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193 Skyline Loop
D Composite 42.2
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.9/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$168,543

193 Skyline Loop · Oxford, AL 36260
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,012 sqft · SingleFamily · 158 Days on market
Built 2026 $167/sqft · 8% below area Est $182k · 8% under ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step into your gorgeous brand new home — a perfect blend of comfort and modern design. From the welcoming covered entry to the beautifully landscaped front yard, every detail creates a warm first impression. Inside, you’ll discover a bright, open layout with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The expansive living area connects effortlessly to the dining space and a gorgeous kitchen featuring energy-efficient appliances, ample countertop space, and a roomy pantry — all crafted to make daily life simple and enjoyable. Ask about our buyer specials, including THOUSANDS in closing costs/prepaids with our preferred lenders! Photos are renderings and stock photos of a completed “Carlie” floor plan. Colors and features may be different than what is featured in the photos.

Key facts

  • Modern design
  • Lvp flooring
  • Modern kitchen

Tags

PRIVATE OWNER'S SUITELVP FLOORINGMODERN KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESCARTERTON HEIGHTS COMMUNITYMODERN DESIGN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-190 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $141k (16.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (21.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (21.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.8% in Oxford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#13 in AL, #3,446 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Oxford City (urban): math 27% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #22 of 129 in AL (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 135 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.5%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Calhoun County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $131,848 (21.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.42%
Cash-on-cash
-3.13%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$182,366
List price
$168,543
Delta
-7.58%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
193 Skyline Loop 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,012 (0%) 0mo $173,760 $172 100
36 Skyline Loop 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,068 (+6%) 0mo $178,000 $167 90
224 Carterton Hts 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,068 (+6%) 10mo $199,200 $187 78
140 Skyline Loop 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,068 (+6%) 8mo $190,000 $178 72
1172 Taylors Chapel Rd 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,001 (-1%) 1mo $173,500 $173 65
418 Grogan Rd 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,008 (-0%) 13mo $129,900 $129 58
95 Mary Lee St 0.41mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,065 (+5%) 22mo $160,500 $151 49
343 Beck Rd 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,128 (+12%) 23mo $150,000 $133 31
350 Beck Rd 0.65mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,124 (+11%) 19mo $165,000 $147 30
540 Mahaffey Rd 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,160 (+15%) 23mo $105,000 $91 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.51% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.8%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-28,565
Equity at exit
$36,580
10-year hold
IRR
-7.8%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-30,335
Equity at exit
$35,014

Cash invested: $47,192 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36260

Home prices YoY
-0.6%
Active inventory
59
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,318 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$884
Tax est. 1.5%
$211 /mo · $2,528/yr
Insurance
$70
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$277
Net cashflow
$-190

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,559
Max offer price $141,104
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,136
Closing costs
$5,056
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 797-char remark
    Show marketing remark (797 chars)

    Step into your gorgeous brand new home — a perfect blend of comfort and modern design. From the welcoming covered entry to the beautifully landscaped front yard, every detail creates a warm first impression. Inside, you’ll discover a bright, open layout with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The expansive living area connects effortlessly to the dining space and a gorgeous kitchen featuring energy-efficient appliances, ample countertop space, and a roomy pantry — all crafted to make daily life simple and enjoyable. Ask about our buyer specials, including THOUSANDS in closing costs/prepaids with our preferred lenders! Photos are renderings and stock photos of a completed “Carlie” floor plan. Colors and features may be different than what is featured in the photos.

  2. 2026-05-02
    price $168,543 797-char remark
    Show marketing remark (797 chars)

    Step into your gorgeous brand new home — a perfect blend of comfort and modern design. From the welcoming covered entry to the beautifully landscaped front yard, every detail creates a warm first impression. Inside, you’ll discover a bright, open layout with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The expansive living area connects effortlessly to the dining space and a gorgeous kitchen featuring energy-efficient appliances, ample countertop space, and a roomy pantry — all crafted to make daily life simple and enjoyable. Ask about our buyer specials, including THOUSANDS in closing costs/prepaids with our preferred lenders! Photos are renderings and stock photos of a completed “Carlie” floor plan. Colors and features may be different than what is featured in the photos.

  3. 2026-04-19
    price $169,850 797-char remark
    Show marketing remark (797 chars)

    Step into your gorgeous brand new home — a perfect blend of comfort and modern design. From the welcoming covered entry to the beautifully landscaped front yard, every detail creates a warm first impression. Inside, you’ll discover a bright, open layout with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The expansive living area connects effortlessly to the dining space and a gorgeous kitchen featuring energy-efficient appliances, ample countertop space, and a roomy pantry — all crafted to make daily life simple and enjoyable. Ask about our buyer specials, including THOUSANDS in closing costs/prepaids with our preferred lenders! Photos are renderings and stock photos of a completed “Carlie” floor plan. Colors and features may be different than what is featured in the photos.

  4. 2026-03-28
    price $184,501 797-char remark
    Show marketing remark (797 chars)

    Step into your gorgeous brand new home — a perfect blend of comfort and modern design. From the welcoming covered entry to the beautifully landscaped front yard, every detail creates a warm first impression. Inside, you’ll discover a bright, open layout with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The expansive living area connects effortlessly to the dining space and a gorgeous kitchen featuring energy-efficient appliances, ample countertop space, and a roomy pantry — all crafted to make daily life simple and enjoyable. Ask about our buyer specials, including THOUSANDS in closing costs/prepaids with our preferred lenders! Photos are renderings and stock photos of a completed “Carlie” floor plan. Colors and features may be different than what is featured in the photos.

  5. 2026-03-06
    price $189,983 797-char remark
    Show marketing remark (797 chars)

    Step into your gorgeous brand new home — a perfect blend of comfort and modern design. From the welcoming covered entry to the beautifully landscaped front yard, every detail creates a warm first impression. Inside, you’ll discover a bright, open layout with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The expansive living area connects effortlessly to the dining space and a gorgeous kitchen featuring energy-efficient appliances, ample countertop space, and a roomy pantry — all crafted to make daily life simple and enjoyable. Ask about our buyer specials, including THOUSANDS in closing costs/prepaids with our preferred lenders! Photos are renderings and stock photos of a completed “Carlie” floor plan. Colors and features may be different than what is featured in the photos.

  6. 2026-02-21
    price $194,900 797-char remark
    Show marketing remark (797 chars)

    Step into your gorgeous brand new home — a perfect blend of comfort and modern design. From the welcoming covered entry to the beautifully landscaped front yard, every detail creates a warm first impression. Inside, you’ll discover a bright, open layout with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The expansive living area connects effortlessly to the dining space and a gorgeous kitchen featuring energy-efficient appliances, ample countertop space, and a roomy pantry — all crafted to make daily life simple and enjoyable. Ask about our buyer specials, including THOUSANDS in closing costs/prepaids with our preferred lenders! Photos are renderings and stock photos of a completed “Carlie” floor plan. Colors and features may be different than what is featured in the photos.

  7. 2026-02-21
    status Active 797-char remark
    Show marketing remark (797 chars)

    Step into your gorgeous brand new home — a perfect blend of comfort and modern design. From the welcoming covered entry to the beautifully landscaped front yard, every detail creates a warm first impression. Inside, you’ll discover a bright, open layout with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The expansive living area connects effortlessly to the dining space and a gorgeous kitchen featuring energy-efficient appliances, ample countertop space, and a roomy pantry — all crafted to make daily life simple and enjoyable. Ask about our buyer specials, including THOUSANDS in closing costs/prepaids with our preferred lenders! Photos are renderings and stock photos of a completed “Carlie” floor plan. Colors and features may be different than what is featured in the photos.

  8. 2025-12-17
    status Pending 797-char remark
    Show marketing remark (797 chars)

    Step into your gorgeous brand new home — a perfect blend of comfort and modern design. From the welcoming covered entry to the beautifully landscaped front yard, every detail creates a warm first impression. Inside, you’ll discover a bright, open layout with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The expansive living area connects effortlessly to the dining space and a gorgeous kitchen featuring energy-efficient appliances, ample countertop space, and a roomy pantry — all crafted to make daily life simple and enjoyable. Ask about our buyer specials, including THOUSANDS in closing costs/prepaids with our preferred lenders! Photos are renderings and stock photos of a completed “Carlie” floor plan. Colors and features may be different than what is featured in the photos.

  9. 2025-10-03
    listed $196,985 Active 797-char remark
    Show marketing remark (797 chars)

    Step into your gorgeous brand new home — a perfect blend of comfort and modern design. From the welcoming covered entry to the beautifully landscaped front yard, every detail creates a warm first impression. Inside, you’ll discover a bright, open layout with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The expansive living area connects effortlessly to the dining space and a gorgeous kitchen featuring energy-efficient appliances, ample countertop space, and a roomy pantry — all crafted to make daily life simple and enjoyable. Ask about our buyer specials, including THOUSANDS in closing costs/prepaids with our preferred lenders! Photos are renderings and stock photos of a completed “Carlie” floor plan. Colors and features may be different than what is featured in the photos.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,822
− Mortgage interest
−$9,441
− Property taxes
−$2,528
− Insurance
−$1,640
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,266
− Management
−$1,266
− Depreciation
−$4,903
Taxable loss
−$5,222
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,253
After-tax cash flow
$-1,022/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oxford City
NCES district ID
0102635
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$48,971
Composite
35.11/100
National rank
#5017
State rank
#22 of 129 in AL

Livability — Oxford

Score
76/100
State rank
#13
US rank
#3446

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oxford, AL
City population
18,919
Population (ZIP)
4,729

Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
109,765 people
By 2030
105,708 · -3.7%
By 2040
96,192 · -12.4%
By 2050
86,413 · -21.3%
By 2075
63,467 · -42.2%
By 2100
44,704 · -59.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 20% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 8% Lithuanian 4% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% Arabic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.8) · D 27.2% · R 71.9%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: -32.5pp · 2024: -44.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.8 2020: R+39.0 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+31.9 2008: R+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.51%
Current HPI
272.672
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.4% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $168,543 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-19 Price Changed $169,850 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-03-28 Price Changed $184,501 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $189,983 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-02-21 Price Changed $194,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-02-21 Relisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-12-17 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-10-03 Listed $196,985 Greater Alabama MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…