4842 Britni Way #058 · Zephyrhills, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.2
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Cozy hideaway in American Condominium Park. No neighbors on either side & a great pond view and frontage from the spacious Florida room. This is a very tranquil setting, one of the prettiest lots in the park. Furnishings sold with the property. Washer in pantry. Previous owners installed a seawall to protect the view, and is owner-responsibility. American Condominium Park is a 55+ gated community with heated pool, clubhouse, exercise room, sauna, hot tub, tennis/pickleball courts, horse shoe pits, shuffleboard, and many more amenities. A friendly active community with dances, dinners, and entertainment. Perfect for full time affordable living and cost effective for snow birds.
Key facts
- Pond view
- Clubhouse
- Hot tub
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $79k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $113 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.9% in Zephyrhills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#330 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: New River Elementary School (math 36% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,560 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 721 students, 57% FRL); Raymond B. Stewart Middle School (math 33% / reading 30%, grade F, #453 of 571 statewide, top 81%, 988 students, 77% FRL); Zephyrhills High School (math 35% / reading 37%, grade F, #359 of 667 statewide, top 55%, 1,656 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 48% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pasco average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 1451 active listings in the ZIP; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 275 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 275 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.92%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $96,500
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- -18.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4920 Britni Way #074 | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 723 (-2%) | 2mo | $89,000 | $123 | 88 |
| 35238 Dodie Dr #09 | 0.12mi | 1/2.0 | 726 (-1%) | 6mo | $79,000 | $109 | 83 |
| 35220 Dodie Dr #13 | 0.11mi | 1/1.0 | 680 (-7%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $81 | 81 |
| 4742 Stuey Dr Lot 305 | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 744 (+1%) | 9mo | $100,000 | $134 | 79 |
| 4845 Baker Ave | 0.13mi | 1/2.0 | 768 (+5%) | 6mo | $98,000 | $128 | 77 |
| 35204 Ada Ave | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 710 (-3%) | 5mo | $80,000 | $113 | 76 |
| 35246 Tiffani Lot 63 Ct | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 687 (-6%) | 10mo | $118,000 | $172 | 73 |
| 4747 Bobby Ave Lot 258 | 0.20mi | 1/1.0 | 660 (-10%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $98 | 72 |
| 35012 Dale Ave | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 732 (-0%) | 9mo | $95,000 | $130 | 71 |
| 4612 Clarice Ave | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 700 (-5%) | 3mo | $106,000 | $151 | 68 |
| 35127 Danny Dr | 0.10mi | 1/2.0 | 629 (-14%) | 9mo | $75,000 | $119 | 60 |
| 35934 Bueno Dr | 0.75mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 832 (+13%) | 10mo | $145,000 | $174 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-8,829
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- -9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-10,827
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 21 active · 5 under contract
- Months of supply
- 25.2 mo (4%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $89,000 ($130/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 81 d
- This list price
- 24% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +1.2% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33541
- Home prices YoY
- -15.2%
- Rents YoY
- -2.5%
- Active inventory
- 1451
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,157 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$130
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$243
- Net cashflow
- $113
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $167 | -5% $140 | +0% $113 | +5% $86 | +10% $58 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $21 | -5% $67 | +0% $113 | +5% $159 | +10% $204 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $153 | -0.5pp $133 | base $113 | +0.5pp $92 | +1.0pp $72 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Buyer approval required for association
- Financial info
- Total annual fees $1,560 (monthly $130)
- HOA & community
- Monthly HOA $130 (required) — association name: Lynn SweeneyHOA includes pool, maintenance of grounds, private road, trash, escrow reserves, fidelity bondAssociation amenities: clubhouse, fitness center, gated entry, laundry, park, pickleball, pool, recreation facilities, shuffleboard, spa/hot tub, tennis courts; vehicle restrictions applyCommunity features: clubhouse, community mailbox, fitness center, park, pool, sidewalks, special community restrictions, tennis courts, street lights; senior communityPets allowed (cats & dogs) with size limit up to 20 lbs
Exterior
- Parking
- Private maintained asphalt road access
- Security
- Gated community
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectricity connectedPropane availableBroadband/High-speed internet availableCable availableFiber optics availablePhone service availableUnderground utilitiesWater connectedSewer connected
- Home design
- Manufactured single-wide homeAttached propertyOne storyNorth-facing
- Construction
- Vinyl sidingRoof overCrawl space foundationBuilt as a manufactured home
- Exterior features
- PatioRain guttersFishing allowed (catch & release)Pond view (Lake Lehigh)Seawall / other water improvements
Interior
- Kitchen
- RangeRange hoodRefrigeratorFreezerExhaust fan
- Bedrooms
- 1 bedroom
- Flooring
- Laminate flooringLinoleum flooring
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Propane heatingSpace heaterNo central air / cooling
- Interior features
- Eat-in kitchenOpen floorplanWindow treatmentsAluminum window framesDrapes
- Laundry & utility
- Washer (inside)Gas water heaterPropane available
HOA detail $130/mo · $1,560/yr
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $79,000 Active 275 DOM
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2026-11-07days on market $79,000 Active 274 DOM
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2026-11-06days on market $79,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-11-05days on market $79,000 Active 272 DOM
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2026-11-04days on market $79,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-11-02days on market $79,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-11-01days on market $79,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-10-31days on market $79,000 Active 267 DOM
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2026-10-30days on market $79,000 Active 266 DOM
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2026-10-29days on market $79,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-10-28days on market $79,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-10-27days on market $79,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $79,000 Active 262 DOM
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2026-10-25days on market $79,000 Active 261 DOM
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2026-10-24days on market $79,000 Active 260 DOM
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2026-10-23days on market $79,000 Active 259 DOM
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2026-10-22days on market $79,000 Active 258 DOM
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2026-10-21days on market $79,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-10-20days on market $79,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-10-19days on market $79,000 Active 255 DOM
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2026-10-18days on market $79,000 Active 254 DOM
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2026-10-17days on market $79,000 Active 253 DOM
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2026-10-16days on market $79,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-10-15days on market $79,000 Active 251 DOM
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2026-10-14days on market $79,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-10-13days on market $79,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-10-12days on market $79,000 Active 248 DOM
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2026-10-11days on market $79,000 Active 247 DOM
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2026-10-10days on market $79,000 Active 246 DOM
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2026-10-09days on market $79,000 Active 245 DOM
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2026-10-08days on market $79,000 Active 244 DOM
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2026-10-08days on market $79,000 Active 243 DOM
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2026-10-06days on market $79,000 Active 242 DOM
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2026-10-05days on market $79,000 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-10-04days on market $79,000 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-10-02days on market $79,000 Active 238 DOM
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2026-10-01days on market $79,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-09-30days on market $79,000 Active 236 DOM
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2026-09-29days on market $79,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-09-28days on market $79,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-09-27days on market $79,000 Active 233 DOM
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2026-09-25days on market $79,000 Active 231 DOM
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2026-09-24days on market $79,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $79,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $79,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $79,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $79,000 Active 226 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $79,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $79,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $79,000 Active 222 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone A · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,884
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,185
- − Insurance
- −$1,898
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,111
- − Management
- −$1,111
- − HOA
- −$1,560
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $297
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$71
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,283/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
The home is in fair condition with some minor repairs and maintenance needed. Painting and landscaping can significantly increase its value for both resale and rental.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Landscaping — The landscaping is minimal and could be improved with some additional plants and shrubs.
- Minor Paint — The kitchen and living area could benefit from a fresh coat of paint to brighten the space.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the interior and exterior — Painting can significantly improve the appearance of the home, making it more appealing to potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Landscaping — A well-maintained and landscaped exterior can enhance the curb appeal and make the home more attractive to potential buyers or renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Zephyrhills
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #330
- US rank
- #5760
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Pasco County · 570,045 people
- City population
- 48,266
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,654
- Household income
- $56,579
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 24% of renters
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 9%
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.21%
- Current HPI
- 308.0619
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.51%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-5.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $99,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-07 Price Changed $104,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $102,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-06 Listed $104,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…