1006 Burger Hollow Rd · Effort, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.6/15.0
- Appreciation +8.1/10.0
- Cash flow +6.1/30.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.3/10.0
- DSCR +0.4/10.0
$324,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* * * MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED. ASKING FOR HIGHEST AND BEST OFFERS BY MONDAY 5/11 AT 5PM WITH A RESPONSE ON TUESDAY * * * Set on 2.54 private acres in the desirable Pleasant Valley School District, this well-maintained bi-level home (built in 2002) offers 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and 1,796 finished square feet designed for comfortable living and modern convenience. A private paved driveway leads to an extended 2-car attached garage with workbench, while the home's vinyl and brick exterior is complemented by mature landscaping and a large yard with storage shed. The interior showcases hardwood floors, primary suite, and natural light adding to the inviting layout. A gas insert fireplace with a tile surround and wood mantle adds warmth and character to the home, while the kitchen includes a functional peninsula ideal for entertaining and everyday use. Sliding doors open to a rear deck and concrete patio--both perfect for outdoor enjoyment in a peaceful setting. Major upgrades include all new Andersen windows ($27K), a new hot water heater, central A/C, radon remediation system, and an automatic wired generator for added peace of mind. With NO HOA and a prime location close to top Pocono attractions including skiing, lakes, water parks, dining, and the casino, this move-in ready property offers the perfect blend of privacy, space, and convenience. Call today to schedule your showing!
Key facts
- Attached garage
- Paved driveway
- Large yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Sidewalks in the community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces; Off-street parking; Garage door opener
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Below-grade finished area (basement) with daylight, finished spaces and walk-out access; Above-grade finished living area present; R-1 residential zoning
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Patio; Shed(s); Workshop; Leased propane tank
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Total of 9 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Zoned cooling; Baseboard heating; Electric heating; Propane heating; Zoned heating
- Interior features: Skylights; Dining area; Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Family room (lower level)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup (lower level); Dryer hookup (lower level); Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $325k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-612 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $217k (33.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $205k (37.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $205k (37.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 2.7% in Effort — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#292 in PA, #2,576 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Pleasant Valley SD (rural): math 31% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #297 of 539 in PA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Pleasant Valley El Sch (math 39% / reading 51%, grade D-, #809 of 1,518 statewide, top 54%, 899 students, 50% FRL); Pleasant Valley Ms (math 19% / reading 58%, grade F, #275 of 512 statewide, top 55%, 950 students, 50% FRL); Pleasant Valley Hs (math 72% / reading 30%, grade D+, #123 of 437 statewide, top 28%, 1,343 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $23k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $251k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.63% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.07%
- DSCR
- 0.64
- GRM
- 13.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $376,305
- List price
- $324,900
- Delta
- -13.66%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3546 High Hill Rd | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,232 (+5%) | 8mo | $322,400 | $262 | 57 |
| 162 Laurel Ln | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,336 (+14%) | 19mo | $362,000 | $271 | 21 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.25% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $59,684
- Equity at exit
- $209,394
- IRR
- 10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.25×
- Total profit
- $204,906
- Equity at exit
- $384,252
Cash invested: $90,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18058
- Home prices YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 91
- Price-to-rent
- 13.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,046 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$389 /mo · $4,667/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$430
- Net cashflow
- $-612
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-428 | -5% $-520 | +0% $-612 | +5% $-704 | +10% $-796 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-774 | -5% $-693 | +0% $-612 | +5% $-531 | +10% $-450 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-448 | -0.5pp $-529 | base $-612 | +0.5pp $-696 | +1.0pp $-782 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,225
- Closing costs
- $9,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending 1408-char remark
Show marketing remark (1408 chars)
* * * MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED. ASKING FOR HIGHEST AND BEST OFFERS BY MONDAY 5/11 AT 5PM WITH A RESPONSE ON TUESDAY * * * Set on 2.54 private acres in the desirable Pleasant Valley School District, this well-maintained bi-level home (built in 2002) offers 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and 1,796 finished square feet designed for comfortable living and modern convenience. A private paved driveway leads to an extended 2-car attached garage with workbench, while the home's vinyl and brick exterior is complemented by mature landscaping and a large yard with storage shed. The interior showcases hardwood floors, primary suite, and natural light adding to the inviting layout. A gas insert fireplace with a tile surround and wood mantle adds warmth and character to the home, while the kitchen includes a functional peninsula ideal for entertaining and everyday use. Sliding doors open to a rear deck and concrete patio--both perfect for outdoor enjoyment in a peaceful setting. Major upgrades include all new Andersen windows ($27K), a new hot water heater, central A/C, radon remediation system, and an automatic wired generator for added peace of mind. With NO HOA and a prime location close to top Pocono attractions including skiing, lakes, water parks, dining, and the casino, this move-in ready property offers the perfect blend of privacy, space, and convenience. Call today to schedule your showing!
-
2026-05-12status Pending 1419-char remark
Show marketing remark (1408 chars)
* * * MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED. ASKING FOR HIGHEST AND BEST OFFERS BY MONDAY 5/11 AT 5PM WITH A RESPONSE ON TUESDAY * * * Set on 2.54 private acres in the desirable Pleasant Valley School District, this well-maintained bi-level home (built in 2002) offers 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and 1,796 finished square feet designed for comfortable living and modern convenience. A private paved driveway leads to an extended 2-car attached garage with workbench, while the home's vinyl and brick exterior is complemented by mature landscaping and a large yard with storage shed. The interior showcases hardwood floors, primary suite, and natural light adding to the inviting layout. A gas insert fireplace with a tile surround and wood mantle adds warmth and character to the home, while the kitchen includes a functional peninsula ideal for entertaining and everyday use. Sliding doors open to a rear deck and concrete patio--both perfect for outdoor enjoyment in a peaceful setting. Major upgrades include all new Andersen windows ($27K), a new hot water heater, central A/C, radon remediation system, and an automatic wired generator for added peace of mind. With NO HOA and a prime location close to top Pocono attractions including skiing, lakes, water parks, dining, and the casino, this move-in ready property offers the perfect blend of privacy, space, and convenience. Call today to schedule your showing!
-
2026-05-05$324,900 Active 1408-char remark
Show marketing remark (1408 chars)
* * * MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED. ASKING FOR HIGHEST AND BEST OFFERS BY MONDAY 5/11 AT 5PM WITH A RESPONSE ON TUESDAY * * * Set on 2.54 private acres in the desirable Pleasant Valley School District, this well-maintained bi-level home (built in 2002) offers 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and 1,796 finished square feet designed for comfortable living and modern convenience. A private paved driveway leads to an extended 2-car attached garage with workbench, while the home's vinyl and brick exterior is complemented by mature landscaping and a large yard with storage shed. The interior showcases hardwood floors, primary suite, and natural light adding to the inviting layout. A gas insert fireplace with a tile surround and wood mantle adds warmth and character to the home, while the kitchen includes a functional peninsula ideal for entertaining and everyday use. Sliding doors open to a rear deck and concrete patio--both perfect for outdoor enjoyment in a peaceful setting. Major upgrades include all new Andersen windows ($27K), a new hot water heater, central A/C, radon remediation system, and an automatic wired generator for added peace of mind. With NO HOA and a prime location close to top Pocono attractions including skiing, lakes, water parks, dining, and the casino, this move-in ready property offers the perfect blend of privacy, space, and convenience. Call today to schedule your showing!
-
2026-05-05$324,900 Active 1419-char remark
Show marketing remark (1408 chars)
* * * MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED. ASKING FOR HIGHEST AND BEST OFFERS BY MONDAY 5/11 AT 5PM WITH A RESPONSE ON TUESDAY * * * Set on 2.54 private acres in the desirable Pleasant Valley School District, this well-maintained bi-level home (built in 2002) offers 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and 1,796 finished square feet designed for comfortable living and modern convenience. A private paved driveway leads to an extended 2-car attached garage with workbench, while the home's vinyl and brick exterior is complemented by mature landscaping and a large yard with storage shed. The interior showcases hardwood floors, primary suite, and natural light adding to the inviting layout. A gas insert fireplace with a tile surround and wood mantle adds warmth and character to the home, while the kitchen includes a functional peninsula ideal for entertaining and everyday use. Sliding doors open to a rear deck and concrete patio--both perfect for outdoor enjoyment in a peaceful setting. Major upgrades include all new Andersen windows ($27K), a new hot water heater, central A/C, radon remediation system, and an automatic wired generator for added peace of mind. With NO HOA and a prime location close to top Pocono attractions including skiing, lakes, water parks, dining, and the casino, this move-in ready property offers the perfect blend of privacy, space, and convenience. Call today to schedule your showing!
-
2007-07-30soldstatus $251,000
-
2003-03-18soldstatus $190,000
-
2001-08-09soldstatus $25,000
-
2001-08-09soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,667 · $389/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,900 · $408/mo
- Expected delta
- +$233/yr (+$19/mo · 5.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,548
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,199
- − Property taxes
- −$4,667
- − Insurance
- −$1,624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,964
- − Management
- −$1,964
- − Depreciation
- −$9,452
- Taxable loss
- −$13,323
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,197
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,147/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pleasant Valley SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219290
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,593
- Composite
- 37.18/100
- National rank
- #4476
- State rank
- #297 of 539 in PA
Livability — Effort
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #292
- US rank
- #2576
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Effort, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,884
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Polish 4% Iranian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.25%
- Current HPI
- 188.6013
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+1199.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — PMAR
- 2026-05-12 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $324,900 GLVRMLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $324,900 PMAR
- 2007-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $251,000 Public Records
- 2003-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
- 2001-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 2001-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2026): $4,667 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…