4842 Britni Way #058 · Zephyrhills West, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Cozy hideaway in American Condominium Park. No neighbors on either side & a great pond view and frontage from the spacious Florida room. This is a very tranquil setting, one of the prettiest lots in the park. Furnishings sold with the property. Washer in pantry. Previous owners installed a seawall to protect the view, and is owner-responsibility. American Condominium Park is a 55+ gated community with heated pool, clubhouse, exercise room, sauna, hot tub, tennis/pickleball courts, horse shoe pits, shuffleboard, and many more amenities. A friendly active community with dances, dinners, and entertainment. Perfect for full time affordable living and cost effective for snow birds. No rent
Key facts
- Pond view
- Clubhouse
- Hot tub
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Buyer approval required for association
- Financial info: Total annual fees $1,560 (monthly $130)
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA $130 (required) — association name: Lynn Sweeney; HOA includes pool, maintenance of grounds, private road, trash, escrow reserves, fidelity bond; Association amenities: clubhouse, fitness center, gated entry, laundry, park, pickleball, pool, recreation facilities, shuffleboard, spa/hot tub, tennis courts; vehicle restrictions apply; Community features: clubhouse, community mailbox, fitness center, park, pool, sidewalks, special community restrictions, tennis courts, street lights; senior community; Pets allowed (cats & dogs) with size limit up to 20 lbs
Exterior
- Parking: Private maintained asphalt road access
- Security: Gated community
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Propane available; Broadband/High-speed internet available; Cable available; Fiber optics available; Phone service available; Underground utilities; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; Attached property; One story; North-facing
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Roof over; Crawl space foundation; Built as a manufactured home
- Exterior features: Patio; Rain gutters; Fishing allowed (catch & release); Pond view (Lake Lehigh); Seawall / other water improvements
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Freezer; Exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Linoleum flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Space heater; No central air / cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Open floorplan; Window treatments; Aluminum window frames; Drapes
- Laundry & utility: Washer (inside); Gas water heater; Propane available
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $247 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 7.8% in Zephyrhills West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#772 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 856 active listings in the ZIP; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.13%
- DSCR
- 1.72
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $84,410
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35238 Dodie Dr #09 | 0.12mi | 1/2.0 | 726 (-1%) | 2mo | $79,000 | $109 | 87 |
| 35204 Ada Ave | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 710 (-3%) | 0mo | $80,000 | $113 | 80 |
| 35246 Tiffani Lot 63 Ct | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 687 (-6%) | 5mo | $118,000 | $172 | 76 |
| 35012 Dale Ave | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 732 (-0%) | 4mo | $95,000 | $130 | 75 |
| 35142 Zephyr Shores Dr | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 720 (-2%) | 12mo | $83,000 | $115 | 69 |
| 35934 Bueno Dr | 0.75mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 832 (+13%) | 6mo | $145,000 | $174 | 29 |
| 34840 Carl Ave | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 840 (+14%) | 20mo | $95,000 | $113 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-4,504
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $88
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33541
- Home prices YoY
- -15.2%
- Rents YoY
- -2.5%
- Active inventory
- 856
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,502 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$130
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $247
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $316 | -5% $282 | +0% $247 | +5% $213 | +10% $179 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $129 | -5% $188 | +0% $247 | +5% $307 | +10% $366 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $297 | -0.5pp $273 | base $247 | +0.5pp $222 | +1.0pp $196 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $130 · $1,560/yr
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $99,000
-
2026-02-07price $104,900
-
2026-02-06price $102,900
-
2026-02-06$104,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone A · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,028
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,485
- − Insurance
- −$1,997
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,442
- − Management
- −$1,442
- − HOA
- −$1,560
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $1,676
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$402
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,568/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Zephyrhills West
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #772
- US rank
- #17403
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,654
- Household income
- $56,579
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 393.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.21%
- Current HPI
- 308.0619
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.51%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-5.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $99,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-07 Price Changed $104,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $102,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-06 Listed $104,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…