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8753 Banyan Bay Blvd
B+ Composite 75.76
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$379,000

8753 Banyan Bay Blvd · Harlem Heights, FL 33908
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,998 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 235 Days on market
Built 2012 Est $735k · 48% under $213/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nestled on a lush corner lot in the gated Banyan Bay community in Fort Myers, this 3-bedroom + den, 2-bathroom, home offers relaxed Florida living just 8 miles from Fort Myers Beach. Spanning 1,998 square feet, the open-concept design features a split bedroom layout and a bright great room with a tray ceiling and abundant natural light that flows seamlessly into the dining area and open kitchen. The kitchen showcases white shaker cabinetry, quartz countertops, a large island with pendant lighting, a walk-in pantry, and newer GE stainless steel appliances (2023). The private primary suite includes a tray ceiling, spacious walk-in closet, and a beautifully updated ensuite bathroom with quartz

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Quartz countertops
  • Open concept design

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYOPEN CONCEPT DESIGNWHITE SHAKER CABINETRYQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSWALK IN PANTRYPRIVATE PRIMARY SUITE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA (professional management); Quarterly HOA fee; HOA amenities include community pool and BBQ/picnic area; HOA maintenance covers irrigation water, legal/accounting, manager, recreation facilities, security, street lights, and street maintenance; Total annual recurring fees listed; One-time fees apply

Exterior

  • Parking: Deeded parking; Attached 2-car garage; Auto garage door
  • Security: Community security (managed by HOA)
  • Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available; Electric service (central)
  • Home design: Single family residential; 1 story / ranch; Rear exposure faces south; Gated community (Banyan Bay)
  • Construction: Built in 2012; Concrete block construction; Stucco exterior; Tile roof
  • Exterior features: Patio; Screened lanai/porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Island; Walk-in pantry; Breakfast bar; Eat-in kitchen; Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator/Freezer
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms plus den; First floor bedroom; Master bedroom on ground level; Split bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with dual sinks and separate tub and shower
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Cable prewire; Foyer; French doors; Laundry tub; Pantry; Smoke detectors; Tray ceiling; Walk-in closet; Great room floor plan; Split bedroom layout; Den/Study; Screened lanai/porch
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in residence; Washer/dryer hookup; Laundry tub

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $379k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $967 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $379k).
  • Recommended offer: $334k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 2.9% in Harlem Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#263 in FL, #4,209 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 1244 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,056/mo this rent would consume 80% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 1944% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 235 days — a 12% lower offer ($334k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $333,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 235 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
10.71%
Cash-on-cash
15.76%
DSCR
1.70
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$735,264
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16499 Edgemont Dr 0.35mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,949 (-2%) 3mo $740,000 $380 72
16436 Willowcrest Way 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,853 (-7%) 5mo $769,900 $415 69
16445 Edgemont Dr 0.44mi 3/2.0 2,003 (+0%) 16mo $737,000 $368 65
16440 Willowcrest Way 0.30mi 3/2.0 2,066 (+3%) 23mo $730,000 $353 61
16404 Willowcrest Way 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,781 (-11%) 11mo $470,000 $264 56
16488 Crown Arbor Way 0.65mi 2/2.0 (-1) 2,000 (+0%) 18mo $559,000 $280 50
16320 Willowcrest Way 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,763 (-12%) 9mo $635,000 $360 47
16384 Willowcrest Way 0.41mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,763 (-12%) 15mo $757,500 $430 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-14,304
Equity at exit
$56,510
10-year hold
IRR
1.7%
Equity multiple
1.10×
Total profit
$10,933
Equity at exit
$32,769

Cash invested: $106,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33908

Home prices YoY
-32.8%
Rents YoY
-1.2%
Active inventory
1244
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,056 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,988
Tax from tax record
$242 /mo · $2,902/yr
Insurance
$158
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$213
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,062
Net cashflow
$967

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,831
Max offer price $379,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$94,750
Closing costs
$11,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17006 Middlebrook Ct Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1498 $6,300 $4.21 15d 1 0.14mi
17006 Middlebrook Ct Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1247 $6,300 $5.05 14d 1 0.14mi
17020 Willowcrest Way Fort Myers, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1344 $6,300 $4.69 15d 2 0.36mi
9190 Southmont Cv #309 Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1331 $6,500 $4.88 1d 1 0.39mi
9170 Southmont Cv Fort Myers, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1358 $6,300 $4.64 14d 1 0.51mi
9140 Southmont Cv #102 Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1331 $2,500 $1.88 14d 1 0.54mi
9240 Willowcrest Ct Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1752 $8,500 $4.85 14d 1 0.54mi
16320 Willowcrest Way Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1751 $8,700 $4.97 14d 1 0.57mi
17120 Bridgestone Ct #104 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1282 $2,400 $1.87 23d 1 0.58mi
9201 Bayberry Bnd #103 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1724 $3,500 $2.03 23d 1 0.61mi
16491 Millstone Cir #207 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1348 $2,000 $1.48 14d 1 0.64mi
9240 Bayberry Bnd #103 Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1584 $6,600 $4.17 23d 1 0.66mi
16481 Millstone Cir #207 Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1348 $2,700 $2.00 23d 1 0.68mi
9241 Bayberry Bnd #103 Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1584 $4,725 $2.98 14d 1 0.68mi
9250 Bayberry Bnd #202 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1669 $4,950 $2.97 14d 1 0.69mi
8549 S Lake Cir Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 2091 $3,500 $1.67 23d 1 1.10mi
11848 Bayport Ln #2002 Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1661 $2,200 $1.32 23d 1 1.29mi
8986 Greenwich Hills Way #201 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 2040 $5,200 $2.55 23d 1 1.42mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$213 · $2,556/yr
Likely covers
security

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $379,000 Active 235 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $379,000 Active 234 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $379,000 Active 233 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $379,000 Active 231 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $379,000 Active 227 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $379,000 Active 225 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $379,000 Active 220 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $379,000 Active 219 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $379,000 Active 218 DOM
  10. 2026-04-15
    price $379,000
  11. 2026-03-19
    price $389,900
  12. 2026-01-08
    price $399,900
  13. 2025-10-25
    listed $414,900 Active
  14. 2011-11-02
    soldstatus $3,266,000
  15. 2008-08-29
    soldstatus $2,700,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,902 · $242/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,146 · $262/mo
Expected delta
+$243/yr (+$20/mo · 8.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$60,669
− Mortgage interest
−$21,230
− Property taxes
−$2,902
− Insurance
−$7,014
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,853
− Management
−$4,853
− HOA
−$2,556
− Depreciation
−$11,025
Taxable income
$6,234
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,496
After-tax cash flow
$10,110/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Harlem Heights

Score
75/100
State rank
#263
US rank
#4209

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
27,337
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
37,423
Household income
$75,396
Rent vs Own
28.3% rent · 71.7% own
Severe rent burden
1944.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -102.22%
Current HPI
209.7595
Rent YoY
▼ -1.18%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-86.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $379,000 BEARMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $389,900 BEARMLS
  • 2026-01-08 Price Changed $399,900 BEARMLS
  • 2025-10-25 Listed $414,900 BEARMLS
  • 2011-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $3,266,000 Public Records
  • 2008-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $2,700,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,902 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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