193 Skyline Loop · Oxford, AL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- Cash flow +9.3/30.0
- Appreciation +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$168,543
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step into your gorgeous brand new home — a perfect blend of comfort and modern design. From the welcoming covered entry to the beautifully landscaped front yard, every detail creates a warm first impression. Inside, you’ll discover a bright, open layout with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The expansive living area connects effortlessly to the dining space and a gorgeous kitchen featuring energy-efficient appliances, ample countertop space, and a roomy pantry — all crafted to make daily life simple and enjoyable. Ask about our buyer specials, including THOUSANDS in closing costs/prepaids with our preferred lenders! Photos are renderings and stock photos of a completed “Carlie” floor plan. Colors and features may be different than what is featured in the photos.
Key facts
- Modern design
- Lvp flooring
- Modern kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-190 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $141k (16.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (21.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $132k (21.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.8% in Oxford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#13 in AL, #3,446 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Oxford City (urban): math 27% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #22 of 129 in AL (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 135 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.5%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calhoun County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.13%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $182,366
- List price
- $168,543
- Delta
- -7.58%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 193 Skyline Loop | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,012 (0%) | 0mo | $173,760 | $172 | 100 |
| 36 Skyline Loop | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,068 (+6%) | 0mo | $178,000 | $167 | 90 |
| 224 Carterton Hts | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,068 (+6%) | 10mo | $199,200 | $187 | 78 |
| 140 Skyline Loop | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,068 (+6%) | 8mo | $190,000 | $178 | 72 |
| 1172 Taylors Chapel Rd | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,001 (-1%) | 1mo | $173,500 | $173 | 65 |
| 418 Grogan Rd | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-0%) | 13mo | $129,900 | $129 | 58 |
| 95 Mary Lee St | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,065 (+5%) | 22mo | $160,500 | $151 | 49 |
| 343 Beck Rd | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,128 (+12%) | 23mo | $150,000 | $133 | 31 |
| 350 Beck Rd | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,124 (+11%) | 19mo | $165,000 | $147 | 30 |
| 540 Mahaffey Rd | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,160 (+15%) | 23mo | $105,000 | $91 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.51% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-28,565
- Equity at exit
- $36,580
- IRR
- -7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-30,335
- Equity at exit
- $35,014
Cash invested: $47,192 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36260
- Home prices YoY
- -0.6%
- Active inventory
- 59
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,318 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$884
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$211 /mo · $2,528/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $-190
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,136
- Closing costs
- $5,056
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending 797-char remark
Show marketing remark (797 chars)
Step into your gorgeous brand new home — a perfect blend of comfort and modern design. From the welcoming covered entry to the beautifully landscaped front yard, every detail creates a warm first impression. Inside, you’ll discover a bright, open layout with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The expansive living area connects effortlessly to the dining space and a gorgeous kitchen featuring energy-efficient appliances, ample countertop space, and a roomy pantry — all crafted to make daily life simple and enjoyable. Ask about our buyer specials, including THOUSANDS in closing costs/prepaids with our preferred lenders! Photos are renderings and stock photos of a completed “Carlie” floor plan. Colors and features may be different than what is featured in the photos.
-
2026-05-02price $168,543 797-char remark
Show marketing remark (797 chars)
Step into your gorgeous brand new home — a perfect blend of comfort and modern design. From the welcoming covered entry to the beautifully landscaped front yard, every detail creates a warm first impression. Inside, you’ll discover a bright, open layout with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The expansive living area connects effortlessly to the dining space and a gorgeous kitchen featuring energy-efficient appliances, ample countertop space, and a roomy pantry — all crafted to make daily life simple and enjoyable. Ask about our buyer specials, including THOUSANDS in closing costs/prepaids with our preferred lenders! Photos are renderings and stock photos of a completed “Carlie” floor plan. Colors and features may be different than what is featured in the photos.
-
2026-04-19price $169,850 797-char remark
Show marketing remark (797 chars)
Step into your gorgeous brand new home — a perfect blend of comfort and modern design. From the welcoming covered entry to the beautifully landscaped front yard, every detail creates a warm first impression. Inside, you’ll discover a bright, open layout with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The expansive living area connects effortlessly to the dining space and a gorgeous kitchen featuring energy-efficient appliances, ample countertop space, and a roomy pantry — all crafted to make daily life simple and enjoyable. Ask about our buyer specials, including THOUSANDS in closing costs/prepaids with our preferred lenders! Photos are renderings and stock photos of a completed “Carlie” floor plan. Colors and features may be different than what is featured in the photos.
-
2026-03-28price $184,501 797-char remark
Show marketing remark (797 chars)
Step into your gorgeous brand new home — a perfect blend of comfort and modern design. From the welcoming covered entry to the beautifully landscaped front yard, every detail creates a warm first impression. Inside, you’ll discover a bright, open layout with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The expansive living area connects effortlessly to the dining space and a gorgeous kitchen featuring energy-efficient appliances, ample countertop space, and a roomy pantry — all crafted to make daily life simple and enjoyable. Ask about our buyer specials, including THOUSANDS in closing costs/prepaids with our preferred lenders! Photos are renderings and stock photos of a completed “Carlie” floor plan. Colors and features may be different than what is featured in the photos.
-
2026-03-06price $189,983 797-char remark
Show marketing remark (797 chars)
Step into your gorgeous brand new home — a perfect blend of comfort and modern design. From the welcoming covered entry to the beautifully landscaped front yard, every detail creates a warm first impression. Inside, you’ll discover a bright, open layout with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The expansive living area connects effortlessly to the dining space and a gorgeous kitchen featuring energy-efficient appliances, ample countertop space, and a roomy pantry — all crafted to make daily life simple and enjoyable. Ask about our buyer specials, including THOUSANDS in closing costs/prepaids with our preferred lenders! Photos are renderings and stock photos of a completed “Carlie” floor plan. Colors and features may be different than what is featured in the photos.
-
2026-02-21price $194,900 797-char remark
Show marketing remark (797 chars)
Step into your gorgeous brand new home — a perfect blend of comfort and modern design. From the welcoming covered entry to the beautifully landscaped front yard, every detail creates a warm first impression. Inside, you’ll discover a bright, open layout with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The expansive living area connects effortlessly to the dining space and a gorgeous kitchen featuring energy-efficient appliances, ample countertop space, and a roomy pantry — all crafted to make daily life simple and enjoyable. Ask about our buyer specials, including THOUSANDS in closing costs/prepaids with our preferred lenders! Photos are renderings and stock photos of a completed “Carlie” floor plan. Colors and features may be different than what is featured in the photos.
-
2026-02-21status Active 797-char remark
Show marketing remark (797 chars)
Step into your gorgeous brand new home — a perfect blend of comfort and modern design. From the welcoming covered entry to the beautifully landscaped front yard, every detail creates a warm first impression. Inside, you’ll discover a bright, open layout with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The expansive living area connects effortlessly to the dining space and a gorgeous kitchen featuring energy-efficient appliances, ample countertop space, and a roomy pantry — all crafted to make daily life simple and enjoyable. Ask about our buyer specials, including THOUSANDS in closing costs/prepaids with our preferred lenders! Photos are renderings and stock photos of a completed “Carlie” floor plan. Colors and features may be different than what is featured in the photos.
-
2025-12-17status Pending 797-char remark
Show marketing remark (797 chars)
Step into your gorgeous brand new home — a perfect blend of comfort and modern design. From the welcoming covered entry to the beautifully landscaped front yard, every detail creates a warm first impression. Inside, you’ll discover a bright, open layout with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The expansive living area connects effortlessly to the dining space and a gorgeous kitchen featuring energy-efficient appliances, ample countertop space, and a roomy pantry — all crafted to make daily life simple and enjoyable. Ask about our buyer specials, including THOUSANDS in closing costs/prepaids with our preferred lenders! Photos are renderings and stock photos of a completed “Carlie” floor plan. Colors and features may be different than what is featured in the photos.
-
2025-10-03$196,985 Active 797-char remark
Show marketing remark (797 chars)
Step into your gorgeous brand new home — a perfect blend of comfort and modern design. From the welcoming covered entry to the beautifully landscaped front yard, every detail creates a warm first impression. Inside, you’ll discover a bright, open layout with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The expansive living area connects effortlessly to the dining space and a gorgeous kitchen featuring energy-efficient appliances, ample countertop space, and a roomy pantry — all crafted to make daily life simple and enjoyable. Ask about our buyer specials, including THOUSANDS in closing costs/prepaids with our preferred lenders! Photos are renderings and stock photos of a completed “Carlie” floor plan. Colors and features may be different than what is featured in the photos.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,822
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,441
- − Property taxes
- −$2,528
- − Insurance
- −$1,640
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,266
- − Management
- −$1,266
- − Depreciation
- −$4,903
- Taxable loss
- −$5,222
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,253
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,022/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oxford City
- NCES district ID
- 0102635
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,971
- Composite
- 35.11/100
- National rank
- #5017
- State rank
- #22 of 129 in AL
Livability — Oxford
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #3446
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oxford, AL
- City population
- 18,919
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,729
Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 109,765 people
- By 2030
- 105,708 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 96,192 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 86,413 · -21.3%
- By 2075
- 63,467 · -42.2%
- By 2100
- 44,704 · -59.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 20% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 8% Lithuanian 4% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% Arabic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.8) · D 27.2% · R 71.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.2pp toward R · 2008: -32.5pp · 2024: -44.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.8 2020: R+39.0 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+31.9 2008: R+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.51%
- Current HPI
- 272.672
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-14.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $168,543 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-19 Price Changed $169,850 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-03-28 Price Changed $184,501 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $189,983 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-02-21 Price Changed $194,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-02-21 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-12-17 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-10-03 Listed $196,985 Greater Alabama MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…