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21 Church St Fourplex
B+ Composite 77.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$188,000

21 Church St · Waterloo, NY 13165
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,396 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1900 7,841 sqft lot $55/sqft · 27% below area Est $257k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

21 Church St is a fantastic investment opportunity! This 4-unit property is a cash cow, boasting a spacious 3400 sqft of living space. Nestled on a prime corner lot, this building offers an abundance of potential. The location is ideal, with easy access to local shopping, dining, and entertainment options. The surrounding community is thriving, making it a sought-after destination for renters. Don't miss out on this amazing opportunity to own a piece of Waterloo's real estate market. With its prime location and solid investment potential, 21 Church Street is the perfect choice for anyone looking to diversify their portfolio. Don't miss out, schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • 7,841 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 9 days

Tags

4 UNIT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYINCOME PRODUCING PROPERTYWALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLSWALKING DISTANCE TO BANKSWALKING DISTANCE TO CANALOPEN FRONT AND SIDE PORCHES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: 4 total units; 1 separate gas meter; 1 separate electric meter
  • Financial info: Gross income $48,600 (multi-unit); Operating expenses include insurance, utilities, and water/sewer; Owner pays electricity and heat; rent includes electricity and heat

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel off-site parking
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Circuit breaker electric service
  • Home design: 2 stories; Residential multi-use zoning; Resale property
  • Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt roof; Stone foundation; Attic/crawl hatchway(s) insulated; Built previously (existing)
  • Exterior features: Open porch; Corner lot; Near public transit; Rectangular lot; Residential lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Baseboard heating; Hot water heating
  • Interior features: Thermal windows; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $188k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($31k/yr) — positive. Per door: $643/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $188k).
  • Cap rate 22.7% vs local median 4.8% in Waterloo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,240 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Waterloo Central School District (town): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #525 of 590 in NY (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 48 units permitted in Seneca County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Seneca County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $130k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $188,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.66%
Cap rate
22.70%
Cash-on-cash
58.61%
DSCR
3.61
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$256,589
List price
$188,000
Delta
-26.73%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
223 W Main St 0.48mi 5/4.0 (-1) 3,352 (-1%) 5mo $300,000 $89 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
57.2%
Equity multiple
3.53×
Total profit
$133,425
Equity at exit
$28,031
10-year hold
IRR
62.1%
Equity multiple
7.22×
Total profit
$327,570
Equity at exit
$16,255

Cash invested: $52,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13165

Home prices YoY
-20.7%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
12.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,005 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$986
Tax from tax record
$319 /mo · $3,822/yr
Insurance
$78
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,051
Net cashflow
$2,571

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,750
Max offer price $188,000
Occupancy floor 44%

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $5,005

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,000
Closing costs
$5,640
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 1204-char remark
  2. 2026-04-30
    listed $188,000 Active 1204-char remark
  3. 2023-05-31
    soldstatus $130,000 Closed Sale or Rented 677-char remark
    Show marketing remark (677 chars)

    21 Church St is a fantastic investment opportunity! This 4-unit property is a cash cow, boasting a spacious 3400 sqft of living space. Nestled on a prime corner lot, this building offers an abundance of potential. The location is ideal, with easy access to local shopping, dining, and entertainment options. The surrounding community is thriving, making it a sought-after destination for renters. Don't miss out on this amazing opportunity to own a piece of Waterloo's real estate market. With its prime location and solid investment potential, 21 Church Street is the perfect choice for anyone looking to diversify their portfolio. Don't miss out, schedule your showing today!

  4. 2023-03-16
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 677-char remark
    Show marketing remark (677 chars)

    21 Church St is a fantastic investment opportunity! This 4-unit property is a cash cow, boasting a spacious 3400 sqft of living space. Nestled on a prime corner lot, this building offers an abundance of potential. The location is ideal, with easy access to local shopping, dining, and entertainment options. The surrounding community is thriving, making it a sought-after destination for renters. Don't miss out on this amazing opportunity to own a piece of Waterloo's real estate market. With its prime location and solid investment potential, 21 Church Street is the perfect choice for anyone looking to diversify their portfolio. Don't miss out, schedule your showing today!

  5. 2023-02-08
    listed $159,900 Active 677-char remark
    Show marketing remark (677 chars)

    21 Church St is a fantastic investment opportunity! This 4-unit property is a cash cow, boasting a spacious 3400 sqft of living space. Nestled on a prime corner lot, this building offers an abundance of potential. The location is ideal, with easy access to local shopping, dining, and entertainment options. The surrounding community is thriving, making it a sought-after destination for renters. Don't miss out on this amazing opportunity to own a piece of Waterloo's real estate market. With its prime location and solid investment potential, 21 Church Street is the perfect choice for anyone looking to diversify their portfolio. Don't miss out, schedule your showing today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,822 · $319/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,822 · $319/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$60,060
− Mortgage interest
−$10,531
− Property taxes
−$3,822
− Insurance
−$940
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,805
− Management
−$4,805
− Depreciation
−$5,469
Taxable income
$29,688
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$7,125
After-tax cash flow
$23,729/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waterloo Central School District
NCES district ID
3600014
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▲ 11.00%
Median HH income
$46,726
Composite
34.16/100
National rank
#5278
State rank
#525 of 590 in NY

Livability — Waterloo

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4240

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waterloo, NY
Population (ZIP)
9,429

Population outlook (Seneca County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,457 people
By 2030
32,540 · -2.7%
By 2040
30,680 · -8.3%
By 2050
28,875 · -13.7%
By 2075
24,757 · -26.0%
By 2100
19,591 · -41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Seneca

2024 margin
R (+11.8) · D 44.1% · R 55.9%
2008→2024 swing
-14.4pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -11.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.8 2020: R+9.1 2016: R+12.1 2012: D+9.2 2008: D+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -67.17%
Current HPI
257.272
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+17.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $188,000 UNYREIS
  • 2023-05-31 Sold (MLS) $130,000 UNYREIS
  • 2023-03-16 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2023-02-08 Listed $159,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+10.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,822 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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