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6727 Tinnin Rd
D Composite 40.25
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$239,900

6727 Tinnin Rd · Ridgetop, TN 37072
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,196 sqft · Manufactured public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1976 1.83 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nice opportunity to acquire 1.8 acres in the Goodlettsville/Ridgetop area, the property currently features a manufactured home on foundation in need of a little TLC, offering the potential to renovate and make it your own, use as an investment, or remove and build the custom home you've always envisioned! Plenty of room for gardens, a workshop or recreational vehicles. Conveniently located with easy access to Downtown Nashville (only 20 miles) while still enjoying the charm of country living. Storage shed in the rear will stay. Concrete pad beside the home for a future garage or to use as a large patio for entertaining, all appliances in the home will remain, Your possibilities await! This

Key facts

  • 1.8 acres
  • Room for gardens
  • Shed in the rear

Tags

1.8 ACRESROOM FOR GARDENSSHED IN THE REARCONCRETE PAD BESIDE THE HOMEALL APPLIANCES IN THE HOME

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported as 1,196 (assessor)
  • Financial info: $688 annual tax (as reported)

Exterior

  • Parking: No covered parking listed; No total parking spaces listed
  • Utilities: Public water available; Septic tank sewer; Water service available
  • Home design: Manufactured on land (residential); Single-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Existing construction
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No heating specified; No cooling specified
  • Interior features: Range included; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $44 ($527/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (23.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $185k (23.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#166 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Robertson County (rural): math 22% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #82 of 139 in TN (top 59%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Watauga Elementary (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #231 of 952 statewide, top 26%, 341 students, 0% FRL); Greenbrier High School (math 15% / reading 22%, grade F, #208 of 332 statewide, top 63%, 812 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 42% district-wide (42 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 234 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 983 units permitted in Robertson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Robertson County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $90k; list at $240k implies a 167% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $184,715 (23.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
6.51%
Cash-on-cash
0.78%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.0%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-34,000
Equity at exit
$35,770
10-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-17,254
Equity at exit
$20,742

Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37072

Home prices YoY
-27.9%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
234
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,847 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,258
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $688/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$388
Net cashflow
$44

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,792
Max offer price $239,900
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,975
Closing costs
$7,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2034 Lake Rd Greenbrier, TN 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,700 $1.13 3d 1 0.32mi
2034 Lake Rd Greenbrier, TN 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,700 $1.13 43d 1 0.32mi
407 Hazel Dr Greenbrier, TN 3.0 1.0 980 $1,700 $1.73 43d 1 0.48mi
109 Obryan St Goodlettsville, TN 2.0 1.0 1250 $1,850 $1.48 23d 1 1.00mi
2045 Highway 41 S Greenbrier, TN 2.0 2.0 920 $1,180 $1.28 7d 1 1.39mi
2045 Highway 41 S Greenbrier, TN 2.0–3.0 2.0 973 $1,695 $1.74 43d 10 1.39mi
2045 U.S. 41 Unit C-01 Greenbrier, TN 3.0 2.0 1026 $1,275 $1.24 43d 1 1.45mi
2045 U.S. 41 Unit G-08 Greenbrier, TN 2.0 2.0 920 $1,180 $1.28 43d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $239,900 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $239,900 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $239,900 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $239,900 Active 1 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $239,900 Coming Soon 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $239,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$688 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,703 · $142/mo
Expected delta
+$1,015/yr (+$85/mo · 147.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,166
− Mortgage interest
−$13,438
− Property taxes
−$688
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,773
− Management
−$1,773
− Depreciation
−$6,979
Taxable loss
−$3,685
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$884
After-tax cash flow
$1,411/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Robertson County
NCES district ID
4703600
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$53,503
Composite
21.55/100
National rank
#8313
State rank
#82 of 139 in TN

Livability — Ridgetop

Score
64/100
State rank
#166
US rank
#14349

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ridgetop, TN
County
Sumner County · 196,654 people
Metro
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
Population (ZIP)
32,208
Household income
$78,123
Rent vs Own
33.6% rent · 66.4% own
Severe rent burden
1013.0

Population outlook (Robertson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
72,786 people
By 2030
74,478 · +2.3%
By 2040
76,948 · +5.7%
By 2050
77,618 · +6.6%
By 2075
77,545 · +6.5%
By 2100
72,836 · +0.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Robertson

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.9) · D 24.0% · R 74.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-19.8pp toward R · 2008: -31.1pp · 2024: -50.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.9 2020: R+47.0 2016: R+47.2 2012: R+35.6 2008: R+31.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -110.17%
Current HPI
284.0523
Rent YoY
▲ 4.17%
Metro
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+379.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Coming Soon $239,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
  • 2019-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $440,000 Public Records
  • 2015-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 1989-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $688 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…