Triplex
34 Grand St · Danbury, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.3/30.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- ARV discount +2.2/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$799,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Historic Danbury Three-Family Home - Family Owned for 78 Years A rare opportunity to own a truly historic piece of Danbury history. Built in 1894, this is believed to be the only home constructed in Danbury during that year - a property filled with character, longevity, and pride of ownership. This well-maintained three-family home has remained in the same family for nearly eight decades and features dependable long-term tenants, making it an excellent investment opportunity or owner-occupied property. The current property manager has successfully managed the home for the past 23 years and is available to continue for a seamless transition. The spacious upper apartment offers: 3 bedrooms Li
Key facts
- Private driveway
- Newer roof
- Vinyl siding
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking for about 5 vehicles; Paved driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas hot water; Natural gas heating; Sewer and water annual usage fee applies
- Home design: 3-family multi-family property; Frame construction; Brown exterior color
- Construction: Frame construction; Concrete and stone foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Sloping lot; Vinyl siding; Paved driveway; Driveway and off-street paved parking
Interior
- Bedrooms: 6 total bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot air heating (natural gas); Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Full basement; Walk-up attic; 13 total rooms; 3 separate units (multi-family)
- Laundry & utility: Basement laundry with hookups for all units; Each unit has washer/dryer hookups
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $800k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $141 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $47/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $680k (15.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $680k (15.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.6% in Danbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#51 in CT, #3,379 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Danbury School District (urban): math 19% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #131 of 153 in CT (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: South Street School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #401 of 553 statewide, top 74%, 386 students, 47% FRL); Danbury High School (math 19% / reading 41%, grade F, #137 of 194 statewide, top 70%, 3,590 students, 48% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,795/mo this rent would consume 106% of the median local household income ($77k/yr) (locally 3255% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1894 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1894 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.75%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $715,002
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 & 5 Prospect St | 0.52mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 3,041 (+14%) | 13mo | $790,000 | $260 | 32 |
| 12 Harding Pl | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 2,288 (-14%) | 18mo | $615,000 | $269 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-120,189
- Equity at exit
- $119,268
- IRR
- -6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-91,200
- Equity at exit
- $69,161
Cash invested: $223,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06810
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 197
- Price-to-rent
- 29.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,795 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,195
- Tax from tax record
- −$699 /mo · $8,391/yr
- Insurance
- −$333
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,427
- Net cashflow
- $141
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $6,795 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $2,265 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $2,265 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $2,265 |
| Total (3 units) | $6,795 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $199,975
- Closing costs
- $23,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jefferson Ave Danbury, CT | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2186 | $5,900 | $2.70 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 10 Fleetwood Dr Danbury, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1757 | $3,500 | $1.99 | 2d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-02status $799,900 Under Contract 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $799,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $799,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-26$799,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $8,391 · $699/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $12,754 · $1,063/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,363/yr (+$364/mo · 52.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $81,540
- − Mortgage interest
- −$44,807
- − Property taxes
- −$8,391
- − Insurance
- −$4,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,523
- − Management
- −$6,523
- − Depreciation
- −$23,270
- Taxable loss
- −$11,974
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,874
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,563/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Danbury School District
- NCES district ID
- 0901020
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,793
- Composite
- 23.93/100
- National rank
- #7784
- State rank
- #131 of 153 in CT
Livability — Danbury
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #51
- US rank
- #3379
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Danbury, CT
- County
- Fairfield County · 765,532 people
- City population
- 87,061
- Metro
- Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,833
- Household income
- $76,933
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3255.0
Population outlook (Western Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 685,031
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 37% White 35% Two or more races 19% Black 12% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Estonian 8% Russian 4% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 41% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 16% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Western Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 58.8% · R 39.7% · Other 1.6%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -309.71%
- Current HPI
- 286.5484
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- Metro
- Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $799,900 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2023): $8,391 · +37.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…