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1477 Artesia Ave
D- Composite 37.24
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$220,000

1477 Artesia Ave · Homestead Valley, CA 92284
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 684 sqft · Manufactured public records · 150 Days on market
Built 1967

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located just down the road from iconic desert landmarks such as the Integratron, Giant Rock, and the acclaimed restaurant La Copine, in East Flamingo Heights offers a rare opportunity to own in one of the High Desert’s most sought-after areas. Set on spacious 2-acre parcel, this desert dream provides plenty of room for all your desert toys-ATV's, dirt bikes, RV's trailers and more, making it ideal for outdoor enthusiasts and adventure seekers. With wide-open spaces there's endless potential to create your own desert playground, add storage, or expand. With some nice added touches the cozy Manufactured home has 2 bedroom, 2 baths living spaces of the main home can truly shine, making it ideal for a primary residence, weekend retreat, or investment property. The property also features a separate 494-square-foot living area, adding exceptional flexibility and value. Whether used as a guest house, rental unit for additional income, creative studio, or mother-in-law suite, this fully self-contained space includes its own private entrance, providing both privacy and convenience. Surrounded by wide-open desert views, natural beauty, and endless skies, this property captures the peaceful spirit of the area while remaining close to popular destinations and attractions. Perfect for those seeking a unique desert escape with income potential, room to grow, and the charm of a creative High Desert lifestyle.

Key facts

  • Separate living area
  • Private entrance
  • Built 1967

Tags

SPACIOUS 2-ACRE PARCELSEPARATE LIVING AREAPRIVATE ENTRANCEWIDE-OPEN DESERT VIEWS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-24 ($-282/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (1.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (24.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $166k (24.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.7% in Homestead Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,167 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Morongo Unified (town): math 15% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #395 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 563 active listings in the ZIP; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $34k; list at $220k implies a 557% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $165,699 (24.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
6.16%
Cash-on-cash
-0.46%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.0%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-35,350
Equity at exit
$32,803
10-year hold
IRR
-6.1%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-25,152
Equity at exit
$19,022

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92284

Home prices YoY
-33.1%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
563
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,657 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax from tax record
$87 /mo · $1,046/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$348
Net cashflow
$-24

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,687
Max offer price $215,845
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $220,000 Active 150 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $220,000 Active 149 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $220,000 Active 148 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $220,000 Active 147 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $220,000 Active 145 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $220,000 Active 144 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $220,000 Active 141 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $220,000 Active 140 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $220,000 Active 139 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $220,000 Active 136 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $220,000 Active 135 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $220,000 Active 134 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $220,000 Active 133 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $220,000 Active 132 DOM
  15. 2026-01-19
    listed $220,000 Active 1423-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1423 chars)

    Located just down the road from iconic desert landmarks such as the Integratron, Giant Rock, and the acclaimed restaurant La Copine, in East Flamingo Heights offers a rare opportunity to own in one of the High Desert’s most sought-after areas. Set on spacious 2-acre parcel, this desert dream provides plenty of room for all your desert toys-ATV's, dirt bikes, RV's trailers and more, making it ideal for outdoor enthusiasts and adventure seekers. With wide-open spaces there's endless potential to create your own desert playground, add storage, or expand. With some nice added touches the cozy Manufactured home has 2 bedroom, 2 baths living spaces of the main home can truly shine, making it ideal for a primary residence, weekend retreat, or investment property. The property also features a separate 494-square-foot living area, adding exceptional flexibility and value. Whether used as a guest house, rental unit for additional income, creative studio, or mother-in-law suite, this fully self-contained space includes its own private entrance, providing both privacy and convenience. Surrounded by wide-open desert views, natural beauty, and endless skies, this property captures the peaceful spirit of the area while remaining close to popular destinations and attractions. Perfect for those seeking a unique desert escape with income potential, room to grow, and the charm of a creative High Desert lifestyle.

  16. 2025-07-11
    status Pending Sale
  17. 2025-07-09
    historical
  18. 2025-03-18
    listed $250,000 Active
  19. 2025-03-01
    historical
  20. 2024-08-30
    listed $250,000 Active
  21. 1990-11-06
    soldstatus $33,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,046 · $87/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,672 · $139/mo
Expected delta
+$626/yr (+$52/mo · 59.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,884
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$1,046
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,591
− Management
−$1,591
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable loss
−$4,167
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,000
After-tax cash flow
$718/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Morongo Unified
NCES district ID
0625860
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$39,399
Composite
22.19/100
National rank
#8156
State rank
#395 of 517 in CA

Livability — Homestead Valley

Score
49/100
State rank
#1167
US rank
#25885

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Homestead Valley, CA
County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
25,415
Household income
$58,373
Rent vs Own
34.1% rent · 65.9% own
Severe rent burden
1132.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 18% Black 2% Native American 2% Asian 2% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -241.13%
Current HPI
486.7185
Rent YoY
▲ 4.12%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+556.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-19 Listed $220,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-07-11 Pending CRMLS
  • 2025-07-09 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-03-18 Listed $250,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-03-01 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2024-08-30 Listed $250,000 CRMLS
  • 1990-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $33,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,046 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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