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1006 Burger Hollow Rd
D Composite 42.16
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.6/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.1/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.1/30.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.3/10.0
  • DSCR +0.4/10.0

$324,900

1006 Burger Hollow Rd · Effort, PA 18058
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,172 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 2002 2.54 ac lot $277/sqft · 32% above area Est $376k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* * * MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED. ASKING FOR HIGHEST AND BEST OFFERS BY MONDAY 5/11 AT 5PM WITH A RESPONSE ON TUESDAY * * * Set on 2.54 private acres in the desirable Pleasant Valley School District, this well-maintained bi-level home (built in 2002) offers 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and 1,796 finished square feet designed for comfortable living and modern convenience. A private paved driveway leads to an extended 2-car attached garage with workbench, while the home's vinyl and brick exterior is complemented by mature landscaping and a large yard with storage shed. The interior showcases hardwood floors, primary suite, and natural light adding to the inviting layout. A gas insert fireplace with a tile surround and wood mantle adds warmth and character to the home, while the kitchen includes a functional peninsula ideal for entertaining and everyday use. Sliding doors open to a rear deck and concrete patio--both perfect for outdoor enjoyment in a peaceful setting. Major upgrades include all new Andersen windows ($27K), a new hot water heater, central A/C, radon remediation system, and an automatic wired generator for added peace of mind. With NO HOA and a prime location close to top Pocono attractions including skiing, lakes, water parks, dining, and the casino, this move-in ready property offers the perfect blend of privacy, space, and convenience. Call today to schedule your showing!

Key facts

  • Attached garage
  • Paved driveway
  • Large yard

Tags

PAVED DRIVEWAYATTACHED GARAGEMATURE LANDSCAPINGLARGE YARDSTORAGE SHEDHARDWOOD FLOORS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Sidewalks in the community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces; Off-street parking; Garage door opener
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Below-grade finished area (basement) with daylight, finished spaces and walk-out access; Above-grade finished living area present; R-1 residential zoning
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Patio; Shed(s); Workshop; Leased propane tank

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Total of 9 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Zoned cooling; Baseboard heating; Electric heating; Propane heating; Zoned heating
  • Interior features: Skylights; Dining area; Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Family room (lower level)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup (lower level); Dryer hookup (lower level); Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-612 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $217k (33.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $205k (37.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $205k (37.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 2.7% in Effort — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#292 in PA, #2,576 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Pleasant Valley SD (rural): math 31% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #297 of 539 in PA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Pleasant Valley El Sch (math 39% / reading 51%, grade D-, #809 of 1,518 statewide, top 54%, 899 students, 50% FRL); Pleasant Valley Ms (math 19% / reading 58%, grade F, #275 of 512 statewide, top 55%, 950 students, 50% FRL); Pleasant Valley Hs (math 72% / reading 30%, grade D+, #123 of 437 statewide, top 28%, 1,343 students, 39% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $23k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $251k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $204,563 (37.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.63%
Cap rate
4.03%
Cash-on-cash
-8.07%
DSCR
0.64
GRM
13.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$376,305
List price
$324,900
Delta
-13.66%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3546 High Hill Rd 0.45mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,232 (+5%) 8mo $322,400 $262 57
162 Laurel Ln 0.69mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,336 (+14%) 19mo $362,000 $271 21

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.25% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.5%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$59,684
Equity at exit
$209,394
10-year hold
IRR
10.8%
Equity multiple
3.25×
Total profit
$204,906
Equity at exit
$384,252

Cash invested: $90,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18058

Home prices YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
91
Price-to-rent
13.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,046 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax from tax record
$389 /mo · $4,667/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$430
Net cashflow
$-612

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,820
Max offer price $216,778
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-428 -5% $-520 +0% $-612 +5% $-704 +10% $-796
Rent -10% $-774 -5% $-693 +0% $-612 +5% $-531 +10% $-450
Rate -1.0pp $-448 -0.5pp $-529 base $-612 +0.5pp $-696 +1.0pp $-782

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,225
Closing costs
$9,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 1408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1408 chars)

    * * * MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED. ASKING FOR HIGHEST AND BEST OFFERS BY MONDAY 5/11 AT 5PM WITH A RESPONSE ON TUESDAY * * * Set on 2.54 private acres in the desirable Pleasant Valley School District, this well-maintained bi-level home (built in 2002) offers 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and 1,796 finished square feet designed for comfortable living and modern convenience. A private paved driveway leads to an extended 2-car attached garage with workbench, while the home's vinyl and brick exterior is complemented by mature landscaping and a large yard with storage shed. The interior showcases hardwood floors, primary suite, and natural light adding to the inviting layout. A gas insert fireplace with a tile surround and wood mantle adds warmth and character to the home, while the kitchen includes a functional peninsula ideal for entertaining and everyday use. Sliding doors open to a rear deck and concrete patio--both perfect for outdoor enjoyment in a peaceful setting. Major upgrades include all new Andersen windows ($27K), a new hot water heater, central A/C, radon remediation system, and an automatic wired generator for added peace of mind. With NO HOA and a prime location close to top Pocono attractions including skiing, lakes, water parks, dining, and the casino, this move-in ready property offers the perfect blend of privacy, space, and convenience. Call today to schedule your showing!

  2. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 1419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1408 chars)

    * * * MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED. ASKING FOR HIGHEST AND BEST OFFERS BY MONDAY 5/11 AT 5PM WITH A RESPONSE ON TUESDAY * * * Set on 2.54 private acres in the desirable Pleasant Valley School District, this well-maintained bi-level home (built in 2002) offers 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and 1,796 finished square feet designed for comfortable living and modern convenience. A private paved driveway leads to an extended 2-car attached garage with workbench, while the home's vinyl and brick exterior is complemented by mature landscaping and a large yard with storage shed. The interior showcases hardwood floors, primary suite, and natural light adding to the inviting layout. A gas insert fireplace with a tile surround and wood mantle adds warmth and character to the home, while the kitchen includes a functional peninsula ideal for entertaining and everyday use. Sliding doors open to a rear deck and concrete patio--both perfect for outdoor enjoyment in a peaceful setting. Major upgrades include all new Andersen windows ($27K), a new hot water heater, central A/C, radon remediation system, and an automatic wired generator for added peace of mind. With NO HOA and a prime location close to top Pocono attractions including skiing, lakes, water parks, dining, and the casino, this move-in ready property offers the perfect blend of privacy, space, and convenience. Call today to schedule your showing!

  3. 2026-05-05
    listed $324,900 Active 1408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1408 chars)

    * * * MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED. ASKING FOR HIGHEST AND BEST OFFERS BY MONDAY 5/11 AT 5PM WITH A RESPONSE ON TUESDAY * * * Set on 2.54 private acres in the desirable Pleasant Valley School District, this well-maintained bi-level home (built in 2002) offers 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and 1,796 finished square feet designed for comfortable living and modern convenience. A private paved driveway leads to an extended 2-car attached garage with workbench, while the home's vinyl and brick exterior is complemented by mature landscaping and a large yard with storage shed. The interior showcases hardwood floors, primary suite, and natural light adding to the inviting layout. A gas insert fireplace with a tile surround and wood mantle adds warmth and character to the home, while the kitchen includes a functional peninsula ideal for entertaining and everyday use. Sliding doors open to a rear deck and concrete patio--both perfect for outdoor enjoyment in a peaceful setting. Major upgrades include all new Andersen windows ($27K), a new hot water heater, central A/C, radon remediation system, and an automatic wired generator for added peace of mind. With NO HOA and a prime location close to top Pocono attractions including skiing, lakes, water parks, dining, and the casino, this move-in ready property offers the perfect blend of privacy, space, and convenience. Call today to schedule your showing!

  4. 2026-05-05
    listed $324,900 Active 1419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1408 chars)

    * * * MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED. ASKING FOR HIGHEST AND BEST OFFERS BY MONDAY 5/11 AT 5PM WITH A RESPONSE ON TUESDAY * * * Set on 2.54 private acres in the desirable Pleasant Valley School District, this well-maintained bi-level home (built in 2002) offers 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and 1,796 finished square feet designed for comfortable living and modern convenience. A private paved driveway leads to an extended 2-car attached garage with workbench, while the home's vinyl and brick exterior is complemented by mature landscaping and a large yard with storage shed. The interior showcases hardwood floors, primary suite, and natural light adding to the inviting layout. A gas insert fireplace with a tile surround and wood mantle adds warmth and character to the home, while the kitchen includes a functional peninsula ideal for entertaining and everyday use. Sliding doors open to a rear deck and concrete patio--both perfect for outdoor enjoyment in a peaceful setting. Major upgrades include all new Andersen windows ($27K), a new hot water heater, central A/C, radon remediation system, and an automatic wired generator for added peace of mind. With NO HOA and a prime location close to top Pocono attractions including skiing, lakes, water parks, dining, and the casino, this move-in ready property offers the perfect blend of privacy, space, and convenience. Call today to schedule your showing!

  5. 2007-07-30
    soldstatus $251,000
  6. 2003-03-18
    soldstatus $190,000
  7. 2001-08-09
    soldstatus $25,000
  8. 2001-08-09
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,667 · $389/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,900 · $408/mo
Expected delta
+$233/yr (+$19/mo · 5.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,548
− Mortgage interest
−$18,199
− Property taxes
−$4,667
− Insurance
−$1,624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,964
− Management
−$1,964
− Depreciation
−$9,452
Taxable loss
−$13,323
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,197
After-tax cash flow
$-4,147/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pleasant Valley SD
NCES district ID
4219290
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$61,593
Composite
37.18/100
National rank
#4476
State rank
#297 of 539 in PA

Livability — Effort

Score
78/100
State rank
#292
US rank
#2576

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Effort, PA
Population (ZIP)
9,884

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Polish 4% Iranian 4%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.25%
Current HPI
188.6013
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1199.6% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending PMAR
  • 2026-05-12 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $324,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $324,900 PMAR
  • 2007-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $251,000 Public Records
  • 2003-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
  • 2001-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 2001-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $4,667 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…