 1,619 (-6%) | 9mo | $350,000 | $216 | 49 |
| 188 Ogden Center Rd | 0.61mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,920 (+11%) | 2mo | $450,188 | $234 | 44 |
| 49 Hillcrest Dr | 0.71mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,572 (-9%) | 7mo | $195,000 | $124 | 39 |
| 2824 Nichols St | 0.69mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,556 (-10%) | 6mo | $290,000 | $186 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-34,572
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- -9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-32,344
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14559
- Home prices YoY
- -31.7%
- Active inventory
- 73
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,057 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$531 /mo · $6,375/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$432
- Net cashflow
- $-37
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $76 | -5% $19 | +0% $-37 | +5% $-94 | +10% $-151 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-200 | -5% $-119 | +0% $-37 | +5% $44 | +10% $125 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $63 | -0.5pp $13 | base $-37 | +0.5pp $-89 | +1.0pp $-142 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-20$199,900 Active
-
2019-01-04soldstatus $123,000 Closed Sale or Rented 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Great Location, Easy Access to 490 & Only Minutes to Rochester! Roof Only 2 Years Old! AC Only 4 Years Old! Furnace 8 years Old! Lower Level- Family Room / Man Cave / With Woodburning Fireplace! Huge Enclosed Patio of the Back of the House! Large Backyard! 2 Separate Workshops, 1 in Basement and 1 at Back of Garage. Hardwood Flooring Throughout! Fresh Paint! 2 Full Bathrooms! * * * Most of the Home is Handicap Accessible, Ramp at Front Door (can easily be removed).
-
2019-01-04soldstatus $122,000
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Great Location, Easy Access to 490 & Only Minutes to Rochester! Roof Only 2 Years Old! AC Only 4 Years Old! Furnace 8 years Old! Lower Level- Family Room / Man Cave / With Woodburning Fireplace! Huge Enclosed Patio of the Back of the House! Large Backyard! 2 Separate Workshops, 1 in Basement and 1 at Back of Garage. Hardwood Flooring Throughout! Fresh Paint! 2 Full Bathrooms! * * * Most of the Home is Handicap Accessible, Ramp at Front Door (can easily be removed).
-
2018-11-04status Pending Sale 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Great Location, Easy Access to 490 & Only Minutes to Rochester! Roof Only 2 Years Old! AC Only 4 Years Old! Furnace 8 years Old! Lower Level- Family Room / Man Cave / With Woodburning Fireplace! Huge Enclosed Patio of the Back of the House! Large Backyard! 2 Separate Workshops, 1 in Basement and 1 at Back of Garage. Hardwood Flooring Throughout! Fresh Paint! 2 Full Bathrooms! * * * Most of the Home is Handicap Accessible, Ramp at Front Door (can easily be removed).
-
2018-10-28status Under Contract- Do Not Show 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Great Location, Easy Access to 490 & Only Minutes to Rochester! Roof Only 2 Years Old! AC Only 4 Years Old! Furnace 8 years Old! Lower Level- Family Room / Man Cave / With Woodburning Fireplace! Huge Enclosed Patio of the Back of the House! Large Backyard! 2 Separate Workshops, 1 in Basement and 1 at Back of Garage. Hardwood Flooring Throughout! Fresh Paint! 2 Full Bathrooms! * * * Most of the Home is Handicap Accessible, Ramp at Front Door (can easily be removed).
-
2018-09-29price $124,900 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Great Location, Easy Access to 490 & Only Minutes to Rochester! Roof Only 2 Years Old! AC Only 4 Years Old! Furnace 8 years Old! Lower Level- Family Room / Man Cave / With Woodburning Fireplace! Huge Enclosed Patio of the Back of the House! Large Backyard! 2 Separate Workshops, 1 in Basement and 1 at Back of Garage. Hardwood Flooring Throughout! Fresh Paint! 2 Full Bathrooms! * * * Most of the Home is Handicap Accessible, Ramp at Front Door (can easily be removed).
-
2018-09-21$134,900 Active 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Great Location, Easy Access to 490 & Only Minutes to Rochester! Roof Only 2 Years Old! AC Only 4 Years Old! Furnace 8 years Old! Lower Level- Family Room / Man Cave / With Woodburning Fireplace! Huge Enclosed Patio of the Back of the House! Large Backyard! 2 Separate Workshops, 1 in Basement and 1 at Back of Garage. Hardwood Flooring Throughout! Fresh Paint! 2 Full Bathrooms! * * * Most of the Home is Handicap Accessible, Ramp at Front Door (can easily be removed).
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,375 · $531/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,375 · $531/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,690
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$6,375
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,975
- − Management
- −$1,975
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$3,648
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$875
- After-tax cash flow
- $426/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Spencerport Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3627780
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▲ 8.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,920
- Composite
- 50.58/100
- National rank
- #1846
- State rank
- #248 of 590 in NY
Livability — Spencerport
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #237
- US rank
- #3718
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 17,200
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,200
- Household income
- $94,794
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 220.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -121.06%
- Current HPI
- 260.3489
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+48.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-20 Listed $199,900 UNYREIS
- 2019-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $122,000 Public Records
- 2019-01-04 Sold (MLS) $123,000 UNYREIS
- 2018-11-04 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2018-10-28 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2018-09-29 Price Changed $124,900 UNYREIS
- 2018-09-21 Listed $134,900 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+15.1%/yrLatest (2025): $6,375 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…